Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 1 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 503 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 2 of 38 COMPONENTS OF THE PLAN In building the plan, we need the following actions: 1. FBC to work with MFA to build plan to confirm facts in attached document laying out compliance and to build other supportive documents. There are several areas where we need to provide more detail. We list the legislation in the attached document but need to provide brief summaries in the chart. Also, we should include an addendum to this chart with more detailed information on each of the legislative acts cited. a. An additional document that should be created is one that lays out the new Election law and the key components that provide for a fair and transparent election. This election document should note the deadlines for implementation and the status of he CEC in meeting these deadlines. It should also highlight the components of the new election law that respond to the criticisms of the 2010 local elections. The document should show the criticisms of OSCE, how the election law addressed these criticisms and the implementation bv the CEC of the new requirements. Since this is a new document, FBC and KK should work with both the El team and the CEC to craft the document. 2. This document becomes the handout to the media, NGOs and western governments. The information should also be the basis for opeds in all European capitals and international papers. We should also consider interviews on major talk shows in London, Paris, Berlin, Brussels and Home to promote the complicate. Shows like HardTalk and its equivalents in the other capitals should be targeted. Finailv, the plan should include a digital strategv using friendlv websites, blogs and important bloggers. 1A collaboratiVe plan from FBC, FH and BM and Mercury Communications should build the PR and GR plan under the direction of RIG. 4. Working with Rob and Ina Kirsch, we need to construct a targeted program for Martin Schultz and the SI. DEADLINES I would like a draft of this plan to review by Juli;r 10. It should be a comprehensive and detailed program. it should lay out documents to circulate, sample oped articles, detailed targets in the media, N605 and governments. Additionally, I would like a draft to the materials and revised charts responding to PACE and EPP by July 10. Based on the plan and the materials. a meeting can be organized to finalize the plan and adopt a calendar for actions. 0.142493988191100): Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 3 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 504 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 4 of 38 I GERMANY Bode Hombach Former European troubleshooter, SPD minister to Gerhard Schroeder, Head of the Federal hancellory, supervisor of the Balkans stability pact and now in?uential publishing and media boss.(see links below} 0 SPAIN Javier Solana. Former NATO head, and EU Foreign Affairs Spokesman and respected man for all seasons in Europe. Friend of Gusenbaucr. I FRANCE The Chancellor will select someone from France but precisely who will be determined by who does not become a part of the Hollands Administration. I not that the Government is being organized. II Although his appointment as European Parliament of?cial to monitor the Tymo trial would prevent Aleksander Kwa?niewski from any formal activity, Chancellor Gusenbauer will meet him lune 29th and will discuss with him the idea of Kwasniewski joining a more formal Advisory Panel in 2013. He is con?dent that this is very likely and believes that some informal and covert interaction is possible in 2012. 4. Structure and Fees Led by former Chancellor Alfred Gusenbauer of Austria, the other former leaders from Belgium, Germany. Spain. italy and/or France would act as an informal. independent group in 2012 and would form or associate with an existing N00 in 2013. The creation ofthis entity in 2013 would publicly be connected to the informal work that they did in 2012. The informal and ultimately formal project will be managed by Chancellor Gusenbauer in co-ordination with me. The budget for the 6 months of2012 would be This would include travel expenses, administrative overheard, and retainer fees to all of the key individuals, speakers fees to liilP's who will appear at the conferences and election observer fees. The budget for conferences will be created based on the purpose and logistics ofthe events. It is anticipated that we would do at least 2-3 such conferences in 2012 to promote the objectives ofintegration and election recognition. It is anticipated that a typical budget for a conference will be in the range ofEur020,000. 5. Next Steps Chancellor Gusenhauer is speaking with former President on Sunday at the Euro 20 12 football game in Warsaw. They will agree on their plan ofaction. Upon approval of the project by Ukraine, they will commence work this week. This work will result in the outreach to the of?cials listed above and others. Once the group is organized, the speci?cs ofa work plan will be created by the Chancellor and us. ACTION: Approve and fund project by july 1. 0.7.4249.399394.docx DOJSCO-400604495 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 5 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 517 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 6 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT (A.B.J.) U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 532 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 7 of 38 PUBLIC AFFAIRS The reason I explained the background of what I organized last year is because I felt that it was important for you to know of the active international media and lobbying operation that has been. working on your behalf. What you saw in Kyiv was the tip of what was working in Eumpe and the US. This is why the response occurred as quickly as it did. It is also important that you understand that this is what Tymoshenko has been doing on a much more massive scale for the last 5 years, (and Yuschenko too). Between paid lobbyists and the Ukrainian Diaspora, she had a very effective program in both Europe and the United States. The good news is that we can build a similar system now that you are the President. I have speci?c ideas on how to do this and that is what I will set out in this Memorandum. 1. Goal of Representation The purpose of the Public Affairs and Government Relations program is to promote your image and policies to the targeted audiences in Europe and the United States. We need to manage their understanding of what you are doing in Kyiv and how they can assist and interact with your Administration. These programs are common place in the western world and firms exist that specialize in a range of services. The key is to manage this program in the context of your political and reform agenda as well as your governing agenda. The program will consist of several aspects. The ?rst is the government relations aspects. We will build a multi faceted plan to communicate your programs to key of?cials and institutions in Washington, Brussels, the IMF, EBRD, EC. We will identify needs that we require from these institutions to complement your reform programs and economic programs. Then, using the resources of these ?rms we will develop the strategy and tactics to pursue our objectives. Utilizing their networks of relationships, we will build a group of professionals who will become the active lobbyists for your Administration. Second, we 1.vill target the international media and academic elites. These groups have been totally misled by Tymoshenko and are just now beginning to understand her lies. They still. do not have a feel for who Victor Yanukovich is. Their impressions have been deveIOped by the Orange over the last 5 years. Just as we did in our early campaign strategy, we need to break these stereotypes of images in order to build a credible foundation for President Yanukovich to deal in the West. Thus, the second goal will be to work with identi?ed media and to develop speci?c milestones on educating them in non- political environments. This will include both the print and electronic media and important Think Tanks. Like the campaign, this work must start early in order to be effective later. Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 8 of 38 Publically, they will be explaining the process to the media, elites and government of?cials in their respective countries. In reality, they will also be promoting your political agenda and developing support based on correct understanding on what you are doing in Ukraine. If we only rely on local media and the Ambassadorial corps in Kyiv we are at risk to their interpretations and prejudices. At a minimum we will be communicating your position to the important audiences in Europe and the US, and at a maximum we will be winning their support based on the message presentation. 3. My Role I will be the manager of this process. In addition to continuing in the role I have been playing for you over the last 5 years, I would add this management function to my list of responsibilities. In fact, I have been doing this for you over the years. Now, we need to formalize it and have the government pay for the services that I have been personally paying for over the last 5 years. I would have a separate contract which would be with a private company. As we did in the early days with SCM being my technical client while I, in fact, fowsed on your program, we would ?nd another client (preferably not SCM since they have had this burden already), who would pay for my services under a multi-year contract. That contract would incorporate my services and infrastructure both in Kyiv and Washington for this work and the political, strategic and consulting work that I will do for you over the course of the next 5 years. The only work not incorporated in this contract would be campaign consulting for the Parliamentary and local elections. The political campaign work would be managed under a separate contract for those specific election and party building services. Publically, I would not appear as a lobbyist for your Government. Those roles would be the ?rms that I bring in as your Government and Public Affairs consultants. In fact, I would be the point for all of these services. 4. Next Steps We should begin to move on this process immediately. The timeline should be to ?nalize all of the details in the next 2 weeks and to bring the ?rms on board asap. This is important because of all of the important activity that will be happening quickly after the Presidential Inauguration. The early agenda of work is massive, including developing papers and brie?ngs on such activity as the new coalition, the reform initiatives, the identification of the Tymoshenko ?nancial issues discovered upon taking of?ce, the development of strategies to assist in the seeking of ?nancial assistance from the West, and dealing with the Tymoshenko anti Yanukovich technologies that she will be promoting through her Western network of operatives. These firms need to be working by mid March. It will take some time for them to be educated on events and they must be preparing for trips by President Yanukovich to Europe and the US. Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 9 of 38 The next steps are as follows: a. For You Approval by you of the concept ii. Designation by you of the person in Presidential Administration to be the coordinator of this project (SL did it in the campaign) Identi?cation and Arrangement of Source (private company) to pay for PJ services b. For me once you approve concept i. Development of scope of work with coordinator ii. Identi?cation of ?rms to consider Development of proposal from these ?rms we agree on iv. Development of Budget v. Finalization of contract for me with Ukrainian Company vi. Negotiation of contracts by me with the Consulting Firms vii. Arrangement for Brie?ng sessions with key people and new consultants CONCLUSION In the next several weeks, you will be besieged with proposals for technical services and contracts to advise you on your priorities as President (like the McKinsey project). It is important that those contracts be managed separately from what I am talking about here. This is your personal gragram. The McKinsey type projects are the government management contracts. Some people will try to claim that they are one and the same. They are not. We will use the Government as the foundation for us to build a worldwide program to educate and promote what you are doing as President. This will ensure that you never have to deal with a 2004 scenario again. Additionally, it will remove a major asset from Tymosehenko as you will be able to claim equal if not superior support from the West as you build your reform program. Like everything else, time is of the essence on this matter. However, unlike everything else, once you deal with the 3 issues listed in the previous section, I can take the work load off of you and get the job done without any major demands of your time. Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 10 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 594 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 11 of 38 They indicated that ifthe Skadden Report showed that the trial was conducted fairly and the conviction was based on the facts of the case and not politically motivated it would have a mitigating impact. This is not to say that they have changed their position on releasing Tymoshenko, but it would allow the issue to be de-emphasized to some degree. Furthermore, they explained that it was best to minimize con?icts that forced public actions that could complicate ?exibility in November. In the same context, the WH agreed to keep the State Dept. from making active pronouncements in Washington. This did not mean that Tefft would be any less an advocate for the positions he is taking but it would be limited to Embassy activity. The Congress is not within the control of the WH. It was made clear to us that the WH would not pressure the Congress either in favor or against Ukraine but that it would clarify US policy if mis-signals on policy were sent by Congress. This understanding was to minimize public con?ict so that both the US and VR elections would not be impacted by political grandstanding. The Washington Strategy Based on this tacit understanding, we have quietly engaged in Washington. We have kept important USG of?cials briefed on the elections, the Skadden Report. Russian pressure on Ukraine, the reforms being pursued by Administration, business opportunities that US companies are accessing [Chevron)and general issues that will be important in November. Our focus has been on future allies of ours like those WH ?gures who will be staying in office should Dbama be revelected, Gov. Romney's foreign policy advisors on Europe, Republican Speaker ofthe House John Boehner who will be in charge ofthe House again in January, and targeted members of Congress who are open-minded and will be helpful to us in 2013, based on successful UR elections. in short, the strategy was to educate but not complicate. Avoid confrontation but provide knowledge that would be important in the post election period when the policy reviews will occur. ?se of the Senate Resolution The Tymo Washington lobby became frustrated by their inability to engage the WH to confront the Yanukovich government prior to the elections. They decided that they needed to force events by pressing for the lnhofefDurbin resolution. Unce they accepted that they could not get the USE to issue a statement threatening sanctions or negative actions, their only option became to pass a non-binding, sense ofsenate resolution. They understood that even though there was no policy implication, the PR bene?t at least allowed some value. U.T.4249.398584.docx DOJSCO-400539636 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 12 of 38 This plan was complicated because there was not a lot of time to do the traditional Senate resolution approach. Thus, Durbin decided to use rule that did prohibited debate but allowed for expedited treatment. The risk of this approach was a few Senators could block the resolution and put it off until November. The most important person in the Senate Foreign Affairs Committee that we felt we could get to put on "hold" on the resolution in Committee was Sen. Lugar. He agreed to do so as we helped him during his trip to Ukraine in the summer. Lugar is an honorable person and his prestige was such that we felt he could stop the bill and minimize attention. He continued to quietly tell us he would put a hold on it up until last Thursday. the day ofthe Committee vote. When he told us that for humanitarian reasons [Durbin told Lugar that Tymo will die in jail ifthe Senate did not get aggressive] he felt he had to let the vote occur, we were forced to deal with the full Senate. In the full Senate we lined up several Senators who did put holds on the bill. Durbin used his position as ?oor leader of the Senate to have his resolution delayed until all but 2 or 3 Senators remained. We still were confident because we had con?rmed at least one Senators "hold" was still in place. Durbin violated the rules and spirit of the Senate and announced the resolution and then adjourned the Senate at 4:00am. The bad news is the resolution passed. However, the way it was done, with no Senators present, with no debate and in under questionable circumstances. discredits the claim that the resolution represents a sense of the Senate. Aftermath recognize that the PR impact is what they will promote. i take responsibility for this resolution passing. 1 believed that I had it stopped several times and was working within the strategic parameters of the plan with the WH. I never thought Durbin would just ignore the rules. I have never seen this done in 30 years in Washington. do want to stress an important consequence ofthis process which does provide real bene?t to us post election. The announcement ofthe USG policy towards Ukraine by Gordon last week is much more meaningful than the Sense of the Senate resolution. The fact that the WH was willing to announce the policy in order to send the signal that the resolution was not US policy indicates that they continue to be supportive ofthe Administration and committed to the post election plan if Ukraine holds fair elections. I was told again today to keep our focus on ensuring a fair election both in the pre election day period and on election day. This is key to US policy. To achieve this result, it is vital that we stop all ofthe distractions like a libel bill being presented in the VR during the election or our local leaders denying U.7.4249.398584.docx 00.153500400589637 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 13 of 38 permits for meetings to the opposition. These acts are much more dangerous to us than the Senate resolution because they play into the claims of the opposition that the elections are not free and fair. The reports by DSCE. PACE and other observer groups must accept the election results as fair. Ifwe achieve this end, we will be in position to get the support from the Obama Administration that we want. We do have a solid Washington team organized. it is working closely with the WH. Once we have the election assessment we will have the case we need to make. Then, working with a supportive WH, we will be able to re-establish the relationship into a more productive one. U.7?.4249.398584.docx DOJSCO-400589638 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 14 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 604 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 15 of 38 US Congress Although the US Congress was largely unchanged following the November 2012 election in terms of control of the House and Senate, there have been several significant changes to the committee structures that will benefit Ukraine. House The Republicans were able to maintain their control of the US House of Representatives. The House leadership will remain in place. SpeakerJohn Boehner and Majority Leader Eric Cantor will lead the Republicans. Nancy Pelosi will remain as the Minority Leader. The majority of the first six months of the new Congress will be consumed by budgetary issues. This'will help to take negative attention away from the However, we already have evidence that forces The significant changes at the House level relate to key committee structures. There is a guiding rule in the House that Chairs of all committees are changed every two years, and are appointed at the discretion of the leadership seniority no longer takes precedent. The House Committee of Foreign Affairs will now be chaired by Congressman Ed Royce (a Republican from California). I have known Congressman Royce for many years and this will be a helpful appointment for Ukraine. The key subcommittee for'Ukraine is the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe, Eurasia and Emerging Threats. The new chairman is Congressman Dana Rohrabacher (a Republican from California). Again, the new chairman is a good appointment for Ukraine and will be open minded about key policy issues. have attached a document that provides more background on the Committees and the Chairs]. Prior to the appointments there was an attempt by Congressman Chris Smith (Republican from New Jersey) to be selected as the Committee Chair. Congressman Smith did not have the support of the Republican leadership. However, he was given the Chairmanship of the Subcommittee on Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights and International Organizations. It is highly likely that Smith uses this subcommittee as a vehicle to hold hearings on YT's situation and possibly promote legislation. Our AC team is close to his staff and as of this memo, Smith intendsto take no action at this time. However, he was disappointed in the latest charges levied against YT. Last week the House Foreign Affairs Committee completed its ?Oversight Plan". This document governs much of the work by the committee throughout the Congressional Session. This document is not public yet but highlights several key sections that pertain to Ukraine. [Full HFA Oversight Plan is attached]. (1. Russia: The Committee will address the impact of Russia?s foreign policy on U.S. political, economic, and other interests in key countries and regions, with a focus on identifying significant areas of competition and potential cooperation. Of note is the Administration?s announced intention to negotiate new agreements with Russia on limiting strategic forces and ballistic missile defense, including the LLS. system scheduled for deployment in Europe. Russia's adherence to the rules of the World Trade Organization and the impact. on US. exports will be addressed. The Committee will also review how Russia?s domestic policies impact the U.S., and will consider the country's respect for human rights, democratic governance, and rule of law Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 16 of 38 r. Europe/Eurasia: The Committee will review U5. relations with European countries, with an emphasis on the European Union and NATO, including potential membership of the Western Balkan nations in those institutions. Key issues will include removal of barriers to trade, including a potential Trans-AtlantioFree Trade Area, the deployment of a regional ballistic missile defense system, the impact of the European financial crisis, diversification of energy sources, and Turkey?s new foreign policy orientation and its domestic political evolution, among others. The Committee will also conduct oversight of U.S. policy in Central Asia, including as it relates to the 2014 transition in Afghanistan. Human Rights and Democracy: The Committee will examine U.S. activities to promote democracy and protect human rights around the world. The Committee will critically assess LLS. involvement with multilateral human rights mechanisms, to ensure that U.S. diplomacy serves to promote fundamental human rights and freedoms. Senate Due to the confirmation of Secretary Kerry the relevant committee in the US Senate for Ukraine,- the Senate Foreign Relations Committee has undergone few changes thus far. The Republicans have made its appointments and it is expected that the Senate leadership will make the final Democratic appointments during the week of February However, we do know that Senator Dick Durbin will no longer serve on the Committee. Nor will Senatoriim lnhofe (it-OK). These two Senators were the lead sponsors on Senate Resolution 456 that was passed last year. The SFRC structure (at this time) is listed below: Democrats Republicans TBD, Chairman (but likely Menendez from NJ) Bob Corker, Ranking Member, Tenn Barbara Boxer, California James Risch, Idaho Robert Menendez, New Jersey Marco Rubio, Florida Benjamin L. Cardin, Maryland Ron Johnson, Wisconsin Robert P. Casey Jr, Jeff Flake. Arizona Jeanne Shaheen, New Hampshire John McCain, Arizona Christopher Coons. Delaware John Barrasso. Wyoming Torn Udall, New Mexico Rand Paul, Kentucky Chris Murphy, Connecticut Tim Kaine, Virginia At this time the structure of subcommittees have not been decided. Resolutions and Legislation At the. time of this memo, there are only two resolutions that have been introduced related to Ukraine. On January 14,'Rep. Marcy Kaptur introduced two resolutions regarding Ukraine. Both Resolutions were referred to the House Committee on Foreign Affairs and have gained no additional sponsors as ofJanuary 31. Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 17 of 38 H.Res. 27 - Supporting the establishment and full funding of a staff exchange program between the House of Representatives and the Parliament of Ukraine, the Verkhovna Rada, as soon as possible. H.Res. 28 Condemning the persecution of political opposition leader Yulia Tymoshenko as well as other political priSOners, among them former internal affairs minister Yuri Lutsenko. H.-Res 28 is a resolution that the Congresswoman introduces every year but it never receives attention. Our AC team has already contacted Chairman Royce on this matter and the resolution will not gain approval from the committee, and will not be brought up for debate. There is some renewed calling for additional actions to be taken against Ukraine. Thus far this rhetoric has only come from Ukraine?s opposition and former US Ambassador to Ukraine Steven Pifer last week during an interview with Voice of America. Pifer indicated that the US Congress is concerned about the situation in Ukraine, and could use sanctions to pressure the into freeing what it calls political prisoners. Some critics are saying the focus will return to a bill that was passed by the US Congress at the end of last year called the ?Russia and Moldova Jackson-Vanik Repeal and Sergei Magnitsky Rule of Law Accountability Act of 2012" otherwise known as the Magnitsky Act. The bill was signed into law by President Obama on December 14?? 2012. Some critics of-Ukraine suggest expanding the scope of this legislation to include Ukraine and place travel sanctions on certain Ukrainian Government officials. Our AC team is monitoring this bill closely and no action has been taken by any Congressional member. White House Petition There is one other attempt of deploying sanctions against Ukraine. A petition is being circulated that calls for sanctions to be introduced against Ukrainian officials involved in the falsification of the criminal case against businessman and his son Serhiy who were convicted of killing a judge of a district court in Kyiv. A relevant petition was registered on the Web site of the White House on January 26, 2013. The petition has to collect at least 100,000 signatures by February 25, 2013 to be considered by the White House. Thus far only 3,847 signatures have been collected. The petition proposes to put a ban on entry to the United States for former interior Minister of Ukraine Anatoliy Mohyliov, Head of the Public Security Department of the Interior Ministry of Ukraine Oleksiy Krykun, Head ofthe Investigatory Department of the Interior Ministry of Ukraine Vasyl investigators and other people involved in the falsification of the criminal case. torture, and the violation of human rights and freedoms. Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 18 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 606 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 19 of 38 about what YT is saying privately to EU leaders due to the success of the Habsburg network. I Through contacts of the Hapsburg team in italy, work is being done with senior Government officials close to Prime Minister Monti to create closer relations in the trade and investment sectors, building a Ukraine?Italy Business Council and demonstrating the importance of Ukraine to ltaly. a The team is also having private talks with top advisers to President Hollande as well as French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius to help improve relations, influence French policy, and gain support for the AA, and to argue Ukraine?s case. I The team will also continue to work behind the scenes inside PACE and the EP and to prevent negative statements and try and improve treatment of Ukraine. . The team is fully engaged in working through the issue of selective prosecution with the goal of getting President Shultz to understand the broader picture and to focus on more policy oriented policy issues. . in March, members of the team will be meeting with high-level USG officials to promote a positive "engage Ukraine" program for the US. I New members are being brought on to the I-iapsburg team. These new members will be ofthe same calibre as the original members. 2. Post-Election Event in Paris and Media Campaign. In the wake of the parliamentary elections, the Hapsburg team organised a conference in Paris in November to help convey positive messaging regarding the election. it provided an opportunity to discuss the country's European integration perspectives post-election, France-Ukraine relations and the advantages of the Association Agreement. Attended by key members of the team, the conference further examined perspectives for defence cooperation between NATO and Ukraine with Kyiv playing the strategic role of bridge between the EU and Russia and called for a more pragmatic approach to Ukraine-EU relations. Extensive media coverage was conducted around the conference by the Hapsburg team, including the in?uential TV news channel France 24. the weekly magazine Marianne; and the country?s most popular nevvspaper Le Monde. in addition, a lead story was published entitled, "Leading European Statesmen Collfor Steps to improve Relations between Europe and Ukraine?. The news story was printed by 340 editorial publications. 3. Next Steps (Paris, Rome, Washington}: I All members of the Hapsburg team are committed to continuing with the project and working with key EU leaders in the major European cities including Brussels, Berlin, Paris, and Rome. 0 The Hapsburg team will provide messaging and media engagement following the February 25Eh EU-Ukraine Summit. The team will also be speaking with key EU leaders throughout the summit driving critical messages to senior EU officials. 0 Members of the team have been invited by Fabius to meet in Paris in early March to review French foreign policy toward Ukraine. In All Habsburg members have agreed to participate in a series of at least six pro-Ukraine conferences plus multiple interviews, tip/eds and roundtables during 2013. Document ID: 014730. 1 305522 DOJSCO-402992555 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 20 of 38 The first of the key conferences will take place for 2013 is on March 6'11 in Home at the Library of the Parliament, with the high level participation ofthe team members. The Hapsburg team will engineer maior positive media in italy as a result ofthis event. a The Hapsburg team will also do a Series of events beneveen March and May in Washington DC designed to change the public rhetoric directed at Ukraine, but to also in?uence key members of the US Government through private meetings held at the highest levels. This will include major speeches, participation in key events, and private meetings with senior US officials including Secretary of State John Kerry, and other members ofthe Administration. I The Hapsburg team is also in the process of recruiting one or two new team members and position them in front of the media to support the leadership vision of the Got). This will be relevant as we focus on the geopolitical value of Ukraine to the EU. I The Hapsburg team also have a group of more than 15 potential MP5, who can become our advocates in the EP [including EPP members} and who can be integrated into the Habsburg project so we can create more positiVe messaging and media directly in Strasbourg and Brussels for Ukraine. Cone usi us The Hapsburg team has demonstrated many successes over the last several months. The elements of the Hapsburg project have proven very effective in dealing with the EU. The key to these successes is that the participants are signi?cant European leaders who are viewed as obiective regarding Ukraine. This has them to make their points without any apparent self-interest, thus giving their comments more weight and impact. The new year is already providing many more opportunities for Hapsburg to engage and provide substantial value to the Ukraine efforts. By expanding the presence of the Hapsburg team to the US this year, several important obiectives will he achieved much faster as a result of the direct involvement of the team. it is critical that we use the Hapsburg team to coordinate key messages publicly. but to also leverage the team's experience, expertise. and network ofhigh pro?le EU and US of?cials behind the scenes as much as possible. The group will play a prominent role in the lead-up to Vilnius. They are fully engaged and briefed. The EU rhetoric has changed dramatically over the last three months and is now truly engaging Ukraine on important issues. The Hapsburg team efforts will continue to ensure this happens. Document ID: 0.147301 305522 DOJSCO-402992555 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 21 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 616 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 22 of 38 Messaging Our ?Engage Ukraine? messaging to policy makers focuses on two central themes. 1. We have and continue to emphasize the positive aspects of the US-Ukraine relationship. We highlight: 0 Defense and Security: Ukraine has a proven track record of activer contributing to several NATO and international peacekeeping missions 0 Criminal Policy Reform: This is one of the single best achievements that has been achieved by the This has shifted the debate significantly, and has resulted in reengaging expert European bodies to continue with more reforms. 4- Energy Cooperation: The selection of Chevron and ExxonMobil to explore and develop shale gas and gas fields reflects a commitment by Ukraine to deepen its energv relationship with the U.S. 0 Combatting Maritime Piracy: To combat piracv, Ukraine has taken a lead role and is an active partner in anti -piracv operations in the Indian Ocean These are just some of the substantive issues that we use with policy makers that are changing perceptions of Ukraine. We have aggressively made the case to Congress and the Executiva Branch that if sanctions are imposed against Ukraine it will undercut the European initiative to bring Ukraine into the European sphere. There is growing understanding that this would undermine both European and US. national security interests. This argument is resonating with policymakers in both political parties in Congress. Who ?lost Ukraine? will be a burden that Congress will shoulder should it pass legislation that mandates sanctions. We have been persistent on that point with keilr policv makers, and it is one ofthe single most effective arguments that turns the discussion away from YT and her imprisonment. Outreach We have carried our message to a wide audience. We have engaged dozens of Congressional offices including the leadership and everv member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and House Foreign Affairs Committee. We have also Worked with the Helsinki Commission and have educated members of the Senate and House Armed Services Committees on securitv questions. Our engagement with senior officials of the Department of State is bearing fruit. While the US. policy continues to support Tvmoshenko?s release, senior officials now agree with us that imposing sanctions could push Ukraine toward Russia. Thus, the State Department is now making that case to Congress, and continues to believe that engagement with Ukraine is the best course of foreign policv. We have organized and leveraged the visits of the former Polish President Aleksander Kwasniewski and former Italian Prime Minster Roman Prodi to make critical in-roads in how policymakers view Ukraine. Toward that end, the Chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Rep. Ed Rovce told Mr. Prodi that ?we must continue to encourage pro- western forces in Ukraine?. Document ID: 074730130645? DOJSCO-402992881 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 23 of 38 Speeches, roundtables and programming at major think?tanks such as the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace have also helped the broader Washington community understand the importance of the US for Ukraine to further its relationships with the West. The pardon of Yuriy Lutsenko and five other prisoners is also a positive development that we have used effectively to argue against sanctions and to make the argument that the European Union should sign the Association Agreement with Ukraine. This step has also allowed us to leverage the progress in the US and hava its support for the AA signing in the Fall. Media Since the beginning of 2013, we have been working across traditional and social media platforms to build a positive narrative for Ukraine in the US. The underlying theme for this narrative is the following: Ukraine is an important aiobai strateoic partner to the United States and West that is committed to the necessary reforms for EU accession. We have delivered more specific messages that are representative of this theme, such as: Ukraine is a aiobai ieader in eneray production, is a sianificant contributor to the oiobai economy, recognizes the rule of law as shown by the recent reiease of six prisoners, and Ukraine has been an active participant in combatina maritime piracy. Our media outreach and strategy has included: - placement of an op-ed by former Polish President Alexander Kwasniewski in a significant publication in Washington, DC that is delivered to every congressional office, the White House, and all U.S. federal agencies; - placement of an op-ed by former Italian Prime Minister Romano in the Christian Science Monitor, 3 universal publication that has a high readership in many key foreign policy communities and among key policymakers in the a pitching our narrative and messaging to key reporters and editors at the Washington Post, the Wall Street Journal, and New York Times,- and extensive online outreach to relevant bloggers. In the next few weeks We will be capitalizing on the upcoming visit of Foreign Minister Kozhara and Sergei Klyuiev by placing an op-ed (authored by Kozhara) for publication in an influential newspaper during or around the time of their visit. After their visit, we will place an op-ed that highlights Ukraine?s track record in working with Western fleets to combat maritime piracy. We have secured a retired US Navy Admiral who is an expert in maritime piracy issues and who has experience working with Ukraine in this area ?to author this op?ed. Our ongoing efforts will include pitching bi?weekly press releases/news articles that highlight new, updated achievements and progress that Ukraine is making in its pursuit of the Association Agreement with the identifying additional credible authors for op-eds that we will draft and have strategically placed,- and developing and executing new digital strategies to increase the profile and narrative of Ukraine online and across multiple social media platforms. Emerging Problem Areas Given the changes in perceptions towards Ukraine, it is important to note the emergence of a broader issue agenda. Document ID: 07.4730130645? DOJSCO-402992882 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 24 of 38 There are several issues that are growing in importance and will need to be addressed in the next 3 months. 1. IMF. There is a growing impression that Ukraine is unwilling to make the fiscal and monetary changes necessary to finalize a new loan facility. The new economic team led by DPM Arbuzov is viewed as competent and more organized than thee previous team. However, there is a consensus hardening that the Govt of Ukr is not addressing the problems. While the gas tariff issue is a deal stopper, if a new strategy can frame an credible program that addresses the issues raised by the IMF Mission teams, some pressure can be applied with the new supporters in Washington. More than any other bilateral issue, the IMF matter is viewed as the litmus test of the seriouseness of the Govt to fix its core problems. 2. WTO. RICK FILL IN THE ISSUE HERE AND SOME OF THE THINGS WE CAN AND WILL DO 3. IPR RICK FILL IN THE ISSUE HERE AND SOME OF THE THINGS WE CAN AND WILL DO 4. OTHER RICK ID Way Forward The US consultants team will seek to leverage the hard work and important actions taken by the taken in the first quarter to continue with the strong progress that has been made and further advance the ?Engage Ukraine? agenda for the second quarter. The USG strategy looks to leverage the reforms being promoted in compliance with EU conditions for signing the AA and DCFTA. Because there is less direct awareness in Washington, we will bring European leaders to Washington to educate USG officials of the important changes occurring in Ukrainee and the progress being achieved in the reform and modernization programs. Two of the critical reform areas are in the implementation ofthe CPC and the electoral changes made based on OSCE recommendations from the VR elections. Using visits by Ukr officials and European leaders, we will educate targeted officials in the U56. The goal is to lay the foundation and protect the work that has been done to ensure that the AA is signed this Fall in Vilnius. We will continue to identify, educate, recruit and mobilize third-party validators for Ukraine?s west?ward focus, and goal of EU membership through our "Engage Ukraine? outreach campaign. Our primary goal is to ensure signing of the AA and to prevent the passage of sanctions against Ukraine. This will take a sustained effort in Congress and in the executive branch to ensure that the progress we have made is not reversed. We will also continue to establish representation in Congress on behalf of the during any relevant Congressional briefings and hearings. Our team will directly work to advance our existing relationships, or construct them where they are preliminary, with Members of Congress that will be in a direct position to influence policy regarding Ukraine. We have made much progress in the beginning of 2013 and the Document ID: 07.4730130645? DOJSCO-402992883 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 25 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 691 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 26 of 38 0 AG has con?rmed a US. visit April 2-4. During this visit we will organize a similar schedule for him in NY and Washington. ACTION: 1 am being pressed by for?iifiiment of the obligation that was due on Jion 2, 2013. i am attaching the reievant document. 1 reaiiy need to get this iN FULL this week before AK goes to Washington and before RP meets with Secretary Kerry on Feb. 23. Document ID: 0.7.4730.1306520 DOJSCO-402992566 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 27 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 692 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 28 of 38 moment. We must seize upon this opportunity and make sure that we fill the space with dialogue about important and relevant issues. From the event we learned that the key issues we should focus include: 1. Continued judicial reform. While much praise was given to Ukraine there were comments that other work needs to be done. Specifically, on the code that provides powers and responsibilities to the Prosecutor General?s Office. And riy did a good job of describing the job that had been done so far, and indicated fully that the would make further enhancements with the help of EU and US experts on prosecutorial code. 2. Ukraine?s role as the OSCE Chair 3. Other key reforms including less regulation for business, and efforts to improve the business and investment climate. 4. Energy security I want to provide a few notes from comments by Ambassador Jim Collins, who is a major sponsor of Carnegie. He commented that the rhetoric in Washington was shifting toward Ukraine in a positive way. Especially within the Administration there is a growing collective opinion that Ukraine is important to the US and the US wants Ukraine to succeed. There is less focus on the YT issues despite it being a major issue in the overall context of U5 relations with kraine. But what has changed is the idea that the US will engage Ukraine only when YT is released. Just as has occurred in the EU, the US Administration is beginning to move toward the importance of the Ukraine?s relationship with US solely based on strategic issues. This is a break through in his words and we must capitalize on this momentum. In addition, he commented that the Magnitsky Act was a major US policy blunder, but it also showed that any foreign government needs to deal with the Admin as well as Congress. He stated that State is firmly grounded in the policy of no sanctions should be applied against any countrydevelop relations, and is not effective. Key Actions I The success of Andriy?s visit is important and timely. It shows that a continued presence by key Ukraine leaders coming to the US is effective, and can change the rhetoric. We need to have Andriy come back to the US on a semi?annual or quarterly basis. . We need to increase the frequency of key members from the coming to the US. We have several key issues to focus on as mentioned above. We need to find key people that can represent Ukraine on these issues. This is important as we change the dialogue and create the positive stories that will change the focus ofthe Admin and members of Congress toward Ukraine. I By having members of the come to the US we shift the focus to these individuals. Their events, their meetings and dialogue all move the focus toward these individuals and away from YT. We must continue to do this. Especially over the next 4-6 months leading up to the AA signing. Document ID: 0.7.4730.1306455 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 29 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 697 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 30 of 38 French Minister of Foreign Affairs Meeting Important meeting that AG had with the French Minister of Foreign Affairs, Laurent Fabius, in Paris the week of April 11th, resulted in the statement below being released by French Ambassador Alain Remy. This statement is a direct result of AG asking Fabius to have this issue raised in the EU. European ambassadors expect Rada to work effectively for early signing of Association Agreement Kyiv, April 11 {Interfax-Ukraine] French Ambassador to Ukraine Alain Remy has eXpressed concern over the situation in the Ukrainian parliament. "We're watching with concern the situation in parliament that has developed over the past months," the ambassador said at a round table meeting, entitled "The Association Agreement. Terra Incognita?? in Kyiv on Thursday. He said the EU expects the Ukrainian parliament to play an active role in preparing for the signing of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement, and that it will also play a role in raising public awareness about the benefits of this document. Slovakia's Ambassador to Ukraine Pavol Hamzik said he agreed with Remy about the blocking of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. "Blocking ofthe parliament for four to five months is not quite up to European standards," he said. According to the diplomat, the actions of the Ukrainian opposition were understandable from the political point of view, but not clear from the point of view of Ukraine's movement towards the signing of the Association Agreement. "We need to sit down and work hard to find common ground." Hamzik said. Intellectual Property Rights Issue and Strategyr We have been following the Intellectual Policy Rights issue once we were alerted that Ukraine would likely be listed as a ?Foreign Priority Country? by the United States Trade Representative (USTR). This is a poor designation and basically asserts that Ukraine has regressed with respect to protecting IF. A list of countries is sent to the US Congress in a report submitted at the end of April. Congress takes no action other than acknowledging the report. The USTR would likely make a statement following the release of the report. We have developed a comprehensive communications plan to make sure that the properly addresses this issue when it is raised at the end of the month or first week of April. We need to make sure that demonstrate that the is serious about this issue and will work with the U56 to implemented needed changes. Ukraine MFA The consultants team have been working in preparation for the visit by MFA Kozhara on May in Washington. A meeting with Secretary of State John Kerry is scheduled for May 8th. We will also be preparing some meetings with key members of Congress and the business community. The Minister will be meeting with Congressman Ed Royce Chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and Senator Bob Menendez Chairman ofthe Senate Foreign Relations Committee. News Articles This week we directed the efforts of a number of positive news articles that appeared in several prominent publications and in the digital media space. These articles were done in tandem with key efforts we have been focusing on to emphasize the positive progress Ukraine has made on several key issues. Below is the title of the article and which media outlets published the stories. The links to the full article?s are also below for reference. Document ID: 0.7.4730.1306449 DOJSCO-402992641 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 31 of 38 "Extension of European Poriiornent?s Ukraine Mission: A Triumph of Dioiogue aver isoiotion? April 19?" Story on the approval to extend the Cox-Kwasniewski mission in Ukraine Maior Publications: Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, Boston Globe, and Businessiournal. wsi ?Europe Makes the Wise Choice to Engaging Ukraine? - Aprii 13*" Blog on the importance of continued EU engagement of Ukraine sUpportecl by renewing the Cox? Kwasniewski mission. Publication: Center for the Study of Former Soviet Socialist Republics "Ukraine Opposition Parties Urged to Support Vitoi for EU integration April 17?? Article that focuses criticism by EU officials on making sure that the opposition forces do not prevent necessary work in order to sign the AA. Maior Publications: Wall StreetJournal, Bloomberg, Reuters, Boston Globe, and Business Journal 201304170420PR NEWS EURO ND enUK2013041?00?9 Publ-l Ukraine Seize its EU Chance?? Aprii 13?" Oped by Matthew Rojanskv at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Document ID: 0.?.4?30.1306449 DOJSCO-4D2992642 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 32 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 706 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 33 of 38 France is changing its attitude toward Ukraine in a positive way. Germany has a privileged relationship with Russia but Merkel has a special relationship with Tymoshenko I The EU Parliament has appointed officials to monitor the Tymoshenko case and We hope the issue is resolved. They are hoping that Tymoshenko will receive a humanitarian parole and get medical treatment in Germany 0 We are concerned that Putin is trying to reconstitute the Soviet Union in a different circumstance. Ukraine is crucial to this effort - Signing the AA would allow us to promote democratic and judicial reform I The U5 is not involved in the AA but Europe is sensitive to American concerns 0 The US should promote engagement not isolation of Ukraine Smith made the following key points in Ukraine needs to get the Tymoshenko piece behind them. It would help Yanukovich focus on other key reforms and get those done. Smith indicated that he is prepared to work with President Yanukovich in this regard. I I have been receiving a lot of information this year from the Ukraine Govt and am pleased with the progress that appears to be occurring there. 0 I have tried to get OSCE chairpersons to focus human trafficking and I am pleased that the Ukraine FM is focusing on this topic now. i I support engagement as a way to promote human rights but I believe there are tools that you haVe to use to get there a He is going to the human trafficking conference in Ukraine next week and agreed on the spot to have lunch with the foreign minister The meeting ended on a positive note and they agreed to stay in touch. Lunch with Congressman Ed Royce Chairman of the House Foreign Affairs Committee AG and Chairman Royce had a 20-minute conversation on Wednesday. The conversation was very productive and we believe we have continued to make significant progress with the Chairman. AG pressed his concern that if the AA agreement was not signed, Ukraine would be far too reliant on Russia, which could potentially destabilize the region. He also stressed that many in the EU are concerned that Putin is working to put the Soviet Union back together and his Customs Union provides a platform for this to occur. While recognizing the Ukraine likely needs to play a role in the Customs Union for their own economic benefit, it is far more important to have Ukraine join the European Union and sign the AA agreement right away. He also said the United States needs to continue to be supportive of Ukraine?s engagement with the European Union and that the EU will undoubtedly look to America to see how we view the relationship. Chairman Royce agreed with points and stressed that Ukraine needs to continue on its path towards European ascension. The Chairman was very knowledgeable on the topic and our ?take- away? from the meeting is that he is very sympathetic to our views and possibly willing to help. Meeting with Will Pomeranz, Document ID: 0.7.4730.1306405 DOJSCO-402992670 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 34 of 38 Director, Kennan Institute, Woodrow Wilson Center AG and Mr. Pomeranz met for about 45 minutes on Wednesday They shared a discussion regarding Putin, the current political state of Russia, and the future in terms of Putin?s attempt to enlarge his sphere of influence. The conversation was cordial and very matter-of-fact, in which they both shared views on why the European Union is the best choice for Ukraine both politically and economically, and both agreed that the Tvmoshenko issue was taking too much attention away from substantive matters that need more focus. Mr. Pomeranz asked AG to stay in toueh and Mr. Pomeranz has also since contacted our team to see if we would be able to sit dovvn in the verv near future and discuss Ukraine further. Meeting with Congressman Bill Keating (D-MA) Ranking Member, HFA Subcommittee on Europe AG met with Rep. William Keating [ID-Mass}. Keating is the ranking Democrat on the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe. He: Durakoglu, the Staff director of the Subcommittee participated in the meeting as well. The meeting was cordial and friendly. In addition to their conversation about Ukraine they discussed US transatlantic trade negotiations with Europe and their shared affinity for baseball and the Boston Red Sox. AG made the following key points: 0 Russia is pressuring Ukraine to join the Customs Union. I Ukraine is being squeezed by Russia with higher gas prices. 0 The political class does not want to yield to Russian pressure and would rather turn to the West. - Tvomshenko and the opposition favor signing the AA with the EU. 0 Ukraine has a better chance of achieving democratic and judicial reforms by being situated in the West. in Ukraine has launched and continues to implement major judicial reforms to change a system that is from the old Soviet Union. The EU is sensitive to US concerns about Ukraine and it is important that the US send positive signals. Keating asked if Tvmoshenko will be released. Gusnebauer responded that the European Parliament is trying resolve the issue. Keating concluded the meeting by saving that he wanted to engage Ukraine in a positive wav. Meeting with Congressman Tom Marino (R-PA) HFA Subcommittee on Europe, Eurasia, and Emerging Threats Document ID: 01.47301 306465 DOJSCO-402992671 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 35 of 38 Discussed Ukraine status with EU, Russia and Dr. Guesnbauer made key points: The status of Tymoshenko and the possibility of a compromise allowing travel to her doctors in Germany The friendship of Angela Merkel and Tymoshenko The Opposition and Tymoshenko are supporting Ukraine Association Agreement Russia?s heavy hand on Ukraine energy supply Pulling Ukraine west and to the EU is a strategic Russia is attempting to reconstitute the old regime geography Ukraine?s shale gas reserves Rep. Marino comments: Marino spoke about the importance of using the shale gas as a way to foil Putin ambitions The Congressman is a member of the NATO PA and sees natural gas supply as a strategic necessity for the EU He discussed the Marcellus and that is district sits on it He is fully supportive of Ukraine and the Association Agreement Marino mentioned he studied in Vienna and enjoyed Austria He had been briefed by Romano Prodi in an earlier meeting on several key issues related to Ukraine's integration into the EU Meeting with Congressman Bob Aderholt (R-AL) U5 Helsinki Commission AG met Rep. Aderholt who is a Member of the Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe (commonly referred to as the Helsinki Commission}. He is also a senior Member of the House Appropriations Committee Rep. Aderholt was delayed briefly because of votes but AG spent significant time discussing Ukraine and other regional issues with the Congressman?s Brian Rell and Foreign Policy staffers. With Congressman Aderholt AG made points on: Off the record Tymoshenko issue may be a compromise letting her go to Germany for treatment EU Association Agreement is progressing and important to western strategic balance Merkel and Tymoshenko are friendly Tymoshenko and the opposition party have come out in favor of the EU Ukraine Association Agreement without conditions on her release EU is applying various pressures for her release but careful not to drive Ukraine toward Congressman Aderholt comments: 0 He was minimally interested in Tymoshenko but understood the Russia problem Mentioned the Commission meeting coming up in Istanbul Agreed with the strategic value of Ukraine being western leaning versus Russia Very concerned about Russian tactics on natural gas supply Document ID: 01.47301 306465 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 36 of 38 Baxter Hunt US State Department Director for Ukraine, Moldova and Belarus Affairs AG met with Baxter Hunt, Director, Ukraine for Moldova and Belarus Affairs at the Department of State. The meeting was cordial and productive. AG made the following points: I The consensus in Europe is that the Tymoshenko issue must be resolved. I The EU is advocating for her release. I Russia is pressuring Ukraine. I Putin wants to reestablish the former Soviet Union. I Ukraine pays Russia higher gas prices than any other country in Europe. I We don?t want to push Ukraine into the arms of the Russians. I Signing the Association Agreement (AA) is good symbolically and practically for Ukraine. I Even if AA is signed every state must ratify it so there is still an opportunity to ensure Ukraine meets conditions. I Tymoshenko may be granted a humanitarian release and get sent to Germany for medical treatment. I If Tymoshenko stays in jail it will be a problem for German Chancellor Merkel. Baxter Hunt asked what other Capitals are saying about Tymoshenko. AG responded that Sweden wants the Baltic States to sign an AA and will most likely not oppose Ukraine. France is softening its tone. If Germany sees support for the AA it is not likely to veto the signing. Hunt made the following points: I He does not see the EU signing the AA if Tymoshenko is charged with murder. I President Yanakovich still sees Tymoshenko as a dangerous rival, which is why he may not release her before the 2015 Presidential election. I Tymoshenko is more popular outside Ukraine than inside Ukraine. I Even if Tyomshenko is released for medical reasons it would be a big step. I We welcome Lutsenko?s release but Tyomshenko must be released. I Ukraine needs to get past Tymoshenko. She is a litmus test for where Ukraine is headed. I State Department does not support sanctions. may support it, but Hunt is doubtful Congress does. Sen. Durbin is likely to introduce a resolution calling for Tymoshenko?s release. but we don?t think it will mandate sanctions. AG responded with the following points: I Tymoshenko strongly supports the AA and so does the opposition. I If Tyomshenko ran it would split the opposition and President Yanukovych would win reelection. Conclusions The trip was very successful. AG had several important key meetings and the feedback we have received from him further validates that the majority of the U56 and Congress want to see Document ID: 0.7.4730.1306405 DOJSCO-402992673 Case Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 37 of 38 Ukraine as a part of the EU. Also, we continue to see the discourse changing away from release {although the issue needs to be resolved] to one of engagement of Ukraine by the U56. Document ID: 0.7.4730.1306405 DOJSCO-402992674 Case 1:17-cr-00201-ABJ Document 419-1 Filed 09/14/18 Page 38 of 38 GOVERNMENT EXHIBIT U.S. v. MANAFORT, 1:17-cr-201 (A.B.J.) 708