Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Study #19093 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 1000 Adults, including 450 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: March 23-27, 2019 12 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. Study #19093 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey 48 Male 52 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Adults is ±3.10% The margin of error for 808 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.45% The margin of error for 284 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±5.82% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 ................................................................ 11 25-29 ................................................................ 7 30-34 ................................................................ 12 35-39 ................................................................ 8 40-44 ................................................................ 11 45-49 ................................................................ 6 50-54 ................................................................ 7 55-59 ................................................................ 11 60-64 ................................................................ 10 65-69 ................................................................ 5 70-74 ................................................................ 4 75 and over .......................................................... 8 Not sure/refused ................................................. - Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 11 No, not Hispanic ............................................... 88 Not sure/refused ............................................. 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White ..............................................................72 Black ..............................................................13 Asian .............................................................. 2 Other .............................................................. 4 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6 Not sure/refused ........................................... 3 White, Non-Hispanic.......................................69 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Q3 Study #19093 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Registered Voter. Yes ...................................................81 No .....................................................19 Q4 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 3/19 Total approve ...............................43 Strongly approve .........................30 Somewhat approve ....................13 Total disapprove .........................53 Somewhat disapprove ...............10 Strongly disapprove ....................43 Not sure ................................ 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 2 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 5/171 39 54 7 Intensity not asked prior to June 2017. 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Q5 Study #19093 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE :2-3) Donald Trump March 2019 ........................................... February 2019 ....................................... January 2019......................................... December 2018 ..................................... November 2018+ ................................... October 2018+ ...................................... September 2018+ ................................ August 18-22, 2018+ ............................. July 2018+ ............................................. June 2018+ ........................................... April 2018 .............................................. March 2018 ........................................... January 2018......................................... December 2017 ..................................... October 2017......................................... September 2017 .................................... August 2017 .......................................... June 2017 ............................................. May 2017 .............................................. April 2017 ................................................ February 2017 ......................................... January 2017........................................... December 2016 ....................................... October 10-13, 2016+ ............................. October 8-10, 2016+ ............................... September 2016+ ................................ August 2016+ .......................................... July 2016+ ............................................... June 2016+ ............................................. May 2016+ .............................................. April 2016+ .............................................. March 2016+ ........................................... February 2016+ ....................................... January 2016+ ........................................ December 2015 ....................................... October 25-29, 2015 ............................... October 15-18, 2015 ............................... September 2015 ...................................... July 2015 ................................................. February 2011 ......................................... May 2004+ .............................................. December 1999 ....................................... October 1999........................................... July 1990 ................................................. High February 2017 ......................................... Presidential Term Low April 2018 ............................................ All-time Trump Low April 2016+ .............................................. Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 12 12 12 13 12 15 13 11 12 16 14 14 12 16 13 16 14 13 17 16 16 18 20 14 13 13 15 17 17 16 13 13 17 15 15 17 17 17 16 17 9 8 9 11 6 7 9 9 9 9 12 11 8 9 10 12 12 11 9 11 10 13 13 8 7 11 11 13 11 12 10 11 12 12 13 17 17 16 16 40 10 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 8 9 8 10 12 9 10 10 12 10 11 10 12 12 11 11 12 14 12 10 10 11 12 14 14 14 13 18 41 40 43 43 45 43 44 42 43 41 43 40 48 45 46 39 40 41 42 40 35 38 35 52 51 49 50 49 48 44 53 54 49 47 47 42 39 44 43 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 9 4 3 3 17 12 11 11 38 28 25 28 14 24 23 25 15 25 32 24 7 7 6 9 27 16 10 12 35 - 21 14 12 10 43 - 11 13 10 12 53 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 28 30 27 24 29 27 26 29 28 24 21 23 24 21 23 23 22 25 21 23 27 20 20 15 17 15 13 10 12 13 11 12 11 14 12 10 13 8 10 9 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Study #19093 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q5 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 16 11 10 12 12 10 13 11 12 12 11 28 27 23 20 21 20 23 22 23 15 28 11 10 10 10 11 9 8 8 11 11 6 9 13 12 13 17 13 11 11 8 10 5 22 20 28 27 23 30 28 31 30 36 37 12 15 8 26 28 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Robert Mueller March 2019 ...................................... December 2018................................ October 2018+ ................................ September 2018+ ............................ August 18-22, 2018+ ........................ July 2018+........................................ June 2018+ ...................................... April 2018 ........................................ March 2018 ..................................... December 2017............................... June 2017 ....................................... 14 19 17 18 16 18 17 17 16 16 13 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez March 2019 ..................................... 11 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Robert Mueller........................................................ 30 20 Donald Trump ........................................................ 40 51 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ...................................... 23 34 D/S 10 -11 -11 Q6 Held for later release. Q7 If there were a presidential primary election in your state next year, would you vote in the Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2020? 3/19+ Vote in Democratic Primary ..................................... 35 Vote in Republican Primary ..................................... 29 Wait until the general election................................ 32 Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ............................. 1 Not sure ................................................................ 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q8 In thinking about how the eventual Democratic nominee for president in 2020 approaches issues like health care, climate change, college affordability, and economic opportunity, which of the following comes closer to describing the candidate you prefer? (ROTATE) Someone who proposes larger scale policies that cost more and might be harder to pass into law, but could bring major change on these issues ........ Someone who proposes smaller scale policies that cost less and might be easier to pass into law, but will bring less change on these issues ............... None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................. Not sure ................................................................................................................ 3/19^^ 2/19^^ 52 55 44 4 42 3 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Q10 Study #19093 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I'm going to list people who have said they will run or might run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Donald Trump March 2019+ ................................... 26 14 9 50 - 1 Joe Biden March 2019+ ................................... 17 30 24 24 4 1 Bernie Sanders March 2019+ ................................... 14 23 21 37 3 2 Kamala Harris March 2019+ ................................... 9 16 16 25 30 4 Elizabeth Warren March 2019+ ................................... 8 22 19 34 15 2 Beto O’Rourke March 2019+ ................................... 8 15 17 24 33 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Joe Biden March 2019+................................... 33 40 19 6 1 1 Bernie Sanders March 2019+................................... 28 34 27 9 1 1 Kamala Harris March 2019+................................... 22 30 21 6 17 4 Elizabeth Warren March 2019+................................... 20 37 23 10 8 2 Beto O’Rourke March 2019+................................... 17 31 22 7 18 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Q11 Study #19093 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, NOT thinking about any specific candidates, I'm going to list several types of people who might run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that type of candidate is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (C) (D) (A) (B) Have Some Very Not Enthusiastic Comfortable Reservations Uncomfortable Sure A woman March 2019+ .................................. February 2019+ .............................. October 2015+ ............................... April 2015 ....................................... April 2011 ....................................... September 2008+........................... January 2008 ................................. December 2006 .............................. 30 25 28 30 23 21 25 21 55 59 54 55 62 64 51 59 8 10 10 9 10 9 15 8 4 4 4 5 3 3 7 8 3 2 4 1 2 3 2 4 A woman of color March 2019+ .................................. 28 55 9 4 4 A Hispanic March 2019+ .................................. April 2015 ....................................... April 2011 ....................................... December 2006 .............................. 24 18 11 12 59 64 64 61 8 9 13 14 5 7 8 9 4 2 4 4 An Asian March 2019+ .................................. 23 58 9 6 4 A white man March 2019+ .................................. February 2019+ .............................. 19 16 67 70 8 9 2 1 4 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q12-24 Held for later release. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Study #19093 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q25a Have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage of Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s submitting his final report on Russia’s interference in the 2016 elections and related matters? (IF YES, THEN ASK) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this? ^ Total Yes ................................................................ 78 Yes, a lot ................................................................ 39 Yes, just some ................................................................ 39 No................................................................ 22 Not sure ................................................................ ^ Asked March 25-27 only, N=505. Q25 Based on what you have seen, read, or heard about Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation, has it given you more doubts about Donald Trump's presidency or not? (IF DOUBTS, ASK:) And has the investigation given you very major doubts, fairly major doubts, or just some doubts about Donald Trump's presidency? 3/19 2/19 Total Yes, more doubts ................................ 36 48 Yes, very major doubts ................................ 22 30 Yes, fairly major doubts ................................ 8 8 Yes, just some doubts ................................ 6 10 No, no more doubts ................................................................ 57 47 Not sure ................................................................ 7 5 Q26 1/19 45 27 9 9 48 7 12/18 50 31 9 10 44 6 There has been some discussion about Congress holding hearings to consider impeaching and removing President Trump from office. Which of the following best describes what you think… (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) There is enough evidence for Congress to begin impeachment hearings now .................... Congress should continue investigating to see if there is enough evidence to hold impeachment hearings in the future ..................................................................................... Congress should not hold impeachment hearings and Donald Trump should finish his term as president .......................................................................................................................... Not sure .............................................................................................................................. Q27 16 33 47 4 Based on what you have seen, read, or heard about the information available so far from the Mueller report, would you say it does or does not clear Donald Trump of wrongdoing? If you are unsure, please say so. ^ Does clear Donald Trump ................................ 29 Does not clear Donald Trump ................................ 40 Unsure ................................................................ 31 ^ Asked March 25-27 only, N=505. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Study #19093 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies................. Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies................................ Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure...................................................................................................... 22 14 18 22 2 1 4 2 13 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN ADULTS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 3/19 2/19 Supporter of Donald Trump ................................43 45 Supporter of the Republican Party ................................ 47 47 Both (VOL)................................................................ 5 4 Neither (VOL) ................................................................ 4 2 Not sure ................................................................ 1 2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 QF2 Study #19093 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ......................... White-collar worker .............................. Blue-collar worker ................................ Farmer, rancher ................................... Not Currently Employed Student ................................................. Stay at home mom/dad ........................ Retired ................................................. Unemployed, looking for work .............. Other .................................................... Not sure ............................................. QF3 23 18 22 1 4 5 22 4 1 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat .............. Strictly Independent........................... Independent/lean Republican ............ Not very strong Republican ............... Strong Republican ............................. Other (VOL)..................................... Not sure........................................... QF5 5 28 17 3 13 19 2 10 3 - 24 7 9 16 9 7 20 4 4 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... Somewhat liberal ............................................... Moderate ............................................................ Somewhat conservative ..................................... Very conservative .............................................. Not sure ........................................................... 11 13 32 19 20 5 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2019 Study #19093 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ........................................ Union household .............................................. Non-union household ....................................... Not sure .......................................................... QF7 14 7 78 1 When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS ......................... The cable channel Fox News ............................................................... The cable channel CNN ....................................................................... The cable channel MSNBC .................................................................. Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites ..................................... Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ........................ Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ...... Watch different TV news (VOL) ......................................................... Get news from some other source (VOL) .......................................... Not sure .............................................................................................. QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor .............................................................. Working class ............................................... Middle class .................................................. Upper middle class ....................................... Well-to-do ..................................................... Not sure/refused ......................................... QF9 49 35 28 23 18 18 14 1 3 1 11 27 41 17 2 2 Do you have children under 18 years old in your household, that you are responsible for raising? Yes, children in household ......................... 30 No, no children in household ...................... 69 Not sure.................................................... 1 (ASKED IF HAVE CHILDREN IN HOUSEHOLD) QF9a And, what is the age of the oldest child under 18 living in your household that you are responsible for raising? ^ 10 and under .............................................. 42 11 and over ................................................ 55 Not sure.................................................... 3 ^ Asked March 23-24 only, N=143.