Pennsylvania Office of Consumer Advocate
Customer Impact Analysis of House Bill 11 of 2019
(Dollar Impact)

Annual Impact RY 2019
(2)

Annual Impact Ceiling
$7.904/MWh Tier III
AEC (3)

Annual Impact Floor
$6.08/MWh Tier III
AEC (4)

Annual Usage (1) $6.96/MWh Tier III AEC

Customer Class

MWh

(0.348 cents/kWh)

(0.3952 cents/kWh)

(0.304 cents/kWh)

Residential

49,140,470

$171,008,836

$194,203,137

$149,387,029

Commercial

40,621,398

$141,362,465

$160,535,765

$123,489,050

Inudustrial

47,764,314

$166,219,813

$188,764,569

$145,203,515

Other

1,184,867

$4,123,337

$4,682,594

$3,601,996

Total (First Year Impact)

138,711,049

$482,714,451

$548,186,066

$421,681,589

Six-year Impact RY 2019
$2.90 billion

Six-year Impact Ceiling
$3.29 billion

Six-year Impact Floor
$2.53 billion

Total
(Based on Impact of Initial Six Year term)

(1) MWh consumption, by class, is for Calendar Year 2017 and is the sum of sales, by class, for Pennsylvania's 11 electric utilities. Source:
Pennslyvania Public Utility Commission, Electric Power Outlook for Pennsylvania 2017-2022 , August 2018, p. 20, Table 6. To calculate Reporting
Year costs, it was assumed that CY 2017 sales levels, by class, would remain unchanged.
(2) Reporting Year (RY) is June1 through May 31. $6.96/MWh Tier III AECs price based on calendar year 2018 Pennsylvania Tier I AEC forward
prices for each week for reporting years 2019/2020, 2020/2021, and 2021/2022 as reported in Spectrometer Reports.
(3) The Ceiling Price is calculated as 65% of $12.16, the weighted average price paid for Tier I AECs by Pennsylvania suppliers as reported in the
Public Utility Commission's 2017 Annual Report of Alternative Energy Portfolio Standards Act of 2004 , p. 43, Table 2.
(4) The Floor Price is calculated as 50% of $12.16, the weighted average price paid for Tier I AECs by Pennsylvania suppliers as reported in the
Public Utility Commission's 2017 Annual Report of Alternative Energy Portfolio Standards Act of 2004, p. 43, Table 2.
March 22, 2019 (268595)