Colonel Bud Day Center for Civic Engagement Dr. Valerie M. Hennings, Director Phone: 712-274-5225 Email: civic@morningside.edu Twitter: @MsideCivic Morningside Poll 2019: Results Overview In May 2019, the Colonel Bud Day Center for Civic Engagement released results of its second annual Morningside Poll. This poll measured the attitudes of Iowa residents on a variety of public policy issues and on the performance of the state’s legislative and executive branches. This report outlines the key elements of the poll and its results.1 Key Elements of the Poll  Total respondents: 774 Iowa adults  Sampling margin of error (MOE): ± 3.5 percentage points (95% confidence level)  Survey type: 307 landline, 467 cell phone computer-assisted telephone interviews (CATI) Survey Results by Policy Question What do you think is the most important problem facing the state of Iowa today?2 Percent of Total Responses Healthcare 15 Education 11 Government/elected officials 9 Employment/jobs 8 Budget/taxes 7 Environmental issues/climate change 7 Agricultural issues 6 Immigration 5 Economy 4 Infrastructure 3 Abortion/reproductive rights 2 Crime/corrections 2 Mental health 2 Drug use/addiction 1 Gun policy/violence 1 Social Security 1 Other issues 4 Don’t know/refused 13 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. Problem Please see the “Morningside Poll 2019: Data & Methods” report for additional methodological and sampling details. This question was posed to respondents as an open-ended question. Answer categories (e.g. “Healthcare”) that received less than 1% of the total responses were grouped as “Other issues.” 1 2 1 Do you think that Iowa’s minimum wage of $7.25 per hour should be decreased, kept the same, or increased by state lawmakers? Decreased Kept same Increased DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 2 24 69 5 Registered Voters 2 24 69 5 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 2 25 68 5 Party Identification3 Democrat 0 6 92 2 Republican 3 39 51 7 No Party 1 31 64 4 Something else 4 35 59 2 Gender Women 1 17 79 4 Men 3 32 60 6 Age 18 to 29 3 31 63 3 30 to 49 1 33 62 4 50 to 64 0 24 71 4 65 or older 3 18 74 6 Education Not college graduate 1 24 70 5 College graduate 3 25 69 4 Income Less than $50,000 3 17 77 4 $50,000 and more 1 31 65 3 Race White 1 26 69 4 Non-white 4 11 80 4 Marital Status Single, never married 3 24 70 4 Partnered/married 2 26 68 4 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. Do you think that Iowa’s county or city governments should have the authority to set minimum wages that differ from the minimum wage set by the state government? No Yes DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 48 46 6 Registered Voters 49 45 6 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 45 50 5 Party Identification Democrat 34 61 5 Republican 63 32 5 No Party 44 49 7 Something else 55 37 8 Gender Women 42 52 7 Men 55 40 5 Age 18 to 29 43 54 3 30 to 49 43 51 6 50 to 64 49 44 8 65 or older 53 42 5 Education Not college graduate 51 44 6 College graduate 46 50 4 Income Less than $50,000 47 46 7 $50,000 and more 50 46 4 Race White 48 46 6 Non-white 47 44 9 Marital Status Single, never married 44 50 6 Partnered/married 47 47 6 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. Partisan identification of “Democrat” includes respondents who identify as Democrats and Democratic leaning and “Republican” includes those who identify as Republican and Republican leaning. 3 2 How satisfied are you with state officeholders’ response to the recent flooding in Iowa? Completely Mostly Mixed Mostly Completely DK/Ref dissatisfied dissatisfied Row % satisfied satisfied Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 4 11 31 34 6 14 Registered Voters 4 11 31 34 6 13 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 5 11 32 33 6 13 Party Identification Democrat 5 16 38 25 4 12 Republican 3 7 28 41 8 13 No Party 5 11 27 38 5 14 Something else 2 8 35 33 4 18 Gender Women 4 13 32 32 55 14 Men 4 10 31 35 7 13 Age 18 to 29 2 6 40 33 6 13 30 to 49 6 8 31 32 5 19 50 to 64 2 13 33 33 7 12 65 or older 5 13 28 36 5 13 Education Not college graduate 5 12 30 35 6 12 College graduate 2 10 35 32 6 15 Income Less than $50,000 5 13 33 31 6 13 $50,000 and more 3 11 32 35 6 14 Race White 4 11 32 34 6 13 Non-white 7 13 29 29 9 13 Marital Status Single, never married 5 13 35 28 5 14 Partnered/married 3 11 32 36 7 12 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. How satisfied are you with how Iowa farmers are currently represented in international trade relations? Completely Mostly Mixed Mostly Completely DK/Ref dissatisfied dissatisfied Row % satisfied satisfied Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 9 25 31 23 4 8 Registered Voters 9 26 31 23 4 7 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 11 25 30 23 4 6 Party Identification Democrat 15 35 32 11 2 5 Republican 3 14 31 38 5 9 No Party 4 28 34 18 7 9 Something else 4 24 29 23 8 12 Gender Women 9 27 34 20 3 7 Men 9 22 28 27 6 8 Age 18 to 29 5 19 39 19 7 11 30 to 49 8 25 35 18 4 10 50 to 64 10 25 29 27 4 5 65 or older 9 25 28 25 5 8 Education Not college graduate 7 24 31 25 5 8 College graduate 10 28 32 20 3 7 Income Less than $50,000 8 27 29 21 6 9 $50,000 and more 9 25 32 25 3 6 Race White 8 25 32 23 4 8 Non-white 9 24 24 31 4 7 Marital Status Single, never married 7 21 35 20 8 9 Partnered/married 10 26 31 24 3 6 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 3 How effective do you think allowing non-projectile, high-voltage weapons—like stun guns—on Iowa’s college campuses would be in preventing criminal activities? Never Rarely Sometimes Usually Always DK/Ref effective effective effective effective effective Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 9 19 37 22 8 5 Registered Voters 9 20 37 21 8 5 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 10 22 33 21 8 5 Party Democrat 14 31 32 15 4 4 Identification Republican 4 12 39 28 11 6 No Party 9 14 38 24 10 5 Something else 6 8 43 18 14 10 Gender Women 10 20 38 20 6 6 Men 8 19 37 22 8 5 Age 18 to 29 13 16 36 18 13 3 30 to 49 8 20 37 20 10 5 50 to 64 9 17 36 25 8 5 65 or older 8 22 37 20 7 6 Education Not college graduate 7 14 40 23 10 6 College graduate 12 30 31 20 5 3 Income Less than $50,000 10 20 38 16 9 8 $50,000 and more 8 21 36 27 7 2 Race White 8 20 37 22 8 5 Non-white 13 24 33 16 11 2 Marital Status Single, never married 12 23 35 20 7 3 Partnered/married 8 21 35 22 9 5 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. How would you rate Iowa in regards to the amount of funding allocated to K-12 education? Poor Fair Good Very Good Excellent DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 28 35 21 8 4 5 Registered Voters 29 35 21 7 4 4 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 33 30 20 8 4 4 Party Democrat 45 35 14 5 0 1 Identification Republican 14 32 31 13 6 5 No Party 25 43 12 5 4 11 Something else 18 41 27 2 8 4 Gender Women 31 37 19 7 2 4 Men 25 33 23 8 6 5 Age 18 to 29 30 33 19 15 1 1 30 to 49 33 35 18 5 2 8 50 to 64 27 36 24 7 4 3 65 or older 26 35 20 8 5 5 Education Not college graduate 25 37 22 9 3 4 College graduate 34 32 19 5 6 5 Income Less than $50,000 28 35 21 6 3 6 $50,000 and more 30 33 22 8 4 3 Race White 29 35 21 8 3 5 Non-white 22 36 20 7 11 4 Marital Status Single, never married 26 42 17 7 1 7 Partnered/married 29 33 22 8 4 3 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 4 In regards to immigration, would you oppose or favor the following proposals? A. Develop a plan that allows those living in the U.S. illegally the chance to become citizens if they meet certain requirements over time Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 22 74 4 Registered Voters 21 75 4 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 22 75 3 Party Identification Democrat 7 92 1 Republican 35 60 5 No Party 23 73 4 Something else 35 63 2 Gender Women 17 79 4 Men 28 69 3 Age 18 to 29 9 87 4 30 to 49 20 78 2 50 to 64 22 74 4 65 or older 26 70 4 Education Not college graduate 27 69 3 College graduate 13 84 3 Income Less than $50,000 25 72 3 $50,000 and more 20 78 2 Race White 22 75 3 Non-white 16 82 2 Marital Status Single, never married 19 78 3 Partnered/married 22 74 4 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. B. Increase funding to expand the construction of a wall along the U.S.—Mexico border Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 50 46 4 Registered Voters 51 46 3 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 54 43 4 Party Identification Democrat 90 8 2 Republican 13 85 2 No Party 57 35 8 Something else 33 57 10 Gender Women 59 37 4 Men 42 55 3 Age 18 to 29 63 34 3 30 to 49 52 44 4 50 to 64 45 51 4 65 or older 51 45 4 Education Not college graduate 46 51 3 College graduate 59 37 4 Income Less than $50,000 56 41 3 $50,000 and more 48 49 3 Race White 50 47 3 Non-white 69 27 4 Marital Status Single, never married 61 36 3 Partnered/married 45 51 4 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 5 C. Increase funding to expand the use of border security technologies Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 17 80 3 Registered Voters 16 80 4 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 17 80 3 Party Identification Democrat 30 67 3 Republican 4 94 2 No Party 20 74 6 Something else 12 86 2 Gender Women 21 76 3 Men 13 84 3 Age 18 to 29 39 60 1 30 to 49 20 76 4 50 to 64 10 86 4 65 or older 16 82 2 Education Not college graduate 17 80 3 College graduate 17 81 2 Income Less than $50,000 23 73 4 $50,000 and more 13 85 2 Race White 16 81 3 Non-white 31 67 2 Marital Status Single, never married 28 68 4 Partnered/married 12 86 3 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. D. Increase funding to hire more border control agents Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 18 79 3 Registered Voters 18 79 3 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 21 76 3 Party Identification Democrat 31 67 2 Republican 5 92 2 No Party 21 74 4 Something else 20 78 2 Gender Women 22 76 2 Men 15 82 3 Age 18 to 29 33 64 3 30 to 49 24 72 5 50 to 64 16 81 2 65 or older 13 85 2 Education Not college graduate 16 82 3 College graduate 22 75 3 Income Less than $50,000 22 75 3 $50,000 and more 15 82 3 Race White 18 79 3 Non-white 29 71 0 Marital Status Single, never married 31 66 5 Partnered/married 14 84 2 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 6 E. Reduce funding to cities that provide sanctuary to undocumented immigrants Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 51 45 3 Registered Voters 52 45 3 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 54 44 2 Party Identification Democrat 83 16 1 Republican 23 74 3 No Party 53 39 8 Something else 35 61 4 Gender Women 58 38 4 Men 45 53 3 Age 18 to 29 66 30 4 30 to 49 53 45 2 50 to 64 44 51 4 65 or older 54 43 3 Education Not college graduate 48 48 4 College graduate 59 39 2 Income Less than $50,000 55 41 4 $50,000 and more 51 47 2 Race White 52 45 3 Non-white 60 38 2 Marital Status Single, never married 58 39 3 Partnered/married 48 48 4 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. Currently, Iowa’s judges and justices are selected by the governor from a list provided by a judicial nomination committee. The governor chooses half the members of the committee and attorneys choose the other half. Do you oppose or favor changing this system so that state legislators from both parties choose half of the judicial nomination committee members instead of attorneys? Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 41 51 8 Registered Voters 42 50 8 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 44 50 6 Party Identification Democrat 43 52 5 Republican 44 47 9 No Party 37 55 8 Something else 20 61 18 Gender Women 38 52 10 Men 44 49 7 Age 18 to 29 28 67 5 30 to 49 31 59 10 50 to 64 44 46 10 65 or older 47 46 7 Education Not college graduate 38 54 8 College graduate 46 46 8 Income Less than $50,000 37 55 8 $50,000 and more 43 50 7 Race White 40 51 9 Non-white 38 58 4 Marital Status Single, never married 35 57 8 Partnered/married 43 49 8 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 7 Do you oppose or favor allowing pharmacists in the state of Iowa to dispense contraceptives like birth control pills, hormone patches, and vaginal rings to adults without a doctor’s prescription? Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 37 59 4 Registered Voters 31 69 0 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 33 63 4 Party Identification Democrat 25 72 3 Republican 49 46 5 No Party 41 55 4 Something else 22 74 4 Gender Women 40 58 2 Men 33 61 6 Age 18 to 29 28 72 0 30 to 49 26 71 3 50 to 64 38 57 5 65 or older 44 51 5 Education Not college graduate 36 59 5 College graduate 37 61 2 Income Less than $50,000 39 58 3 $50,000 and more 33 63 4 Race White 36 60 4 Non-white 40 58 2 Marital Status Single, never married 31 67 2 Partnered/married 39 57 4 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. Do you oppose or favor legalizing the recreational use of marijuana in the state of Iowa? Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 49 48 3 Registered Voters 50 47 3 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 44 53 3 Party Identification Democrat 34 63 3 Republican 68 30 2 No Party 40 57 3 Something else 43 53 4 Gender Women 55 43 2 Men 42 54 4 Age 18 to 29 27 72 1 30 to 49 34 62 5 50 to 64 48 49 3 65 or older 64 33 3 Education Not college graduate 47 50 3 College graduate 50 46 4 Income Less than $50,000 45 54 1 $50,000 and more 50 47 3 Race White 48 49 3 Non-white 44 56 0 Marital Status Single, never married 31 66 3 Partnered/married 54 43 3 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 8 Do you oppose or favor expanding legal gambling in the state of Iowa to include betting on professional sports? Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 58 39 3 Registered Voters 59 38 3 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 56 41 3 Party Identification Democrat 59 37 4 Republican 64 33 3 No Party 48 50 3 Something else 47 47 6 Gender Women 65 32 4 Men 52 45 3 Age 18 to 29 49 46 5 30 to 49 43 51 6 50 to 64 64 34 2 65 or older 64 33 3 Education Not college graduate 58 39 3 College graduate 58 37 4 Income Less than $50,000 60 36 4 $50,000 and more 57 41 2 Race White 57 39 4 Non-white 60 40 0 Marital Status Single, never married 48 46 6 Partnered/married 61 36 3 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. Do you oppose or favor expanding legal gambling in the state of Iowa to include betting on college sports? Oppose Favor DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 74 25 1 Registered Voters 74 25 1 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 72 27 1 Party Identification Democrat 78 21 1 Republican 78 21 1 No Party 67 31 2 Something else 55 45 0 Gender Women 84 15 1 Men 64 34 2 Age 18 to 29 58 39 3 30 to 49 59 38 3 50 to 64 76 23 1 65 or older 85 14 0 Education Not college graduate 72 27 1 College graduate 77 21 2 Income Less than $50,000 75 24 1 $50,000 and more 74 25 1 Race White 73 25 1 Non-white 80 20 0 Marital Status Single, never married 66 31 3 Partnered/married 76 23 1 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 9 Do you disapprove or approve of the way Governor Kim Reynolds is handling her job as Governor of Iowa? Disapprove Approve DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 37 55 8 Registered Voters 38 55 7 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 43 51 6 Party Identification Democrat 68 26 7 Republican 11 83 7 No Party 33 56 11 Something else 33 57 10 Gender Women 39 52 9 Men 35 59 6 Age 18 to 29 31 58 11 30 to 49 35 54 11 50 to 64 34 59 7 65 or older 43 51 6 Education Not college graduate 33 59 8 College graduate 45 49 7 Income Less than $50,000 39 52 9 $50,000 and more 38 57 5 Race White 38 55 7 Non-white 33 58 9 Marital Status Single, never married 35 53 12 Partnered/married 38 56 6 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. Do you disapprove or approve of the way the Iowa State Legislature is handling its job? Disapprove Approve DK/Ref Row % Row % Row % All Respondents 41 51 8 Registered Voters 42 50 8 Likely 2020 IA caucus goers 47 47 6 Party Identification Democrat 62 31 7 Republican 24 67 9 No Party 38 55 7 Something else 29 63 8 Gender Women 41 49 10 Men 41 53 6 Age 18 to 29 31 60 9 30 to 49 38 55 8 50 to 64 39 53 9 65 or older 47 45 8 Education Not college graduate 36 57 8 College graduate 50 43 8 Income Less than $50,000 43 48 9 $50,000 and more 41 54 5 Race White 41 51 8 Non-white 44 49 7 Marital Status Single, never married 40 52 8 Partnered/married 41 51 8 Survey conducted April 22 - May 2, 2019. N=774, MOE ±3.5 percentage points. Total may not equal 100% due to rounding. 10 Respondent Characteristics GENDER Woman Man Something else Refused Total Frequency 388 386 0 0 774 Percent 50.13 49.87 0 0 100 PARTY IDENTIFICATION4 Democrat Republican No Party Something else Don’t Know/Refused Total Frequency 288 304 113 49 20 774 Percent 37.21 39.28 14.60 6.33 2.58 100 REGISTERED IOWA VOTER No Yes Don’t Know/Refused Total Frequency Percent 65 703 6 774 8.40 90.83 .78 100 LIKELY 2020 IA CAUCUS GOER No Yes Don’t Know/Refused Total Frequency Percent 304 439 31 774 39.28 56.72 4.01 100 AGE 18 to 29 30 to 49 50 to 64 65 or older Total Frequency 67 173 255 279 774 Percent 8.66 22.35 32.95 36.05 100 Party identification was calculated based on two questions. All respondents were first asked “In politics, do you usually think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, No Party, or something else?” For those who responded “No Party,” a second question was asked: “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Democratic Party, equally close to the Democratic Party and Republican Party, or closer to the Republican Party?” Those who responded to this question as leaning towards either the Democratic or Republican Party were included in the categories of “Democrat” and “Republican” in the analyses above. 4 11 5 RACE American Indian/ Alaska Native Asian Black or African American Native Hawaiian/ Pacific Islander White Something else Refused Total Frequency 14 Percent 1.81 3 18 2 .39 2.33 .26 695 8 34 774 89.79 1.03 4.39 100 HISPANIC ETHNICITY5 No Yes Refused Total Frequency 725 34 15 774 Percent 93.67 4.39 1.94 100 MARITAL STATUS Single, never married Partnered or married Widowed Divorced Separated Refused Total Frequency 153 464 49 87 6 15 774 Percent 19.77 59.95 6.33 11.24 .78 1.94 100 HOUSEHOLD ANNUAL INCOME Less than $20,000 $20,000 to $34,999 $35,000 to $49,999 $50,000 to $74,999 $75,000 to $99,999 $100,000 to $150,000 More than $150,000 Refused Total Frequency Percent 79 97 102 149 102 84 65 96 774 10.21 12.53 13.18 19.25 13.18 10.85 8.40 12.40 100 Respondents were asked “Are you of Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish origin”? 12 EDUCATION COMPLETED6 Less than a high school diploma High school degree or equivalent Some college, no degree Associate degree Bachelor’s degree Master’s degree Professional degree Doctorate Refused Total Frequency 25 Percent 3.23 177 22.87 170 95 191 64 14 17 21 774 21.96 12.27 24.68 8.27 1.81 2.20 2.71 100 In the analysis of survey results, “Not college graduate” includes education achieved up to and including an associate degree and “College graduate” includes bachelor’s degrees and beyond. 6 13