Parks in Fresno: Planning for a Sustainable Future Amanda Brown-Stevens and Andrew Flynn, April 26, 2016 The Trust for Public Land • We have a proven record of success. – We’ve worked for more than 40 years to conserve land for people. – Since 1972, we’ve completed more than 5,000 park and conservation projects across 47 states, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands, conserving more than 3 million acres of land, from the inner city to the wilderness. – We are the national leader in creating public funds for land conservation, working with states, counties, and cities to generate nearly $60 billion for local conservation efforts since 1996. – We’ve created, sustained, or supported 340 local land trusts nationwide. The Trust for Public Land record of success LandVote STATE, COUNTY, MUNICIPAL, AND SPECIAL DISTRICT MEASURES 1998-2015 fobnarv I, 20% Key Steps for Successful Ballot Measures Feasibility Research Public Opinion Survey Program Recommendations Ballot Language Campaign Step 1 – Feasibility Research • Community overview • Finance options • Past measures • What has worked in other states • New ideas • Fiscal capacity • What financing limitations exist • Political profile • Political considerations 7/25/2016 Step 1 – Feasibility Research Cont. Technical path to the ballot • Legislation needed • Election history • Election requirements • Ballot language requirements • Timeline/pathways to the ballot 7/25/2016 Step 1 – Feasibility Research Cont. Bond Financing Costs for Polk County 20-year Bond Issues at 1.8% Interest Rate* Total County Taxable Value = $20.25 billion (Source: County Auditor) Annual Cost/ Year/ Cost/ Year/ Tax Rate Bond Issue Size Debt Svce Increase $100K home** Avg AV*** $30,000,000 $1,799,482 0.089 $5 $6 $40,000,000 $2,399,309 0.118 $6 $8 $50,000,000 $2,999,136 0.148 $8 $10 $75,000,000 $4,498,705 0.222 $11 $16 $85,000,000 $5,098,532 0.252 $13 $18 $100,000,000 $5,998,273 0.296 $15 $21 *Interest rate confirmed by county finance office. **$100K market value; estimated taxable value $50,571. ***Average home value is median residential assessment $137.200 w / 50.7518 rollback = $69,631 (rounded to $70,000). Polk County Assessor. Step 2 – Public Opinion Survey Methodology: random sample of voters, telephone or combined telephone/internet Why poll? • Reality test – will voters support the measure? • Determine the strongest messages – are there messages that can convince undecided voters to the yes column? • Determine who are the best messengers to deliver the message. Step 2 Public Opinion Survey "What are the one or two main reasons you would vote on this proposal?? Enough ?pen Space Invmasinu??ht?istrust ?uvernment USES Will Be Wasted More txpenswe tnuugthneu?lreadu Step 3 – Program Recommendations After initial research, and in consultation with stakeholders, we offer recommendations on: • Funding source • Any legislation needed • Amount (and duration) • Purposes/Uses of funds • Timing (choice of election date) • Management/Accountability Step 4&5 – Ballot Language and (privately funded) Campaign Prepare for Success! • The Trust for Public Land works with the public agency to develop the ballot language that, within legal limits, is most effective • The Trust for Public Land can work with a privately funded campaign to advocate for passage of a measure Next Steps • Connect research team to key staff • Provide input on ideas for funding mechanisms • Review and provide input on initial draft once complete