Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 Study #19214 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 1000 Adults, including 550 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: June 8-11, 2019 31 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 48 Male 52 Female Study #19214 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Adults is ±3.10% The margin of error for 825 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.41% The margin of error for 311 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±5.56% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 .................................................................... 10 25-29 .................................................................... 8 30-34 .................................................................... 12 35-39 .................................................................... 8 40-44 .................................................................... 10 45-49 .................................................................... 7 50-54 .................................................................... 7 55-59 .................................................................... 11 60-64 .................................................................... 10 65-69 .................................................................... 5 70-74 .................................................................... 4 75 and over .......................................................... 7 Not sure/refused ................................................. 1 Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 11 No, not Hispanic ............................................... 88 Not sure/refused ............................................. 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White ..............................................................72 Black ..............................................................13 Asian .............................................................. 2 Other .............................................................. 4 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6 Not sure/refused ........................................... 3 White, Non-Hispanic.......................................69 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 Q3 Study #19214 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Registered Voter. Yes ...................................................83 No .....................................................17 Q4 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 2 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 6/19 Total approve...............................44 Strongly approve .........................29 Somewhat approve ....................15 Total disapprove .........................53 Somewhat disapprove ...............9 Strongly disapprove ....................44 Not sure .................................... 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 Intensity Q5 not asked prior to June 2017. And how would you rate the congressman or woman from your district—do you approve or disapprove of the job your representative is doing? Approve ................... Disapprove .............. Not sure ................. Q6-8 5/171 39 54 7 Held for later release. 6/19 50 34 16 3/10 45 41 14 7/98 67 15 18 10/94 55 27 18 4/92 55 31 14 10/91 61 25 14 7/91 59 29 12 10/90 57 30 13 11/89 68 16 16 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 Study #19214 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I’d like to ask you a few questions about next year’s presidential election… Q9 If there were a presidential primary election in your state next year, would you vote in the Democratic primary, the Republican primary, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2020? 6/19+ Vote in Democratic Primary ..................................... 38 Vote in Republican Primary ..................................... 28 Wait until the general election .................................. 30 Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .............................. 2 Not sure .................................................................. 2 4/285/1/19 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q10 I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC Donald Trump June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... Joe Biden June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... Elizabeth Warren June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... Bernie Sanders June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... Jay Inslee June 2019+ ..................................... Steve Bullock June 2019+ ..................................... Michael Bennet June 2019+ ..................................... (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure 23 25 26 14 16 14 10 10 9 52 49 50 1 - 1 13 17 17 27 30 30 25 25 24 31 24 24 2 2 4 2 2 1 13 8 21 22 17 19 33 34 15 15 1 2 10 14 23 23 22 21 41 37 2 3 2 2 2 4 6 11 75 2 1 4 9 10 72 4 - 7 11 11 68 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC Elizabeth Warren June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. Joe Biden June 2019^^.................................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... March 2019^^ ................................. Bernie Sanders June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. Jay Inslee June 2019^^.................................... Michael Bennet June 2019^^.................................... Steve Bullock June 2019^^.................................... (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure 26 20 38 37 18 23 9 10 8 8 1 2 23 32 33 43 38 40 24 18 19 8 9 6 1 2 1 1 1 1 22 28 34 34 28 27 15 9 1 1 1 4 8 7 5 72 4 1 9 14 5 67 4 1 5 9 5 76 4 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic Primary. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 Study #19214 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q11-16 Held for later release. Q17 When it comes to the partisanship that goes on in Washington, how much blame for this situation do you feel that (READ ITEM) deserve(s)––almost all the blame, a major part of the blame, at least half the blame, a minor part of the blame, or almost none of the blame? (RANDOMIZE) TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ALMOST ALL/A MAJOR PART OF THE BLAME Of The Blame At Least A Minor Half Part 23 19 The Trump administration................. Almost All 21 A Major Part 22 Republicans in Congress.................. 13 21 45 Democrats in Congress .................... 15 15 44 Almost None 14 Not Sure 1 15 4 2 18 6 2 FEBRUARY 2009 TREND TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ALMOST ALL/A MAJOR PART OF THE BLAME Of The Blame The Bush administration ................... Almost All 33 A Major Part 23 At Least Half 25 A Minor Part 13 Almost None 5 Not Sure 1 Republicans in Congress.................. 17 24 42 12 3 2 Democrats in Congress .................... 9 15 45 20 8 3 The Obama administration ............... 4 7 15 25 43 6 Q18 Held for later release. Thinking quickly now about a few other topics… (ROTATE Q19-21) Q19 And, which comes closest to your view on abortion--abortion should always be legal, should be legal most of the time, should be made illegal except in cases of rape, incest and to save the mother's life, or abortion should be made illegal without any exceptions? Always legal ...................................... Legal most of the time ....................... Illegal, with exceptions ...................... Illegal without any exceptions............ Not sure........................................... 6/19 34 22 29 12 3 3/18 31 24 36 7 2 7/13 28 21 37 11 2 4/13 26 19 42 10 3 1/13 31 23 35 9 2 9/08+1 25 24 37 10 4 11/07 25 15 40 13 7 4/06 27 19 41 10 3 1/05 24 19 41 12 4 6/04 29 12 45 12 2 11/03 29 14 41 13 3 1/03 27 17 40 14 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Comparative data prior to 2008 comes from surveys conducted by the Los Angeles Times and Bloomberg. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 Study #19214 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics… Q20 As you may know, the Boeing 737 MAX airplane has been grounded by the federal government until problems with the planes have been corrected. If the government certifies that the problems of the Boeing 737 MAX airplane are corrected, will you fly on them just as readily as on any other planes, or will you try to avoid them even though they have been certified as safe or do you not have an opinion about this one way or the other?1 Will fly on them as readily as any other plane ....................................................................... 37 Will try to avoid them ............................................................................................................. 25 No opinion ............................................................................................................................. 36 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 2 1 Asked of full sample June 8-9, asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B) June 10-11, N=774. And, on one other topic… Q21 There has been some discussion about Congress holding hearings to consider impeaching and removing President Trump from office. Which of the following best describes what you think… (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) There is enough evidence for Congress to begin impeachment hearings now .................... Congress should continue investigating to see if there is enough evidence to hold impeachment hearings in the future...................................................................................... Congress should not hold impeachment hearings and Donald Trump should finish his term as president .......................................................................................................................... Not sure .............................................................................................................................. Q22 Held for later release. 6/19 27 4/285/1/19 17 3/19 16 24 32 33 48 1 48 3 47 4 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 Study #19214 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies................................ Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure...................................................................................................... 24 14 18 23 3 1 5 1 10 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN ADULTS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 4/286/19 5/1/19 3/19 2/19 Supporter of Donald Trump .......................................................................... 52 47 43 45 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 38 42 47 47 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 3 5 5 4 Neither (VOL) ............................................................................................. 5 5 4 2 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 2 1 1 2 QF2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ......................... White-collar worker .............................. Blue-collar worker ................................ Farmer, rancher ................................... Not Currently Employed Student ................................................. Stay at home mom/dad ........................ Retired ................................................. Unemployed, looking for work .............. Other .................................................... Not sure ............................................. 23 18 22 1 2 5 24 3 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 QF3 Study #19214 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat .............. Strictly Independent........................... Independent/lean Republican ............ Not very strong Republican ............... Strong Republican ............................. Other (VOL) ..................................... Not sure........................................... QF5 3 30 16 2 15 19 2 11 2 - 23 8 10 15 9 6 21 6 2 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... Somewhat liberal ............................................... Moderate ............................................................ Somewhat conservative ..................................... Very conservative .............................................. Not sure ........................................................... 11 16 36 19 16 2 QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ........................................ Union household .............................................. Non-union household ....................................... Not sure .......................................................... 16 9 74 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies June 2019 QF10 Study #19214 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and living with a partner? Married ................................................ Widowed ............................................. Separated ........................................... Divorced .............................................. Single/never been married ................... Unmarried and living with a partner ..... Refused ............................................. 53 7 2 9 23 6 - (ASKED IF MARRIED OR LIVING WITH A PARTNER) QF10a Would you say you and your spouse or partner usually vote for the same candidate in presidential elections or not? 6/19 73 20 3 4 Usually do vote for the same candidate ............. Usually do not vote for the same candidate........ Sometimes do/do not (VOL) ............................... Not sure ............................................................ 1 June QF11 1983 trend from ABC News National Survey of Adults How often do you attend services at a church, synagogue, mosque, or other place of worship? (ROTATE LIST TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) Never ....................................... Once a year ............................. A few times a year ................... Once a month .......................... About twice a month ................ Once a week or more often ..... Not sure ................................. QF7 6/831 61 22 8 9 26 10 20 5 9 29 1 When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS ......................... The cable channel Fox News ............................................................... The cable channel CNN ....................................................................... The cable channel MSNBC .................................................................. Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ........................ Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites ..................................... Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ...... Watch different TV news (VOL) ......................................................... Get news from some other source (VOL) .......................................... Not sure .............................................................................................. QF8 48 33 32 26 21 20 14 1 3 1 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor .............................................................. Working class ............................................... Middle class .................................................. Upper middle class ....................................... Well-to-do ..................................................... Not sure/refused ......................................... 8 25 44 18 4 1