The Cromer Group 136 11th Street, S.E. Washington, D.C. 20003 REGION_____________________ Contact: William Cromer 202-544-0284 July 1-2, 2019 Interviewer:_____________________ Interview Date:________________________ Length of Interview:______________ (be accurate to the minute) Phone#:( Gender of Respondent: Name of Respondent:___________________ 1. Male 2. Female )_________________________ Hello, my name is ______________________________, and I'm from The Cromer Group, a national research firm. We're conducting a public opinion survey and I'd like to talk to the youngest man, age 18 or older, who is at home right now. (IF NO MALE, ASK TO SPEAK TO THE YOUNGEST WOMAN, AGE 18 OR OLDER WHO IS AT HOME. WHEN RESPONDENT IS SELECTED:) We're not selling anything and I won't ask you for a contribution or donation. Also, because this is a research project, your answers are strictly confidential and will be added with others like yourself in a combined statistical report 1. 2. First, are you currently a resident of Alaska, or not? 1. Yes/100% Go to Q2 2. 3. No/0% Don’t Know/0% “IF NO/DON’T KNOW,” THANK AND TERMINATE And are you registered to vote in the State of Alaska, or not? 1. Yes/100% Go to Q3 2. 3. No/0% Can’t Say/0% “IF NO/DON’T KNOW,” THANK AND TERMINATE 3. What is your overall opinion about the way things are generally going here in Alaska? Would you say things are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things are pretty seriously off on the wrong track? 1. Right Direction 2. Wrong Track 3. Not Sure 1. Right Direction 2. Wrong Track 3. Not Sure 1. Right Direction 2. Wrong Track 3. Not Sure 4. 07/19 03/19 01/18 10/16 02/13 03/12 05/11 12/10 06/10 27% 53% 20% 33% 50% 17% 51% 35% 14% 25% 61% 14% 52% 16% 32% 41% 39% 19% 34% 51% 15% 57% 32% 11% 49% 32% 19% 01/10 10/09 06/09 02/09 12/08 08/08 07/08 04/08 09/06 47% 30% 23% 49% 33% 19% 60% 23% 17% 60% 21% 18% 68% 18% 14% 60% 21% 18% 50% 36% 14% 61% 25% 14% 51% 33% 16% 07/06 05/06 04/06 12/05 06/05 11/95 02/94 01/91 46% 35% 19% 45% 40% 15% 59% 30% 11% 54% 26% 20% 65% 17% 18% 47% 39% 15% 56% 27% 17% 40% 41% 19% (ASK OF EVERYONE) How much attention are you paying to the news stories about Alaska’s financial problems and the stand-off between Dunleavy and the Legislature on how best to appropriate this coming year’s budget dollars? Would you say… 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. You are paying a great deal of attention You are paying a fair amount of attention You are paying hardly any attention, or You are not paying any attention at all. Can’t Say (DO NOT READ) 07/19 26% 56% 12% 5% 0% 03/19* 25% 56% 13% 4% 1% *In the 03/19 study the question read, “How much attention have you paid to the news stories about Alaska’s financial problems and Dunleavy’s plans to cut the state budget? Would you say…” 5. And which side would you say you come down on in how to appropriate this coming year’s budget dollars – Dunleavy’s side or the Legislature’s side? (IF “NOT SURE,” ASK:) Well, which side do you lean a little more toward, the Legislature’s side or Dunleavey’s side? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Dunleavy’s Side/13% Lean Dunleavy’s Side/12% The Legislature Side/34% Lean The Legislature side/15% Refused to Answer (VOL.)/2% Can’t Say/24% Here is a list of people and organizations that have been in the news lately. Using a 10 point scale, I’d like you to tell me how positive or negative you feel toward each. A value of “1” indicates STRONG negative feelings, while value of “10” indicates STRONG positive feelings. If you haven’t heard of the person or organization, just say so. The first one is… NOT (ROTATE) 6. STRONG NEGATIVE Alaska’s Public Employees 7/19 (6.9) 3/19 (6.7) 8/14 (6.5) 9/13 (6.6) 9/12 (7.3) 8/11 (6.5) 01 7. Mike Dunleavy 7/19 (4.3) 3/19 (4.9) 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 8. The State Legislature 7/19 (5.0) 3/19 (4.4) 9/14 (5.8) 9/13 (5.5) 9/12 (5.9) 8/11 (5.3) 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 9. Lisa Murkowski (mer-COW-ski) 7/19 (5.0) 3/19 (4.9) 6/09 (6.3) 2/09 (6.1) 12/08 (5.3) 4/07 (5.6) 12/06 (5.5) 9/06 (5.3) 12/06 (5.8) 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 The University of Alaska 7/19 (6.9) 3/19 (6.6) 01 10. 02 02 03 STRONG POSITIVE 03 04 04 05 05 06 06 07 07 08 08 09 HEARD OF 11 12 5% 9% 3% 8% 6% 3% 0% 2% 1% 3% 1% 0% 10 11 8% 3% 12 0% 0% 09 10 11 6% 10% 0% 7% 3% 5% 12 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 09 10 11 12 8% 5% 4% 11% 11% 3% 3% 2% 4% 0% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 11 12 09 10 CAN'T SAY 10 4% 7% 0% 0% 11. After the Legislature passed the budget for the whole state government for the coming fiscal year, and sent it to the Governors’ office, Dunleavy then vetoed 180 line items of that budget. Therefore, all those lineitem vetoes are budget cuts effective as of July 1st, right now. Do Dunleavy’s line-item veto cuts have you very worried; somewhat worried; not too worried; or not worried at all? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Very Worried Somewhat Worried Not Too Worried Not Worried At All Can’t Say 07/19 35% 35% 14% 10% 7% 03/19* 20% 47% 20% 7% 6% *In the 03/19 the question read, “Does Dunleavy’s new proposed budget have you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not worried at all?” 12. Dunleavy’s line-item veto of the University of Alaska budget means a cut of $130 million dollars for this year starting on July 1st. That cut is equivalent to 41 percent of the university’s total yearly budget. How do you feel about this veto? Do you strongly favor it; somewhat favor it; somewhat oppose it; or strongly oppose it? 1. 2. Strongly Favor/9% Somewhat Favor/15% 3. 4. 5. 13. Can’t Say/15% Have you recently read or heard that due to Dunleavy’s line-item veto cuts to the University that the University is going to have to declare a financial emergency; likely lay off 13 hundred employees; freeze all hiring and travel; give a 60-day notice of furlough to all staff; and cut programs – all just as the new school year is about to start? Have you read or heard about this situation, or not? 1. 2. 3. 14. Somewhat Oppose/21% Strongly Oppose/40% Yes/79% No/15% Can’t Say/5% In the end, do you feel this kind of financial shake-up is very beneficial for the University; somewhat beneficial; somewhat unbeneficial; or very unbeneficial for the University? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Very Beneficial for the University/6% Somewhat Beneficial/11% Somewhat Unbeneficial/19% Very Unbeneficial/53% Can’t Say/11% 15. There is talk of the Legislature coming together next week to vote on overriding some of Dunleavy’s most drastic cuts, like the University. That is hard to do because to an override requires three-quarters or 75 percent of all Legislators to vote in favor of an override to stop Dunleavy’s line-item veto. How would you advise your state legislator or state senator to vote? Would you advise them to support, or would you advise them to oppose a Legislative override of Dunleavy’s $130 million dollar veto of the University of Alaska’s budget? 1. 2. 3. 16. Advise them to support an override/59% Advise them to oppose an override/16% Can’t Say/25% GO TO Q16 GO TO Q16 GO TO “THAT COMPLETES…” (IF “SUPPORT” or “OPPOSE” IN Q15, ASK:) Is that Strongly or Somewhat (SUPPORT/OPPOSE)? Total Support 59% Strongly Support 73% Somewhat Support 27% Can’t Say 0% Total Oppose 16% Somewhat Oppose 34% Strongly Oppose 65% Can’t Say 1% ======================================================================== THAT COMPLETES THE MAJOR PART OF THE SURVEY. NOW FOR A FEW QUESTIONS FOR STATISTICAL PURPPOSES ONLY. ======================================================================== 17. (ASK OF EVERYONE) Please tell me, in which age group are you? (READ LIST) 1. 2. 3. 18. 18-24,/6% 25-34,/10% 35-44,/20% 4. 5. 6. 45-54,/27% 55-64, or/20% 65 or older./17% 7. Refused/0% What was the last grade of schooling you have completed? (READ LIST) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 8th Grade or less,/0% Some high school,/5% High school graduate or GED,/12% Some college,/27% 2 year college graduate,/10% 4 year college graduate, or/33% Post graduate./13% Refused (DO NOT READ)/0% 19. Do you have any college age children who are currently attending any of the schools in the University of Alaska, or not? 1. 2. 3. 20. Did you, or anyone else in your household ever attend any of the schools or taken classes at any of the schools in the University of Alaska, or not? 1. 2. 3. 21. 24. Federal Government/4% State Government/5% Local Government/5% Public School System/4% Private Company/61% Not in workforce (VOL.)/20% Refused/2% I need to know if you are registered to vote as a Democrat; as a Republican; registered as Nonpartisan or Undeclared; as a Libertarian; in the Green Party, the Alaska Independent Party, or as something else? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 23. Yes/62% No/36% Can’t Say/Refused/2% Do you work for the federal, state, local government, for the local public school system, or do you work for a private company? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 22. Yes/13% No/86% Can’t Say/Refused/2% Democrat/17% Republican/28% Non-Partisan/31% Undeclared/14% Libertarian/1% Green Party/0% Alaska Independent Party/4% Something Else/3% Refused/Unsure/2% What is your race or ethnic group? Is it…(READ LIST) 1. Caucasian (White),/80% 2. African American (Black),/3% 3. Native Alaskan/Indian, Inuit,/10% 4. Pacific Islander/Asian, or/2% 5. Hispanic./1% 6. Other ( DO NOT READ)/3% 7. Refused (DO NOT READ)/1% (ASK OF CELL PHONE EXCHANGES ONLY) Lastly, to correctly complete the study and verify I did it properly, I need to know in which one of these areas of Alaska you live. Is it in the…(READ LIST) (ACCEPT ONLY ONE RESPONSE) 1. 2. The Juneau Area,/4% Other parts of Southeast,/5% 3. Cordova,/0% (SOUTHEAST) 25. 4. 5. 6. Valdez (val-DEEZ)-Prince William Sound Area,/4% On the entire Kenai Peninsula,/1% Kodiak/4% (COASTAL) 7. In Anchorage,/40% (CORE ANCHORAGE) 8. 9. The Eagle River Area,/12% The Palmer-Wasilla (WA-sill-ah) – Valley Area,/9% (EAGLERIVER/THE VALLEY) 10. 11. Fairbanks/North Star Area, or/10% In Another Town or Village in Alaska./11% (FAIRBANKS) (RURAL ALASKA) And, again, just for statistical purposes, we need to know your total family income bracket for 2018. Was it below $50,000 or above $50,000? Is that...? (READ LIST FAST.) (Circle ABOVE or BELOW ONLY if category is refused.) 8. Below $50,000 /8% 9. Above $50,000/16% 1. 2. 3. 4. Below $20,000,/1% $20,000-$30,000,/4% $30,000-$40,000, or/1% $40,000-$50,000/7% 5. 6. 7. $50,000-$75,000,/11% $75,000-$100,000, or/25% Above $100,000./18% 10. Refused/Don’t Know/8% ================================================================= THAT COMPLETES THE SURVEY. THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME. ================================================================= FROM OBSERVATION: 26. GENDER OF RESPONDENT 1. 2. 27. 28. Male/49% Female /51% REGIONS 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Region 1 Southeast/11% Region 2 Coastal/10% Region 3 Core Anchorage/34% Region 4 Eagle River/The Valley/19% Region 5 Fairbanks/12% Region 6 Rural Alaska/14% INTERVIEW COMPLETED ON: 1. 2. False/Landline/33% True/Cell Phone/67%