NBC News SurveyMonkey Georgia State Poll Results EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Friday, July 19, 2019 at 4:30AM ET The NBC News SurveyMonkey Georgia Poll was conducted online from Tuesday, July 2 until Tuesday, July 16, 2019. Results are among a sample of 1,196 adults aged 18 and over, including 1,009 registered voters, who live in Georgia. The error estimate for registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points. Complete error estimates can be found in the methodology section below. TOPLINE RESULTS Among registered voters Which one of the following issues matters MOST to you right now? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Foreign policy 3 2 The environment 9 7 Terrorism 3 5 Immigration 22 12 Health care 20 23 Jobs and the economy 26 31 Education 8 11 Other 8 8 No answer 1 1 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Strongly approve 33 30 Somewhat approve 15 14 Somewhat disapprove 11 9 Strongly disapprove 40 45 If the Democratic primary or caucus in your state were being held today and the following candidates were running, who would you vote for? [AMONG DEM AND DEM-LEANERS; RANDOMIZED] Joe Biden Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg Andrew Yang Julian Castro Cory Booker Amy Klobuchar Steve Bullock Tim Ryan Beto O’Rourke Jay Inslee Marianne Williamson Bill de Blasio Michael Bennet John Delaney Joe Sestak Kirsten Gillibrand Seth Moulton Tulsi Gabbard Mike Gravel John Hickenlooper Wayne Messam No answer 7/2-7/16/19 31 15 13 12 5 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 No answer 1 1 Which of the following do you think should be the top priority of the Georgia state government? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Jobs and the economy 29 32 Education 20 21 Infrastructure 12 12 Health care 21 23 Other (please specify) 7 5 Immigration 10 7 No answer 1 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bryan Kemp is handling his job as governor of Georgia? 7/2—7/16/19 Strongly approve 30 Somewhat approve 31 Somewhat disapprove 19 Strongly disapprove 18 No answer 1 Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Georgia State Legislature is handling its job? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Strongly approve 8 6 Somewhat approve 46 50 Somewhat disapprove 28 29 Strongly disapprove 14 13 No answer 4 3 How would you rate the condition of the Georgia economy these days? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Very good 23 21 Fairly good 53 59 Fairly bad 16 14 Very bad 6 5 No answer 2 1 How often do you trust the federal government to do what is right? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Just about always 2 3 About half of the time 29 28 Most of the time 10 13 Some of the time 29 31 Almost never 29 25 No answer 2 1 How often do you trust the state government to do what is right? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Just about always 3 2 About half of the time 28 31 Most of the time 20 22 Some of the time 29 27 No answer 2 1 Almost never 18 16 How good of a job is the Georgia state government doing at maintaining roads, bridges and other infrastructure? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Very good 13 9 Somewhat good 47 52 Somewhat poor 25 27 Very poor 13 11 No answer 1 1 How willing would you be to pay higher taxes to improve public schools in Georgia? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Very willing 19 20 Somewhat willing 33 38 Not too willing 25 24 Not at all willing 21 17 No answer 1 1 How willing would you be to pay higher taxes to fund improvements to infrastructure, like roads and bridges, in Georgia? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Very willing Somewhat willing Not too willing Not at all willing No answer 14 16 41 45 26 26 18 13 1 - Thinking about the elections next year, if a candidate wanted to expand Medicaid in your state, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely, or wouldn’t it make much difference in your vote? 7/2—7/16/2019 More likely Less likely Wouldn’t make much difference No answer 40 28 30 2 Do you think race relations in Georgia are getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Getting better 17 18 Getting worse 37 40 Staying about the same 44 41 No answer 1 1 Do you support or oppose removing Confederate monuments and statues from public spaces around Georgia? 7/2—7/16/19 9/9—9/24/18 Strongly support 27 24 Somewhat support 13 15 Somewhat oppose 16 17 Strongly oppose 42 44 In 1973, the Roe v. Wade decision established a woman's constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe v. Wade decision, or not? 7/2—7/16/2019 Yes 37 No 59 No answer 4 No answer 2 1 METHODOLOGY The NBC News SurveyMonkey Georgia Poll was conducted online among a sample of 1,196 adults aged 18 and over who live in Mississippi, including 1,009 who say they are registered to vote. The poll was conducted from July 2, 2019 until July 16, 2019. Respondents for this survey were selected from the more than two million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. A multi-stage raking was employed to construct state-level registered voter weights. First, postal zip codes are classified into clusters according to their population size, population density, medium income and race compositions. Zip code-level characteristics are obtained from the American Community Survey and publicly available zip code databases. Initial weights are constructed by weighting the sample to zip code-level group targets. The initial weights are then raked by gender, age, race and education to match targets obtained from the American Community Survey. The third state of raking weights initial weights to gender, age, race and education of forecasted registered voters for non-voters of 2016 general election and gender, age, race and education of forecasted registered voters and presidential vote for voters of 2016 general election. A time-series based model was employed to forecast registered voter composition, given the Current Population November Supplement samples from 1994 through 2016. The state-level presidential vote targets are obtained from the Federal Election Commission. Because the sample is based on those who initially self-selected for participation rather than a probability sample, no estimates of sampling error can be calculated. All surveys may be subject to multiple sources of error, including, but not limited to sampling error, coverage error, and measurement error. To assess the variability in the estimates and account for design effects, we create a bootstrap confidence interval to produce an error estimate. The bootstrap confidence interval for this survey among registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points. To calculate the bootstrap confidence interval, we use the weighted data to generate 5,000 independent samples and calculate the 95% confidence intervals for the weighted average. When analyzing the survey results and their accuracy, this error estimate should be taken into consideration in much the same way that analysis of probability polls takes into account the margin of sampling error. Group Total RVs Unweighted N 1,009 Plus or minus 4.2 Republican RVs Democrat RVs Independent RVs 461 402 135 6.5 6.4 11.3 Male RVs Female RVs 474 535 5.9 5.3 White RVs Black RVs 661 228 5.4 7.9