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Chris Keating, Keating Research
Curtis Hubbard, OnSight Public Affairs
Jake Martin, Martin Campaigns
July 2, 2019
Keating–OnSight–Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll™ indicates Gardner is vulnerable

Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and Martin Campaigns have teamed up on the
Keating–OnSight–Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll™ which provides informative, accurate results
using live-interviewer telephone surveys and was Colorado’s most accurate in the 2018
Colorado Gubernatorial race and in the 2016 Colorado Presidential. The new Keating–OnSight–
Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll™ conducted June 24-27, 2019, is the most recent installment in
our effort to track voter attitudes toward President Trump and Colorado’s key issues.
Voters are more favorable toward Trump than Gardner — but both have steep hills to climb.
Colorado voters are divided on Cory Gardner with 40% viewing him favorably and 39%
holding an unfavorable view of Colorado’s junior Senator, ranked as one of the most
vulnerable incumbents next year by Cook Political report. During the two and a half years
that Donald Trump has been president, Gardner has averaged a 40% favorable to 41%
unfavorable rating. Gardner’s 40% favorable rating is 3 points less than Trump’s 43%
favorable rating among likely voters. The main reason Gardner fares more poorly than
Trump is that only 60% of Republicans hold a favorable view of him, compared to Trump’s
90% favorability among those same Republicans.
A majority (51%) of Colorado voters
in this poll say they are very
unfavorable toward Trump, which
makes it nearly impossible for him
to win Colorado in 2020 — and
Gardner’s endorsement of the
President’s re-election earlier in this
year has the potential to drag them
both down in the 2020 election.
Gardner faces an uphill battle.
Overall, Gardner faces an uphill
battle in his campaign to retain the
seat in the U.S. Senate he narrowly
won in 2014. Currently, Gardner has
one voter who holds a very
favorable view of him for every two
voters who are very unfavorable: very favorable (11%) to very unfavorable (25%).
Keating-Onsight-Martin (KOM) Colorado Poll July-2-2019

 With voter intensity on the Gardner’s negative side, voters will be looking closely at the
Democratic candidate in the 2020 election.
Gardner won in 2014 by less than 2 points (48.2% Gardner – 46.3% Udall) in a year in
which Republican’s had at 5-point advantage in voter turnout. In 2020, we predict that
Democrats will have at least a 1.5-point advantage in voter turnout. In fact, Democrats
(96% say they will definitely vote) are more interested in voting in 2020 than are
Republicans (92% say they will definitely vote), which is the same dynamic that we saw
in the lead up to the 2018 midterms in which a wave of Democrat voters propelled
Democrats to wins in every statewide race.
Colorado is heading in the right direction.
A majority of voters say that Colorado is heading in the right direction (55% right
direction – 37% wrong direction). These positive feelings about Colorado are particularly
intense with Democrats (87% right direction to 6% wrong direction), which is the highest
percent saying right direction that we have seen among Democrats over the past 10
years. Colorado voters are optimistic about the state in part because they like Governor
Jared Polis with 50% holding favorable views toward him compared to 35% unfavorable.
Two-thirds of Colorado voters say abortion should remain legal.
Colorado is facing the possibility of another anti-abortion question on the ballot next
year. When voters are asked about their personal opinion on abortion, a two-thirds
majority (68%) say abortion should be legal, compared to 28% who say it should be
illegal. Democrats (90% legal) and Unaffiliateds (71% legal) strongly support abortion
remaining legal, while a majority 53% of Republicans say it should be illegal.
A majority of Coloradans want abortion to remain legal across all key voter groups including:
 Women (72% legal) and Men (64% legal);
 Younger age 18-49 (72% legal) and Older age 50+ (63% legal);
 Suburban Arapahoe / Jefferson / Douglas / Adams, Larimer and Weld Counties
(72% legal).
Colorado has voted down anti-abortion ballot question three times in the past 11 years
and if the new anti-abortion question makes the 2020 ballot it is likely to fail as well:
 2008 (73% voted no);
 2010 (71% voted no);
 2014 (65% voted no).
Keating Research is recognized by Democrats and Republicans alike as providing extremely accurate
polling in Colorado. This polling data is based on 500 live-interviewer telephone surveys conducted
June 24-27, 2019 among “active” voters statewide in Colorado: conducted on cell-phone and on a
land line. For this sample of 500 interviews the worst case margin of error at the 95% level is plus or
minus 4.4%.
2
Keating Research
Onsight Public Affairs
Martin Campaigns