Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 1000 Adults, including 550 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: August 10-14, 2019 17 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 48 Male 52 Female Study #19305 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Adults is ±3.10% The margin of error for 834 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.39% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 .................................................................... 11 25-29 .................................................................... 7 30-34 .................................................................... 12 35-39 .................................................................... 8 40-44 .................................................................... 8 45-49 .................................................................... 9 50-54 .................................................................... 7 55-59 .................................................................... 11 60-64 .................................................................... 10 65-69 .................................................................... 5 70-74 .................................................................... 4 75 and over .......................................................... 8 Not sure/refused ................................................. - Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 11 No, not Hispanic ............................................... 87 Not sure/refused ............................................. 2 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White ..............................................................72 Black ..............................................................13 Asian .............................................................. 3 Other .............................................................. 4 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6 Not sure/refused ........................................... 2 White, Non-Hispanic.......................................69 Q3 Registered Voter. Yes ...................................................83 No .....................................................17 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Q4 Study #19305 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, all in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High Headed in the right direction ...... Off on the wrong track................ Mixed (VOL) ............................. Not sure ................................... 8/19 33 60 5 2 1/19 28 63 6 3 12/18 33 56 9 2 11/18+ 38 54 4 4 6/18+ 36 55 5 4 4/18 31 62 5 2 12/17 29 63 4 4 4/17 34 59 3 4 2/17 40 51 3 6 9/01 72 11 11 6 Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3 1/17 37 52 5 6 12/16 33 54 6 7 10/1013/16+ 29 65 5 1 9/16+ 30 62 5 3 8/16+ 32 62 3 3 7/16+ 18 73 6 3 6/16+ 21 71 5 3 4/16+ 24 70 4 2 1/16+ 29 63 5 3 12/15 20 70 6 4 10/2529/15 27 64 5 4 6/15 31 61 4 4 4/15 28 62 6 4 1/15 31 59 5 5 12/14 27 64 6 3 11/14+ 27 63 6 4 6/14 25 63 7 5 4/14 27 63 6 4 1/14 28 63 5 4 12/13 29 64 5 2 10/2528/13 22 70 4 4 6/13 32 59 6 3 4/13 31 61 5 3 1/13 35 57 4 4 12/12 41 53 3 3 10/12+ 41 53 4 2 6/12 31 61 5 3 4/12 33 59 6 2 1/12 30 61 5 4 12/11 22 69 6 3 10/11 17 74 5 4 6/11 29 62 6 3 4/11 28 63 6 3 1/11 35 56 5 4 12/10 28 63 6 3 10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4 6/10 29 62 5 4 3/10 33 59 5 3 1/1014/10 34 54 10 2 12/09 33 55 10 2 10/09 36 52 9 3 6/09 42 46 9 3 4/09 43 43 10 4 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Q5 Study #19305 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 8/19 Total approve ...............................43 Strongly approve .........................29 Somewhat approve ....................14 Total disapprove..........................55 Somewhat disapprove ...............9 Strongly disapprove ....................46 Not sure .................................... 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 2 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 Intensity Q6 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 not asked prior to June 2017. Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing in handling the economy? Approve............................................. Disapprove........................................ No opinion......................................... Not sure........................................... 1 5/171 39 54 7 8/19 49 46 3 2 4/285/1/19 51 41 7 1 2017-18 language included a read option for “No opinion.” 1/19 51 45 NA 4 7/18+1 50 34 15 1 10/171 42 37 20 1 9/171 41 36 22 1 6/17 44 48 NA 8 4/17 44 46 NA 10 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q7 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and organizations and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE REST) Don't Know Very Somewhat Somewhat Very Name/ Positive Positive Neutral Negative Negative Not Sure Donald Trump August 2019 .......................................... 28 11 8 8 45 April 28-May 1, 2019 ............................. 28 11 12 8 41 March 2019 ........................................... 28 12 9 10 41 February 2019 ....................................... 30 12 8 10 40 January 2019......................................... 27 12 9 8 43 1 December 2018 ..................................... 24 13 11 9 43 November 2018+ ................................... 29 12 6 7 45 1 October 2018+ ...................................... 27 15 7 8 43 September 2018+ .................................. 26 13 9 8 44 August 18-22, 2018+ ............................. 29 11 9 8 42 1 July 2018+ ............................................. 28 12 9 9 43 June 2018+ ........................................... 24 16 9 10 41 April 2018 .............................................. 21 14 12 10 43 March 2018 ........................................... 23 14 11 12 40 January 2018......................................... 24 12 8 8 48 December 2017 ..................................... 21 16 9 9 45 October 2017......................................... 23 13 10 8 46 September 2017 .................................... 23 16 12 10 39 August 2017 .......................................... 22 14 12 12 40 June 2017 ............................................. 25 13 11 9 41 1 May 2017 .............................................. 21 17 9 10 42 1 April 2017 ................................................ 23 16 11 10 40 February 2017 ......................................... 27 16 10 12 35 January 2017........................................... 20 18 13 10 38 1 December 2016 ....................................... 20 20 13 11 35 1 October 10-13, 2016+ ............................. 15 14 8 10 52 1 October 8-10, 2016+ ............................... 17 13 7 12 51 September 2016+ .................................... 15 13 11 12 49 August 2016+ .......................................... 13 15 11 11 50 July 2016+ ............................................... 10 17 13 11 49 June 2016+ ............................................. 12 17 11 12 48 May 2016+ .............................................. 13 16 12 14 44 1 April 2016+ .............................................. 11 13 10 12 53 1 March 2016+ ........................................... 12 13 11 10 54 February 2016+ ....................................... 11 17 12 10 49 1 January 2016+ ........................................ 14 15 12 11 47 1 December 2015 ....................................... 12 15 13 12 47 1 October 25-29, 2015 ............................... 10 17 17 14 42 October 15-18, 2015 ............................... 13 17 17 14 39 September 2015 ...................................... 8 17 16 14 44 1 July 2015 ................................................. 10 16 16 13 43 2 February 2011 ......................................... 9 17 40 18 11 5 May 2004+ .............................................. 9 17 38 14 15 7 December 1999 ....................................... 4 12 28 24 25 7 October 1999........................................... 3 11 25 23 32 6 July 1990 ................................................. 3 11 28 25 24 9 High February 2017 ......................................... 27 16 10 12 35 Presidential Term Low April 2018 ............................................ 21 14 12 10 43 All-time Trump Low April 2016+ .............................................. 11 13 10 12 53 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q7 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure Joe Biden August 2019 ................................... January 2018 ................................. January 2017 ................................. October 2015 .................................. September 2015 ........................ June 2015 ........................................ November 2014 ................................ June 2014 ....................................... July 2013 ......................................... January 2013 ................................... December 2012 ................................ October 2012+ ................................. September 26-30, 2012+ ................. August 2012+ ................................... July 2012+ ............................................... May 2012 ........................................... December 2010 .................................. August 26-30, 2010 ............................ January 10-14, 2010 ........................ July 2009 ...................................... January 2009 ............................... December 2008 ............................ October 17-20, 2008+ .................. October 4-5, 2008+ ...................... September 19-22, 2008+ ............. September 6-8, 2008+ ................. September 2007 ........................... December 2006 ............................ June 2004+ .................................. 11 30 35 19 15 16 13 11 17 20 21 21 18 15 15 15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5 23 24 21 23 25 24 22 21 21 21 18 19 19 21 20 20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11 25 22 19 24 25 24 22 25 21 17 18 15 19 20 23 21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25 16 11 10 17 14 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 14 14 14 16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6 22 11 12 14 14 15 21 21 20 21 23 29 24 26 23 21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4 3 2 3 3 7 5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 5 7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49 Bernie Sanders August 2019 ................................. August 2017 ................................. August 2016+ ............................... July 2016+ .................................... June 2016+ .................................. May 2016+ ................................... April 2016+ ................................... March 2016+ ................................ February 2016+ ............................ January 2016+ ............................. December 2015 ............................ October 25-29, 2015 .................... October 15-18, 2015 .................... September 2015 ........................... July 2015 ...................................... June 2015 .................................... 14 21 26 22 19 20 21 20 20 18 18 15 16 15 10 8 23 23 25 23 24 23 24 23 22 20 18 19 22 17 14 8 19 22 17 20 20 18 16 18 17 20 19 22 19 23 20 22 13 12 12 14 14 15 14 13 12 12 13 9 11 9 10 6 27 18 17 18 20 21 22 23 23 19 18 19 16 13 9 7 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 11 14 16 16 23 37 49 Elizabeth Warren August 2019 ................................. August 2018+ ............................... July 2016+ .................................... March 2015 .................................. November 2014 ............................ 14 14 15 11 12 17 16 11 11 11 20 17 20 20 21 9 7 8 6 8 23 21 17 9 9 17 25 29 43 39 + Resh + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q7(cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 16 14 19 17 21 18 19 17 20 19 15 17 16 16 20 19 19 21 25 21 20 25 21 19 22 19 10 11 12 12 12 11 13 11 13 12 14 17 16 31 29 21 24 20 20 21 23 16 25 29 30 29 3 3 3 3 4 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 8 16 17 15 17 19 17 21 20 20 20 8 8 9 7 8 19 17 19 22 22 4 2 2 3 5 Very Positive Somewhat Positive The National Rifle Association, or NRA August 2019 ....................................... March 2018 ........................................ April 2017 ........................................... June 2016+ .......................................... July 2015 .............................................. December 2013 .................................... February 2013 ...................................... January 2013 ....................................... January 2011 ....................................... April 2000+ ........................................... June 1999 ............................................ July 1995 .............................................. June 1995 ............................................ 24 23 26 25 22 21 23 24 21 18 18 10 12 Planned Parenthood August 2019 ....................................... March 2018 ........................................ April 2017 ........................................... June 2016+ ........................................ July 2015 ............................................ 36 35 35 31 26 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Planned Parenthood ................................................ 52 27 The National Rifle Association, or NRA .................... 40 41 Elizabeth Warren ...................................................... 31 32 Bernie Sanders ........................................................ 37 40 Joe Biden ................................................................. 34 38 Donald Trump .......................................................... 39 53 D/S 25 -1 -1 -3 -4 -14 (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Now, thinking ahead to 2020… Q8 Looking ahead to the next election for president, if Donald Trump runs for reelection as the Republican candidate, will you definitely vote for Trump in that election, probably vote for Trump, probably vote for the Democratic candidate, or definitely vote for the Democratic candidate? Definitely vote for Trump ................................................................. Probably vote for Trump.................................................................. Probably vote for the Democratic candidate................................... Definitely vote for the Democratic candidate .................................. Independent or other candidate (VOL) ......................................... Depends (VOL) ............................................................................. Neither (VOL) ................................................................................ Not sure ......................................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 8/19+ 29 11 11 41 2 2 1 3 12/18+ 23 15 13 39 2 3 2 3 12/17+ 18 18 14 38 NA 4 3 5 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Q9-15 Study #19305 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Held for later release. Changing topics… Q16 Which of the following statements comes closer to what you think…(ROTATE) Statement A: I think free trade with foreign countries is good for America because it opens up new markets and we cannot avoid the fact that it is a global economy Statement B: I think free trade with foreign countries is bad for America because it has hurt manufacturing and other key industries and there is no proof more trade creates better jobs Statement A: Free trade is good .......................................................... Statement B: Free trade is bad ............................................................ Mixed/Some of Both (VOL) ............................................................... Neither (VOL) .................................................................................... Not sure ............................................................................................. 8/19 64 27 5 1 3 4/17 57 37 2 1 3 7/16+ 55 38 2 1 4 12/15+ 51 41 3 1 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Moving on… Q17 Which of the following statements concerns you more—(ROTATE) Statement A: The government will go too far in restricting the rights of citizens to own guns Statement B: The government will not do enough to regulate access to firearms Statement A: Too far in restricting citizen gun rights ............................. Statement B: Not enough to regulate access to firearms ...................... Mixed/Some of Both (VOL) ................................................................. Neither (VOL) ..................................................................................... Not sure ............................................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 8/19 45 50 1 1 3 10/17 45 47 1 2 5 8/17 50 45 3 1 1 6/16+ 50 47 1 2 12/15+ 52 44 1 2 1 6/95 35 58 NA NA 7 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Q18 Study #19305 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I’m going to read you some actions that Congress might take related to guns. Would you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose this action? (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERGENTAGE THAT SAY ‘STRONGLY SUPPORT’ Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Support Support Oppose Oppose Expanding background checks to all firearm sales and transfers. August 2019 ................................................................ 75 14 3 7 Red Flag laws that help law enforcement to temporarily remove guns from those deemed to pose an imminent danger to themselves or others. August 2019 ................................................................ 57 19 10 12 A voluntary program where the government would buy back firearms that people no longer wanted. August 2019 ................................................................ 50 25 7 16 Banning the sale of selected semi-automatic firearms referred to as assault weapons. August 2019 ................................................................ 49 13 9 28 Banning the sale of handguns. August 2019 ................................................................ 13 12 17 58 JUNE 2016 ASSAULT WEAPON TREND One proposal in Congress would ban the sale of selected semi-automatic firearms referred to as assault weapons. Would you favor or oppose this proposal or do you not have an opinion one way or the other? + Favor ................................................................... 51 Oppose ............................................................... 31 No opinion ........................................................... 18 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ADDITIONAL ASSAULT WEAPON TREND Do you favor or oppose a law to ban the sale of assault weapons and semiautomatic rifles? 10/09 4/09 5/91 7/90 Favor ................................................ 49 53 75 73 Oppose ............................................. 45 41 22 23 Not sure .......................................... 6 6 3 4 JUNE 1999 HANDGUN TREND Would you favor or oppose banning the sale of handguns? Favor ................................................................... 33 Oppose ............................................................... 62 No opinion ........................................................... 5 Q19-21 Held for later release. Not Sure 1 2 2 1 - Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, switching topics again… Q22 How worried are you that the United States will experience another major terrorist attack--very worried, fairly worried, only slightly worried, or not really worried at all? Very worried .................................. Fairly worried ................................ Only slightly worried ...................... Not really worried at all.................. Not sure ...................................... 8/19 27 23 31 18 1 3/15 27 27 29 17 - 5/11 21 31 33 14 1 5/10 31 27 28 14 - 1/10 33 23 28 15 1 10/1720/08+ 17 25 41 16 1 9/07 27 25 34 13 1 7/07 30 22 32 16 - 1/06 25 23 35 17 - 7/05 31 27 29 12 1 1/02 30 29 26 14 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q23 How worried are you that the United States will experience another mass shooting or attack by white nationalists, targeting people based on their color or country of origin--very worried, fairly worried, only slightly worried, or not really worried at all? Very worried.................................. Fairly worried ................................ Only slightly worried ...................... Not really worried at all ................. Not sure ...................................... 55 13 15 15 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking about something else… Q24 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the aftermath of the recent mass shootings at a Walmart in El Paso, Texas and a bar in Dayton, Ohio? Approve ..................................................................... Disapprove ................................................................ Not sure ................................................................... 36 52 12 RELATED NOVEMBER 2018 TREND + Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the events related to Democratic elected officials and a media outlet receiving pipe bombs in the mail? Approve ..................................................................... 39 Disapprove ................................................................ 50 Not sure ................................................................... 11 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED NOVEMBER 2018 TREND + Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the aftermath of eleven people being killed during a Jewish religious service in Pittsburgh? Approve ..................................................................... 37 Disapprove ................................................................ 48 Not sure ................................................................... 15 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED SEPTEMBER 2017 TREND For each of the following please tell me if you approve or disapprove of President Trump’s handling of each item. If you do not have an opinion either way, please just say so. The events in Charlottesville, Virginia when a white nationalist protest turned violent. Approve ..................................................................... 20 Disapprove ................................................................ 55 No opinion ................................................................. 21 Not sure ................................................................... 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Q25 Study #19305 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, I’m going to list several items and would like you to tell me how much responsibility — if any— each item might bear for the mass shootings that have taken place at a Walmart in El Paso, Texas and a bar in Dayton, Ohio – (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) a great deal, a good amount, not too much, or none at all? (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERGENTAGE THAT SAY ‘A GREAT DEAL’ A great A good Not too deal amount much The lack of effective treatment for mental illness August 2019 ................................................................ 53 22 16 January 20131 ............................................................. 58 24 11 The way information is shared and spread on social media. August 2019 ................................................................ 51 27 13 Assault and military-style firearms being legal to purchase August 2019 ................................................................ 46 14 15 January 20131 ............................................................. 45 14 18 The amount of media coverage of mass-shootings August 2019 ................................................................ 43 29 16 January 20131 ............................................................. 38 29 21 The language President Trump uses in his speeches and on Twitter August 2019 ................................................................ 40 14 17 1 January None at all Not sure 7 5 2 2 6 3 22 20 3 3 8 10 4 2 25 4 2013 trend asked responsibility for, “the mass shootings that have taken place over the last year or two in Tucson, Arizona; Aurora, Colorado; and Newtown, Connecticut.” Q26 Held for later release. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ASKED OF REGISTERED VOTERS) Thinking now about next year’s presidential election… Q27 If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state next year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2020? 8/19+ Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus .................... 37 Vote in Republican Primary or caucus .................... 26 Wait until the general election ................................. 34 Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ............................. Not sure .................................................................. 3 7/19+ 35 25 36 1 3 6/19+ 38 28 30 2 2 4/285/1/19+ 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies................................ Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure...................................................................................................... 21 16 17 21 2 2 4 15 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1b Regardless of how you feel today, during the 2016 Republican nominating contest would you have described yourself as a supporter of Donald Trump or a supporter of another Republican candidate, or did you have no strong preference? + 8/19+ 8/17+ Supporter of Donald Trump.......................................................................... 46 39 Supporter of another Republican candidate ................................................. 27 34 No strong preference ................................................................................... 27 25 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 6/17+ 40 37 23 - 5/17+ 42 35 22 1 4/17+ 46 32 21 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor QF2 Study #19305 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ......................... White-collar worker .............................. Blue-collar worker ................................ Farmer, rancher ................................... Not Currently Employed Student ................................................. Stay at home mom/dad ........................ Retired ................................................. Unemployed, looking for work .............. Other .................................................... Not sure ............................................. QF3 23 23 19 1 2 5 22 3 2 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat .............. Strictly Independent........................... Independent/lean Republican............ Not very strong Republican ............... Strong Republican ............................. Other (VOL) ..................................... Not sure........................................... QF5 1 4 28 17 3 13 19 2 9 4 - 23 9 10 13 11 5 17 8 4 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... Somewhat liberal ............................................... Moderate ............................................................ Somewhat conservative ..................................... Very conservative .............................................. Not sure ........................................................... 12 14 36 17 16 5 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor Study #19305 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ........................................ Union household .............................................. Non-union household ....................................... Not sure .......................................................... QF7a 13 7 78 2 What is your religion? Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal, Presbyterian, and other Christians) .......................................... Catholic ..................................................................................... Jewish ....................................................................................... Muslim ....................................................................................... Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........ Other ......................................................................................... None .......................................................................................... Not sure/refused ...................................................................... 43 17 2 1 1 14 19 3 (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY PROTESTANT, OTHER, OR NOT SURE IN QF7a.) QF7b Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not describe yourself that way? Fundamentalist/evangelical ............................................11 Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ...........................45 Not sure ........................................................................4 Catholic/Jewish/Muslim/Mormon/None (QF7a) ...............40 QF8 Are you married, widowed, separated, divorced, single and never been married, or are you unmarried and living with a partner? Married ................................................ Widowed ............................................. Separated ........................................... Divorced .............................................. Single/never been married ................... Unmarried and living with a partner ..... Refused ............................................. 53 7 1 9 21 7 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies August 2019 Social Trends Monitor QF9 Study #19305 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor .............................................................. Working class ............................................... Middle class .................................................. Upper middle class ....................................... Well-to-do ..................................................... Not sure/refused ......................................... QF10 Do you, or does anyone in your household, own a gun of any kind? 8/19 4/18 Yes, gun in household ...................... 46 44 No, no gun in household ................... 49 51 Not sure .......................................... 5 5 1/11 39 58 2 QF11 8 29 43 14 3 3 3/18 47 50 3 10/17 47 48 5 8/17 48 50 2 6/16+ 45 50 5 10/15 41 54 5 2/13 42 54 4 1/13 41 55 3 10/08+ 44 53 3 9/08+ 45 53 2 9/04+ 44 53 3 3/04 42 56 2 1/04 42 56 2 12/03 40 57 3 10/99 44 54 3 Do you have children UNDER 18 years old? (IF NO, ASK) And do you have any children 18 or older? Yes, children under 18...................................... Yes, children 18 or older................................... No children ....................................................... Not sure .......................................................... 33 28 39 -