Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 506 Democratic Primary Voters, including 278 respondents with a cell phone only Date: September 13-16, 2019 and 11 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. Study #19357 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DPVs 40 Male 60 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 506 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.36% Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) Democratic Primary Voters^^ 18-24 .................................................................... 10 25-29 .................................................................... 7 30-34 .................................................................... 10 35-39 .................................................................... 7 40-44 .................................................................... 8 45-49 .................................................................... 3 50-54 .................................................................... 8 55-59 .................................................................... 12 60-64 .................................................................... 13 65-69 .................................................................... 6 70-74 .................................................................... 7 75 and over .......................................................... 9 Not sure/refused ................................................ ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Democratic Primary Voters^^ Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 10 No, not Hispanic ............................................... 89 Not sure/refused ............................................. 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? Democratic Primary Voters^^ White .............................................................. 69 Black .............................................................. 20 Asian .............................................................. 2 Other .............................................................. 3 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 4 Not sure/refused........................................... 2 White, Non-Hispanic ...................................... 65 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Q3 Registered Voter. Democratic Primary Voters^^ Yes .................................................... 100 No ..................................................... ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q4 Not asked of full Democratic primary voter oversample. Q5 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. Barack Obama September 2019^^ ................................ September 2015^^ ................................ Bill Clinton September 2019^^ ................................ January 2016^^ ..................................... Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 21 24 5 7 3 4 1 4 1 - 35 34 21 15 12 5 3 5 - Very Positive Somewhat Positive 69 61 29 41 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Barack Obama ........................................................ 90 4 Bill Clinton ............................................................... 64 15 Q6 D/S 86 49 Not asked of full Democratic primary voter oversample. I’d like to ask you a few questions about next year’s presidential election… Q7 If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state next year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2020? Democratic Primary Voters^^ Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus .................... 100 Vote in Republican Primary or caucus .................... Wait until the general election ................................. Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ............................. Not sure .................................................................. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Q8 I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC Elizabeth Warren September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. Bernie Sanders September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. Joe Biden September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... March 2019^^ ................................. Pete Buttigieg September 2019^^ .......................... April 28-May 1, 2019....................... Kamala Harris September 2019^^ .......................... March 2019^^ ................................. (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure 35 26 20 35 38 37 15 18 23 6 9 10 7 8 8 2 1 2 25 22 28 37 34 34 25 28 27 12 15 9 1 1 1 1 23 23 32 33 41 43 38 40 22 24 18 19 13 8 9 6 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 19 18 30 26 20 10 7 3 22 41 2 2 13 22 35 30 27 21 9 6 15 17 1 4 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY (ASK Q9a-b OF DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS) Now, thinking specifically about the 2020 Democratic primary elections… Q9a I am going to read a list of EIGHTEEN of the declared candidates running for the Democratic nomination for President. After I read the entire list, please tell me if a Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-18)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Joe Biden ................................ Elizabeth Warren .................... Bernie Sanders ....................... Pete Buttigieg ......................... Kamala Harris ......................... Andrew Yang .......................... Amy Klobuchar ....................... Cory Booker ............................ Beto O’Rourke ........................ Tulsi Gabbard ......................... John Delaney .......................... Tom Steyer ............................. Michael Bennet ....................... Bill de Blasio ........................... Julián Castro ........................... Steve Bullock .......................... Tim Ryan ................................ Marianne Williamson............... John Hickenlooper .................. Jay Inslee................................ Other (VOL) ......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................... 9/19^^ 31 25 14 7 5 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 NA NA 1 2 7/19^^ 26 19 13 7 13 2 1 1 2 1 NA 1 1 1 1 1 2 8 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY (ASKED IF MADE FIRST CHOICE ON Q9a) Q9b And, which of the remaining candidates would be your second choice or is your mind definitely made up? (DO NOT READ LIST) (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Elizabeth Warren .................... Bernie Sanders ....................... Pete Buttigieg ......................... Joe Biden ................................ Kamala Harris ......................... Beto O’Rourke ........................ Cory Booker ............................ Amy Klobuchar ....................... Andrew Yang .......................... Tulsi Gabbard ......................... Julián Castro ........................... Tom Steyer ............................. Steve Bullock .......................... Michael Bennet ....................... Bill de Blasio ........................... John Delaney .......................... Tim Ryan ................................ Marianne Williamson............... John Hickenlooper .................. Jay Inslee................................ Mind is definitely made up ...... Other (VOL) ......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................... 9/19^^ 21 16 12 11 8 5 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 NA NA 9 2 4 7/19^^ 13 12 8 10 14 2 2 1 3 2 NA 1 1 1 1 12 2 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q9a-b Combined first/second choices. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Elizabeth Warren .................... Joe Biden ................................ Bernie Sanders ....................... Pete Buttigieg ......................... Kamala Harris ......................... Cory Booker ............................ Beto O’Rourke ........................ Andrew Yang .......................... Amy Klobuchar ....................... Tulsi Gabbard ......................... Tom Steyer ............................. Julián Castro ........................... John Delaney .......................... Michael Bennet ....................... Steve Bullock .......................... Bill de Blasio ........................... Marianne Williamson............... Tim Ryan ................................ John Hickenlooper .................. Jay Inslee................................ None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................... 9/19^^ 45 41 29 19 14 6 6 6 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 NA NA 3 5 7/19^^ 32 36 25 15 28 3 4 4 1 3 NA 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 7 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Q10b In thinking about how the eventual Democratic nominee for president in 2020 approaches issues like health care, climate change, college affordability, and economic opportunity, which of the following comes closer to describing the candidate you prefer? (ROTATE) AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^ 9/19 Someone who proposes larger scale policies that cost more and might be harder to pass into law, but could bring major change on these issues ........ 56 Someone who proposes smaller scale policies that cost less and might be easier to pass into law, but will bring less change on these issues ............... 40 None/other (VOL)................................................................................................. 1 Not sure ............................................................................................................... 3 7/19 3/19 2/19 54 52 55 41 1 4 44 4 42 3 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q11 In thinking about Barack Obama’s presidency, which statement comes closer to your point of view? Would you say you were… (ROTATE) Democratic Primary Voters^^ Satisfied that it did as much as was possible at the time in addressing issues facing the country ........................................................................................ 78 Not satisfied because more should have been done to address issues facing the country ................................................................................................... 20 Mix/bit of both (VOL) ............................................................................................ 1 Not sure................................................................................................................ 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q12-16 Not asked of full Democratic primary voter oversample. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? Democratic Primary Voters^^ Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies................................ 3 Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................ 3 Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................ 27 Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... 51 Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) .................................................................. 2 Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ........................................................................... 3 Voted for someone else (VOL) ................................................................. 3 Voted, not sure .......................................................................................... 1 No, Did Not Vote ......................................................................................... 7 Not sure ..................................................................................................... ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Democratic Primary Voters^^ Currently Employed Professional, manager.................. White-collar worker ....................... Blue-collar worker ......................... Farmer, rancher ............................ Not Currently Employed Student ......................................... Stay at home mom/dad ................ Retired .......................................... Unemployed, looking for work ...... Other ............................................ Not sure ...................................... 31 23 11 3 1 27 3 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school.................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused.................................................... Democratic Primary Voters^^ 1 20 15 3 13 26 3 13 6 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat .............................. Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... Democratic Primary Voters^^ 55 12 19 8 3 1 2 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Democratic Primary Voters^^ Very liberal .........................................................27 Somewhat liberal................................................23 Moderate ............................................................39 Somewhat conservative .....................................5 Very conservative...............................................3 Not sure ...........................................................3 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Democratic Primary Voters^^ Labor union member ......................................... 17 Union household ............................................... 11 Non-union household ........................................ 71 Not sure .......................................................... 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2019 Study #19357 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA IN THIS DOCUMENT IS AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY QF7 When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY THEY WATCH/CONSUME Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS ......................... The cable channel MSNBC or CNN ..................................................... Internet social media sites like Facebook and Twitter .......................... Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ........................ The cable channel Fox News ............................................................... Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites ..................................... Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ...... Watch different TV news (VOL) ......................................................... Get news from some other source (VOL) .......................................... Not sure .............................................................................................. Democratic Primary Voters^^ 55 53 38 31 16 12 5 1 3 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor ................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class .................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... Democratic Primary Voters^^ 8 25 42 19 4 2 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF9 Do you have health insurance coverage provided by your or your spouse’s employer? Yes ................................................................ No .................................................................. Not sure ....................................................... Democratic Primary Voters^^* 67 33 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. *Asked of full sample September 13-14, asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A) September 15-16.