Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Study #19401 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 800 Adults, including 440 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: October 4-6, 2019 21 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 48 Male 52 Female Study #19401 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 800 interviews among Adults is ±3.46% The margin of error for 640 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.87% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 .................................................................... 11 25-29 .................................................................... 7 30-34 .................................................................... 13 35-39 .................................................................... 7 40-44 .................................................................... 9 45-49 .................................................................... 8 50-54 .................................................................... 8 55-59 .................................................................... 10 60-64 .................................................................... 10 65-69 .................................................................... 5 70-74 .................................................................... 4 75 and over .......................................................... 8 Not sure/refused ................................................. - Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 11 No, not Hispanic ............................................... 88 Not sure/refused ............................................. 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White ..............................................................72 Black ..............................................................13 Asian .............................................................. 2 Other .............................................................. 4 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6 Not sure/refused ........................................... 3 White, Non-Hispanic.......................................69 Q3 Registered Voter. Yes ...................................................80 No .....................................................20 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Q4 Study #19401 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 10/19 Total approve ............................... 43 Strongly approve.......................... 29 Somewhat approve ..................... 14 Total disapprove .......................... 53 Somewhat disapprove ............... 7 Strongly disapprove ..................... 46 Not sure ..................................... 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 2 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 5/171 39 54 7 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 Intensity not asked prior to June 2017. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Q5 Study #19401 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST) Donald Trump October 2019......................................... September 2019+ .................................. August 2019 .......................................... April 28-May 1, 2019 ............................. March 2019 ........................................... February 2019 ....................................... January 2019......................................... December 2018 ..................................... November 2018+ ................................... October 2018+ ...................................... September 2018+ .................................. August 18-22, 2018+ ............................. July 2018+ ............................................. June 2018+ ........................................... April 2018 .............................................. March 2018 ........................................... January 2018......................................... December 2017 ..................................... October 2017......................................... September 2017 .................................... August 2017 .......................................... June 2017 ............................................. May 2017 .............................................. April 2017 ................................................ February 2017 ......................................... January 2017........................................... December 2016 ....................................... October 10-13, 2016+ ............................. October 8-10, 2016+ ............................... September 2016+ .................................... August 2016+ .......................................... July 2016+ ............................................... June 2016+ ............................................. May 2016+ .............................................. April 2016+ .............................................. March 2016+ ........................................... February 2016+ ....................................... January 2016+ ........................................ December 2015 ....................................... October 25-29, 2015 ............................... October 15-18, 2015 ............................... September 2015 ...................................... July 2015 ................................................. February 2011 ......................................... May 2004+ .............................................. December 1999 ....................................... October 1999........................................... July 1990 ................................................. High February 2017 ......................................... Presidential Term Low April 2018 ............................................ All-time Trump Low April 2016+ .............................................. Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 12 15 13 11 12 16 14 14 12 16 13 16 14 13 17 16 16 18 20 14 13 13 15 17 17 16 13 13 17 15 15 17 17 17 16 17 9 8 8 12 9 8 9 11 6 7 9 9 9 9 12 11 8 9 10 12 12 11 9 11 10 13 13 8 7 11 11 13 11 12 10 11 12 12 13 17 17 16 16 40 9 7 8 8 10 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 8 9 8 10 12 9 10 10 12 10 11 10 12 12 11 11 12 14 12 10 10 11 12 14 14 14 13 18 44 44 45 41 41 40 43 43 45 43 44 42 43 41 43 40 48 45 46 39 40 41 42 40 35 38 35 52 51 49 50 49 48 44 53 54 49 47 47 42 39 44 43 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 9 4 3 3 17 12 11 11 38 28 25 28 14 24 23 25 15 25 32 24 7 7 6 9 27 16 10 12 35 - 21 14 12 10 43 - 11 13 10 12 53 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 27 30 28 28 28 30 27 24 29 27 26 29 28 24 21 23 24 21 23 23 22 25 21 23 27 20 20 15 17 15 13 10 12 13 11 12 11 14 12 10 13 8 10 9 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Study #19401 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q5 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 21 23 24 21 23 25 24 22 21 21 21 18 19 19 21 20 20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11 28 25 22 19 24 25 24 22 25 21 17 18 15 19 20 23 21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25 15 16 11 10 17 14 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 14 14 14 16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6 19 22 11 12 14 14 15 21 21 20 21 23 29 24 26 23 21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4 5 3 2 3 3 7 5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 5 7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49 14 17 18 23 27 31 28 37 36 29 25 23 14 16 21 24 19 20 20 21 22 20 16 9 12 15 12 20 17 16 15 8 9 7 3 1 30 27 27 20 20 15 15 6 5 4 3 1 18 14 10 7 7 6 7 7 9 11 11 5 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Joe Biden October 2019 .................................. August 2019 .................................... January 2018 .................................. January 2017 .................................. October 2015 .................................. September 2015 .............................. June 2015 ....................................... November 2014 ............................... June 2014 ....................................... July 2013 ......................................... January 2013 .................................. December 2012 ............................... October 2012+ ................................ September 26-30, 2012+ ................ August 2012+ .................................. July 2012+ ....................................... May 2012 ........................................ December 2010 ............................... August 26-30, 2010 ......................... January 10-14, 2010 ....................... July 2009 .......................................... January 2009 ................................... December 2008 ................................ October 17-20, 2008+ ...................... October 4-5, 2008+ .......................... September 19-22, 2008+ ................. September 6-8, 2008+ ..................... September 2007 ............................... December 2006 ................................ June 2004+ ...................................... 12 11 30 35 19 15 16 13 11 17 20 21 21 18 15 15 15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5 Rudy Giuliani October 2019 ................................... August 2018+ ................................... June 2018+ ...................................... January 2008 ................................... December 2007 ................................... November 2007 ................................ September 2007 ............................... March 2007 ...................................... December 2006 ................................ August 2004+ ................................... September 2002 ............................... December 2001 ................................ 12 11 12 6 10 12 15 21 19 29 42 61 + Resh + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Joe Biden ................................................................. 33 34 Donald Trump .......................................................... 38 53 Rudy Giuliani ............................................................ 26 42 D/S -1 -15 -16 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Study #19401 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q6 Have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage of President Trump’s phone call where he asked and tried to persuade the Ukrainian president to investigate Joe Biden and his son? (IF YES, THEN ASK) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this? Total Yes ............................................................................................................................. 79 Yes, a lot ............................................................................................................................ 51 Yes, just some .................................................................................................................... 28 No......................................................................................................................................... 20 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 1 Q7 Which comes closer to your point of view about the allegations against President Trump that he requested a foreign leader open an investigation related to Joe Biden and his son? Are these allegations… (ROTATE 1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) Total extremely/quite serious ............................................................................................. 47 Extremely serious ................................................................................................................ 31 Quite serious ....................................................................................................................... 16 Total not that serious/false and have no merit ................................................................. 28 Not that serious ................................................................................................................... 12 False and have no merit ...................................................................................................... 16 Or do you have no opinion on this (ALWAYS ASK LAST)................................................. 22 Not sure ............................................................................................................................. 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Q8 Study #19401 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Based on what you have seen, read, or heard about President Trump’s call and actions related to his discussion with the Ukrainian president, which of the following best describes what you think… (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) There is enough evidence for Congress to impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office now ...................................................................................................................... Congress should hold an impeachment inquiry to determine if there is enough evidence to see if he should remain or be removed from office ............................................ There is not enough evidence for Congress to hold an impeachment inquiry of Donald Trump and he should finish his term as president ................................................................ Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 24 31 39 6 RELATED TREND There has been some discussion about Congress holding hearings to consider impeaching and removing President Trump from office. Which of the following best describes what you think… 4/287/19+ 6/19 5/1/19 There is enough evidence for Congress to begin impeachment hearings now ..................... 21 27 17 Congress should continue investigating to see if there is enough evidence to hold impeachment hearings in the future ...................................................................................... 27 24 32 Congress should not hold impeachment hearings and Donald Trump should finish his term as president........................................................................................................................... 50 48 48 Not sure............................................................................................................................... 2 1 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q9 And based upon what you know today, would you say Congress should… (ROTATE) Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ............................................................ 43 Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office ................................................. 49 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 8 Q10 Please tell me whether you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree with the following statement: Donald Trump has been honest and truthful when it comes to the congressional investigation into his actions related to his discussion with the Ukrainian president. Total agree ................................................................................................ 38 Strongly agree ............................................................................................ 24 Somewhat agree ........................................................................................ 14 Total disagree ........................................................................................... 53 Somewhat disagree.................................................................................... 12 Strongly disagree ....................................................................................... 41 Not sure.................................................................................................... 9 RELATED TREND Donald Trump has been honest and truthful when it comes to the investigation into Russian interference with the 2016 presidential election and related matters. 4/285/1/19 2/19 12/18 8/18+ Total Agree ................................................................................................. 37 37 34 38 Strongly agree ........................................................................................... 23 23 18 21 Somewhat agree........................................................................................ 14 14 16 17 Total Disagree ............................................................................................ 60 58 62 56 Somewhat disagree ................................................................................... 12 11 11 10 Strongly disagree ....................................................................................... 48 47 51 46 Not sure ................................................................................................... 3 5 4 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 3/19 16 33 47 4 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Q11 Study #19401 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Do you think that the recent allegations against President Trump will or will not seriously affect his ability to lead the country for the remainder of his term? Will seriously affect his ability to lead the country .......................................................... Will not seriously affect his ability to lead the country .................................................... He already did not have the ability to lead the country before this event (VOL) ............ Not sure ....................................................................................................................... 41 49 3 7 RELATED CLINTON TREND Do you think that the recent allegations against President Clinton will or will not seriously affect his ability to lead the country in the remaining three years of his term? 9/12/98 8/98 7/98 4/98 Will seriously affect his ability to lead the country .................. 69 52 37 24 Will not seriously affect his ability to lead the country ............ 28 44 60 70 Not sure ............................................................................... 2 4 3 6 Q12 2-3/98 28 66 6 Which comes closer to your point of view about the allegations against President Trump… Would you say they are… (ROTATE) More of the same politically motivated attacks …OR… Serious and they should be fully investigated (IF CHOICE, ASK:) And do you feel that way strongly or not so strongly? Total politically motivated attacks ...................................... Strongly politically motivated attacks.................................... Not so strongly politically motivated attacks ......................... Total serious and investigate .............................................. Not so strongly serious and investigate................................ Strongly serious and investigate .......................................... Not sure ............................................................................. 44 39 5 51 3 48 5 Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only… QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... QF4 1 3 29 16 3 14 19 2 10 3 - Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat ............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat .............. Strictly Independent........................... Independent/lean Republican ............ Not very strong Republican ............... Strong Republican ............................. Other (VOL) ..................................... Not sure........................................... 22 8 9 16 10 6 19 7 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 QF5 Study #19401 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ................................................................. Somewhat liberal ....................................................... Moderate .................................................................... Somewhat conservative ............................................. Very conservative ...................................................... Not sure ................................................................... QF7 9 12 38 16 19 6 When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS ............................................................. Internet social media sites like Facebook and Twitter ............................................................... The cable channel Fox News .................................................................................................... The cable channel MSNBC or CNN .......................................................................................... Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites .......................................................................... Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ............................................................. Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ........................................... Watch different TV news (VOL) .............................................................................................. Get news from some other source (VOL) ............................................................................... Not sure................................................................................................................................... 47 38 36 35 20 19 8 2 2 1 (ASKED ONLY OF REGISTERED VOTERS) QF8 If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state next year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2020? 10/19+ Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus .................... 36 Vote in Republican Primary or caucus .................... 24 Wait until the general election ................................. 37 Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .............................Not sure .................................................................3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 9/19+ 38 27 32 3 8/19+ 37 26 34 3 7/19+ 35 25 36 1 3 6/19+ 38 28 30 2 2 4/285/1/19+ 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Early October 2019 Study #19401 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ASKED ONLY OF REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................ Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL)................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL)............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure ..................................................................................................... 24 13 19 20 2 1 4 1 12 4 (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN ADULTS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 10/19 9/19+ 7/19+ 6/19 Supporter of Donald Trump .......................................................................... 48 48 44 52 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 39 40 46 38 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 8 7 7 3 Neither (VOL) ............................................................................................. 4 4 2 5 Not sure...................................................................................................... 1 1 1 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 4/285/1/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2