Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 900 Adults, including 495 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: October 27-30, 2019 20 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 128 additional interviews were completed with Democratic primary voters in order to achieve a total of N=414 interviews. 48 Male 52 Female Study #19433 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 900 interviews among Adults is ±3.27% The margin of error for 720 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.65% The margin of error for 414 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.82% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24........................................ 25-29........................................ 30-34........................................ 35-39........................................ 40-44........................................ 45-49........................................ 50-54........................................ 55-59........................................ 60-64........................................ 65-69........................................ 70-74........................................ 75 and over .............................. Not sure/refused .................... Q2b 11 7 12 8 9 8 7 11 10 5 5 7 - To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................... No, not Hispanic ............... Not sure/refused ............. Q2c Q3 11 88 1 And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White ................................. Black .................................. Asian.................................. Other.................................. Hispanic (VOL) ................ Not sure/refused .............. 72 13 3 3 7 2 White, Non-Hispanic .......... 69 Registered Voter. Yes......................... No .......................... 80 20 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Q4 Study #19433 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Total approve ................ Strongly approve........... Somewhat approve ...... Total disapprove ........... Somewhat disapprove . Strongly disapprove ...... Not sure ...................... 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 2 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q5a Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing in handling the economy? Approve......................................... Disapprove.................................... No opinion................................... Not sure....................................... 10/2730/19* 52 43 3 2 8/19 49 46 3 2 4/285/1/19 51 41 7 1 1/19 51 45 NA 4 7/18+1 50 34 15 1 10/171 42 37 20 1 9/171 41 36 22 1 6/17 44 48 NA 8 * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). 1 2017-18 language included a read option for “No opinion.” Q5b Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing in handling foreign policy? Approve............................. Disapprove ........................ Not sure .......................... 10/2730/19** 41 55 4 2/19 43 52 5 ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). 6/17 39 57 4 4/17 40 55 5 4/17 44 46 NA 10 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q6 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups, and organizations and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE :2-10) Donald Trump October 27-30, 2019 ........................ October 4-6, 2019 ............................ September 2019+ ............................ August 2019 ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019 ........................ March 2019 ...................................... February 2019 ................................. January 2019 ................................... December 2018 ............................... November 2018+ ............................. October 2018+ ................................. September 2018+ ............................ August 18-22, 2018+ ....................... July 2018+ ....................................... June 2018+ ...................................... April 2018 ......................................... March 2018 ...................................... January 2018 ................................... December 2017 ............................... October 2017 ................................... September 2017 .............................. August 2017 ..................................... June 2017 ........................................ May 2017 ......................................... April 2017 ............................................. February 2017 ..................................... January 2017 ....................................... December 2016 ................................... October 10-13, 2016+ .......................... October 8-10, 2016+ ............................ September 2016+ ................................ August 2016+....................................... July 2016+ ........................................... June 2016+ .......................................... May 2016+ ........................................... April 2016+........................................... March 2016+ ........................................ February 2016+ ................................... January 2016+ ..................................... December 2015 ................................... October 25-29, 2015 ............................ October 15-18, 2015 ............................ September 2015 .................................. July 2015 ............................................. February 2011 ..................................... May 2004+ ........................................... December 1999 ................................... October 1999 ....................................... July 1990 ............................................. High February 2017 ..................................... Presidential Term Low April 2018 ............................................ All-time Trump Low April 2016+........................................... Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 12 15 13 11 12 16 14 14 12 16 13 16 14 13 17 16 16 18 20 14 13 13 15 17 17 16 13 13 17 15 15 17 17 17 16 17 7 9 8 8 12 9 8 9 11 6 7 9 9 9 9 12 11 8 9 10 12 12 11 9 11 10 13 13 8 7 11 11 13 11 12 10 11 12 12 13 17 17 16 16 40 10 9 7 8 8 10 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 8 9 8 10 12 9 10 10 12 10 11 10 12 12 11 11 12 14 12 10 10 11 12 14 14 14 13 18 43 44 44 45 41 41 40 43 43 45 43 44 42 43 41 43 40 48 45 46 39 40 41 42 40 35 38 35 52 51 49 50 49 48 44 53 54 49 47 47 42 39 44 43 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 9 4 3 3 17 12 11 11 38 28 25 28 14 24 23 25 15 25 32 24 7 7 6 9 27 16 10 12 35 - 21 14 12 10 43 - 11 13 10 12 53 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 29 27 30 28 28 28 30 27 24 29 27 26 29 28 24 21 23 24 21 23 23 22 25 21 23 27 20 20 15 17 15 13 10 12 13 11 12 11 14 12 10 13 8 10 9 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) The Republican Party1 October 27-30, 2019...................... April 28-May 1, 2019 ..................... January 2019 ................................. December 2018 ............................. November 2018+ ........................... October 2018+ ............................... September 2018+ .......................... August 18-22, 2018+ ..................... July 2018+ ..................................... June 2018+.................................... March 2018.................................... December 2017 ............................. October 2017 ................................. August 2017 .................................. April 2017 ...................................... February 2017 ............................... January 2017 ................................. December 2016 ............................. October 10-13, 2016+.................... September 2016+ .......................... July 2016+ ..................................... April 2016+ .................................... February 2016+ ............................. October 25-29, 2015...................... July 2015 ....................................... April 2015 ...................................... January 2015 ................................. December 2014 ............................. November 2014 ............................. Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+................. October 8-12, 2014+...................... September 2014+ .......................... June 2014 ...................................... January 2014 ................................. December 2013 ............................. October 25-28, 2013...................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ..................... February 2013 ............................... December 2012 ............................. October 2012+ ............................... September 26-30, 2012+ ............... August 2012+ ................................ May 2012 ....................................... January 2012 ................................. November 2011 ............................. August 2011 .................................. April 2011 ...................................... January 2011 ................................. December 2010 ............................. October 28-30, 2010+.................... September 2010 ............................ August 5-9, 2010 ........................... June 2010 ...................................... March 2010.................................... January 23-25, 2010...................... December 2009 ............................. High December 2001 ............................. Low October 25-28, 2013...................... Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 23 23 23 21 23 23 21 22 24 23 21 19 21 22 21 25 22 23 18 20 21 20 23 22 21 22 19 23 23 22 21 22 23 19 20 16 24 21 21 21 24 24 23 23 21 24 24 27 27 22 23 18 24 25 25 23 21 22 21 25 14 19 22 24 19 20 24 23 25 25 21 21 22 26 24 23 21 21 21 26 26 26 27 24 23 23 21 26 24 28 22 24 26 24 23 20 18 18 23 24 23 21 24 24 23 24 25 28 26 24 27 27 16 19 18 18 16 16 20 19 20 23 21 23 25 21 21 20 21 18 24 21 24 23 23 20 22 20 23 22 18 23 25 20 22 22 26 23 18 20 18 18 18 16 19 19 18 23 22 21 17 18 21 24 23 20 18 24 26 23 25 24 29 28 24 24 26 24 24 26 21 24 26 23 22 20 25 27 27 28 23 24 22 23 23 23 25 24 25 21 23 25 25 30 23 26 27 25 25 29 24 25 26 23 22 19 20 23 22 22 19 23 20 19 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 21 36 18 13 9 3 6 16 24 23 30 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 13 12 11 11 17 13 11 10 11 9 9 8 6 7 10 10 13 12 8 9 6 7 10 7 7 8 6 7 9 7 6 9 6 5 6 6 8 8 9 15 14 12 9 8 9 8 7 7 11 12 8 6 6 6 7 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) The Democratic Party1 October 27-30, 2019 ...................... April 28-May 1, 2019...................... January 2019 ................................. December 2018 ............................. November 2018+ ........................... October 2018+ ............................... September 2018+ .......................... August 18-22, 2018+ ..................... July 2018+ ..................................... June 2018+ .................................... March 2018.................................... December 2017 ............................. October 2017 ................................. August 2017 .................................. April 2017 ...................................... February 2017 ............................... January 2017 ................................. December 2016 ............................. October 10-13, 2016+ .................... September 2016+ .......................... July 2016+ ..................................... April 2016+ .................................... February 2016+ ............................. October 25-29, 2015 ...................... July 2015 ....................................... April 2015 ...................................... January 2015 ................................. December 2014 ............................. November 2014 ............................. Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ................. October 8-12, 2014+...................... September 2014+ .......................... June 2014 ...................................... January 2014 ................................. December 2013 ............................. October 25-28, 2013 ...................... September 2013 ............................ May 30-June 2, 2013 ..................... February 2013 ............................... December 2012 ............................. October 2012+ ............................... September 26-30, 2012+ ............... August 2012+ ................................ June 2012 ...................................... January 2012 ................................. November 2011 ............................. August 2011 .................................. April 2011 ...................................... January 2011 ................................. December 2010 ............................. October 28-30, 2010+ .................... September 2010 ............................ August 5-9, 2010 ........................... May 6-11, 2010 .............................. January 10-14, 2010 ...................... December 2009 ............................. High January 2000 ................................... Low July 2006 ......................................... Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 22 22 24 25 23 21 27 22 24 24 21 22 20 23 23 22 23 24 24 22 24 28 24 26 25 26 26 25 26 24 25 25 25 27 26 22 27 25 23 23 21 21 23 23 23 25 22 26 24 28 23 22 22 26 27 25 21 26 23 23 18 20 23 24 23 22 27 28 26 25 26 24 19 23 18 20 19 20 21 18 22 24 24 22 20 19 20 22 21 22 19 21 22 22 22 19 17 17 16 25 23 22 21 22 25 20 17 20 22 19 20 19 14 15 16 15 15 18 14 18 18 20 18 16 19 19 16 23 16 20 16 16 19 19 17 17 18 17 18 17 20 20 20 20 18 20 20 18 20 19 17 16 17 17 17 18 21 18 19 18 19 18 19 20 18 18 18 19 28 24 24 22 28 26 24 25 25 22 22 22 23 21 23 23 28 22 26 27 22 22 21 22 20 19 20 22 21 23 23 22 22 20 24 22 18 18 19 19 23 22 23 19 18 19 25 21 16 23 23 22 26 24 23 26 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 20 30 23 15 10 2 7 25 27 22 17 2 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 13 12 11 14 15 14 11 10 10 11 11 11 12 11 11 8 12 10 15 15 15 10 16 15 13 12 9 12 12 12 12 11 13 10 10 15 13 14 18 21 21 21 19 14 15 15 11 12 15 9 16 15 11 11 11 10 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 18 17 18 14 14 14 17 12 13 15 13 18 15 15 16 15 14 15 18 19 18 19 19 17 16 17 18 18 16 10 11 10 10 18 17 22 20 22 24 19 25 22 20 18 22 22 16 15 17 19 19 16 16 16 17 15 19 21 21 20 23 21 18 12 20 17 11 13 13 13 13 14 15 14 13 12 12 10 12 11 11 14 11 12 9 11 11 12 9 10 14 11 12 9 8 8 7 6 6 34 34 28 35 35 29 28 30 33 35 32 27 32 37 39 36 35 32 33 33 33 34 28 26 27 22 18 15 15 17 16 12 10 6 8 9 10 10 12 13 12 13 12 18 15 11 12 11 11 14 16 16 13 15 13 17 19 15 24 21 25 31 43 50 49 52 5 4 6 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 13 13 15 11 12 11 11 12 5 10 14 7 10 7 8 9 6 9 20 23 19 25 21 24 21 24 24 25 22 24 22 25 22 20 19 19 14 10 10 18 18 17 16 14 18 11 13 10 11 7 8 9 8 5 26 25 26 23 21 20 25 20 15 17 14 13 11 12 11 9 6 1 22 25 24 22 27 27 27 28 36 35 33 45 44 46 48 50 58 64 6 10 15 6 22 41 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Nancy Pelosi October 27-30, 2019 .................... January 2019 ............................... December 2018............................ October 2018+ ............................. August 2018+ ............................... March 2018 .................................. September 2017........................... February 2017 .............................. October 2015 ............................... November 2014............................ October 8-12, 2014+ .................... January 2013 ............................... January 2012 ............................... November 11-15, 2010 ................ October 28-30, 2010+ .................. September 2010........................... August 5-9, 2010 .......................... January 10-14, 2010 .................. October 2009 ............................... September 2009........................... July 2009...................................... June 2009 .................................... February 2009 .............................. January 2009 ............................... October 4-5, 2008+ ...................... January 2008 ............................... April 2007 .................................... January 2007 ............................... December 2006............................ October 2006+ ............................. September 2006+ ........................ December 2005............................ February 2005 .............................. 13 11 10 8 6 7 8 7 6 6 7 8 8 9 8 7 7 6 8 8 7 5 12 9 7 5 11 10 9 4 4 3 5 Mitch McConnell October 27-30, 2019* ................... January 2019 ............................... October 2018+ ............................. August 2018+ ............................... January 2018 ............................... October 2017 ............................... September 2017........................... February 2017 .............................. October 2015 ............................... January 2015 ............................... November 2014............................ April 2014 ..................................... January 2013 ............................... January 2012 ............................... November 11-15, 2010 ................ September 2010........................... October 2009 .............................. January 2007 ............................... Adam Schiff October 27-30, 2019* ................... * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 14 13 14 15 15 16 16 10 13 19 17 13 17 22 18 22 21 28 11 16 16 14 11 9 11 10 12 27 23 23 21 21 20 17 15 13 9 11 10 6 11 16 14 28 24 27 27 31 28 28 31 27 31 32 31 25 26 35 30 30 29 30 34 32 30 29 30 30 25 32 30 30 34 35 31 33 37 35 35 24 25 10 11 11 12 13 13 9 10 12 11 18 16 11 10 10 15 21 15 8 6 7 6 7 6 10 4 4 7 9 11 5 6 5 5 12 8 2 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 3 5 2 3 3 3 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Mike Pence October 27-30, 2019* ................... January 2018 ............................... April 2017 ..................................... February 2017 .............................. January 2017 ............................... December 2016............................ October 10-13, 2016+ .................. September 2016+ ........................ August 2016+ ............................... 20 20 24 27 20 21 20 16 10 The Federal Bureau of Investigation, or FBI October 27-30, 2019** ................. December 2018............................ October 2018+ ............................. June 2018+ .................................. March 2018 .................................. January 2018 ............................... December 2017............................ June 2017 .................................... May 2017 ..................................... April 2017 ..................................... December 2016............................ July 2016+.................................... June 2016+ .................................. December 2014............................ May 30-June 2, 2013 ................... June 2006 ................................... June 2002 .................................... July 1995...................................... 21 24 21 22 20 22 20 23 20 16 12 14 13 12 18 13 10 15 * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 16 20 17 19 21 23 19 22 20 20 22 24 24 23 22 25 20 21 21 19 20 19 18 15 20 18 19 21 16 18 18 16 11 8 37 27 32 29 25 21 12 14 18 17 23 22 23 26 28 26 30 32 30 32 30 30 30 29 29 30 31 24 26 27 26 23 24 22 19 25 25 22 19 18 15 14 16 15 16 17 19 18 20 21 21 17 17 18 16 13 10 20 16 12 17 19 16 17 14 13 11 7 19 17 19 18 20 26 29 30 27 29 24 22 19 18 19 15 11 13 12 11 10 12 10 10 9 8 11 13 11 12 11 7 6 4 7 4 2 4 4 1 1 1 1 2 6 5 6 5 7 14 12 14 15 17 20 22 20 19 22 13 16 22 22 25 36 44 56 15 14 17 18 23 27 31 28 37 36 29 25 23 16 14 16 21 24 19 20 20 21 22 20 16 9 7 12 15 12 20 17 16 15 8 9 7 3 1 37 30 27 27 20 20 15 15 6 5 4 3 1 16 18 14 10 7 7 6 7 7 9 11 11 5 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Mitt Romney October 27-30, 2019** .................. July 2016+ .................................... March 2016+ ................................ January 2015................................ September 2014+ ......................... December 2012 ............................ October 2012+.............................. September 26-30, 2012+.............. September 12-16, 2012+.............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+ .................................... June 2012..................................... May 2012...................................... April 2012 ..................................... March 2012 .................................. January 2012................................ December 2011 ............................ November 2011 ............................ October 2011................................ August 2011 ................................. June 2011..................................... February 2011 .............................. December 9-13, 2010 ................... September 2010 ........................... March 2010 .................................. July 2009 ...................................... April 2008+ .................................. January 2008................................ December 2007 ............................ November 2007 ............................ September 2007 ........................... June 2007..................................... March 2007 .................................. December 2006 ............................ 2 7 5 8 12 12 24 19 18 18 13 9 10 10 6 6 4 5 6 5 7 6 10 6 7 10 9 7 9 4 6 5 4 3 Rudy Giuliani October 27-30, 2019** .................. October 4-6, 2019 ........................ August 2018+ ............................... June 2018+ .................................. January 2008................................ December 2007 ............................... November 2007 ............................ September 2007 ........................... March 2007 .................................. December 2006 ............................ August 2004+ ............................... September 2002 ........................... December 2001 ............................ 9 12 11 12 6 10 12 15 21 19 29 42 61 * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE The Federal Bureau of Investigation, or FBI ........... 48 18 Mike Pence............................................................. 34 38 The Republican Party ............................................. 36 42 The Democratic Party ............................................. 35 42 Adam Schiff ............................................................ 16 28 Donald Trump......................................................... 40 53 Nancy Pelosi .......................................................... 31 45 Mitt Romney ........................................................... 18 38 Rudy Giuliani .......................................................... 24 44 Mitch McConnell ..................................................... 18 40 D/S 30 -4 -6 -7 -12 -13 -14 -20 -20 -22 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics… Q7 Please tell me how interested you are in the 2020 elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in the elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") 1 10, very interested ..... 9................................. 8................................. 7................................. 6................................. 5................................. 4................................. 3................................. 2................................. 1, not at all interested Cannot rate .............. 10/2730/19+ 64 8 11 5 3 3 2 1 1 2 - 4/285/1/19+ 63 6 13 6 3 5 1 1 2 - 10/1013/16+ 67 5 9 5 3 4 2 1 1 2 1 10/810/16+ 62 8 10 5 2 6 2 1 4 - 9/16+ 60 8 11 7 3 4 1 2 1 3 - 5/16+ 60 9 11 6 3 6 1 2 2 - 2/16+ 61 9 13 6 3 4 1 1 2 - 9/15+ 56 8 13 9 3 5 1 1 1 2 1 4/15+ 53 7 15 8 4 7 1 1 2 2 - 10/12+ 69 8 9 4 2 5 1 2 - 9/2630/12+ 65 8 10 5 3 5 1 1 2 - 9/1216/12+ 64 8 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 1 - 8/12+ 62 6 13 6 3 5 1 1 1 2 - 7/12+ 62 6 11 7 4 5 1 1 3 - 6/12+ 60 8 12 7 3 5 2 1 1 1 - 5/12+ 62 7 12 6 4 5 1 1 1 1 - 4/12+ 61 6 12 7 3 5 2 2 1 2 - 3/12+ 48 11 14 9 5 6 2 1 1 2 1 1/12+ 57 10 11 7 3 6 2 2 1 1 - 10/45/08+ 72 7 10 4 1 3 1 2 - 9/1922/08+ 70 8 9 5 2 3 1 1 1 - 9/68/08+ 69 10 10 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 - 8/08+ 65 8 11 5 2 3 1 1 1 3 - 7/08+ 64 8 12 5 3 4 1 1 2 - 6/08+ 67 7 11 5 2 4 1 1 2 - 4/08+ 65 9 11 4 3 3 1 2 2 - 3/08+ 67 8 10 5 2 3 1 1 2 1 1/08+ 66 10 10 4 3 4 1 1 1 - 12/07+ 65 8 12 5 2 4 1 1 2 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. 11/07+ 62 9 11 6 3 5 1 1 2 - Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Q8 Study #19433 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state next year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2020? Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus ......... Vote in Republican Primary or caucus ......... Wait until the general election ...................... Do not plan to vote at all (VOL).................. Not sure ...................................................... 10/2730/19 36 25 36 1 3 10/46/19 36 24 37 3 9/19+ 38 27 32 3 8/19+ 37 26 34 3 7/19+ 35 25 36 1 3 6/19+ 38 28 30 2 2 4/285/1/19+ 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Now, thinking specifically about the 2020 Democratic primary elections… Q9a I am going to read a list of SIXTEEN of the declared candidates running for the Democratic nomination for President. After I read the entire list, please tell me if a Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-16)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Joe Biden ............................... Elizabeth Warren ................... Bernie Sanders ...................... Pete Buttigieg ........................ Amy Klobuchar ...................... Kamala Harris ........................ Andrew Yang ......................... Cory Booker ........................... Tulsi Gabbard ........................ Beto O’Rourke ....................... Julián Castro .......................... Michael Bennet ...................... Marianne Williamson ............. Steve Bullock ......................... Tom Steyer ............................ John Delaney ......................... Bill de Blasio .......................... John Hickenlooper ................. Jay Inslee............................... Other (VOL) ........................ None (VOL) ......................... Not sure .............................. 10/2730/19^^ 27 23 19 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 NA NA NA 1 5 9/19^^ 31 25 14 7 2 5 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 NA NA 1 2 7/19^^ 26 19 13 7 1 13 2 1 2 1 1 1 NA 1 1 1 2 8 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. (ASKED IF FIRST CHOICE OF BIDEN, WARREN, SANDERS OR BUTTIGIEG1) Q9b And, would you definitely vote for (NAME), probably vote for (NAME), but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning towards voting for (NAME)? ^^ Definitely vote for candidate ............................... Probably vote for candidate ............................... Just leaning towards voting for candidate .......... Not sure ........................................................... Among Biden First Choice 50 23 26 1 Among Among Warren Sanders First Choice First Choice 32 57 24 21 42 22 2 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. 1 Buttigieg results too small to report, N=25. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ASKED IF FIRST CHOICE ON Q9a) Q9c And, which of the remaining candidates would be your second choice? (DO NOT READ LIST) (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Elizabeth Warren ................... Joe Biden ............................... Bernie Sanders ...................... Pete Buttigieg ........................ Kamala Harris ........................ Amy Klobuchar ...................... Cory Booker ........................... Andrew Yang ......................... Michael Bennet ...................... Tulsi Gabbard ........................ Beto O’Rourke ....................... Julián Castro .......................... Marianne Williamson ............. Tom Steyer ............................ Steve Bullock ......................... John Delaney ......................... Bill de Blasio .......................... John Hickenlooper ................. Jay Inslee............................... Tim Ryan ............................... Mind is definitely made up ..... Other (VOL) ........................ None (VOL) ......................... Not sure .............................. 10/2730/19^^ 24 15 14 12 9 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA 4 5 9/19^^ 21 11 16 12 8 2 4 2 1 5 1 1 1 NA NA 9 2 4 7/19^^ 13 10 12 8 14 2 1 3 2 2 1 NA 1 1 1 12 2 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q9a/c Combined first/second choices. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Elizabeth Warren ................... Joe Biden ............................... Bernie Sanders ...................... Pete Buttigieg ........................ Kamala Harris ........................ Amy Klobuchar ...................... Andrew Yang ......................... Cory Booker ........................... Tulsi Gabbard ........................ Beto O’Rourke ....................... Julián Castro .......................... Marianne Williamson ............. Michael Bennet ...................... Tom Steyer ............................ Steve Bullock ......................... John Delaney ......................... Bill de Blasio .......................... John Hickenlooper ................. Jay Inslee............................... Tim Ryan ............................... None (VOL) ......................... Not sure .............................. 10/2730/19^^ 45 41 33 17 13 9 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 NA NA NA NA 1 4 9/19^^ 45 41 29 19 14 5 6 6 2 6 1 1 1 1 1 1 NA NA 3 5 7/19^^ 32 36 25 15 28 1 4 3 3 4 3 2 1 NA 1 1 1 2 1 2 7 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Q9d Study #19433 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey How satisfied are you with the choice of DEMOCRATIC candidates for president (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) -- very satisfied, fairly satisfied, not very satisfied, or not at all satisfied? ^^ Very satisfied ............................................... Fairly satisfied ............................................. Not very satisfied ......................................... No at all satisfied ......................................... Not sure ..................................................... 31 54 9 4 2 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q9e Which will be more important in deciding your vote in the Democratic presidential primary? ^^ 1 Voting for a candidate who will build on former President Obama’s legacy................... Voting for a candidate who will take a new and different approach................................ Not sure ....................................................................................................................... 37 55 8 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. 1 Question language from a September 2019 FOX News Poll of registered voters more likely to vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking again about the 2020 presidential election… (ROTATE Q10A-B) Q10A (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................. Joe Biden ........................................ Depends (VOL) ............................ Neither/other (VOL) ...................... Not sure ....................................... 10/2730/19+ 41 50 6 3 7/19+ 42 51 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q10B (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Elizabeth Warren were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................. Elizabeth Warren ............................ Depends (VOL) ............................ Neither/other (VOL) ...................... Not sure ....................................... 10/2730/19+ 42 50 5 3 7/19+ 43 48 1 4 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q11 Which one of these three statements comes closest to your point of view? + Statement A: I am almost certain to vote for Donald Trump no matter whom the Democrats nominate for president. Statement B: I am almost certain to vote against Donald Trump no matter whom the Democrats decide to nominate. Statement C: I may vote for or against Donald Trump depending upon whom the Democrats nominate for president. A: Certain to vote for Trump .......................................... B: Certain to vote against Trump.................................... C: May vote either way depending on nominee .............. Not sure ......................................................................... 34 46 17 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED DECEMBER 2011 TREND+ A: Certain to vote for Obama .......................................... B: Certain to vote against Obama.................................... C: May vote either way depending on nominee .............. Not sure ......................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 34 37 27 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Q12 Study #19433 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey And, knowing it is a long ways off, what is your preference for the outcome of next year’s congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? Republican-controlled ...... Democrat-controlled ......... Not sure ........................... 10/2730/19+ 42 49 9 10/18+ 41 48 11 9/18+ 40 52 8 8/1822/18+ 42 50 8 7/18+ 43 49 8 6/18+ 40 50 10 4/18+ 40 47 13 3/18+ 40 50 10 1/18+ 43 49 8 12/17+ 39 50 11 10/17+ 41 48 11 9/17+ 42 48 10 6/17+ 42 50 8 4/17+ 43 47 10 10/1013/16+ 44 46 10 10/810/16+ 42 48 10 9/16+ 45 48 7 8/16+ 43 47 10 6/16+ 46 46 8 5/16+ 44 48 8 4/16+ 45 47 8 10/25- 10/3010/829/15+ 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 45 42 42 45 46 46 10 12 12 9/14+ 45 43 12 6/14+ 43 45 12 4/14+ 45 45 10 3/14+ 44 43 13 1/14+ 43 45 12 12/13+ 44 42 14 10/2528/13+ 41 45 14 10/79/13+ 39 47 14 9/13+ 43 46 11 7/13+ 44 44 12 6/13+ 42 45 13 10/12+ 43 45 12 9/2630/12+ 43 47 10 8/12+ 42 47 11 7/12+ 45 46 9 6/12+ 44 45 11 5/12+ 43 44 13 4/12+ 44 46 10 3/12+ 41 46 13 1/12+ 41 47 12 12/11+ 43 45 12 11/11+ 43 46 11 10/11+ 41 45 14 8/11+ 47 41 12 6/11+ 44 44 12 10/2830/10+ 46 44 10 10/1418/10+ 44 46 10 9/10+ 44 44 12 8/2630/10+ 43 43 14 8/59/10+ 42 43 15 6/10+ 45 43 12 5/2023/10+ 44 43 13 3/10+ 42 45 13 1/2325/10+ 42 44 14 1/1014/10+ 41 41 18 12/09+ 41 43 16 10/09+ 38 46 16 9/09+ 40 43 17 7/09+ 39 46 15 4/09+ 39 48 13 11/08+ 36 48 16 10/08+ 36 49 15 9/08+ 37 50 13 8/08+ 36 47 17 6/08+ 33 52 15 4/08+ 34 49 17 3/08+ 35 49 16 11/07+ 37 46 17 9/07+ 35 47 18 10/06+ 37 52 11 9/06+ 39 48 13 7/06+ 38 48 14 6/06+ 38 49 13 4/06+ 39 45 16 3/06+ 37 50 13 1/06+ 38 47 15 12/05+ 38 46 16 11/05+ 37 48 15 10/05+ 39 48 13 7/05+ 40 45 15 5/05+ 40 47 13 10/04+ 43 44 13 9/04+ 42 46 12 6/04+ 42 44 14 5/04+ 41 44 15 3/04+ 42 45 13 1/04 42 43 15 9/02 42 42 16 7/02 43 41 16 6/02 42 41 17 1/02 44 40 16 12/01 42 40 18 12/99 40 44 16 10/99 39 41 20 7/99 39 43 18 6/99 42 41 17 10/98+ 41 43 16 9/98 40 39 21 7/98 41 40 19 6/98 39 40 21 1/98 40 42 18 12/97 41 37 22 9/97 41 39 20 7/97 45 39 16 4/97 44 38 18 12/13/03 10/02+ 42 43 42 42 16 15 4/99 41 40 19 3/99 37 43 20 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ASKED OF ¼ SAMPLE FORM E) Q13 Now, if you had to select one word or very short phrase to describe your feelings about Donald Trump, what would it be? + SEE RECORDED RESPONSES Now, turning back to the presidential race… Q14 As you think about the upcoming presidential election, are you thinking more about….(ROTATE PUNCHES 1 & 2) What Donald Trump would do if he wins ................................................... What the Democratic candidate would do if they win ................................ …or… Neither of these? ...................................................................................... Not sure .................................................................................................. 29 42 27 2 (ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY TRUMP IN Q14) Q15a And are you thinking more about….(ROTATE STATEMENTS) The positive things that Trump would do ............................ The negative things that Trump would do .......................... Not sure............................................................................ Among All Asked 59 39 2 Among All Adults 17 11 1 (ASKED ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE IN Q14) Q15b And are you thinking more about….(ROTATE STATEMENTS) Among All Asked The positive things that the Democratic candidate would do ........ 65 The negative things that the Democratic candidate would do ....... 33 Not sure ...................................................................................... 2 Q16 Among All Adults 27 14 1 How confident are you that Donald Trump has the right set of goals and policies to be president of the United States––extremely confident, quite confident, only somewhat confident, or not at all confident? Donald Trump Extremely confident ...................... Quite confident .............................. Only somewhat confident .............. Not at all confident ........................ Not sure ...................................... 10/2730/19 22 13 14 50 1 1/19 21 12 17 49 1 Barack Obama 1/17 14 16 26 44 - 1/09 29 25 30 15 1 12/08 30 24 29 16 1 George W. Bush Bill Clinton 1/01 15 25 37 21 2 1/93 19 31 35 13 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking more about Donald Trump… Q17 Now, how would you rate Donald Trump on the following qualities, using a five-point scale, on which a "5" means a very good rating, a "1" means a very poor rating, and a "3" means a mixed rating? (IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE RANKED BY % VERY GOOD RATING Very Good Rating 5 4 3 Dealing with the economy October 27-30, 2019 ............................................................ February 2017 ..................................................................... January 2017 ....................................................................... Standing up to adversaries like Russia, North Korea and China October 27-30, 2019 ............................................................ Being a good negotiator October 27-30, 2019* .......................................................... January 2019 ....................................................................... Changing business as usual in Washington October 27-30, 2019 ............................................................ January 2019 ....................................................................... January 2018 ....................................................................... June 2017 ............................................................................ April 2017 ............................................................................ February 2017 ..................................................................... January 2017 ....................................................................... Serving as commander-in-chief October 27-30, 2019 ............................................................ Being effective and getting things done October 27-30, 2019* .......................................................... January 2019 ....................................................................... January 2018 ....................................................................... April 2017 ............................................................................ February 2017 ..................................................................... January 2017 ....................................................................... April 2016+ .......................................................................... October 25-29, 2015+ .......................................................... Dealing with an international crisis October 27-30, 2019** ......................................................... January 2018 ....................................................................... April 2017 ............................................................................ February 2017 ..................................................................... January 2017 ....................................................................... April 2016+ .......................................................................... Being steady and reliable October 27-30, 2019** ......................................................... January 2019 ....................................................................... January 2018 ....................................................................... Sharing your positions on the issues October 27-30, 2019 ............................................................ January 2017 ....................................................................... April 2016+ .......................................................................... October 25-29, 2015+ .......................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). Very Poor Rating 2 1 Cannot Rate 33 29 32 12 16 14 15 19 18 10 9 12 29 25 24 1 2 - 32 11 12 5 40 - 31 25 9 11 13 16 8 9 39 38 1 29 26 22 25 25 33 33 10 13 13 14 14 12 12 18 20 23 23 21 22 20 7 10 9 10 11 10 11 33 29 32 27 28 21 22 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 29 9 9 7 45 1 28 23 22 21 30 30 27 28 11 15 14 18 16 13 11 20 15 16 15 20 19 23 20 18 10 11 12 10 11 9 12 12 35 35 37 31 23 23 30 21 1 1 2 1 24 16 16 14 16 11 13 12 14 15 15 9 11 15 19 20 18 15 9 6 12 11 11 11 42 50 38 39 39 53 1 1 1 1 1 - 23 21 17 11 11 11 11 14 15 8 9 8 45 44 49 1 - 21 17 15 16 12 15 12 15 18 24 19 22 7 11 11 11 41 32 43 35 1 1 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey THIS TABLE RANKED BY % VERY GOOD RATING Very Good Rating 5 4 3 Q17 (cont’d) Being honest and trustworthy October 27-30, 2019* .......................................................... January 2019 ....................................................................... January 2018 ....................................................................... June 2017 ............................................................................ April 2017 ............................................................................ February 2017 ..................................................................... January 2017 ....................................................................... Having high personal and ethical standards October 27-30, 2019** ......................................................... January 2019 ....................................................................... January 2018 ....................................................................... January 2017 ....................................................................... Very Poor Rating 2 1 Cannot Rate 20 16 17 17 12 19 20 7 12 12 14 13 15 12 15 13 14 13 21 17 15 4 9 8 7 6 8 11 53 49 49 48 47 41 41 1 1 1 1 1 15 14 11 11 12 10 10 15 15 16 16 19 9 10 9 12 49 48 53 43 2 1 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B). Thinking now about the economy… Q18 During the next twelve months, do you think that the nation's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Will get better................ Will get worse ............... Will stay about the same Not sure ...................... 10/2730/19 24 27 48 1 12/18 28 33 37 2 1/18 35 20 43 2 2/17 41 21 36 2 12/16 42 19 38 1 12/15 24 24 50 2 7/15 25 24 51 - 3/15 29 21 48 2 12/14 31 17 51 1 10/812/14+ 28 24 46 2 Thinking now about Syria… Q19 Do you think President Trump’s decision to withdraw U.S. troops from northeastern Syria where Turkey’s armed forces have engaged in military activity against the Kurdish people is the right decision, the wrong decision, or do you not have an opinion about this? Right decision .............................................. Wrong decision............................................ No opinion ................................................... Not sure ..................................................... 29 41 28 2 Thinking more about this… Q20 Do you think President Trump’s decision to withdraw U.S. troops from northeastern Syria makes the U.S. more safe, less safe, has no real impact on the U.S. either way, or do you not have an opinion about this? More safe .................................................... Less safe ..................................................... No real impact either way ............................ No opinion ................................................... Not sure ..................................................... 10 35 29 25 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q21A And, based upon what you know today about President Trump’s call and actions related to his discussion with the Ukrainian president, do you approve or disapprove of the impeachment inquiry being conducted by Congress to determine if there is enough evidence to remove Donald Trump from office? Approve................................ Disapprove ........................... Not sure ............................. Q21B 53 44 3 And, based on what you have seen, read, or heard, would you say Congress should… (ROTATE) Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ................. Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office ...... Not sure ................................................................................... 49 46 5 RELATED OCTOBER 4-6 TREND – CHANGE IN QUESTIONNAIRE ORDER Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ................. Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office ...... Not sure ................................................................................... 43 49 8 (ASKED IF CONGRESS SHOULD IMPEACH, Q21B:1) Q21B_1 And, in only a few words, please tell me the main reason you think Congress should impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office? SEE RECORDED RESPONSES (ASKED IF CONGRESS SHOULD NOT IMPEACH, Q21B:2) Q21B_2 And, in only a few words, please tell me the main reason you think Congress should NOT impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office? SEE RECORDED RESPONSES (ASKED IF CONGRESS SHOULD IMPEACH, Q21B:1) Q21C And, what would you like to see Congress do next…(ROTATE) Move to impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office NOW............... Continue the impeachment inquiry to gather more evidence .......................... Not sure ........................................................................................................ Not impeach/Not sure on Q21B .................................................................... Among All Asked 41 58 1 NA Among All Adults 20 28 1 51 (ASKED IF CONGRESS SHOULD NOT IMPEACH, Q21B:2, ASK) Q21D And, what would you like to see Congress do next…(ROTATE) Continue the impeachment inquiry to see if there is more evidence to support removing Donald Trump from office .............................................................................................. Stop the impeachment inquiry and allow Donald Trump to finish his term as president Not sure ....................................................................................................................... Impeach/Not sure on Q21B.......................................................................................... Among All Asked Among All Adults 7 92 1 NA 3 42 1 54 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Q22 Study #19433 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage of the death of ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi in a U.S. military raid in Syria? (IF YES, THEN ASK) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this? 1 Total Yes ............................. Yes, a lot ............................ Yes, just some ................... No ........................................ Not sure ............................. 84 36 48 15 1 1 Asked October 28-30, N=666. Q23 Do you think the death of ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi makes the United States more safe, less safe, does it have no real impact on the U.S. either way, or do you not have an opinion about this? More safe ............................. Less safe.............................. No real impact either way..... No opinion ............................ Not sure ............................. 1 Asked October 28-30, N=666. 40 9 29 20 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 Study #19433 -- page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ...................... Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ....... Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ....... Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ..................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ......................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) .................................................................. Voted for someone else (VOL) ........................................................ Voted, not sure ................................................................................. No, Did Not Vote ................................................................................ Not sure............................................................................................ 23 16 17 23 2 1 4 1 11 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? Supporter of Donald Trump ...................... Supporter of the Republican Party ............ Both (VOL) .............................................. Neither (VOL) .......................................... Not sure .................................................. 10/2730/19+ 52 38 6 2 2 10/46/19+ 48 39 8 4 1 9/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 4/285/1/19 47 42 5 5 1 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-at-home mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ................. White-collar worker ...................... Blue-collar worker ........................ Farmer, rancher ........................... Not Currently Employed Student ......................................... Stay at home mom/dad ................ Retired.......................................... Unemployed, looking for work ...... Other ............................................ Not sure...................................... QF3 25 21 19 1 3 4 24 2 1 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate ............................................... Some college, no degree ......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................. Not sure/refused .................................................... 1 5 27 20 2 11 19 2 10 3 - 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2019 QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat .......................... Not very strong Democrat ............. Independent/lean Democrat ......... Strictly Independent ...................... Independent/lean Republican ....... Not very strong Republican .......... Strong Republican ........................ Other (VOL) ................................ Not sure ...................................... QF5 Study #19433 -- page 22 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey 24 9 10 14 10 6 19 6 2 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ....................................... Somewhat liberal .............................. Moderate .......................................... Somewhat conservative ................... Very conservative ............................. Not sure .......................................... 13 13 34 19 16 5 QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member .............. Union household .................... Non-union household ............. Not sure ............................... QF7 13 8 78 1 When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS ........................ Internet social media sites like Facebook and Twitter .......................... The cable channel Fox News ............................................................... The cable channel MSNBC or CNN ..................................................... Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites ..................................... Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ........................ Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ...... Watch different TV news (VOL) ......................................................... Get news from some other source (VOL) .......................................... Not sure.............................................................................................. QF8 44 38 35 33 22 19 8 1 3 - How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class ................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... 7 24 47 17 3 2