The Dartmouth Data Visualization Team December 18, 2019 19F 2020 Election Survey Survey date: November 13–18, 2019 Respondents: Reached 4,845 current undergraduates through their student emails, with N=532 respondents. The margin of error among the total 532 respondents is ±4.01%. Unless otherwise stated, all results are shown as percentages after weighting has been applied. Unless otherwise stated, questions were asked to all respondents. A “+” notes percentages that do not add up to 100 due to rounding error. Q1 Which political party do you identify with? Democratic ............................................................. Republican .............................................................. Libertarian .............................................................. Green ........................................................................ Other ........................................................................ No affiliation / Independent ............................ Q2 Which political ideology do you broadly identify with? Very liberal ............................................................. Left-leaning ............................................................ Centrist .................................................................... Right-leaning ......................................................... Very conservative ............................................... Q3 48 15 4 1 2 30 26 35 15 18 6 If the general election were today, which of these candidates would you vote for? Elizabeth Warren................................................. Pete Buttigieg ....................................................... Donald Trump ....................................................... Bernie Sanders...................................................... Joe Biden ................................................................. Andrew Yang ......................................................... Kamala Harris ....................................................... Tulsi Gabbard ........................................................ Bill Weld .................................................................. Julián Castro .......................................................... Cory Booker........................................................... Tom Steyer ............................................................. 1 21 18 17 15 10 9 3 2 2 1 1 1 Q3 (continued) Other candidates received zero percent support after rounding. Two respondents selected Amy Klobuchar, while one respondent selected each of John Delaney, Joe Sestak, Joe Walsh, Michael Bennet, and Marianne Williamson. No respondents selected Steve Bullock. Q4 Do you view the following figures/institutions/organizations favorably or unfavorably? Figure / Institution / Organization Congress Democratic Party Republican Party Nancy Pelosi Mitch McConnell Adam Schiff + Trump-Ukraine Whistleblower Facebook Twitter Q5 Favorable 10 40 16 35 9 18 31 9 29 57 16 27 Has being at Dartmouth been an important or an unimportant influence on your political views? + Very important ..................................................... Somewhat important ......................................... Neither important nor unimportant ............ Somewhat unimportant .................................... Very unimportant ................................................ Q7 Unfavorable 45 36 70 32 67 19 40 65 33 Have you attended any campus events held by 2020 presidential candidates? Yes.............................................................................. No, but plan to....................................................... No ............................................................................... Q6 Unsure 45 24 14 33 24 62 29 26 38 14 41 18 12 14 Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Approve ................................................................... Disapprove ............................................................. Unsure ...................................................................... 2 17 78 5 Q8 Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing in... Approve 31 10 12 8 17 managing the economy? handling government corruption? handling foreign relationships? dealing with climate change? + changing immigration policy? Q9 66 20 14 Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. Strongly agree ....................................................... Somewhat agree .................................................. Neither agree nor disagree.............................. Somewhat disagree ............................................ Strongly disagree ................................................. Q12 32 45 4 12 7 Do you support the current impeachment inquiry against President Trump? Yes.............................................................................. No ............................................................................... Unsure ...................................................................... Q11 Disapprove 48 80 83 85 72 How aware are you of the details of the Trump-Ukraine situation? Very aware ............................................................. Somewhat aware ................................................. Neither aware nor unaware ............................ Somewhat unaware ............................................ Very unaware ........................................................ Q10 Unsure 21 10 5 6 11 41 23 12 9 15 How aware are you of President Trump's most recent tweets? + Very aware ............................................................. Somewhat aware ................................................. Neither aware nor unaware ............................ Somewhat unaware ............................................ Very unaware ........................................................ 3 18 40 10 19 14 Q13a (For Democratic-identifying students only) Which do you view as more important in how you will vote in a 2020 Presidential caucus or primary? Having a candidate who is “most likely to beat President Trump” ........................ Having a candidate who most closely matches my personal political views ..... 46 54 Q14a (For Democratic-identifying students only) Which do you view as more important in how you will vote in a 2020 Presidential caucus or primary? Having a candidate who brings the country back to similar policies of the Obama administration ......................................................................................... 34 Having a candidate who will pursue a more progressive approach than the Obama administration ...................................................................................................................... 66 Q15a (For Democratic-identifying students only) Do you believe the following candidates can defeat Trump in the 2020 Presidential Election? Yes 49 33 42 28 Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Pete Buttigieg Unsure 30 33 37 38 No 21 34 21 34 Q13b (For Republican-identifying students only) Would you like to keep Trump as the Republican party nominee or would you rather see another candidate win the Republican nomination? Keep Trump ........................................................... Have a different candidate .............................. 60 40 Q14b (For Republican-identifying students only) If the general election were today, would you vote for President Trump? Yes, because I believe he is the best candidate for the presidency ....................... Yes, but I would prefer another candidate ...................................................................... No ..................................................................................................................................................... 4 51 39 10 Q15b (For Republican-identifying students only) Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? + Donald Trump ....................................................... Republican Party ................................................. Unsure ...................................................................... Q16 How likely are you to vote in the 2020 Presidential Election? Very likely ............................................................... Somewhat likely ................................................... Neither likely nor unlikely................................ Somewhat unlikely .............................................. Very unlikely .......................................................... Q17 85 8 1 1 5 Do you plan to vote in the New Hampshire primary next year? + Yes.............................................................................. No, voting in another state .............................. No, not voting in a primary / caucus ............ Q18 27 68 6 51 39 11 Which of these issues are most important to you in the upcoming 2020 election? (Choose up to three.) Environment .......................................................... Economy .................................................................. Healthcare .............................................................. Immigration............................................................ Gun laws .................................................................. Foreign policy ........................................................ Education ................................................................ Abortion .................................................................. National security ................................................. Judicial appointments........................................ Budget deficit ........................................................ Criminal justice reform ..................................... Entitlement programs / welfare .................... Voting rights .......................................................... Drug policy ............................................................. Net neutrality ........................................................ 5 46 38 34 28 26 22 16 16 12 12 11 11 10 6 3 3 Q19 Do social media companies have a responsibility to manage political content on their sites? + Yes.............................................................................. No ............................................................................... Unsure ...................................................................... Q20 48 29 22 In your opinion, how likely is it that President Trump will win re-election in 2020? + Very likely ............................................................... Somewhat likely ................................................... Neither likely nor unlikely................................ Somewhat unlikely .............................................. Very unlikely .......................................................... 21 40 20 18 2 The following demographic questions were used for informational / weighting purposes only. As such, all results are reported as counts out of 532. (Post-weighting demographic results are not informative, as they always fit already-available population statistics exactly.) Q21 What is your graduation year? 2020 .......................................................................... 2021 .......................................................................... 2022 .......................................................................... 2023 .......................................................................... Other ........................................................................ Q22 What is your gender? Male........................................................................... Female ...................................................................... Other ........................................................................ Q23 76 91 137 224 4 287 238 7 Which of the following best describes your ethnicity? Caucasian ................................................................ Hispanic or Latino................................................ Black or African American ............................... Native American or American Indian .......... Asian or Pacific Islander ................................... Other ........................................................................ 6 360 43 23 5 68 33