Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 900 Adults, including 495 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: December 14-17, 2019 18 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 116 additional interviews were completed with Democratic primary voters in order to achieve a total of N=410 interviews. 48 Male 52 Female Study #19504 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 900 interviews among Adults is ±3.27% The margin of error for 733 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.62% The margin of error for 410 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.84% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 .................................................................... 9 25-29 .................................................................... 9 30-34 .................................................................... 13 35-39 .................................................................... 7 40-44 .................................................................... 9 45-49 .................................................................... 8 50-54 .................................................................... 8 55-59 .................................................................... 10 60-64 .................................................................... 10 65-69 .................................................................... 5 70-74 .................................................................... 5 75 and over........................................................... 7 Not sure/refused ................................................. - Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 11 No, not Hispanic .............................................. 88 Not sure/refused ............................................ 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White............................................................... 72 Black ............................................................... 13 Asian ............................................................... 2 Other ............................................................... 4 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6 Not sure/refused ........................................... 3 White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 69 Q3 Registered Voter. Yes ................................................... 81 No ..................................................... 19 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q4 Held for later release. Q5 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 3 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 5/171 39 54 7 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 12/19 Total approve ............................... 44 Strongly approve.......................... 33 Somewhat approve ..................... 11 Total disapprove .......................... 54 Somewhat disapprove ............... 10 Strongly disapprove ..................... 44 Not sure ..................................... 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 Intensity Q6 Held for later release. not asked prior to June 2017. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q7 Study #19504 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Donald Trump December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 28 26 23 25 26 12 15 14 16 14 9 9 10 10 9 50 49 52 49 50 1 - 1 1 1 Bernie Sanders December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 16 13 10 14 24 23 23 23 17 21 22 21 41 41 41 37 2 2 2 3 2 2 Joe Biden December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 14 12 13 17 17 22 25 27 30 30 23 27 25 25 24 39 33 31 24 24 1 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 2 1 Elizabeth Warren December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 12 17 13 8 22 20 21 22 16 16 17 19 38 33 33 34 11 13 15 15 1 1 1 2 Pete Buttigieg December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 9 8 8 17 16 14 16 15 12 24 23 14 32 35 49 2 3 3 Andrew Yang December 2019+ ............................ 5 17 18 21 35 4 Michael Bloomberg December 2019+ ............................ 4 16 25 35 18 2 Amy Klobuchar December 2019+ ............................ April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 4 3 16 12 15 11 21 15 42 57 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q8-9 Held for later release. Q10 Which one of these three statements comes closest to your point of view? Statement A: I am almost certain to vote for Donald Trump no matter whom the Democrats nominate for president. Statement B: I am almost certain to vote against Donald Trump no matter whom the Democrats decide to nominate. Statement C: I may vote for or against Donald Trump depending upon whom the Democrats nominate for president. A: Certain to vote for Trump .......................................... B: Certain to vote against Trump.................................... C: May vote either way depending on nominee .............. Not sure ......................................................................... 12/19+ 34 48 18 - 10/19+ 34 46 17 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED BARACK OBAMA DECEMBER 2011 TREND+ A: Certain to vote for Obama .......................................... 34 B: Certain to vote against Obama.................................... 37 C: May vote either way depending on nominee .............. 27 Not sure ......................................................................... 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q11 Study #19504 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics, knowing it is a long ways off, what is your preference for the outcome of next year’s congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? Republican-controlled ...... Democrat-controlled ......... Not sure ........................... 12/19+ 42 49 9 10/2730/19+ 42 49 9 10/18+ 41 48 11 9/18+ 40 52 8 8/1822/18+ 42 50 8 7/18+ 43 49 8 6/18+ 40 50 10 4/18+ 40 47 13 3/18+ 40 50 10 1/18+ 43 49 8 12/17+ 39 50 11 10/17+ 41 48 11 9/17+ 42 48 10 6/17+ 42 50 8 4/17+ 43 47 10 10/1013/16+ 44 46 10 10/810/16+ 42 48 10 9/16+ 45 48 7 8/16+ 43 47 10 6/16+ 46 46 8 5/16+ 44 48 8 10/2510/3010/829/15+ 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 45 42 42 45 46 46 10 12 12 9/14+ 45 43 12 6/14+ 43 45 12 4/14+ 45 45 10 3/14+ 44 43 13 1/14+ 43 45 12 12/13+ 44 42 14 10/2528/13+ 41 45 14 10/79/13+ 39 47 14 9/13+ 43 46 11 7/13+ 44 44 12 6/13+ 42 45 13 10/12+ 43 45 12 9/2630/12+ 43 47 10 8/12+ 42 47 11 7/12+ 45 46 9 6/12+ 44 45 11 5/12+ 43 44 13 4/12+ 44 46 10 3/12+ 41 46 13 1/12+ 41 47 12 12/11+ 43 45 12 11/11+ 43 46 11 10/11+ 41 45 14 8/11+ 47 41 12 6/11+ 44 44 12 10/2830/10+ 46 44 10 10/1418/10+ 44 46 10 9/10+ 44 44 12 8/2630/10+ 43 43 14 8/59/10+ 42 43 15 6/10+ 45 43 12 5/2023/10+ 44 43 13 3/10+ 42 45 13 1/2325/10+ 42 44 14 1/1014/10+ 41 41 18 12/09+ 41 43 16 10/09+ 38 46 16 9/09+ 40 43 17 7/09+ 39 46 15 4/09+ 39 48 13 11/08+ 36 48 16 10/08+ 36 49 15 9/08+ 37 50 13 8/08+ 36 47 17 6/08+ 33 52 15 4/08+ 34 49 17 3/08+ 35 49 16 11/07+ 37 46 17 9/07+ 35 47 18 10/06+ 37 52 11 9/06+ 39 48 13 7/06+ 38 48 14 6/06+ 38 49 13 4/06+ 39 45 16 3/06+ 37 50 13 1/06+ 38 47 15 11/05+ 37 48 15 10/05+ 39 48 13 7/05+ 40 45 15 5/05+ 40 47 13 10/04+ 43 44 13 9/04+ 42 46 12 6/04+ 42 44 14 5/04+ 41 44 15 3/04+ 42 45 13 1/04 42 43 15 9/02 42 42 16 7/02 43 41 16 6/02 42 41 17 1/02 44 40 16 12/01 42 40 18 12/99 40 44 16 10/99 39 41 20 7/99 39 43 18 6/99 42 41 17 10/98+ 41 43 16 9/98 40 39 21 7/98 41 40 19 6/98 39 40 21 1/98 40 42 18 12/97 41 37 22 9/97 41 39 20 7/97 45 39 16 4/97 44 38 18 4/16+ 45 47 8 12/05+ 38 46 16 12/13/03 10/02+ 42 43 42 42 16 15 4/99 41 40 19 3/99 37 43 20 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q12-18 Held for later release. Moving on… Q19 Thinking now about the impeachment inquiry in Congress into allegations against President Trump, can you please tell me if you have followed this news story (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Total closely ........................................................................................................................ 73 Very closely......................................................................................................................... 36 Somewhat closely ............................................................................................................... 37 Total not closely.................................................................................................................. 27 Not too closely .................................................................................................................... 17 Not closely at all .................................................................................................................. 10 Not sure ............................................................................................................................ RELATED PEW BILL CLINTON DECEMBER 1998 TREND I will read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past month. As I read each item, tell me if you happened to follow this news story very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not at all closely.... The impeachment inquiry in Congress into allegations against President Clinton Very closely........................................................................................................................... 32 Fairly closely ......................................................................................................................... 38 Not too closely ...................................................................................................................... 19 Not at all closely .................................................................................................................... 10 Don’t know/refused ............................................................................................................. 1 Q20 And, based upon what you know today about President Trump’s call and actions related to his discussion with the Ukrainian president, do you approve or disapprove of the impeachment inquiry being conducted by Congress to determine if there is enough evidence to remove Donald Trump from office? 10/2712/19 30/19 Approve ................................................................................................................................ 53 53 Disapprove............................................................................................................................ 45 44 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 2 3 Q21 And, based on what you have seen, read, or heard, would you say Congress should… (ROTATE) 10/2712/19 30/19 Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ............................................................ 48 49 Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office ................................................. 48 46 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 4 5 RELATED OCTOBER 4-6 TREND – CHANGE IN QUESTIONNAIRE ORDER Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ............................................................ 43 Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office ................................................. 49 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 8 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ROTATE Q22-23) Q22 If your member of Congress SUPPORTED impeaching and removing Donald Trump from office would this make you more likely to vote for them, less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference either way about how you might vote? More likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 30 Less likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 33 Would make no difference either way ................................................................................... 34 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 3 Q23 If your member of Congress OPPOSED impeaching and removing Donald Trump from office would this make you more likely to vote for them, less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference either way about how you might vote? More likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 23 Less likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 37 Would make no difference either way ................................................................................... 38 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 2 Q24 Which of the following comes closest to how you feel about impeaching and removing Donald Trump from office? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) Trump has not done anything wrong .................................................................................... 25 Trump may have done something wrong, but it does not rise to the level of impeachment ........................................................................................................... 22 Trump’s actions in the situation with Ukraine is the first thing he has done that warrants being impeached ................................................................................... 8 Trump’s previous actions before the situation with Ukraine were already grounds for impeachment ........................................................................................ 44 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ 27 Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................. 12 Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. 17 Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... 25 Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... 3 Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ 1 Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. 3 Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... 1 No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... 10 Not sure...................................................................................................... 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 10/2710/412/19+ 30/19+ 6/19+ 9/19+ Supporter of Donald Trump .......................................................................... 48 52 48 48 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 40 38 39 40 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 7 6 8 7 Neither (VOL) ............................................................................................. 4 2 4 4 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 1 2 1 1 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 4/285/1/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ................. White-collar worker ...................... Blue-collar worker ........................ Farmer, rancher ........................... Not Currently Employed Student ......................................... Stay at home mom/dad ................ Retired.......................................... Unemployed, looking for work ...... Other ............................................ Not sure...................................... 23 22 21 3 4 23 3 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 QF3 Study #19504 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate ............................................... Some college, no degree ......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................. Not sure/refused .................................................... QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat .............................. Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... QF5 1 3 29 18 2 13 19 2 10 3 - 26 6 11 13 10 5 21 5 3 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... 12 Somewhat liberal ................................................ 15 Moderate ............................................................ 35 Somewhat conservative ..................................... 19 Very conservative ............................................... 16 Not sure ............................................................ 3 QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ......................................... 13 Union household ............................................... 8 Non-union household ........................................ 79 Not sure .......................................................... - Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 QF7 Study #19504 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS .................................................. The cable channel MSNBC or CNN .............................................................................. The cable channel Fox News ........................................................................................ Internet social media sites like Facebook and Twitter ................................................... Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites .............................................................. Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ................................................. Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ............................... Watch different TV news (VOL) .................................................................................. Get news from some other source (VOL) ................................................................... Not sure ....................................................................................................................... QF8 51 41 38 34 20 18 9 1 2 1 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class ................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... 9 28 41 17 3 2