Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 900 Adults, including 495 respondents with a cell phone only and Date: December 14-17, 2019 18 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 116 additional interviews were completed with Democratic primary voters in order to achieve a total of N=410 interviews. 48 Male 52 Female Study #19504 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 900 interviews among Adults is ±3.27% The margin of error for 733 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.62% The margin of error for 410 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.84% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 .................................................................... 9 25-29 .................................................................... 9 30-34 .................................................................... 13 35-39 .................................................................... 7 40-44 .................................................................... 9 45-49 .................................................................... 8 50-54 .................................................................... 8 55-59 .................................................................... 10 60-64 .................................................................... 10 65-69 .................................................................... 5 70-74 .................................................................... 5 75 and over........................................................... 7 Not sure/refused ................................................. - Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 11 No, not Hispanic .............................................. 88 Not sure/refused ............................................ 1 Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? White............................................................... 72 Black ............................................................... 13 Asian ............................................................... 2 Other ............................................................... 4 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 6 Not sure/refused ........................................... 3 White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 69 Q3 Registered Voter. Yes ................................................... 81 No ..................................................... 19 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q4 Study #19504 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, all in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High Headed in the right direction...... Off on the wrong track ............... Mixed (VOL) ............................ Not sure ................................... 12/19 35 56 6 3 8/19 33 60 5 2 1/19 28 63 6 3 12/18 33 56 9 2 11/18+ 38 54 4 4 6/18+ 36 55 5 4 4/18 31 62 5 2 12/17 29 63 4 4 4/17 34 59 3 4 9/01 72 11 11 6 Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3 2/17 40 51 3 6 1/17 37 52 5 6 12/16 33 54 6 7 10/1013/16+ 29 65 5 1 9/16+ 30 62 5 3 8/16+ 32 62 3 3 7/16+ 18 73 6 3 6/16+ 21 71 5 3 4/16+ 24 70 4 2 1/16+ 29 63 5 3 12/15 20 70 6 4 10/2529/15 27 64 5 4 6/15 31 61 4 4 4/15 28 62 6 4 1/15 31 59 5 5 12/14 27 64 6 3 11/14+ 27 63 6 4 6/14 25 63 7 5 4/14 27 63 6 4 1/14 28 63 5 4 12/13 29 64 5 2 10/2528/13 22 70 4 4 6/13 32 59 6 3 4/13 31 61 5 3 1/13 35 57 4 4 12/12 41 53 3 3 10/12+ 41 53 4 2 6/12 31 61 5 3 4/12 33 59 6 2 1/12 30 61 5 4 12/11 22 69 6 3 10/11 17 74 5 4 6/11 29 62 6 3 4/11 28 63 6 3 1/11 35 56 5 4 12/10 28 63 6 3 10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4 6/10 29 62 5 4 3/10 33 59 5 3 1/1014/10 34 54 10 2 12/09 33 55 10 2 10/09 36 52 9 3 6/09 42 46 9 3 4/09 43 43 10 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q5 Study #19504 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 3 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 5/171 39 54 7 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 12/19 Total approve ............................... 44 Strongly approve.......................... 33 Somewhat approve ..................... 11 Total disapprove .......................... 54 Somewhat disapprove ............... 10 Strongly disapprove ..................... 44 Not sure ..................................... 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 Intensity Q6 not asked prior to June 2017. If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state next year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November 2020? 12/19+ Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus ..................... 38 Vote in Republican Primary or caucus ..................... 25 Wait until the general election .................................. 34 Do not plan to vote at all (VOL).............................. 1 Not sure .................................................................. 2 10/2730/19+ 36 25 36 1 3 10/46/19+ 36 24 37 3 9/19+ 38 27 32 3 8/19+ 37 26 34 3 7/19+ 35 25 36 1 3 6/19+ 38 28 30 2 2 4/285/1/19+ 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, thinking specifically about the 2020 Democratic primary elections… Q6a I am going to read a list of FIFTEEN of the declared candidates running for the Democratic nomination for President. After I read the entire list, please tell me if a Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-15)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Joe Biden ................................ Bernie Sanders ....................... Elizabeth Warren .................... Pete Buttigieg ......................... Amy Klobuchar ....................... Michael Bloomberg ................. Andrew Yang .......................... Tulsi Gabbard ......................... Cory Booker ............................ Tom Steyer ............................. Julián Castro ........................... Michael Bennet ....................... John Delaney .......................... Deval Patrick........................... Marianne Williamson .............. Bill de Blasio ........................... Steve Bullock .......................... Kamala Harris ......................... John Hickenlooper .................. Jay Inslee ............................... Beto O’Rourke ........................ Other (VOL) ......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................... 12/19^^ 28 21 18 9 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 5 10/2730/19^^ 27 19 23 6 5 NA 3 2 2 1 1 NA NA 4 NA NA 1 1 5 9/19^^ 31 14 25 7 2 NA 4 1 2 1 1 1 1 NA 1 5 NA NA 1 1 2 7/19^^ 26 13 19 7 1 NA 2 1 NA 1 1 1 NA 1 13 1 1 2 2 8 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. (ASKED IF FIRST CHOICE OF BIDEN, WARREN, SANDERS OR BUTTIGIEG1) Q6b And, would you definitely vote for (NAME), probably vote for (NAME), but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning towards voting for (NAME)? ^^ Definitely vote for candidate ............................... Probably vote for candidate ................................ Just leaning towards voting for candidate........... Not sure ............................................................ Among Biden First Choice 45 25 28 2 Among Sanders First Choice 58 27 15 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. 1 Warren (N=72) and Buttigieg (N=38) results too small to report. OCTOBER 27-30, 2019 TREND Among Biden First Choice Definitely vote for candidate ............................... 50 Probably vote for candidate ............................... 23 Just leaning towards voting for candidate .......... 26 Not sure ........................................................... 1 Among Among Warren Sanders First Choice First Choice 32 57 24 21 42 22 2 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. 1 Buttigieg results too small to report, N=25. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ASKED IF FIRST CHOICE IN Q6a) Q6c And, which of the remaining candidates would be your second choice? (DO NOT READ LIST) (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Elizabeth Warren .................... Bernie Sanders ....................... Pete Buttigieg ......................... Joe Biden ................................ Amy Klobuchar ....................... Cory Booker ............................ Andrew Yang .......................... Michael Bloomberg ................. John Delaney .......................... Tulsi Gabbard ......................... Julián Castro ........................... Tom Steyer ............................. Deval Patrick........................... Michael Bennet ....................... Marianne Williamson .............. Bill de Blasio ........................... Steve Bullock .......................... Kamala Harris ......................... John Hickenlooper .................. Jay Inslee ............................... Beto O’Rourke ........................ Tim Ryan ................................ Mind is definitely made up ...... Other (VOL) ......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................... 12/19^^ 22 17 13 12 5 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 5 9 10/2730/19^^ 24 14 12 15 4 3 3 NA 2 1 1 NA 1 NA 9 NA NA 2 NA NA 4 5 9/19^^ 21 16 12 11 2 4 2 NA 1 1 1 NA 1 8 NA NA 5 9 2 4 7/19^^ 13 12 8 10 2 1 NA 3 2 NA NA 1 1 14 1 2 1 12 2 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q6a/c Study #19504 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Combined first/second choices. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Joe Biden ................................ Elizabeth Warren .................... Bernie Sanders ....................... Pete Buttigieg ......................... Amy Klobuchar ....................... Andrew Yang .......................... Cory Booker ............................ Michael Bloomberg ................. Tulsi Gabbard ......................... Tom Steyer ............................. Julián Castro ........................... John Delaney .......................... Deval Patrick........................... Marianne Williamson .............. Michael Bennet ....................... Bill de Blasio ........................... Steve Bullock .......................... Kamala Harris ......................... John Hickenlooper .................. Jay Inslee ............................... Beto O’Rourke ........................ Tim Ryan ................................ None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ............................... 12/19^^ 40 38 37 22 10 7 6 6 3 2 2 1 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 5 10/2730/19^^ 41 45 33 17 9 6 5 NA 4 1 2 NA 1 1 NA 13 NA NA 3 NA 1 4 9/19^^ 41 45 29 19 5 6 6 NA 2 1 1 1 NA 1 1 1 14 NA NA 6 3 5 7/19^^ 36 32 25 15 1 4 3 NA 3 NA 3 1 NA 2 1 1 28 1 2 4 1 2 7 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q6d And, are there any one or two candidates whom you have already decided you could NEVER support for the Democratic nomination for president? (DO NOT READ LIST) (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES) ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Joe Biden ................................ Elizabeth Warren .................... Bernie Sanders ....................... Tulsi Gabbard ......................... Michael Bloomberg ................. Marianne Williamson............... Andrew Yang .......................... Pete Buttigieg.......................... Cory Booker ............................ Tom Steyer ............................. Michael Bennet ....................... John Delaney .......................... Julián Castro ........................... Amy Klobuchar........................ Deval Patrick ........................... None .................................... Not sure ............................... 13 8 8 8 6 5 3 3 3 1 1 1 54 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q7 Study #19504 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Donald Trump December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 28 26 23 25 26 12 15 14 16 14 9 9 10 10 9 50 49 52 49 50 1 - 1 1 1 Bernie Sanders December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+................................... 16 13 10 14 24 23 23 23 17 21 22 21 41 41 41 37 2 2 2 3 2 2 Joe Biden December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 14 12 13 17 17 22 25 27 30 30 23 27 25 25 24 39 33 31 24 24 1 1 2 2 4 1 2 2 2 1 Elizabeth Warren December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 12 17 13 8 22 20 21 22 16 16 17 19 38 33 33 34 11 13 15 15 1 1 1 2 Pete Buttigieg December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 9 8 8 17 16 14 16 15 12 24 23 14 32 35 49 2 3 3 Andrew Yang December 2019+ ............................ 5 17 18 21 35 4 Michael Bloomberg December 2019+ ............................ 4 16 25 35 18 2 Amy Klobuchar December 2019+ ............................ April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 4 3 16 12 15 11 21 15 42 57 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC Q7 (Cont’d) (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Bernie Sanders December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. 33 25 22 28 34 37 34 34 19 25 28 27 13 12 15 9 1 1 1 1 1 Elizabeth Warren December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. 29 35 26 20 38 35 38 37 17 15 18 23 9 6 9 10 6 7 8 8 1 2 1 2 Joe Biden December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... March 2019^^ ................................. 26 23 23 32 33 38 41 43 38 40 21 22 24 18 19 14 13 8 9 6 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 Pete Buttigieg December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... 18 19 18 32 30 26 20 20 10 11 7 3 17 22 41 2 2 2 Amy Klobuchar December 2019^^ ........................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... 10 7 32 20 18 17 9 6 28 49 3 1 Andrew Yang December 2019^^ .......................... 10 31 23 10 23 3 Michael Bloomberg December 2019^^ ........................... 7 24 30 22 12 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q8 Study #19504 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In thinking about how the eventual Democratic nominee for president in 2020 approaches issues like health care, climate change, college affordability, and economic opportunity, which of the following comes closer to describing the candidate you prefer? (ROTATE) AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^ 12/19 Someone who proposes larger scale policies that cost more and might be harder to pass into law, but could bring major change on these issues ........ 56 Someone who proposes smaller scale policies that cost less and might be easier to pass into law, but will bring less change on these issues ............... 38 None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................. 2 4 Not sure ............................................................................................................... 9/19 7/19 3/19 2/19 56 54 52 55 40 1 3 41 1 4 44 4 42 3 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q9 Which of the following do you want the Democratic Party to focus more on right now: (ROTATE) AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^ Making the case that Donald Trump should be impeached and removed from office..…... Making the case that Donald Trump should be defeated next November.......................... Both (VOL)........................................................................................................................ Neither (VOL)................................................................................................................... Other (VOL)................................................................................................................... Not sure............................................................................................................................ 45 46 5 2 1 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q10 Which one of these three statements comes closest to your point of view? Statement A: I am almost certain to vote for Donald Trump no matter whom the Democrats nominate for president. Statement B: I am almost certain to vote against Donald Trump no matter whom the Democrats decide to nominate. Statement C: I may vote for or against Donald Trump depending upon whom the Democrats nominate for president. A: Certain to vote for Trump .......................................... B: Certain to vote against Trump.................................... C: May vote either way depending on nominee .............. Not sure ......................................................................... 12/19+ 34 48 18 - 10/19+ 34 46 17 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED BARACK OBAMA DECEMBER 2011 TREND+ A: Certain to vote for Obama .......................................... 34 B: Certain to vote against Obama.................................... 37 C: May vote either way depending on nominee .............. 27 Not sure ......................................................................... 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q11 Study #19504 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics, knowing it is a long ways off, what is your preference for the outcome of next year’s congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? Republican-controlled ...... Democrat-controlled ......... Not sure ........................... 12/19+ 42 49 9 10/2730/19+ 42 49 9 10/18+ 41 48 11 9/18+ 40 52 8 8/1822/18+ 42 50 8 7/18+ 43 49 8 6/18+ 40 50 10 4/18+ 40 47 13 3/18+ 40 50 10 1/18+ 43 49 8 12/17+ 39 50 11 10/17+ 41 48 11 9/17+ 42 48 10 6/17+ 42 50 8 4/17+ 43 47 10 10/1013/16+ 44 46 10 10/810/16+ 42 48 10 9/16+ 45 48 7 8/16+ 43 47 10 6/16+ 46 46 8 5/16+ 44 48 8 10/2510/3010/829/15+ 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 45 42 42 45 46 46 10 12 12 9/14+ 45 43 12 6/14+ 43 45 12 4/14+ 45 45 10 3/14+ 44 43 13 1/14+ 43 45 12 12/13+ 44 42 14 10/2528/13+ 41 45 14 10/79/13+ 39 47 14 9/13+ 43 46 11 7/13+ 44 44 12 6/13+ 42 45 13 10/12+ 43 45 12 9/2630/12+ 43 47 10 8/12+ 42 47 11 7/12+ 45 46 9 6/12+ 44 45 11 5/12+ 43 44 13 4/12+ 44 46 10 3/12+ 41 46 13 1/12+ 41 47 12 12/11+ 43 45 12 11/11+ 43 46 11 10/11+ 41 45 14 8/11+ 47 41 12 6/11+ 44 44 12 10/2830/10+ 46 44 10 10/1418/10+ 44 46 10 9/10+ 44 44 12 8/2630/10+ 43 43 14 8/59/10+ 42 43 15 6/10+ 45 43 12 5/2023/10+ 44 43 13 3/10+ 42 45 13 1/2325/10+ 42 44 14 1/1014/10+ 41 41 18 12/09+ 41 43 16 10/09+ 38 46 16 9/09+ 40 43 17 7/09+ 39 46 15 4/09+ 39 48 13 11/08+ 36 48 16 10/08+ 36 49 15 9/08+ 37 50 13 8/08+ 36 47 17 6/08+ 33 52 15 4/08+ 34 49 17 3/08+ 35 49 16 11/07+ 37 46 17 9/07+ 35 47 18 10/06+ 37 52 11 9/06+ 39 48 13 7/06+ 38 48 14 6/06+ 38 49 13 4/06+ 39 45 16 3/06+ 37 50 13 1/06+ 38 47 15 11/05+ 37 48 15 10/05+ 39 48 13 7/05+ 40 45 15 5/05+ 40 47 13 10/04+ 43 44 13 9/04+ 42 46 12 6/04+ 42 44 14 5/04+ 41 44 15 3/04+ 42 45 13 1/04 42 43 15 9/02 42 42 16 7/02 43 41 16 6/02 42 41 17 1/02 44 40 16 12/01 42 40 18 12/99 40 44 16 10/99 39 41 20 7/99 39 43 18 6/99 42 41 17 10/98+ 41 43 16 9/98 40 39 21 7/98 41 40 19 6/98 39 40 21 1/98 40 42 18 12/97 41 37 22 9/97 41 39 20 7/97 45 39 16 4/97 44 38 18 4/16+ 45 47 8 12/05+ 38 46 16 12/13/03 10/02+ 42 43 42 42 16 15 4/99 41 40 19 3/99 37 43 20 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking back to this year… Q12 Compared with other years, do you think that 2019 was one of the best years for the United States, above average, about average, below average, or one of the worst years for the United States? One of the best years.......................... Above-average year ........................... About average year ............................ Below-average year ........................... One of the worst years ........................ Not sure ............................................. 12/19 12 22 19 22 23 2 12/18 9 21 24 26 19 1 12/17 4 17 25 28 24 2 12/16 2 13 28 35 20 2 12/15 1 12 33 36 18 - 12/14 1 13 33 34 18 1 12/13 1 6 23 44 26 - 12/12 2 7 27 43 21 - 12/11 1 3 20 49 27 - 12/08 1 3 12 36 47 1 12/05 1 9 28 34 27 1 12/04 3 12 32 27 25 1 12/02 1 7 32 39 19 2 12/94 2 19 51 21 6 1 12/93 1 12 43 32 10 2 12/92 2 9 28 39 21 1 12/91+ 3 11 30 39 16 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF ¼ SAMPLE C SATURDAY-MONDAY) Q12c Thinking back on 2019, what was the most important major news story that impacted your life personally? (PROBE) How did it impact you? SEE RECORDED RESPONSES Q13 Thinking about the direction of the country for the next year, do you think things in the United States will get better, get worse, or be about the same as they are now? Get better ....................................................... 39 Get worse ....................................................... 23 Same as they are now .................................... 32 Not sure ........................................................ 6 (RANDOMIZE Q14-16a-c) And, thinking about something else… Q14 Which of the following statements about America comes closer to your view? (ROTATE) Statement A: The United States is a country where anyone, regardless of their background, can work hard, succeed and be comfortable financially. …or… Statement B: The widening gap between the incomes of the wealthy and everyone else is undermining the idea that every American has the opportunity to move up to a better standard of living. A: Anyone can succeed ....................................... B: Widening gap undermining opportunity .......... Both (VOL) ......................................................... Neither (VOL) ..................................................... Not sure .............................................................. 12/19 49 48 1 1 1 8/14 44 54 1 1 - Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now thinking about some more issues… Q15 From what you know, do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose each of the following proposals? The (first/next) one is… (ROTATE ITEMS) DATA SHOWN AMONG ALL ADULTS / REGISTERED VOTERS THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY STRONGLY OR SOMEWHAT SUPPORT Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not Support Support Support Oppose Oppose Sure Allowing people under the age of 65 the option to buy their health coverage through the Medicare program just like one might buy private insurance December 2019 .................................................... 72 33 39 11 9 8 September 2019+ .................................................. 67 29 38 9 11 13 Adopting Medicare for All, a single payer health care system in which private health insurance would be eliminated and all Americans would get their health coverage from one government plan December 2019 .................................................... September 2019+ .................................................. 44 41 25 22 19 19 13 12 40 44 3 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY STRONGLY OR SOMEWHAT SUPPORT Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not Support Support Support Oppose Oppose Sure Allowing people under the age of 65 the option to buy their health coverage through the Medicare program just like one might buy private insurance December 2019^^ ................................................. 81 42 39 9 5 5 September 2019^^ ................................................. 78 41 37 6 7 9 Adopting Medicare for All, a single payer health care system in which private health insurance would be eliminated and all Americans would get their health coverage from one government plan December 2019^^ ................................................. September 2019^^ ................................................. 68 63 41 35 27 28 14 15 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they will vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. 16 19 2 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey And, moving on… Q16a From what you know about global climate change or global warming, which one of the following statements comes closest to your opinion? (READ AND ROTATE STATEMENTS TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) Global climate change has been established as a serious problem, and immediate action is necessary ....................................................... There is enough evidence that climate change is taking place and some action should be taken ................................................................ We don't know enough about global climate change, and more research is necessary before we take any actions....................... Concern about global climate change is unwarranted........................... Not sure .............................................................................................. 12/19 12/18 9/17 4/17 6/14 44 45 39 39 31 23 21 24 28 30 20 11 2 18 12 4 23 12 2 22 10 1 24 13 2 12/09 23 31 29 12 5 10/09 29 27 29 13 2 1/07 34 30 25 8 3 6/06 29 30 28 9 4 7/99 23 28 32 11 6 (ALWAYS ASKED AFTER Q16a) Q16b/c When it comes to addressing climate change, do you believe that the federal government is ….(ROTATE TOP TWO) doing enough to address climate change, not doing enough to address climate change, or is this an issue in which the federal government does not need to be involved? (IF NOT DOING ENOUGH, ASK) And, should the federal government be doing a lot more or just somewhat more to address the issue of climate change? The federal government does not need to be involved ..................... Doing enough to address climate change ........................................ Total not doing enough to address climate change .................... Should be doing just somewhat more ............................................ Should be doing a lot more............................................................. Not sure .......................................................................................... Q17 21 15 59 11 48 5 Do you think that there will or will not be an economic recession during the next twelve months? Will be an economic recession ............ Will not be an economic recession ...... Not sure .............................................. 12/19 28 60 12 2/19 33 53 14 1/08 64 24 12 12/07 56 31 13 1/01 39 48 13 12/00 43 43 14 10/00+ 26 55 19 6/00+ 30 53 17 3/00 31 55 14 12/99 23 66 11 10/99 30 56 14 7/97 22 68 10 6/97 15 77 8 4/97 19 70 11 1/97 23 67 10 3/96 32 53 15 12/90 73 19 8 10/90 66 24 10 9/1518/90 51 35 14 9/45/90 58 30 12 8/90 57 26 17 7/90 25 49 26 5/90 30 57 13 4/90 23 64 13 3/90 30 56 14 1/90 31 56 13 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Q18 Study #19504 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Next, I am going to read a list of institutions in American society, and I'd like you to tell me how much confidence you have in each one--a great deal, quite a bit, some, very little, or none at all? (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY A GREAT DEAL OR QUITE A BIT Confidence A Great Deal Quite A Bit Some Very Little None At All Not Sure The Supreme Court December 2019 ..................................... June 2019 .............................................. December 2016 ..................................... December 2015 ..................................... April 2014............................................... July 2007 ............................................... December 2000 ..................................... 20 17 20 15 14 15 27 19 21 17 18 18 21 25 42 41 47 43 39 39 32 12 14 9 18 19 17 8 5 6 5 6 8 7 5 2 1 2 2 1 3 The Federal Bureau of Investigation, or FBI December 2019 ..................................... January 2018 ......................................... December 2016 ..................................... December 2014 ..................................... 21 21 15 15 17 21 17 23 35 41 45 43 15 10 15 10 11 5 6 5 1 2 2 4 The Presidency December 2019 ..................................... June 2019 .............................................. May 2012 ............................................... 25 22 26 11 11 16 18 23 31 18 16 11 27 28 14 1 1 The Department of Justice December 2019 ..................................... 12 12 39 23 13 1 The national news media December 2019 ..................................... June 2019 .............................................. January 2018 ......................................... December 2016 ..................................... December 2015 ..................................... April 2014............................................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ............................. May 2012 ............................................... January 2011 ......................................... August 26-30, 2010................................ January 2009 ......................................... September 2008+ .................................. July 2007 ............................................... July 2002 ............................................... December 2000 ..................................... February 19975 ...................................... January 19962 ........................................ December 19913 .................................... 10 7 11 7 7 9 7 8 8 5 8 7 9 9 7 5 6 16 9 10 13 9 7 10 9 7 10 8 11 10 9 18 13 15 14 21 25 33 33 28 38 32 37 39 39 32 38 38 39 37 39 39 40 38 23 21 22 27 28 31 26 22 28 28 24 26 24 23 25 40 37 25 32 27 21 28 20 17 19 23 14 23 18 18 18 12 15 NA 2 NA 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 PLEASE NOTE: Comparative data shown does not necessarily reflect all of the existing data for an item. It is possible that an institution received higher or lower confidence ratings in a survey not conducted on behalf of NBC-WSJ that is not shown. 1 Comparative data comes from Gallup/CNN/USA Today surveys. 2 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research for the Kaiser Foundation, Harvard University, and the Washington Post. 3 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News. 4 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. 5 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/Teeter for the Council for Excellence in Government. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY A GREAT DEAL OR QUITE A BIT Confidence Q18 (Cont’d) A Great Deal Quite A Bit Some Very Little None At All Not Sure Congress December 2019 ..................................... June 2019 .............................................. January 2018 ......................................... December 2016 ..................................... June 2011 .............................................. May 2005 ............................................... January 2002 ......................................... December 2000 ..................................... June 19981 ............................................. February 1997 5 ..................................... January 1996 2 ....................................... December 19913 .................................... December 1988 4 ................................... October 1986 4 ....................................... November 1981 4 ................................... January 1977 4 ....................................... June 1975 4 ............................................ 8 4 4 6 3 6 13 10 10 7 4 7 8 10 8 12 14 5 7 6 10 7 12 24 16 18 14 10 10 20 31 21 28 26 37 41 41 43 48 53 44 48 48 46 41 39 41 43 41 34 38 29 32 32 24 32 23 15 18 20 32 41 43 26 12 22 17 18 19 15 16 15 10 5 3 6 2 NA 3 NA NA 1 6 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 6 3 3 7 3 Online social networking websites such as Facebook, Instagram or Twitter December 2019 ..................................... 4 4 24 32 30 6 RELATED TREND Online social networking websites such as Facebook or Twitter January 2018 ......................................... Online social networking websites such as Facebook December 2016 ..................................... Online social networking websites such as Twitter December 2016 ..................................... Online social networking websites such as Facebook, Twitter or LinkedIn April 2014............................................... May 30-June 2, 2013 ............................. May 2012 ............................................... 7 7 33 27 23 3 8 7 28 28 22 7 7 6 27 24 24 12 10 7 9 8 6 9 40 37 34 21 23 18 15 18 20 6 9 10 PLEASE NOTE: Comparative data shown does not necessarily reflect all of the existing data for an item. It is possible that an institution received higher or lower confidence ratings in a survey not conducted on behalf of NBC-WSJ that is not shown. 1 Comparative data comes from Gallup/CNN/USA Today surveys. 2 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research for the Kaiser Foundation, Harvard University, and the Washington Post. 3 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by ABC News. 4 Comparative data comes from surveys conducted by Gallup. 5 Comparative data comes from a survey conducted by Hart/Teeter for the Council for Excellence in Government. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q19 Thinking now about the impeachment inquiry in Congress into allegations against President Trump, can you please tell me if you have followed this news story (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all? Total closely ........................................................................................................................ 73 Very closely......................................................................................................................... 36 Somewhat closely ............................................................................................................... 37 Total not closely.................................................................................................................. 27 Not too closely .................................................................................................................... 17 Not closely at all .................................................................................................................. 10 Not sure ............................................................................................................................ RELATED PEW BILL CLINTON DECEMBER 1998 TREND I will read a list of some stories covered by news organizations this past month. As I read each item, tell me if you happened to follow this news story very closely, fairly closely, not too closely, or not at all closely.... The impeachment inquiry in Congress into allegations against President Clinton Very closely........................................................................................................................... 32 Fairly closely ......................................................................................................................... 38 Not too closely ...................................................................................................................... 19 Not at all closely .................................................................................................................... 10 Don’t know/refused ............................................................................................................. 1 Q20 And, based upon what you know today about President Trump’s call and actions related to his discussion with the Ukrainian president, do you approve or disapprove of the impeachment inquiry being conducted by Congress to determine if there is enough evidence to remove Donald Trump from office? (LATE OCT 2019) 10/2712/19 30/19 Approve ................................................................................................................................ 53 53 Disapprove............................................................................................................................ 45 44 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 2 3 Q21 And, based on what you have seen, read, or heard, would you say Congress should… (ROTATE) (LATE OCT 2019) 10/2712/19 30/19 Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ............................................................ 48 49 Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office ................................................. 48 46 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 4 5 RELATED OCTOBER 4-6 TREND – CHANGE IN QUESTIONNAIRE ORDER Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ............................................................ 43 Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office ................................................. 49 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 8 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ROTATE Q22-23) Q22 If your member of Congress SUPPORTED impeaching and removing Donald Trump from office would this make you more likely to vote for them, less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference either way about how you might vote? More likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 30 Less likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 33 Would make no difference either way ................................................................................... 34 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 3 Q23 If your member of Congress OPPOSED impeaching and removing Donald Trump from office would this make you more likely to vote for them, less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference either way about how you might vote? More likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 23 Less likely to vote ................................................................................................................. 37 Would make no difference either way ................................................................................... 38 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 2 Q24 Which of the following comes closest to how you feel about impeaching and removing Donald Trump from office? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) Trump has not done anything wrong .................................................................................... 25 Trump may have done something wrong, but it does not rise to the level of impeachment ........................................................................................................... 22 Trump’s actions in the situation with Ukraine is the first thing he has done that warrants being impeached ................................................................................... 8 Trump’s previous actions before the situation with Ukraine were already grounds for impeachment ........................................................................................ 44 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 Study #19504 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ 27 Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies................. 12 Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. 17 Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... 25 Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... 3 Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ 1 Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. 3 Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... 1 No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... 10 Not sure...................................................................................................... 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 10/2710/412/19+ 30/19+ 6/19+ 9/19+ Supporter of Donald Trump .......................................................................... 48 52 48 48 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 40 38 39 40 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 7 6 8 7 Neither (VOL) ............................................................................................. 4 2 4 4 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 1 2 1 1 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 4/285/1/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? Currently Employed Professional, manager ................. White-collar worker ...................... Blue-collar worker ........................ Farmer, rancher ........................... Not Currently Employed Student ......................................... Stay at home mom/dad ................ Retired.......................................... Unemployed, looking for work ...... Other ............................................ Not sure...................................... 23 22 21 3 4 23 3 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 QF3 Study #19504 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate ............................................... Some college, no degree ......................................... Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree .............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................. Some postgraduate work, no degree ....................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ......... Doctoral/law degree ................................................. Not sure/refused .................................................... QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat .............................. Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... QF5 1 3 29 18 2 13 19 2 10 3 - 26 6 11 13 10 5 21 5 3 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ......................................................... 12 Somewhat liberal ................................................ 15 Moderate ............................................................ 35 Somewhat conservative ..................................... 19 Very conservative ............................................... 16 Not sure ............................................................ 3 QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? Labor union member ......................................... 13 Union household ............................................... 8 Non-union household ........................................ 79 Not sure .......................................................... - Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies December 2019 QF7 Study #19504 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS .................................................. The cable channel MSNBC or CNN .............................................................................. The cable channel Fox News ........................................................................................ Internet social media sites like Facebook and Twitter ................................................... Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites .............................................................. Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ................................................. Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ............................... Watch different TV news (VOL) .................................................................................. Get news from some other source (VOL) ................................................................... Not sure ....................................................................................................................... QF8 51 41 38 34 20 18 9 1 2 1 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class ................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... 9 28 41 17 3 2