4 (A . ttvl. (.0. MAW, anuarv 4, 1970 @he wattle 3 113335 Illustration by .. Dick Miller q. i?i?fl, It) TRyg?zozo How was your vision on today?s cover? - If you came up with 2020 and visions of the future, then your eyes are okay, and so is the message being portrayed by Dick. Miller, Magazine staff artist. Today we are trying our own ?vision? with 2020 (the .year, not the designation for perfect eyesight) as the focal point. i The Magazine is devoted to this question:? Whereare we. headed in the next 50 years? A group of Times writers turned ?visionaries? to speculate, onthe basis of their_ own lmowledge and that of others, on varie ous aspects of the World?science, industry and resources, physi? cal environment, culture, social environment,? education and books. . . Two of our regulars, Don Duncan, who is 43, and Alan Pratt, 47, have taken aim in their own styles on the prospects for 2020. If readers to- check the accuracy of these forecasts, they are invited to save this issue for future reference. But don?t call the present writers and editors in 2020;'call our successors. A Quick Peek-Back Another way to see where Seattle might go in the next 50 years is to look at the past 50. According to The Times editions of early January, 1920, this was the scene half a century ago: The police department and Times editorials were asking the City Councillor 75 more patrolmen to fight rising crime. (Does that sound familiar?) In New York, officials predicted successful enforcement of the 18th Amendment (Prohibition). A steel strike was in prog? ress and Judge Gary of United States Steel forecast a ?revolu? -tionary struggle? by labor. Strikers complained that their 12- hour? working day. seven days a week for $7.87 a shift, was too much for too little. The automobile industry had produced 1.5 million cars in 1919 and there was a growing trend that would change America in the 'next,50 years, even if the-claims about the Essex were exaggerated. Conditions and attitudes have changed since 1920, and oi? viously will continue to do so. Read on, to see how well you think we have put the finger 0n the prospects. The ?Blacks in America?Then and Now? series, which has been appearing eVery other week in the Magazine since cho: ber l2. will not appear today as originally scheduled, due to Jthe special nature of the section. No. 7, "No Jim Crow Car for Him,ll will appear next Sunday. and No. 8, "The Civil War Was the Black Man?s Business,? January l8 as'the regular schedule resumes. remit: Seattle (dimes Book Editor Larry Rumley Artist Dick Miller ino.ograpner 0y cg Sea?l. Times Co. Features Assistants? John Haigh Janice Krenmayr Glen Carter in SEATTLE JANUARY 4, 7970 - - than the old-fash- routine for, 10, Reddin? 66 ELL WELL, here it is 2020 and my Magnolia Bluff house is finally paid for at least, I think so! . There were some recent assessments forunderground wiring and that much-discussed Domed Stadium that ?nally was built on the site of the old Jefferson Park jGolf'Comse, so prrobably- owe another payment or two before 'I?caii burn the 627year?old mortgage. . i, . . Of course, I was 105' years old-last month and not nearly as spry as I used to be. In fact, the State Patrol 'won?t even let me drive my 1982 Ford Hovercraft that cost a cool $23,000. .I can remember back in 1970 when you could'buy a medium-sized car with four wheels and rubber tires for only $5,000. The year may be 2020, but my eyesight is 29/200. A funny thing. They could send men to the moon even as. far back as 50 years ago, "but they still haven?t improved ?on the flushing mechanism of the toilet. There hasn?t been a changein almost 100 years. They can spend billions of dollars on terrestrial technology, but they can?t invent a simple washer that will pre? vent dripping and last the lifetime of a kitchen faucet. A . medical research . finally licked the TH955 60170 common cold, we oL?D?ys'm now have 110 dif- . 'ferent kinds of lit/HE new viruses that are even more uncomertable and annoying ioned runny-nose cold. Heart, liv er and kidney trans? plants have been an years, but I al- ay 5 remember best the story told by Victor Borge, a Danish pianist?comic, who was pop- ular back in?the ?605. According to Borge, physicians in Denmark were conducting successful transplants in the 1950s. One doctor even did a hernia transplant ?from one side to the other and on himself- That takes guts!? Now that none of us any longer has a name, but instead, is identified by the magnetized ink on a computer-card number, I often bore my great-grandchildren with stories about the good old days when everybody had his own name and individual identity. and the phrase, ?do not fold, spindle or mutilate? was gradually becoming well known, but not popular. - And cash?money, which was once the common means of? exchange, 15 1mp0551ble to explain to today?s youngsters, who have known only the personal credit card that is used for all purchases. Luckily, however, I saved several $1 bills-and several personal checks that make excellent conversation pieces, plus the fact that they do corroborate my stories of the good old days,? manyyounger people seem to regard as pure fantasy. But I can rememberwhen Seattle, Tacoma, Everett?and Bell? .mgham were separate Cities and there were fewer than 1,000,000 persons in all?of King County. . You ask: ?What was King County?? 7 . 1 keep forgetting, but years ago before there Was even a Metro,. and Westem- Washington was divided into units called ?counties." Eachof these counties contained a city 'ortwo and many small towns; At one time, we evenn?ad a county charter. But, you aren?t listening. Oh, well. That?sthe trouble with old age. Nobody cares. They refuse to listen, . - I But back in 1970 4 those were really the: good ?old days! EASY CREDIT TERMS a, on" TODAY (Sunday) Noon to 5 p.m. 0, Monday 9mm. '0 9P'm' STORE ONLY MA 3-0373 Use Your Bunkgurds 7th Lenora Starts Today . . a opportunity to save on QUALITY sharply reduced To balance our large invenfory. You?ll find name brands at a fraction of their true Value, some' items damaged in shipping. ALL styles to choose from . . . Every item ciearly priced-? - FAMOUS NAME 111111111111? magnum". $98 lamauxsms 1mm $14- ?1 P12. 01111111 Deluxe $58 Rectangular table with 2 leafs and 6 foam padded chairs. Choice of colors. . 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Ward Danish 1101001110er01 277.00 155.011 9 .WBS ?aw 338 Bassett italian Provincial Suite 319.00 000.00 5-Piecenimtte $59.00 5 34-00 11100121011110 Suite 379.00 199.1111 40?0? I 3101111111 Bheny 11. 9101100101 13100;: 399.00 231.110 Thumasvnle 699.00 383.00 . . . - ?am? Suite . . - . -. . 229?00 13:30? 9112 Lane Master llBl'l 699.00 407.01} m. Dinette, 100111001 top table 119.00 151.110 Rugs Spanish Bedroom 1110011 269.00 143.011 01001080001300th 209-00 31?? Maple ?nish Bunk Beds, mattresses included. 8900 58.00 1:1: 3223 114 5-90. 1110111111, 00010100013111 walnut 529.00 253.110 . BruyhillSuanis?h Prmiincial Suite, 4-111: 629.00 350.00 We, The largest discount Quality furnie?ure sfore in The Morehwes?? 7319mm SALE AT DOWNTOWN STORE ONLY -- Across from Westlake Chevrole? PHONE on" SUNDAY 1 2-5 09m MONDAY a. rum3-0373 . THE SEATTLE TIMES, SUNDAY, JANUARY 4, 1970 3 Don Duncan?s 2020 Diary 96 HO do you think you are, man, Nos? tradamus? Hardly. NOLeven Jeane Dixon. Not af- ter going with ,such chips-down losers as the Baltimore Colts'and?Orioles, Sonny Liston, the Borgward automobile and two small pairs in a game of draw poker. Trying to predict the shape of this plan- et 50 years hence is as fraught with diffi- culties as inviting Portnoy to address some complaints to a Sunday-school class. Some broad guesses: Technology will continue on its collision course with environment, and Brooklyn may not be the only place to worship a tree. Potentially infinite populatiOn will run smack into finite limits on land and natural resources, and the only factor that can ?give? is humanity. Economic pendulums will continue to swing, rarely striking a happy balance _be? tween the haves and the have-nots. Society?s morals will} fluctuate between the orgies of the Roman Empire and the mental and physical corset of Victorian prudery. There will be some form of internation? al understanding between nations and peo- ples, based upon mutual need rather than on a balance of terror. If this sounds like Wendell Willkie?s ?One World,? so be it. Now for shakier ground. The grbwing feminist movement ap- pears destined to create as much upheaval as the ageold struggles between nations, races and rich and poor The potential for mischief, even for the future of the human race, is obvious Certainly, women will be equal, perhaps even dominant, partners?in?the world of tomorrow. Marriage contracts may be? even whim, than one of solidifying a fami- ly. The children; I would guess, would be the losers. One might expect, simply because of the sardine- -pack of humanity, fewvestiges of rugged individualism. That peculiarly American ?marriage? of capitalism and socialism, of government and industry, and government becoming heads of the household. Man most likely will be living longer and enjoying it more, particularly if his increased leisure can be channeled into creatively fulfilling tasks, and not just longer coffee breaks and more clubs. Surely some limitations will be set on planetary travel, merely because of the difficulties in transporting and housing masses of tourists in Washington, C., and Yellowstone National Park. Quota lists for Such visits may have to be established. Such electronic devices as the Moog with its oscillators ~and?filters and transistors, herald eXciting new instru- ments and mathematically programmed compositions. Possibly even computer-writ- ten lyrics. Who can guess the direction of the dance, except to predict couple-touching should have periodic revivals. Dialog of 1H5 if!? JA 4f 1976 the future: ?Listen, Dear, they?re playing our song.? ?Yes, it?s ?Kleinwitz?s Third Concerto for Oscillator and Transistor.? Despite Marshall McLuhan?s ?death knell? for the written word, books will con- tinue to be produced mostly in paper- back form and libraries will hold the permanent record of our history- But in- stead of Marian the Librarian, one will deal with pushbutton retrieval systems 1- Newspapers most likely will be pack~ aged differently, if only because the trend toward ever more bulk is going to wear Out the carrier boys. Perhaps we will have te? letype-like machines in every living room, spilling out news as it happens. Certainly there will be less emphasis on recording the events of the day than on analyzing what they mean Wallets probably will be housed in mu- seums, as a quaint artifact of 20th Century -man. We will be paid with an electronic line of credit and our all- purpose ?credit card? will he slipped into waiting ma- chines when we make purchases . Clothing and the lacquers and ointments with which one adorns his body to become socially acceptable will continue to go - through cycles, each hailed by those some? times ding-a -ling fashion-world arbiters as the ultimate in projecting the right image. But the emphasis probably will be on ever- more freedom of movement and natural- BESS. Men?s ties? Doomed. Vests? Long gone. . Women?s corsets? Ridicu10us- High?heeled 1 shoes? Like the dude bird The one fear: That by 2020 it really will be impossible to distinguish boys from girls unless they - - wear badges Schools will become more campus-like, and skilled master teachers will have sev- eral subordinates and a batteiy of elec- tronic devices. If we now feel, as parents, that our high?schoolers are leaming what we did in college, we can be assured that the elementary-school child 50 years from now Will be handling concepts now in the college curriculum. Certainly there will be less emphasis upon storing up facts than on learning how to use the-facts one may find when he needs?them. Long before 2920, we will be WOMAN Will BE regarding a free, tax-supported college ed? ucation, or its technical-school equivalent, as every child?s birthright. Overemphasis? on sex and violence in m0vies will pass, and we will be left with a far more important medium of communi- cation than we had when Dick Powell sang to Ruby Keeler by a waterfall. The film, as both an art medium and as a social force, will grow in stature. But we will view it on pay television, and the ,movie house, alas, will go the way of the marathon dance and the sixday bicycle race. Spectator sports that reap such a bar- vest from the television viewer may price themselves right out of the market. We could even become a nation of doers in- stead of watchers. But don?t count on it. Increasing ecumenism among Christian churches seems likely, but the dialog prob? ably w0n?t bring about one superchurch. Further challenges to the institutional churches in the years ahead will settle once and-for-all the con?ict between the church as an institution for individual sal- vation vs. a force for social reform. A combination of the two will be accepted. Some ?compromise? with the birth-control issue is inevitable within the Roman Catho- lic leadership. The ballot and economic progress may erase most inequities between the races And today?s youth, and their children, when they add pragmatism to idealism, 'may be the adult generations to finally succeed in making this a nation of free opportunity for all. It is difficult to imagine survival of the intemal- combustion engine or of the sin- gle- -family dwelling 1n the highly urbanized society of the next century. Equally as un- likely is the sight of powerboats running helter? skelter on our waterwavs without stringent traffic controls. Our penal institutions should increasing ly be oriented toward rehabilitation rather than extracting the last measure of retri? bution for an anti-social act. As man gets closer to his neighbors physically, with no place to 11m and hide, he probably will become more withdrawn As a consequence, mental illness may become as common as today?s head cold. Fortunately, such illness will be covered by medical insurance just as the broken bone is today. One- cannot really imagine human na? ture changing much. Love, anger, hard work, sloth, philanthropy, greed, courage, cowardice-?all will be with us. But ad- vances in education, communication and the lessons of history may make us more willing to settle our differences by negoti- atiOn and legal channels than with weap- ?ons and strong-arm tactics. Call me myopic and astigmatic. One of the few things of which I can be absolutely certain 15 that I will have quit writing col- umns nearly 30 years before the dawn of 2020. But if I should happen to ring in that new year, you can be sure I?ll reread this piece through my trifocals and chuckle when someone says, ?He didn?t even have 20/20 50 years ago. If ,g 001:.ng a ?(00:3 ?mi-150:0- W3 . 1b" ?arm??4: .92 mg 0 to (Do OthN> "305.2; in Emma?? ?10.59 00.9503 4.. . in}: :2 -1 ?-E'Ificm> new? 6 A 2026 ad L. NDAY _s,u TTLE ll .11 Hill ITI Ii'Iw . THE SEATTLE A. G. CARS. . .Escnpe HATCH. . .U. Cs Suppose fusi- suppose, you coulci come back to the old place after 50 years. Would the inevitable march of technology have left any common ground between you and the people of 2020? Might a conver- sation go like this? How you doing? What did you come from? Off the A. Q.?Off the what? .??The A. G. The anti-gravity car. I heard it go by but I didn?t think it stopped. Then you popped up. I was just looking around. Haven?t been in town for a long time. You have anti~gravity cars? A.??Sure. Rapid transit has been using them for years, ever since the Air Force discovered the Chinese knew how to con- trol gravity, too, and we stopped being so secretive about it. No friction. Really goes. you feel weightless in them? A.-Naw. You?re held in your seatby a kind of centrifugal force. Feels just like sitting in this chair. Say, where you been you haven?t heard about the A. I?ve been?uh?out of touch for about 20 years Does the A. go between cities, too? - takes too much power for that. There?s high-speed rail, or else we More?n 1,000 miles an hour. They?re trying out some rocket arrangement, where 50 people could be shot from here to Aus- tralia, like in an hour. But I don?t think people will go for that. What?s all the hurry? Q?~How about automobiles? You still have your own cars? a few people do. I guess quite a few back in the Midwest Where there aren?t so many people. But there?s really no room for ?em out here. It?s much faster to ride the A. Gs. Q.?How do you get out to the m0un- tains, or the beach? it, Pop. My family quit going to those places when I was still in school. Why drive three hours when the crowds are so thick you, can?t see the grass? They?ve closed a lot of?those places now, anyway. Everything was dying from too many people. Q.?You don?t get out in the country at all? A.??Don?t have to. t?s better with the Escape Hatch. Q.??The what? haven?t heard of that either? it?s a nickname for the All-Scan, a little like the old TV, only it?s in all the walls. Get away from it all, see? Escape Hatch. Q.??ln the walls? You?re surrounded by the picture? MES, 79 By Hill Williams sort of. You?re thinking in terms of the old TV. With the Hatch, you?re THERE, part of the scene?the pic- ture, the sound, the whole bit. Last night my Wife and I had dinner on the beach at Waikild. Sunday afternoon we walked on one of the beaches in this state. Complete solitude. Not a 50ul in sight. Q. ??Well I guess they could put a cam? era on the beach but how could it be de- serted? Where were the people? the beaches? They? re closed, have been for years. People were tramp- pling everything, too many people. The schools helped in that little disaster with their bus loads of kids carrying off every- thing they could pick up. And leaving their garbage. Took a boat ride in a deserted mountain lake the other day. There were the waves in front and the slap-slap on the how, the wake behind. Everything but breathing the exhaust and getting rained on. Q.?You, just tune in what yOu want? A.?Sure. They?ve got pickup stations Spotted in preserved areas all over. Pick a clear day Mount Rainier. Q.??Sounds to me like you never get outside, or even cut of your chair. partly right. I don?t think I?ve been outside in five years. But if you?re worried about our not getting exer- . cise, we all take exercise breaks at work. I suppose that?s new, too, since you went Wherever you went. They started that to fight the great heart-disease epidemic. . disease, eh? Has it helped? yeah, quite a bit. Heart is still a big problem but not as much as it was. Q.?What if people don?t want to exer- cise during the breaks? A. -?Their employers won? give ?em health insurance. That? 5 part of the deal. I gather vou knew about heart disease in the old days. Q. ??You might say that. You also might say I?ve had a special interest since I checked out like I said about 20 years ago. A.?Well, exercise is part of it. They?ve changed the food. We don?t eat much of that pure fat I guess you did way back then. Fat people who' aren?t under a doc- tor?s care can?t get health insurance either. Q.?Where do you work and how do you get there if you don?t go outside? a writer on a newspaper and . . . Well, what?s so strange about that? Q.?Nothing. A.?You looked surprised. Well, anyway, my office is just a short walk down the mall from my apartment. I never go into the main plant but we?re wired in by a commercial version of the All~Scan. I gath- er the information and talk it into the com? puter from there. talk it in? A.--Yeah, no more putting everything into computer language. Now they talk our language. They solved that years ago. . Q.?Then what happens to the story? A.?The computers edit it and make up the day?s edition and put it on the Escape Hatch. Right into the homes or offices or Whatever. presses, no delivery trucks? A.-Nope. No newspaper boys either. Q.?What if you want to save something out of the news? put it on recall and hit the P. O. B.?the print?out button. You get a per- manent copy of the part \ou want a news story for your file, or a recipe for your wife. place you work, does the news? paper own it? no The telephone company has stations like this all ov.er They rent space out, like to my newspaper. Q. ?The telephone company? A.??Sure. The phone has this full-v? all picture, too. That? 5 how I do my job. Even though I?m not in the fice, I talk to the metro editor and see him just like I was at the next desk. And I do my interviews the same way. Q.?Don?t you ever go outside to find someone? don? t, beca?se I work for the met- ro desk No one I need is anvvs here I can ?t reach ?em by phone. You seem to worry about me not getting outside. What?s so great about the outdoors? Q.?Just what you?re used to, I guess. It?s a wonder to me you stay healthy with- out fresh air and sunshine. as far as the air, it?s a lot better than it was when you guys were still buzzing around in gasoline engines, from what I read. Of course, in here it?s filtered and sterilized. As for sunshine, see thosel ights in the ceiling? They?re not like the old bulbs you had that produced light but nothing else. These are made to put out all the ingredi- ents of Sunshine. You can grow gardens indoors as well as out, if you go for that garden stuff. And the same lights are in the solar surfaces over the streets, too. Q.?The solar surfaces? . guess y0u wouldn?t know about that, either. Well, my parents and grand- parents that gets back about to you, doesn?t it, POp??goofed things up so bad in the power situation that the cities were forced to go to solar radiation to generate electricity. . from what I remember that might be expensive, like about 15 per cent ef?ciency? they must have improved that somewhere along the line. I read some- where the other day that the efficiency is above 95 per cent. Believe me, we need all the electricity we can get?like for the A. G. rapid transit. That eats up the power. Q.??There are solar, surfaces over all the buildings? A-?Over the whole works, buildings, streets, docks, everything. You see, it?s a solid city now west of the Cascades and there?s a roof over it?the solar surface. Q.?Too bad about the clouds in the win- ter. Cuts down the sun power, I?ll bet. A.??Not as much as you?d think, since W. M- P. M. 13.? weather modification program. After the Weather Bureaugot its two-week forecasts down pretty accurate, they decid- ed they had enOugh information to begin trying to modify the weather.'And by inter- fering with the energy balance of the big storms that come in off the ocean, they can slow ?em down or speed ?em up?mOSt of the time. So they try to get the storms through at night, when we?re not getting any sun power anyway. We get about as much rain as ever, I guess. It?s just bunched up at night. And every once in a while we get a real downpour during the day. But we never feel it inside. Q. What?s that card youjust put into your pocket? . . A. That?s my U. C. universal card. Use it for everything. Bet you don?t know about that either, right? Q. Right. A. Well, the U. C. is a computerized charge card, identification, medical card, travel card, library card, press pass (we still call it press pass, even though we don?t have presses), draft card, pass- port . . . well, you name it, this covers it. Q. - How?s it work? A. Well, everything about you .is stored in a central computer your age,? bank account, draft status, job history, and so on. With this card, you can pull out what information you need for whatever yOu?re doing. Wherever you go, there?s a slot that the U. C. fits. On pay daymachine in payroll that credits my bank account with the pay. When I buy some- thing, I put it in a machine at the store that deducts that much. Q. Wait a minute. Don?t you ever touch any money? A. You can if you want to. But I haven?t for a long time now. Each time you get paid, or buy something, the com- puter cranks out a slip that records that transaction and tells you how much money you have in the bank. . Q. Not much privacy. A. Well, you don?t have to give any- one the card if you don't want to- Except the cops. A. Is the U. C. good anywhere. Or just in town? A. Just about anywhere in this coun~ try, or Europe, or Japan, or most of South America, or Australia. Of course, if you go to some isolated corner of the world. have to get some local currency. When you travel, visas and immunizations are cranked into the central computer, so the border people can find out from your card in a split-second if you're legal. Q. Be pretty serious if you lost it, eh? Someone else go around charging things to you? A. Wouldn?t work. Each card is keyed to its owner?s body burden. If some- one else tries it, nothing happens. (2. Body burden? A. Yeah, your body burden of ra~ dioactivity. I?m not too clear on all this, but they found out no two people?s bodies build up the same mix of radioactive nia? terials?you know, the stuff that?s around that we breathe and eat and drink. It turns out that your body burden is as distinctive as your fingerprint. So when a kid starts school and they give him one of these cards, they take a whole-body count and then key the card to that special mix. It?s good for a lifetime. And the card won?t work for anyone else. Say how do you get around withOut a U. C. You carry money? N000, I well I?m in town for such a short time I don?t need one. And I guess my time?s abOut up. I?d better get moving. . A. Yeah, I better get back on the All-Scan, too. It?s getting late. Q. You know something? I think we had it better when I was yOur age, say so or 60 years ago. It doesn?t sound very in- teresting n0w. And all these people. A. Fifty or 60 years ago? Who you kidding? You?re not THAT old. Say, yOu know? The metro editor might go for a story, on yOu. He?s sorta quaint himself. Look me up the next time you?re in town, . Q. Don?t hold your breath- A. Yeah, yeah, 0. K. But I mean it. I?d like to . . . That?s funny. Now where did he go? Hill Williams, 43, is science editor of The Times. THE EATTLE TIMES, 4, .7970 17? aturing HARRIET STANLEY PARKER . mm .. .. a food is no worse than at most expensive ploces--it's just that people notice how bad it is because I don?t have a liquor license!? "There's only one onsWer-?omcwhere there's a gigantic costume hall, and we're the only ones not invited." . 5- ?I?m ready for my retirement _righthow". .".Will you please call all local museums and ask them for bids on me if, THESEATTLELTIMES, SUNDAY, JANUARY 4, 7970 By Archie Sa?er?eld REDICTIONS of the future must be tempered with the knowledge that every thing as we know it today is subject to sudden and radical change. We can ?nd a trend and attempt to follow it to its logical conclusion by using history as a guide. Yet, in most examples, nothing is more logical than following a tren? in the past and nothing more illogical thazn attempting to project one into the future. Five years ago, conseIVationists were not generally considered the Cassandras they are today. Fifty, years ago, no one seriously considered Boeing?s small hangar on Lake Union anything more than a wealthy man?s hobby. Thirty years ago Einstein was considered an eccentric gen- ius whose theory of relativity Was nothing more than a short mathematical formula. And a time when mountain streams would flow with undrinkable water was in the realm of science fiction. There are those among us who say that the only safe method of predicting the fu? ture is to expect the worst, to look at the worst side of the present and multiply it a few times for the future. Ehere is, of course, a degree of truth in this form of prediction. Although some of the changes predicted in the following paragraphs are certain to come, the products of business and indu5? try can do absolutely nothing for the inner man, and for this reason we must contin? ually look inward for contentment. Considering that the world?s population is committed to a line of growth, and that we already know the effect overcrowding has on the individual?s and the masses? attitude toward the individual, the Pollyanna approach to the future appears ridiculous. During the past few years, a number of industries have shown an increasing inter? est in the individual?s welfare through relo? cation efforts when jobs are lest and the employes? use of leisure time Here lies one source of hope: that employers will continue to encourage people to use their leisure time more pro?tably- It isn?t much of a compliment that men and women can?t find things to do without encourage .nent, but it appears that seed: measures are necessary if we are to avoid an erosion of the spirit and the senses- One trend that becomes stronger by the Archie Sa?et?eld. 36, are assist- ant Pictorial editor. has been "a business reporter. ca; ..I . . rag.? y, day is the growth of governmental agen- cies. and one has no choice but assume that government - from the local to the national will be the major employer by 2020. Not only will more and more people be actively employed by government but an almost equal number will be paid for not working. Welfare programs will ex- pand as the government increases its pa- ternalism. As this occurs, the social stigma against welfare recipients will diminish, in part because everyone will be working fewer days a week while receiving the equivalent of a full week?s pay. With the increase of governmental con- trol will come a similar increase in the government-industrial complex. The broad- ening of medical insurance will force part- nerships between government and insur? ance companies, and doctors and dentists will enlarge their staffs to fill out the reams of forms demanded from the gov- ernment in order to receive their pay- ments. The growth of governmental employ- ment is at least in part due to the nature of bureaucracy. Its very nature forces it to grow from pressures without to provide more services and from Within due to the innate urge of bureaucrats to enlarge their staffs, to build small empires into large ones. It makes one shudder to think of the tax rates of 2020 because these personal empires operating on tax money must spend a good deal of their time finding work to justify their growing staffs. The wood industry will continue as a threat to wilderness areas unless suitable substitutes are found for wood products. Otherwise, a point of no return will be reached and the supply exhausted faster than it can be grown. Before this happens, slash burning will become as uncommon as ox teams because uses will be found for every part of trees, thanks in part to pres sure from environmentalists to halt slash burning. Homes and furnishings built of wood substitutes will bec0me common- place, and wood and metal products will become luxury items status symbols. An indication of the forest industry?s outlook comes in a projection by the For- est Service which states that the industry will necessarily consume increasing amounts of second-growth timber. By 2020, the industry itself expects to consume 29' per cent less wood while the demand continues to grow. Apparently, the supply will not be able to keep up with the demand in Spite of efforts to develop ?super? trees." Employment in the industry will decline While wages and salaries increase by 50 percent, as skills increase and automation continues to rise. The transportation industry will have to - undergo radical changes, and by 2020 the industry will bear little resemblance to its present form. Through a series of muta- tions, largely government inspired, auto- mobiles will be outlawed in many areas and the raw materials used in them will be diverted to other products, perhaps still in' transportation, butfor mass-transportation vehicles. One of the strongest battles between en- vironmentalists and the oil industry will be fought, and perhaps $00n. But if the pat- tern of the recent past prevails, there will be more oil catastrophies, such as a mass spill in Alaska, before a shutdown. Commercial aviation will find The Boeing Co. and one or two others heavily subsidized by governmental funds to build planes that will closely resemble space- craft, such as the space shuttlecraft now onthe designing boards. By 2020, the first shuttlecraft will have undergone numerous modifications and the first model will be in the same category as the 707 is compared with the 747. The first version of the supersonic New .. ?ha ms . - .721; . .?zzx' . transport will likely be retired by 2020 from both metal fatigue and modifications. New planes in the hypersonic categbry? which are at least five times ?ol sound?already are in the planning stages, and the 2,200 to 2,400 mile an hour speed expected out of the SSTs will conceivably be doubled with the hypersonic planes. The expense involved in deveIOping faster and larger planes is justified by pre- dictiOns that overocean traffic in the next 10 years will equal that of all air traffic today. The skies simply will not have enough space for planes as we know them today, and the higher a plane can fly and the more people it can carry the more effi- EMployt-zn? PnobAbly GOVERNMENT ciently the available air space can be used. New metal alloys impervious to the in- tense bombardment by the sun and other unknown stresses in space will have to be developed in order to make both the shut- tlecraft and the future models of the SSTs safe and economical. Merchandising, always responsive to new techniques, will play a major role in easing pressures on metrOpolitan centers by emphasizing home delivery, televisiOn and telephone shopping and in-home serv- ices. It will become virtually unnecessary to leave one?s home or immediate neigh- borhood for shopping. Satellite stores and places of employment will be near one?s home, thus alleviating the necessity for us- ing automobiles. ?Hna Oceanography today is still in infancy compared with what it must and will be? come; Harvesting cr0ps from the sea will be. as commouplace as row-crop farming today. Astute cdnservationists are begin- ning to show concern for the future of bod- ies of water such as Puget Sound; not only for the use of the shoreline but the water itself and the plant and animal life within. Battles over the use of sea Water will match that of. wilderness areas and con- cern will and must be shown for the sea so that every available form of life will have an opportunity to survive Outside the sea farms. Priorities will have to be established within the next few years, and the conser- vationists, who wisely think of the sea as another Wilderness area soon to be invaded by businessmen of the timber- and mining- baron variety, will in a few years be con- sidered prOphets. As we think of the ?technological changes that are certain to come, we tend to think in terms of how smart man is and ignore the fact that man has other needs: that he is in many ways just another ani- mal that needs the inner peace that per- mits and encourages concern for the other. (Our old-fashioned parents and grandpar- ents would call that good manners.) Yet there is every indication that, as population in one center grows, the con- cern for others of our kind decreases at almost an equal rate. These predictions in industry are no dif- ferent than the changes made since the 19th Century in the sense that they do not improve the human condition. Despite What the writers for government and in? dustry say, these changes are for the bene- fit of a few interested in accumulating money and. power. If some of these ma? chines help heal the ill, they do nothing for the spirit. It is in the realm of the mind, the spirit that we must devote more energy. Other- wise, how can we dare call a piece of ma? chinery an advancement for mankind if the suicide rate is increasing; if murder, rape,? assault, theft and blackmail are taken for granted; if we continue to lose our concern for each other or any other animal that is on the face of the earth? THE SEATTLE TIMESIESUNDA 4. 7970 3 A. t0 By Walt Woodward IT DOES not take 20/20 vision to see that the environment of the Puget Sound country by 2020 will be an unmiti? gated mess?unless . . . We need only the word of the demogra- phers. We may not like what they predict, but we must give credence to their esti~ mate that in 2020 this state will be home to 6.5 million persons. . That, I assume, will be a population left to flourish without falling nuclear bombs, DDT mutation or some other form of p0pu? lation control. If any of those controls are invoked, all bets are off, of course. In 1970, this state has 3-3 million per- sons, according to state census estimates. Most of the growth since 1960 has been in the Puget Sound country. If the state?s population nearly doubles by 2020, it certainly is within the ball park to predict that the population of Peter Pu- get?s basin at least will be tripled. Therein is the potentiality for the mess. Where there is one Seattle, there will have to be three by 2020. For each rat-in- fested dumping area for Seattle?s garbage, Such as now stinks near the pleasant town of Marysville, there will have to be three. For every empty bottle tossed overboard to bob as an hazard on our fresh and saltwater reaches, there will be three. Where one highrise structure blocks the view, there will be two more nearby. A planner With a worldwide reputation, Dr. C. A. Doxiadis, said hall in a speech late last year in Vancouver, B. C. This garrulous Greek said there would be a con- tinuous strip-city all the way from Vancou- ver to Seattle and that this corridor would be the third m0st active elongated metrop- olis in North America, ranking Only behind the Los Angeles-San? Francisco and Bos- ton?New York-Washington, D. C., corri- dors. His view of one continuous urban com- plex sprawling over the shelf of land which lies between Puget SOund and the Cascade Mountains was not for 50 years from now. Would you believe 1985? Just 15 years, from today! Fifty years from now, frankly, is not of too much concern to me for I pray I will not live to be 109 years old. But 15 more years? I may make it. What of you? How old are you? How much of this mess will you endure? Selfish, isn?t it, to talk this way? What of our children and our grandchildren? They ?are the ones who will live out their youth, their prime of life and their old age not only through the relatively soon reality of the 'Doxiadis strip~city, but on into the confused cacophony of thepeople and pol- lution, factories and facilities, cars and confusion of 2020. They will, that is, unless . . . Ah, that is the one, saving word. Un-. less- Unless we, now alive and dreading what we see with our 29/ 0 vision, do more-4 much, much more?than we already now are doing about the preservation and con? trol of environment. i There are at least three great areas of activity where, if we have the wisdom to see what must be done, the courage to do THE SEATTLE TIMES, SUNDAY, JANUARY 4, 7970 A MESS. it, and the sense of urgency to get it done in time, we yet can save the day both for Ourselves and our children. Perhaps you can add some other activ- ities, but my ?guess is that we must plan and act now in these areas: (1) Land-use controls, (2) control of air, water, noise and Visual pollution, and (3) transportation coordination. In each of these areas, it is my guess that our wisdom, our courage and our tim- ing must be governed by one overriding principle . . . the common good of all over the rights of the individual. That is all I am going to say about that principle. I am not going to get trapped in a semantics argument over whether I mean ?socialism? or ?communism? or a ?dictatorship.? I am not interested in la- bels. All I know is that if we do not get cracking right now with some new con- cepts, new laws, new approaches?whatev- er it takes?2020 won?t be worth eXperienc- ing, from an environmental standpoint, in the Puget Sound country. For demonstration purposes, let us fo- cus on just the saltwater shores of Puget Sound. It is quite possible that by 2020, un? less things are changed, we will have at least 11 different and confusing decisions on the uses we will permit in 11 segments of the Puget Sound rim. There are 11 coun- ties wetted by Puget Sound. And, as we always have done since birth of this state more than 70 years ago, we still leave the final authority for land- use planning and zoning in the hands of county governments. That once was a great idea, but it is a serious question now whether this fragmentation is any longer a valid way to determine the future of what, essentially, is one geographical unit. At any event, there now are 10 counties whose governments hold yes?or?no authori- ty over whether aluminum plants, oil refin- eries, highrise apartments, homesites or park areas shall be the rule along their political portions of Puget Sound proper. Two of them, plus one more, wield the, same authority for that beautiful and unique arm 0f Puget Sound which twists its way for 60 miles under the shadow of the Olympic Mountains?Hood Canal. These connties, in a very real sense, are in competition with each other for payrolls and property tax revenues- Consider only three of them. Mason County officially is On record favoring an 11-story apartment to be built out over the waterfrom the rustic shore of Hood Canal; Snohomish County of?cially favored an oil refinery at pleasant Kayak Point; Skagit County of- ficially approved an aluminum plant at wooded Guemes Island. This is not to say that any or all of those developments are wrong. Conserva- tionists, however, said they were and blocked two of them with the threat. of court actions; the apartment pro- posal still is pending. This is to say, however, that absolutely no effort is being made to plan and zone the entire Puget Sound-Hood Canal area _as the One environmental unit, which it surely is. Instead, it is being done in 11 . pieces?more pieces if you?want to count the autonomous zoning powers also vested in incorporated municipalities. No over?all governmental agency, en- dowed with powers of'enforcement, is de- termining where industry can be located, where superports can be built, where high- rises can be constructed, where homesites can be developed and where open and green spaces shall be preserved along the Puget Sound-Hood Canal shorelines. Any attempt to create such a regional or state authority results in immediate and loud screams of protest from county com- missioners, city councilmen and those landowners who think their best chances for profits rest with local zoning and plan- . ning controls. They protest that-regional or state control smacks of ?socialism? or ?dictatorship.? So far, they have won. The Legislature even has refused to approve mild bills calling only for inventorystudies of saltwater shorelands. In air-water-noise-visual pollution con? trols, we are making some progress but it is slow and fragmented. There now are some federal, state and local government a agencies, empowered with more or less au? thority, at work on air and water pollution centrols. But consider that Everett pulp mill; its manager last year said that if he complied with a certain water-pollution order, he would be in violation of an air?pollution? control regulation. Some say that was his way of stalling; the fact is, however, that air-and?water-pollution controls in this state are as the left hand is to the right; neither one knows what the other is doing or, if it does know, does not act as if it did. So far, the Legislature has refused to com- bine agen- cies into one sensible state department of environmental quality. As to noise-and-visual pollution controls. we do little or nothing. A few municipali? ties haVe confusing and contrary noise-con? trol ordinances. The clatter made by an - interstate truck may be legal in one city through which it passes, but illegal in the next town down the freeway. Yet if we are to have three times the pOpulation in the Puget Sound country by 2020, and three times the present noise level NLESS. . . from trucks, buses, jet airplanes and jack- hammers, our children and our grandchil? dren will have to go about wearing ear plugs. _That is, unless. . . As to visual-pollution controls, most citi- zens hoot at the idea. What kind of foolish- ness does this Woodward write? Visual-pol- lution control, indeed! But go ahead; deride visual-pollutionl control, and then see how human beings? persons whose heritage since Adam has been based on natural vistas?struggle to live calmly in the Puget Sound country in 2020. I?m glad I won?t be around to see the jangle. Jangle it will be, unless . . . Finally, there is transportation?the movement of people. Bus lines, municipal transit systems and passenger?carrying ferries to the contrary, most of us move in our own automobiles. Talk about dictator- ship, here it is-??the dictatorship of Detroit. It is a dictatorship we welcome and de- fend. Nobody, by golly, is going to tell us we cannot drive our own cars to work, or on shopping expeditions! Well, if nobody does then my vision of 2020 is one of the doggondest traffic jams imaginable. Our freeways will become slowly moving parking lots. But in Detroit they have come to the conclusion that Automobiles Forever is no solution of the tranSportation needs of a growing population. Detroit, last year be? gan to act on a balanced transportation system. That, of course, also is the ?unless? for Puget Sound?s transportation woes. Now and then, we make a halting effort or two toward it. Maybe, just maybe, the Seattle area soon will vote favorably on the start of a rapid-transit system. It turned down the idea a couple of years ago. But even if that start is approved, the proposed system will be dinky compared to I, the problem which 2020 growth (or even the Doxiadis strip-city only 15 years away) will present. The Seattle Metro rapid-tran- sit system would not extend very far into King County, much less reach out to the Seattle?Tacoma International Airport, or into the growing Boeing complex at Ever- ett. . Here, again, the problem is fragmenta- tion. The right hand knoweth not what the left doeth. The State Highway Commission operat- ed, at least until very recently, with tunnel vision. Its goal is?or was??more and more freeways for more and more cars. The Washington State Ferries system schedules its vessels Out of fear of provin? cial political pressures, not in response to desire?lines of. traffic flow. The Port of- Seattle, at huge cost, is rebuilding the Pu? get Sound country?s major air terminal with scant regard for the grOund-transpor- tat'ion access that enlarged facility will generate.- The City of Seattle continues to approve more and more parking garages in a down- town business district whose narrow streets already are chock-a-block with ve- hicles at rush county gov- ernments approve huge rural homesite de? velopments with little or no attention being paid to the vehicular demand those ?new towns? Will place on county roads already too narrow and too crowded with traffic. Despite all this fragmented confusion, the Legislature twice has turned down pro? posals for a state department of transpor- tation where, for the first time in one place and under one authority, some coordinated planning at last could begin on a balanced transportation system all the way from Blaine to Olympia. Let us not be too hard on the Legisla- ture. Legislators, in refusing to coordi- nate area-wide thinking 0n trains. buses, airplanes, ferries, automobiles and rapid- transit systems, only are reflecting the ad? amant attitudes of their constituents. No- body, by golly, is going to tell us we can- not drive to work . . . Nobody has. After all, they have not shoved the ?last car? into downtown Seattle, but that day is coming. Seattle al- ready experiences a taste of it when too many motorists try to reach evening events at Seattle Center. At any event, the 2020 vigion of trans- portation in the Puget Sound c0untry must be the same discouraging, disheartening and chaotic View as that of pollution con~ trol and of land?use allocations. A matter of a mess . . . unless. . . Unless we act now in all three areas with wisdom and courage and a sense of urgency. I believe firmly that we have the wis- dom and the courage. I wouldn?t bother to write this if I felt otherwise. 1 Simply would crawl in my hole and live out my years with the sure knowledge that I will escape most of the chaos which the next 50 years hold for the land of my birth and my lifetime home?the beIOved Puget Sound country. Yes, we have wisdom. Yes, we have courage. But do we have the necessary sense of urgency? Are we lulled into apathy by the great unsettled open spaces we still see all about us? Are there still too many miles and miles of unspoiled shorelands for us to be concerned about their future? "Do we still ramble with such considera- ble speed and comfort over well-paved roads and freeways that we cannot imag- ine the inevitable traffic crush just ahead? _Are there still too many clear days when smog does not choke us? I pray that we will open our eyes, that we will look with piercing 20/20 vision into the future, that we will see the unmitigated mess we surely. will create . . . unless . . . Unless we act now with wisdom and courage. Walt Wood- ward, 59. Times colum- nist, has written ex- tensively on environment. the SEATTLE TIMES, SUNDAY, JANUARY 4, 7970 "ll cm ?l?llill ll .4: yn'lm TYLE HAPPY New Year! It?s time again for my annual review of the arts in Seattle, the 50th such article I?ve written. (I missed four years in the mid-19705 when I was hiding from the arts on a South Pacific Island, which, as you old-timers may re? call, I left immediately after it was discov? ered by the international touring company of ?Fiddler in the Buff?) The arts Scene in Seattle last year 2019 - was (to use a quaint, vaporous ex~ pressiOn which, on rereading, I find I used liberally in my quaintly vaporous articles in the 19605) a- gas! The sensation of the year again was the Aqua Follies, which has annually been Seattle?s hottest ticket since 1972, when the aquatic version of ?Oh! Calcutta!? proved to be a box-office bonanza. Although that production caused quite a flap (remember the protest demonstration .by the. Costum- ers Union?), the Follies? subsequent inno- vations make that ?Oh! Calcutta!? produc- tion now seem only a tame and tepid piece. Last year?s Follies? show?a revival of its justly famed production of Am Cu- rious (Yellow/v)? was?severely attacked by some of the younger generation, who ac- cused the Follies' of selling out to the Es? tablishment in staging a ?classic? when new, more pertinent and relevant shows were available for production. But even when these young critics blasted the choice of the show, they clearly relished the pro- duction itself, turning out by the tens of thousands, despite organized efforts of the Veterans of Sky River to refuse admission to anyone under 30. . Utilizing the 12 Lake Washington float- ing bridges and the small pools of water between, the Aqua Follies mounted a bot- fo-buffo production, which, in and out of the'water, was as exciting a show as any of us stand. The cast of 1,002 was smaller than the casts for otherrecent Follies pro- heart?transplant patients could ductions. But Ingmar Bergman one of the most flamboyant of the new directors. insisted that the small cast was essential: UNDAY, JANUARY 4, 19.70 t. to maintain the intimacy of this most inti- mate show. But What the cast lacked in collective size, it made up for with individual endow- ments, once again visually justifying those courageOLis theatrical pioneers (and mil? lionaires) of the late 19605 who braved the onslaught of organized prudery to prove that the only pure art is that which is na- ked and unadorned. Follovaing a precedent set with the pro? duction of ?Wheel Bombayl?f three dec- ades ago, scenes from the Follies show were staged by 12 different sets of actors on the 12 different bridges. As each group finished its scene, it swam at random, of course, and not with the (vulgar nized precision swimming popular in the 20th Century to the next bridge and then repeated the scene, or did a different scene, depending on the way the actors felt about their art at the moment. This high? art was observed fronron high by audiences which sat in the special plastic bubble swings su5pended from the roof of the giant dome which was con- structed over Lake Washington (for lack of abetter place) in 1973. For the price of admission only $75. andcheap at twice the price audience members were fitted 2019 in l/ ARTS WAS A out with individual flight packs, which gave them the option of leaving their but? ble swings and zooming out to get a closer look at various aspects of the superspecta- cle- Many persons, now well schooled in the Grand Tradition of Audience Participation, of course fell into the water and got into the act. There were complaints from the cast that some audience members were guilty of gross exhibitionism. One cast ?member precipitated a tesr case by making a citizen?s arrest of a younO, blond woman who was creating quite a participatory scene on Bridge No. 9. The girl, who steadfastly refused an em- barrassed policeman?s offer of his jacket, flashed her Audience Equity card, pleaded ars gratia artis, and was released to the custody of her guru. The music for the production was six- perb. The basic sounds were made by Woodland Park?s Slippery Seal Band, which tooted horns and flapped flippers. The Sweetest Music This?Side-of?Yakima picked up these sounds, per- formed its incomparable electronic muzak: ification 0n them and sent them out through the 1,000 underwater speakers in the hydrophonic SOund system. At one per- formance, the quite by ran- dorn chance, created the original version of that beloved classic, Wanta Hold Your Hand.? Out of respect to Seattle?s distinguished . musical past, the Follies production once again included a brief taped performance by the of thePacific Northwest. For those of yOu who don?t recall, the old Seattle was renamed the of the Pacific Northwest in 1978, and for more than a decade it served as the resident orchestra in our six-state? re-? gion. But. in 1990, after the restructuring of the federal government, the King, who was tone-deaf, cut off federal funds for the sup- port of orChestras, and the Sym? phony of the Pacific Northwest quickly succumbedto a surfeit of deficits. Another victim of the sameeconomy drive was the S. S. T. This Well-lmown Seattle hand-crafted product was. of By? Wayne Johnson course, the old Seattle Repertory Theater, whose name was changed to the Seattle Stock Theater (S. S. T.) in the mid-19705 'for civic-image reasons which seemed compelling at the time. - - I have dwelt at length on the Aqua Fol? lies production not simply because it was the most spectacular show in Seattle last year, it was the only public show. The rest of the pestonning?arts action in the city was electronic and private- Ever since that memorable day in 2003, when the widely publicize-j Seattle Smash left our elaborate freeway system hope- lessly clogged with automotive litter which the City Fathers deemed uneconomic to re? move, Seattleites haven?t gone out much. The conveyor-belt system installed in the 19905 keeps the populace reasonably well supplied with the protein and vitamins necessary to maintain life, and the standard Home Multi?Media Sys- tems, which became compulsory in new dwellings built after the passagecof theta- mous Zoning Code of 1987, provide our citi- zens with all the entertainment they need? or can take. In recent years only the supercolossal Aqua Follies has been able to pry Seattle? ites out of the Multi?Media rooms of their homes where, With a ?ick of a switch and punch of a button, they can make available any diversion they desire at the moment; the greatest music by the greatest musicians; the greatest plays by the greatest actors; the greatest anything by the greatest performers. It has been rumored recently that on derground ?live? performances of music and drama and dance have again begun to crop up in the city. It had been thought that this sort of radical activity had been effectively stifled two years ago, When a police raid broke up an entirely unauthor- ized string-quartet concert in the supply mom of the Central Nuclear Reactor. But nowit seems to be with us again. Apparently there will always be irre- Sponsible revolutionaries. Wayne John- scm.39?s The Times' arts-and-en- fertainmerd? ed?on L. i A c' A ?Then it is agreed! will put of? the Mars landing for 75 years 5'0 Uncle Sam can save up money for ?De trip!" "Remember when this used to be on unfrocked wilderness?" THE SEATTLE TIMES, SUNDAY, JANUARY 4, 1970 4:33 A m. LLA 351? (I) .1. 1?-l AQUARIUSOR THE year 2020 may be, like the song from ?Hair,? the ?dawning of the age of Aquarius,? a time of love and peace and happiness. That is. of course, if mankind makes it that far. The threat 13 not necessarily nuclear Technology has produced its own in- stant destruction as the marVels of one day are superseded the next by an even great- er marvel. It all ties together and it all affects the basic component of existence? rnan?s relations with his fellow man. Even today there exist (in American so- ciety threats to freedom. Universities are besieged. and find it difficult to maintain open discussion. National life is besieged with tyrannical certitude, another threat to an open society. There is a feeling that the easy atmos- phere of freedom in this country has been eroded. The country is anxious about the future'of a libertarian society. L1. There is a feeling that the sociological and ecological systems are networking or somehow working against us. The idea of freedom will coutinue to evolve in the 2151; Century to a much larger idea~an idea in terms of the?ability of society to provide a level of material well~ being that makes possible for the majority Self-realization that never has been any- thing but a marginal option of a very small minority. This idea of a greater possibility for each person to become all that he is capa? ble of becoming adds a third dimension to freedom that is at the center of much of today?s political and social unrest. These freedoms not be easy to ar- rive at but neither were civil rights and political freedoms that evolved in the pre? ceding centuries. Technology has created a world .. in which immoral and irrational behavior of man can lead to catastrophic conse? quences Technoldgy did not create human conflicts and inequities but it has made them unendurable. But the situation is hardly hopeless. - If we get safely through the next 50 years, we may have accomplished the great'transformation in which we enter a~ new period of stability offering considerav ble promise for mankind. Persorzal freedom and democratic gov- sag-vow. JANUARY 4. .1970 ernment are the necessary ingredients for this kind of promise. But government must be made more adaptable to the common man. The problems of man?s relationship to man have ramifications and pOSSibilities almost unimaginable. It is possible to tOuch on only a felt things that will change and affect change population, religion, race and commu- nity relations, youth, the mores of society. Many warnings have been uttered by scientists on the perils of overpopulat10n. .Yet nearly 120 million were born in an already-overcrowded world in 1969- Fifty million died for a net gain of 70 million. The consequences of pepulation are staggering both in terms of predictions and means of control. Some of the mea sures suggested to con- trol pepulation have an Orwellian ring higher taxes on bigger families, seeding water with infertility substances, obtaining licenses to have children, compulsory steri- lizatior; of men'with three or more living children- . Statistics indicate that the world illiter- acy rate is climbing by almost 60 million a year. The school systems of?the world are overwhelmed by large numbers of chil: dren. Food is the dominating factor world- wide. if population continues to increase at its present rate, there will not be enough food to feed everyone. Statistics cold and?brutal again By Stephen Dunphy show the problem: it took thousands of years to reach one billion pOpulatiOn in about 1830. By 1930 there were two billion and by 1960 there were three billion. World pOpulation stands today at?abou't 3.5 billion persons. Estimating mOre than seven billion pOp? ulation in the year 2000, President Nixon, ?the fourth successive President to talk about the dangers of overpopulation, said that many underdeveloped countries in Asia, Latin America and Africa are grow. ing at rates 10 times what they were a century ago and may triple populations by 1990. Population growth is not simply due to the birth of more babies. It is also aresult of the continuing conquest of such diseases as malaria, yellow fever, smallpox and cholera which cut the death rate in some undeveloped countries an?aw'erage of '24 per cent American pOpulation is not as crisis prone as that in other nat1ons. Population here? grows at the rate of about 1 per cent a year and it would take 70 years for it to double. . Seattle, like the rest of the nation, ex? pects an increase in populationlhe prob- lem we face in population seems more so- cialthan environmental. Ike great quos?gg grill be her?" a great number of persons can live togetherc in a large city without stepping on each other? 5 toes. Some European cities have the prob- lem under better control, because their cities were designed to be lived in. American cities. are designed to be workedin .More family? style rental apart- ments will be necessary to meet the in? creased load on our cities in the future The pressure of population will increase the pressure in another problem area of American life?race relations. Some things are clear, or at least clear- er than they were. For the young men who are leading what used to be called the civil-rights movement, it is a whole new ball game- They face the future seeking power, not sympathy. They ?irt with the: idea of sepa? ratism. Some on the fringes of the militant group talk of guns -_and Guerrilla warfare Many feel they never will get what they are after until they are joined by the white working class in union struggles hiring- hall struccles political struggles In the . ca- .3 3? 1: as 53?s . - ?3 present day of ?backlash? and censtruc- tion?worker marches, they may seem to be worlds away. - Some of the things to come that blacks are working for now include: 0 Black power that means something. Black persons in positions of power and influence in all areas of society. The mold has been set already?there are black mayors, a black senator, black executives. But they want more- . Black control over black lives. This idea. ranges from creation of aseparate black country to the idea of blackshaving greater say in their own affairs. 9 Black unity with the Other disadvan- tagecl of the land. It is most explosive combination of all. Blacks al- ready are working to join, with, the poor white to go to their government and tell them: ?We are poor, we arehungry. You are oppressing us.? Already .the- hopes of independence, self-determination and united action 'are shared by leaders of the diSpossessed who are not black. The tactics 'of the first dec- ades of the civil-rights movement are being adopted by the Latin Americans, the Chicanos (Mexican-Americans) of the Southwest, the grape strikers of California, the Puerto Ricans of the Northern ghettos. The once-bright dream of black?and white-living together in brotherhood is very dim. Perhaps it was always only that~a dream. The idea of separatism is gaining a? great deal of acceptance among even the most moderate: .. Predictions of thegnext 50 years are a ?ip of the com. On one side is violence; on the other is brotherhood. It is likely that? we will have some ofteach. Youth, that conglomerate of style, con- fusion, rebellion and raw energy, will con- tinue to vex the ?older generation.? The gap that produced the parental fear 'of the 19605 is a larger one than simply Father not understanding Son or not understanding Father. - Most of the ?older generation? are chil- dren of the depression,~a time when most of their fathers were out of work or work? ing at a marginal job. They knew the fear. and frustration of not having a job or the possibility of being laid off next month, next week or tomorrow. - The'byword of that} generation became . security. And the neXt' generation are the chil- dren with security, which gives them the base to experiment and change and live lives foreign to their security~conscious parents. The experimentation will take several forms-the outlines of which are apparent tdday. . Idealism, already breaking out in the past decade, will break out even more. Young people will say that they don?t care if they can make $20,001; working in Fa- ther?s law office; they?ll want to try work- ing for $7,009 in a ghetto or faraway coun? Peace Corps, VISTA and other service agencies will find that youth are ready to serve them. Government must take the. lead in in- volving youth. it cannbt sit Elly by giving sop new and then to the idealism it should be seeking to tap. Government. must move into the field (of service with money but without bureaucracies. One idea offered is private, nonpro?t corporations which would do service work under government contract. The desire for new ways of living will extend into basic institutions of life. Marriage, for example, will begin in lose much of its religious significance and become a social institution more easily dis:- solved. That is not to say marriage will he Changed drastically. Those who wish- to continue the relig- ious idea of marriage will do so with a! the attendant ramifications. . But at the same time, thosewho want a simple social arrangement can without the silent sanctions against them. Divorce will become more cornmon and no longer carry a great social stigma. - That simpler type of marriage present: in legal status and the care 9! children, but it is not unlikely that the sys- tems will find ways to c0pe with the prob- lems. 5 Religions too will undergo extensive changes. The traditional religions probably will grow in membership. But their to]. will change. New experimentations, new joint opera- tions, new drives toward consolidating churches will come. The churches will con- tinue to move more into social problems. At the same time, individuals will cast about for different forms of religion. East- ern, mystical-rite churches and even mom individualized worship will continue in grow. The forms and fads of religion wil be varied; . The challenge to authority, expressed in many forms throughOut the present socio- ty, will be extended ever more into the religious? arena. The social problems of the next-50 year: loom large but vaguely .on the horizon. They will be wondrous to behold, deviling to solve and mighty in their scape. SoCi?ety is the most malleable of all hu- man institutions. It bends to such winds as fad, whim and fancy; it can resist and hold back human development; it can stifle free thought and exciting living; it can lead the world back or push it forward. Above it all is the simple fact that man -?if he is to continueLWill have to learn how to live with himself . and each other. The next 50 years could be great if we make itthat far. Stephen H. Dunphy. 27, is a general? assignment reporter for The Times. -A CHILDREN will begin their'education earlier and stay at it longer in the 21st 1 Century, educators here agree. 'Rising numbers of adults will classroom for refresher courses or con-? tinuing studv. These will be among the changes in schools. Education, already big business, Will? be even bigger. With Seattle and the metropolitan-area population likely to grow well beyond the million mark, Seattle-area schools will need many more classrooms and more teachers?but the nature of education also Will be different. ?Schools of the future will be related to the society of the future,? says Dr. Forbes Bottomly, Seattle school superintendent. ?The schools will reSpond to the social needs.? For the next several years, school popu- lations are expected to grow much more rapidly in the suburbs thaninSeattle, while the proportion of nonWhite children rises in the city schools, to about one third by the 19805. At some point in the future, the shift to the suburbs may be reversed, Bottomly believes. By the let Century,- more fami- lies may be living in city apartments, as land values rise 2aand suburban space is ?lled. Technological changes also will be felt in the schools. Bottomly believes 3- and 4-year-old children will be taught reading and simple arithmetic in their homes or schools, using electronic. material such as tapes, television and small ?cottage? computers Bottomly sees replacement of the tradi? . tional grade unit system, with children moving through school at their own pace in. - . a ?continuousD progress? pattern. He pre- ., . diets that high school graduation require? ments will be t?changed sharply. More variety in curriculums will give students more opportunity to pursue Sub- jects most interesting to them. Better tech- niques for vocational training will be de- veloped, with business firms becbming more involved 111 says Dr. Donald Kruzner, who recently re- tired as King County superintendent of schools, says new school buildings will be more flexible, with large Open spaces suit- able for team teaching and variable group- . ing of students. Many more such buildings will be in use in the next century than? now. In Seattle, many older buildings will be replaced or abandoned in favor of larger units. ., . Teachers will be mbre specialized and better use of their time will be made through Wider use of aides, Kruzner pre? dicts. Better equipment and curriCulum material also will help teachers design pro? grams to fit individual needs. Schools will make more use of outside-"specialiSts, such as businessmen or professionals who can teach part time in their fields, Kruzner says- . return to the, By John Halgh On the college and university level, Seattle will continue to be the major learn- ing center in a region rich in educational resources. The. University of Washington, with an enrollment now of more than 32,700, hopes to slow the pace of its in the next few years to about 500 students- a year. At that rate, it would t0p 50,000 students early in the new century. Seattle Community College has begun an exciting period of development, and several suburban school districts also Oper? ate colleges which will help serve the growing college population All of these schools: Will? be bigger in the 21st Centurv and there will be some new ones. Robert W. Koski, ingtcu planning officer sees many exciting changes in higher education in the years ahead; At Washington, teaching experi- mentation will?continue in, all fields, he says. Although the percentage of graduate students and juniors and seniors will in- crease, university officials expect to con- tinue admitting freshmen and sophomores, probably more selectively. Community-colleges and other schools, such as the new EvergreenTState College in Olympia, opening in 1971, are expected to take a growing number of students, thus relieving the university. But another state four-year college will be needed in a few years in the Seattle area, perhaps east of the lake, Koski believes Continued construction activity is fore- University of wash-v seen on the Washington campus for many . years-to ?catch up with the large backlog of .needs,? Koski says. There is room enough on the?campus to double the exist- ing floor space, not counting dormitories, I but not to doublethe student body, since graduate students require more space and facilities than freshmen, Koski explains. - University 0 ticials expect continuation of the national trend toward a greater per? centage of the population attending col- - lege. Since the campus is regarded as fer- '-tile ground for the of all sortsof elsewhere can be expected to continue gen- erating excitement not all of it on football field: "ideas and controversies, colleges here and' - Asfor teaching techniques, there will be_ more sophisticated use of electronic de- vices, such as closed-Circuit tglevision. University professors may have large classes but will be able to provide close-up views of an experiment through use of sev-_ erai screens or television sets in the room. Greater emphasis will be placed on in- dividual student research, Koski believes. Students may do more Special projects off campus, learning how to gather infonna-' . tion first? hand at the source whether it be at City Hall, Olympia, in the slums, the forests or even farther afield offer seminar courses and refresher study - for graduates, and these programs will grow, to help graduates keep up with the ?knowledge explosion.? .E JANUARY 4,19}? 1 Many university departments already . Texrbooks ObsolETE? Similarly, electronic equipment 4- in- cluding computers will have its impact on the public schools. Dale (3055, director of research for the Seattle schools, says the computer will be a common classroom, tool in the next century. Mechanized teach? ing aids'will lead to much-more individual- ized instruction, he says. Schools-will oper- ate around their ,?resource center, the new and expanded School library. Electronic teaching material may make conventional textbooks ?obsolete? and make reading less important, Goss be- lieves. But Bottomly and Kruzner say reading ability will remain basic to educa- tion. - ?All children can be taught to read, but some still have *0 be convinced it is worth the effort,? Bottomly said. ?Presently, many don?t see any value in it and so they don? learn.? Schools still face difficult years teach- ing children at the lower end of the~ aca- demic scale, but the superintendents are optimistic that this problem will besolved. Some educators believe basic social changes will be required before all chil- dren can be taught successfully. Some functions now handled separately by different school districts 111 King County may be merged, Kruzner believes. These could include various administrative func- tions, bus operations and so on. The coun- try?s pioneering Media Center, with 7,000 films all cataloged and kept track of through thecomputer, is an example of efficient centralized Operation. Schools will cost taxpayers a lot of money in the next century, just as now. But educators here are hopeful school fi- nancing will be on a more reliable basis. look for less reliance on the pmperty tax for schools and more of a shift .to taxes 1 more directly responding to the economy, such ?as income and sales taxes,? said. . As a bigger percentage 'of the pOpula? tion becomes better educated, support for schools should increase, the educators think. Bottom ly . Skeptics might observe that tax 'reform' has not yet been achieved despite years of effort, and that perhaps school of?cials in 2020 still will be devoting many'weeks each year to passing special school levies- ?That?s too horrible to contemplate,? one school a: de said . . JohnHaigh, 51, features assistant for the Maga- zine, is much interested in education. QUICK GLIMPSE INTO THE Fu'rurza To THE YEAR 2020 NOT BE A5 THE CLAIM WELL HAVE APPLIED CUQ wow How To 55ng SOME 52 THE MAJOR HEADACHE6 52 5A, TO HAVE MYCAQ HANDY CA9E (N A HURRY I I WUGMT WAT WAG war Your-2 LUNCH. ,r HOUBEKEERWG 16 BY NEW UHNEFZEAL APPLIANCE VACUUMS, 9670555 0F GARBAGE, MIXES-COCKTAILS AND BAEYSITS 30TH AND A112 ARE was? GY use 5F POWERED (m5 RAFLD TQANSLT 5Y6TEM) I PaoPogc?Ep DOMED STADIUM To 85 MOORED P122 52 F20 evsurs, WILL. AS CROSS-SOUND WRuue Home) :52 me ewna?e douNTY;;,. .. MEDLCAL SCIENCE HA5 CURE F52 ?75 MD FROM - A LAST SEATTLE FFZEEWAY coax/52720 T0 PARK T0 WHILE MEN ARE CONTENT CONSUMNG pm BEGWNS MTH CHANQE, EXCEPT $962 nausea; Law?a TAXES BY . ENOUGH +5 85 REMOVED wwour ?xer,? WW6 514055 .OFFW- T, SEATTLE 4370' {if EARRING bombs, brain drain or bodaciously bold book- worms, books still will be at hand 5D?years from now?. The format may change, but, if history teaches us anything, it is that man enjoys reading, likes the private kind of com- munion a book provides and ap preciates the mobility and con? venience most books offer, par- ticu1a1 IV with the advent of pa- perbacks. These and other thoughts are suggested by three representa- tives of the book business in Seattle: Donald R. Ellegood, director, University of Wash- ington Press; Roman Mostar, assistant iibrarian. Seattle Pub- lic Library and J. W. Todd, manager The Shorey Book 'Store, 815 Third Ave Their statements follow. Donald R. E?egood: ?Scholarly presses in Ameri- ca are; in .1970, only about 100 years old. The first press, at Cornell, was founded in 1869. The purpose of a university . press then, as defined by Dan- iel Coit Gilman, farsighted first president of Johns Hopkins University, 11 as ?to advance . knowledge. and to diffuseii far and wide. - ?In a hundred years this pur- pose has not change ced much: ?Putting knowledgeD to work? was the way one foremost prac? . titioner defined it in 1948; ?preparation, storage, and dis~ tribution of information? is the fashionable term today. It is not anticipated that the basic purpose of a university press will have significantly changed by the year 202?). ?What will have changed sig? - nificantly is the mode of publi- cation The traditional book as we know it today will, of course, still be with us, and happily will still be the primary means of publishing much of the humanities literature and poetry, art and belles - lettresz, history and culture ?But in other areas, notably the physical and medical sci- ences, other modes of publica-' tion will have increasingly sup- planted the book. Already much medical research is being ?pub- lished? on film Where the graph- ic image, the picture, is far bet? ter than the proverbial 1,000 words. ?With further refinements in research, equipment and graph? ic techniques, more and more medical research will be pub- lished in this manner. . ,?Similarly in the biological and physical sciences; more and more research material will be fed directly into, a com- puter, linked to a library, and made available on, demand to 1 the reader either as a print,- out at a local station'or as?a display on a Tcathode-?ray tube (which is like a television screen, though more re?ned) "?By 2020 the packaging and" processing and dissemination of"- Books? Bur MORE information will have become a central concern not only of the university but of civilization it- self. . ?Abcordingly, the university press itself along with the li- brary and computer center, will have become one of the prima- ry divisions of a major univer~ ?It will be engaged in the selection and processing of in- formation, putting it into in formation storage and retrieval systems (which is what a book is, basically), and distributing this information in a variety of ways:_ in book form, magnetic tapes, film versions, computer print-out; or a variety of all these media. ?Given the populatidn explo sion which will have occurred by, then, the greater intelligence and leisure time available to all citizens, the proliferation of knowledge itself and its attend- ant specialization, the demands ~made on a university press 50 years hence will be infinitely more varied than today. ?Accordingly, om ?5 university press will be better ?nanced, better staffed, better equipped, and much more high; ?ly diversi?ed in its publishing program. The like the unive :sity itself, will have be- come much more responsive to ,sociaILas well as cultural needs, but its basic purpose of putting knowledge to work? will remain the same? a Roman Mosiar: - ?Libraries will combine Studies are now being made Which will recommend the cre- aiion cf larger areas of service for public libraries through combinations into regidnal and county library organizations. ?The future depends on how well the libraries bring their services to the public. We must abandon the idea that libraries are isolated entities; they must become interconnected to uti- lize central computer systems - that handle operations across the country. Centralized infor- mation systems will give in-- stant access to the national store of knowledge. 1 ?Li or arie will cooperate 'With each other in a broader ?Fi?lMs, PRiNfr?Ours machine?readable (al- ready begun to'a degree by the Library of Congress). ?But, with all the electronic equipment foreseeable, there still willbe books, we hOpe._ ?While there are evolving new forms and new materials for storing the printed word? sense than before to include technical processmg centers an agreement to follOW Certain standards to permit universal coverage in cataloging by using TIMES, SUNDA Y, JANUARY 4, 1970 microcards, microfilm and other microforms a re- quires a machine to make it - readable: ?Can you imagine curling up with a microfilm reader, or tak~ ing one to bed with you?? J. W.. Iodo?: ?Man?s writings in the form of books, manuscripts, pam- phlets, ephemera and literary and historical materials have been called the world?s largest commodity and_ books, man?s greatest invention. . ?Their importance to society has been established beyond all question,- it is the very heritage of civilization itself and the foundation upon which any fu- ture which man can conceive for himself must be construct? ed. ?Man?s progress, many mod- ern sense at least, has stemmed directly in proportion to the availability to the average per? son of books and reading mate- rial. Man?s centuries?long quest . for wisdom, knowledge, truth, light and progress in all ave- nues of life has always been ?tied directly to the evolution of books "Book selling and book 1510?" duction today, as far as volume is concerned, are at an all time high, spurred in recent months If by the invention Of a Vast array 1 of new photo?copying printing equipment?one of the fastest developing fields in modern in? dustry ?The new science of reprog? raphy involving these new methods of book bproduction has our national copyright office in 'a veritable tizzy trying to keep up With it all. ?The problems of' this vast new develOpment are being de~ bated in Congress and some new legislation may be needed. It is my hope that members of Congress will have the wisdom to avoid restrictive laws that would diminish the flew of books. Yet in Spite of increasing book production. statistics show our natioual reading?habits, while 'impmV? ?i.ng, are not good. In fact, among modern demOCracies, our reading habits are the poor- est. In addition, the general moral level and value of much of our present literature is of rather low quality. ?Mahatma Gandhi, with his keen moral perception, summed up our literature half~ seriously, by saying that al~ though'he?regarcled a high goal of literacy 'm his nation impor~ tant, he felt- most of his people were safer illiterate than literate . in the face of the vast outpour- ings of poor literature from our country. recent national poll showed only 2 per cent of the persons questioned visited a, bookshOp once a year, 55 per cent had not read asingle book in a year?s period. We mailed 50,000 Circulars toa well?known Northwest area offering over 1 million used books at 20 'to 50 per cent off regular prices, with an additionai bonus of$3 credit to anyone who would spend $10 at sales prices. We got just 15 responses- ?This stems largely from lack of interest in reading, edu- cation?and library building and his one of the reasons that dis: courages many people from re? maining long in the book busi- ness in this country ?But, despite the outpour? ing of junk that has character- ized all periods of history and ours in particular, we feel that if we listen, attentively to the teachings and writings ?Of the great men and?women of histo? ry, we may yet preserve our Western civilization from the dangers that threaten to engulf eeneahile in wmin Intellectual OGRAPHY OF TRANB VOL. Simon 3; Schuster,.lnc. $8.95. There is little of Bertrand Russell?s personal life in this book, the last volume of this se- ries In one sentence he dis- poses of his third marriage, and gives little more space to his fourth one, which appar? ently has given him 17 years of marital happiness Despite his assertion of surf prise that he is often accused of being anti?American do not know why, since I have spent long periods in that coun? try and? have many friends there and haveoften expressed my admiration of various . Americans and American doings. Moreover, I have mar? ried two Americans. . it is difficult to believe that his views are as objective as he in? ,l?le continually refers to the Cuban crisis as proof positive that America has no corn?punc? tions abOut getting the world in? ?volved' in a nuclear war and - further proof that Russia is a peace-loving nation. He con~ veniently overlooks events in Hungary and Czechoslovakia. There are excerpts from speeches, pamphlets and - a number of letters. One letter il? lustrates his puckish humor. Although it is doubtful this volume-will rank with other An angry man AND by John R. Fry B. Lippin- cott Co. $5 95 cloth; 95 paper? back. The Blackstone in the title may be a play on words, a sub? tle reference to the kind of law that always supports the estab? . lishment or an overt reference to the Blackstone Rangers, a black youth gang of some 4,000 members in a Chicago ghetto known as Woodlawm The fire in the title surely is the righteous anger blazing in? - side John R. 'of the 'First Presbyterian Church in Chicago and minister to the BlackstoneR?chlgers. Fry came?to national atten? tion when his church?s associa- tion with the Blackstone Rang? ers led to a congressional inves- tigatiOn That was after Chica? go police had raided the church and reported finding an arsenal there. The charges were false and trumped up, according to Fry. Much of this book is madeiup of sermons and speeches Fry made while he was struggling ad Russell Bertra works of Russell?s, it clearly illustrates his passion for mak? ing this a better world in which to live and his endless struggle to achieve this goal. . In summing up he says: may have thought theread to a world of free and happy human beings shorter than it is prov- ing to be. but I wasnot wrong in thinking that such a world is possible, and that it is worth- while to live with a bringingit nearer. . To have lived 97 years of ac- tive struggle and still? retain hope and enthusiasm is a major achievement in itself. MARJORIE RUMLEY speaks out against the police, the political machine and the establishment church to gain some measure of hope for ?the black ghetto youths. Usually Such compiled books lack cohesion. But Fry?s ser- mons burn with such a fierce fire and they are so attuned to today?s world, that this book does not have that failing. It is ?a book to be read and appre? ciated?even if it can?t be en- joyed. Because Fry Wiites cut of an- Ager, sometimes he overstates the case Considering the odds against him and his church and . the black youths; can be forgiven. that easily Fry: perhaps unconsciously, makes a' strong case for the ef: ficacy of the sermon in a day when that form of ministry is denigrated And his actions sup? port the contention that the church can be and often is a force for good in the secular city. More than that he calls at? tention, loudly and fearlessly, to some of the practicesin any city which dehumanize the poor, Whether black or white . RAY RUPPERT view of 'work, FICTION ?The French Lieutenant?s Woman" by John Fowles. ?The Godfather? by Puzo. ?The Inheritors? by Harold Robbins. by Daphne DuMaurier. ?Fire from Heaven? Mary Renault. by ll - f" Best Sellers in Seattle 'Mario . ?The House on the Strand? .?The Beatles Illustrated Lyr- NONFICTION ?The American Heritage Dictionary of the Ameri- can Language.? ?Washington? by RayAtke? son and Carl Gohs. . ?The Peter Prinbiple? by Laurence Peter and Rav- mond Hull. ics.? Alan Aldridge editor. ?Prime Time: The Life of Edward R. Murrow? by Alexander Kendrick. 'f A. contemporary repent INTO by Mary Anne Mauerrnann. Ive Washburn, Inc. $3.95. The first chapter of this book for teen?age girls seems to be? gin as the usual tragedy-and- happy-ending plot but it turns out to be an unusual, warming story. - Karen, a young Seattleite, had social problems at Jeffer- son High School, while, at the same time, her yOunger broth- er, Jeff, got along well with all the other kids. When their fa? ther had a chance to teach in Manchester, England, for a year, Karen was relieved to leave Seattle. But Jeff was dis? turbed at the idea of leaving his friends. The story contrasts teen- agers of America and England and shows how this unusual family defeated the problems of adjustment that kept coming up during the yea Because of living on Mercer 'AIsland all my life. I liked to read about the familiar aspects of our. city and the Pacific Northwest Which are mentiOned throughout the book. The same Karen did not come back at the end of the School year. Not the same Karen, His?rOry reference PRESIDENTS SPEAK: The Inaugural Ad- dresses of the American Presi? . dents from -Washington to Nix- on.? Annotated by Davis New- t0n Lott. With photographs of the Presidents and historic prints. Holt, Rinehart Win- . ston. $10. A fine insight into this na- tion?s hiStory is provided in this concise and excellent compen- dium. The notes by Davis New? ton add dimension and under- standing to the historical mo~ merit in which each President made his statements for poster- W- This is a valuable reference attractively packaged and well presented {11:11 keeping ideas tied up inside, afraid of what others might think, but a new, sociable and thoughtful teen? ?ager Along with the main theme of the story one gets to tour Eng- land and some other countries; to learn the customs of England and to meet a few English teen?agers. It is an inspiring novel any teen-ager would en- joy- (Notez? Mrs. Mauermann is a Seattle 'writer with several books for 'teen-agers to her credit. She and her husband, a teacher at Queen Anne High. . School, spent a year in England PATRICIA DONAHUE, Assisi 1 . (The following lists the; .best - selling paperbacks 1n 3 Such a listing will?appear in these pages - ?Island in?the Sound? is Hazel l?leckman. ?Coffee, . Tea or Me? by- Baker and Jones. ?Salzburg Connection? by Helen Maclnnes? ?Last Mayday? by Keith Wheeler. . ?Force 10 From Navarone? by Alistair MacLean.. -?Airport? by Arthur Hailey. - ?Iberia? by James Miche? ner. - 11111.1:1m1 ?Hotel? by Arthur Hailey. ?Soul on Ice? by Eldridge shall. 7 . ?Cauples? by John Updike. Morris. ?Reap in Tears? by Jack Hoffen?nerg. Cleaver. -, ?Doctor?s Quick-W "r - LOSS Diet? by Stillman and Baker. ?Naked Ape?_ by Desmond i ?Christy? by Catherine Mar- 3 . Allen Drury. . ?Preserve and Protect? by . where Mauermann was an er- i i .. - change teacher) the Seattle area this month; "1 .11.:411: 115111111?121113211 111.111 Julian ?lull. we You WANT To READ ARE-USWLY- Boole-?oi: were MONTH CLUE SELECTIONS 0R ALTEATES A.- - .- ?l?ll?ilili? 53.! I if! gen: E- . {mingi'iilgn $350 mum. at. 493. FIRE FROM 204. THE THREE 317. MY LIFE WITH 236. ONLY ONE 431. THE IND 391.1133581510 MIG EAVEH by DAUGHTERS BF MARTIN. LUTHER . YEAR by FALL OF THE THIRD REVOLUTION by WILL MARY RENAULT MADAME HANG KING. JR. by CORETTA ALLILUYEVA REICH by wuuAM L. and ARIEL DURANT glgi (Recall price PEARL 8. BUCK scon?mc. Photos (Remil price 57.95) 511111511. (Retail Illustrated 35 (Recall price?56.95) (Recall price $6.95) . . price 512.50) (Retaul price $15) SB 13'" ?31" . . .- ml coum AS 47 . . ONE 300K . a" 319. Re?ll price $12.50 101. Retail price $15 107. THE 477. PEANUTS 132. 196. LISIEN TO THE 484. THE ?013le WARM and STANYAN 'The Siege OI Leningrad THINGS WORK: AI TREASURY a; by JOYCE STREET I OTHER by HARRISON 5.- "Instant . CHARLES g. SCHULZ Unabridged by ROD SALISQURY: Photos OI . (Retarl pence $4.95) (Retail price 2. 3.95) MC KUEN. (Remil (Remll pnce $10) {Retail price (Remilm price $9.95) . prices total 57demonstration of- how Club, I membership can keep you from missing the b??ks "you promise yourself to read 231. 41-1.. IBERIA: Spanish POEMS OF . Iravel: and Re?ections 6} ROBERT FROST JAMES A. (Re?ll price Photo .mebs (Read $10) 3'4 SKEW (. any three for only $1 1N A SHORT EXPERIMENTAL MEMBERSHIP 241. Retail prroc?sm - i 200. how CHILDREN THE SUGGESTED simply agree lo buy three 234.THE OXFORD LEARN and How 1 . . . . HISTORY (IF-THE mL 5. Club camces WIthIn a year at specral members prices AMERICAN PEOPLE JOHN HOLT. (Retail . - . ?7 SAMUEL suor prices total 59-. 45) Horusox. Illustrated (Reuil price 515) 1mm ?riammcw s" 3: meme. mm 259- JENHIE 408. COUPLES 304. THE AMERICANS . 104. MISS 355. THE DEATH 111. ERNEST . The 11nt Lady ?Jamil/poms by}. c. FURNAs 21 DAY SHAPE-UP OFA PRESIDENT HEMINGWAY {3 32_2. Retail Randolph ChurchilI (Rem! pnce $6.95) PROGRAM: For Men wwAu ADI: Stan 553.95 . by' RALPH G. MARTIN (Retail price $12.95). Wain. Illustrated . Charts and maps by EAKES. Photogu (Retell price 56.95) (Reu? priceswl Photograobs (Retail price 58. 95) .. - (Retail $10) i OF 233. THEJOYS 390.536 I. 269-1HE OXFORD 140.135 COMPLETE 143 MAKING . 138.6REIEL. 13? THE GRAHAM 161 JOY vgmme 57 win. or YIDDISH :umuus PRGELEMS DICTIONARY or 3:10ch sums by THINGS snow by EMBRQIOEIY b; . mm coonoux by Irina. s?xousid?? #113394:ch and ARIEL 7 by no Ros-re?: by HENRY sxxesr DTATIO-IIS BENJAMIN r. MILLER, MA cmso ERICA ersoN by me COOK Illustrated (Repxl pm: $10) napalm-31'. lIIusmfed - (Remilpnce 511) 3rd revised ed. Illustrated - Ilium-and GOURMET. Photos Illustrated germ-ions, Gum (Recall price $12) (Read prxce $7.93) - llus. (Rec. price 89 95) (Read price $6.95) (Rem! price 5750/ (Retail price $7.50) (Retail price $6.95) In usmred aoox-or THE-MONTH CLUB, INC. - - A I 23:; Purl: Ave" New York N.Y 10017 .. - 1. BR..RY BUILDING PLAN RY READING FAMILY SHOULD KNOW Please enroll me as a member in: Book?of? the-Month Club and send me the three I volumes whose numbers I have indicated in boxes Iielow me 31. 00 for all three HE EXPERIMENTAL bersmp, you ?in cam! for 8" ?Very Beak of?me i 121232: gested here will not only prove, by} ourown Month Club Selection or Jlliemate you buy,a membership is c?ancelable any time after buying these three books. If I continue-after actual experience, h0w effectually membership Book?Dividend Credit. Each? Eradit upon pay- :his trial will earn a Book-Dividend Credit for every Selection?or A12 mate-? I I buy. Each Credit upon payment of a. nominal sun, will entitle me Lo 2 Book-Dividend I in the Clu?o can keep you ment of anominal sufn, often only $1 09 or 50 which I may choose from a?wide variety always available. (A postage and handling 1 charge needed to all shipmenls.) I from missing, through Oversight 61' over Hrsy ??somewha_t more for unusually expensive 'vol? - I moxcns av NUMBER nooxs you I 1 I ness, books you. {fully intend to read; it wil. also or sets?will entitle you to a Book-Divi- I demonstrate another drunormnt _adyanmge dend which you may choose from more than a I m, i I joyed by members Boolr- Dividends. Througr- hundred ?ne library volumes 2 waila?ole over the I is; i I this unique pro?tvsharing System Boole year. This is probably the most economical . ?in? 10?55% I Month Club members can regularly receive valu- means ever devised for building up a wellable ifbrary volumes?at a small fraction of 1 rounded personal library. Since Its inaugurationtheir retail prices?simply by buying books they nearly $488,000, 000' worth of books (retail -X C: 0: - :03? I'd-3'would buy even if they were not members. 1 value) has. been earned and received by nl mar - THEBookwf-rhc?lonrh cm. 72-6., an the ms. Patent 05:: Jan?ZiZ. Ifyon continue after this expenmemal mem: Club members through this unique plan. ?23 THE SEATTLE TIMES, SUNDAY, JANUARY 4, 7970 . I . -