NBC News/Marist Poll New Hampshire Annotated Questionnaire
January 2020

NH Adults: n=2,604; MoE +/- 2.4
NH Registered Voters: n=2,223; MoE +/- 2.6
NH Potential Democratic Electorate: n=1,077; MoE +/- 3.8
NH Potential Republican Electorate: n=746; MoE +/- 4.5
NH Likely Democratic Primary Voters n=697; MoE +/- 4.5
NH Likely Republican Primary Voters n=450; MoE +/- 5.5

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald
Trump is doing as president?

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald
Trump is doing as president? [And, would you say
you strongly approve/disapprove of the job he is
doing or just approve/disapprove?]

Knowing it is a long ways off, what is your preference
for the outcome of this year´s congressional
elections:

If the Democratic presidential primary in New
Hampshire were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to
decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [If
already voted: Whom did you support in the
Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire?]
[Asked of Potential Democratic Electorate]

New Hampshire Democratic Primary Persuadable
Voters

NBC News/Marist Poll January 2020

NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %
89%

Approve

42%

42%

11%

86%

9%

Disapprove

52%

53%

86%

10%

89%

8%

Vol: Unsure

6%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

Strongly approve

29%

30%

6%

67%

5%

73%

Approve

13%

12%

5%

19%

3%

16%

Disapprove

9%

8%

8%

3%

7%

2%

Strongly disapprove

43%

46%

78%

7%

82%

6%

Unsure

6%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

44%

47%

81%

7%

84%

6%

A Congress controlled by
Democrats
A Congress controlled by
Republicans

42%

42%

11%

88%

9%

90%

Vol: Unsure

13%

11%

7%

5%

7%

4%

Bernie Sanders

n/a

n/a

22%

n/a

22%

n/a

Pete Buttigieg

n/a

n/a

17%

n/a

17%

n/a

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

14%

n/a

15%

n/a

Elizabeth Warren

n/a

n/a

12%

n/a

13%

n/a

Amy Klobuchar

n/a

n/a

10%

n/a

10%

n/a

Tulsi Gabbard

n/a

n/a

7%

n/a

6%

n/a

Andrew Yang

n/a

n/a

5%

n/a

5%

n/a

Tom Steyer

n/a

n/a

3%

n/a

3%

n/a

Michael Bennet

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Deval Patrick

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

John Delaney

n/a

n/a

<1%

n/a

<1%

n/a

Other

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Undecided

n/a

n/a

7%

n/a

7%

n/a

n/a

n/a

26%

n/a

25%

n/a

1

 Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>
somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that
you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of
Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate
Preference]

In selecting a presidential nominee for the
Democratic Party, which of the following is most
important to you: [Asked of Potential Democratic
Electorate]

If the Republican presidential primary in New
Hampshire were held today, whom would you support
if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to
decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [If
already voted: Whom did you support in the
Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
[Asked of Potential Republican Electorate]

If the 2020 election for president were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are:
[Asked of Registered Voters]

NBC News/Marist Poll January 2020

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Strongly support

n/a

n/a

54%

n/a

56%

n/a

Somewhat support

n/a

n/a

29%

n/a

28%

n/a

Might vote differently

n/a

n/a

16%

n/a

15%

n/a

Unsure

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

n/a

n/a

45%

n/a

42%

n/a

A candidate who comes
closest to your views on
issues
A candidate with the best
chance to defeat Donald
Trump

n/a

n/a

47%

n/a

49%

n/a

Vol: Both

n/a

n/a

7%

n/a

7%

n/a

Vol: None/Other

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

0%

n/a

Vol: Unsure

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Donald Trump

n/a

n/a

n/a

85%

n/a

87%

Bill Weld

n/a

n/a

n/a

9%

n/a

8%

Joe Walsh

n/a

n/a

n/a

2%

n/a

2%

Other

n/a

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

Undecided

n/a

n/a

n/a

4%

n/a

2%

n/a

n/a

n/a

10%

n/a

8%

New Hampshire Republican Primary Persuadable
Voters
Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>
somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that
you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of
Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate
Preference]

NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

Strongly support

n/a

n/a

n/a

79%

n/a

82%

Somewhat support

n/a

n/a

n/a

15%

n/a

13%

Might vote differently

n/a

n/a

n/a

6%

n/a

5%

Unsure

n/a

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

Joe Biden, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the
Republican

n/a

51%

85%

9%

88%

7%

n/a

43%

11%

87%

9%

90%

Vol: Other

n/a

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Vol: Undecided

n/a

5%

2%

2%

2%

2%

2

 If the 2020 election for president were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are:
[Asked of Registered Voters]

Elizabeth Warren, the
Democrat
Donald Trump, the
Republican

If the 2020 election for president were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are:
[Asked of Registered Voters]

If the 2020 election for president were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are:
[Asked of Registered Voters]

NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

n/a

48%

81%

7%

84%

5%

n/a

44%

13%

89%

10%

91%

Vol: Other

n/a

2%

2%

1%

2%

1%

Vol: Undecided

n/a

5%

4%

3%

3%

2%

n/a

51%

85%

8%

88%

7%

Bernie Sanders, the
Democrat
Donald Trump, the
Republican

n/a

43%

11%

89%

9%

91%

Vol: Other

n/a

2%

1%

1%

2%

1%

Vol: Undecided

n/a

4%

3%

2%

2%

2%

Pete Buttigieg, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the
Republican

n/a

51%

85%

9%

88%

8%

n/a

41%

10%

86%

8%

89%

Vol: Other
Undecided

n/a

1%
6%

1%
4%

1%
4%

1%
3%

1%
3%

n/a

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 2,604 New Hampshire Adults
This survey of 2,604 adults was conducted January 20th through January 23rd, 2020 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state were contacted on
landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges
from throughout the state from Dynata (formerly Survey Sampling International). The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as
individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile sample
was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household, a single respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the
representativeness of traditionally under-covered survey populations. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2017 American Community
Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±2.4 percentage points. There are 2,223 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant
within ±2.6 percentage points. There are 1,077 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in New Hampshire includes undeclared voters who prefer to vote in the
Democratic presidential primary and registered Democrats. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.8 percentage points. There are 746 voters in the potential Republican primary electorate. The
potential Republican primary electorate in New Hampshire includes undeclared voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and registered Republicans. The results for this subset are statistically
significant within ±4.5 percentage points. There are 697 likely Democratic primary voters and 450 likely Republican primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will
participate in the 2020 New Hampshire Presidential Primaries based upon their chance of vote, interest in the primary election, and past primary participation. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within
±4.5 percentage points and ±5.5 percentage points, respectively. Tables include results for subgroups with a minimum sample size of 100 unweighted completed interviews as to only display crosstabs with an acceptable
sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report.
The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

NBC News/Marist Poll January 2020

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