Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 550 respondents with a cell phone only and 11 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 77 additional interviews were completed with Democratic primary voters in order to achieve a total of N=428 interviews. Date: January 26-29, 2020 48 Male 52 Female Study #200053 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.10% The margin of error for 428 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.74% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) + 18-24 .................................................................... 8 25-29 .................................................................... 9 30-34 .................................................................... 10 35-39 .................................................................... 5 40-44 .................................................................... 10 45-49 .................................................................... 8 50-54 .................................................................... 9 55-59 .................................................................... 11 60-64 .................................................................... 11 65-69 .................................................................... 6 70-74 .................................................................... 5 75 and over........................................................... 6 Not sure/refused ................................................. 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 10 No, not Hispanic .............................................. 89 Not sure/refused ............................................ 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + White............................................................... 76 Black ............................................................... 12 Asian ............................................................... 2 Other ............................................................... 3 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 5 Not sure/refused ........................................... 2 White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 72 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Q3 Study #200053 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Registered Voter. + Yes ................................................... 100 No ..................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q4 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 1/20+ Total approve ............................... 46 Strongly approve ......................... 36 Somewhat approve .................... 10 Total disapprove ......................... 51 Somewhat disapprove ............... 7 Strongly disapprove .................... 44 Not sure .................................... 3 12/19 44 33 11 54 10 44 2 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 3 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 5 5 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 Intensity 5/171 39 54 7 not asked prior to June 2017. 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q5 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and terms and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE :26,9, THEN ROTATE :7-8) Donald Trump1 January 2020+ ....................................... October 27-30, 2019 .............................. October 4-6, 2019 .................................. September 2019+ .................................. August 2019 ........................................... April 28-May 1, 2019 .............................. March 2019 ............................................ February 2019........................................ January 2019 ......................................... December 2018 ..................................... November 2018+ ................................... October 2018+ ....................................... September 2018+ .................................. August 18-22, 2018+.............................. July 2018+ ............................................. June 2018+ .......................................... April 2018 ............................................. March 2018 .......................................... January 2018 ....................................... December 2017 ................................... October 2017 ....................................... September 2017 .................................. August 2017 ......................................... June 2017 .............................................. May 2017 ............................................... April 2017 ................................................ February 2017......................................... January 2017 .......................................... December 2016 ...................................... October 10-13, 2016+ ............................. October 8-10, 2016+ ............................... September 2016+ ................................... August 2016+ .......................................... July 2016+ .............................................. June 2016+ ............................................. April 2016+ .............................................. March 2016+ ........................................... February 2016+....................................... January 2016+ ........................................ December 2015 ...................................... October 25-29, 2015 ............................... September 2015 ..................................... July 2015................................................. February 2011......................................... May 2004+ .............................................. December 1999 ...................................... October 1999 .......................................... July 1990................................................. High January 2020+ ........................................ Presidential Term Low April 2018 ............................................ All-time Trump Low April 2016+ .............................................. 1 Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 12 15 13 11 12 16 14 14 12 16 13 16 14 13 17 16 16 18 20 14 13 13 15 17 17 13 13 17 15 15 17 17 16 17 6 7 9 8 8 12 9 8 9 11 6 7 9 9 9 9 12 11 8 9 10 12 12 11 9 11 10 13 13 8 7 11 11 13 11 10 11 12 12 13 17 16 16 40 8 10 9 7 8 8 10 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 8 9 8 10 12 9 10 10 12 10 11 10 12 12 11 11 12 12 10 10 11 12 14 14 13 18 43 43 44 44 45 41 41 40 43 43 45 43 44 42 43 41 43 40 48 45 46 39 40 41 42 40 35 38 35 52 51 49 50 49 48 53 54 49 47 47 42 44 43 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 9 4 3 3 17 12 11 11 38 28 25 28 14 24 23 25 15 25 32 24 7 7 6 9 33 10 6 8 43 - 21 14 12 10 43 - 11 13 10 12 53 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 33 29 27 30 28 28 28 30 27 24 29 27 26 29 28 24 21 23 24 21 23 23 22 25 21 23 27 20 20 15 17 15 13 10 12 11 12 11 14 12 10 8 10 9 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q5 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 14 18 17 18 14 14 14 17 12 13 15 13 18 15 15 16 15 14 15 18 19 18 19 19 17 16 17 18 18 16 10 11 10 10 15 18 17 22 20 22 24 19 25 22 20 18 22 22 16 15 17 19 19 16 16 16 17 15 19 21 21 20 23 21 18 12 20 17 8 11 13 13 13 13 14 15 14 13 12 12 10 12 11 11 14 11 12 9 11 11 12 9 10 14 11 12 9 8 8 7 6 6 40 34 34 28 35 35 29 28 30 33 35 32 27 32 37 39 36 35 32 33 33 33 34 28 26 27 22 18 15 15 17 16 12 10 4 6 8 9 10 10 12 13 12 13 12 18 15 11 12 11 11 14 16 16 13 15 13 17 19 15 24 21 25 31 43 50 49 52 11 5 4 6 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 12 13 13 15 11 12 11 11 12 5 10 14 7 10 7 8 9 6 9 16 20 23 19 25 21 24 21 24 24 25 22 24 22 25 22 20 19 19 11 14 10 10 18 18 17 16 14 18 11 13 10 11 7 8 9 8 5 32 26 25 26 23 21 20 25 20 15 17 14 13 11 12 11 9 6 1 18 22 25 24 22 27 27 27 28 36 35 33 45 44 46 48 50 58 64 15 6 10 10 13 15 5 6 27 22 30 41 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Nancy Pelosi January 2020+ ................................. October 27-30, 2019 ........................ January 2019.................................... December 2018 ................................ October 2018+ ................................. August 2018+ ................................... March 2018 ...................................... September 2017 ............................... February 2017 .................................. October 2015.................................. November 2014 ............................... October 8-12, 2014+ ....................... January 2013................................... January 2012................................... November 11-15, 2010.................... October 28-30, 2010+ ..................... September 2010 .............................. August 5-9, 2010 ............................. January 10-14, 2010 ..................... October 2009................................... September 2009 .............................. July 2009 ......................................... June 2009 ....................................... February 2009 ................................. January 2009................................... October 4-5, 2008+ ......................... January 2008................................... April 2007 ....................................... January 2007................................... December 2006 ............................... October 2006+ ................................ September 2006+ ............................ December 2005 ............................... February 2005 ................................. 19 13 11 10 8 6 7 8 7 6 6 7 8 8 9 8 7 7 6 8 8 7 5 12 9 7 5 11 10 9 4 4 3 5 Mitch McConnell January 2020+ ................................ October 27-30, 2019 ....................... January 2019................................... October 2018+ ................................ August 2018+ .................................. January 2018................................... October 2017................................... September 2017 .............................. February 2017 ................................. October 2015................................... January 2015................................... November 2014 ............................... April 2014 ........................................ January 2013................................... January 2012................................... November 11-15, 2010.................... September 2010 .............................. October 2009 .................................. January 2007................................... Adam Schiff January 2020+ ................................ October 27-30, 2019 ....................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q5 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure John Roberts January 2020+ ........................................ July 2015 ................................................. June 2015 ............................................... July 2012+ ............................................... January 2007 .......................................... September 2005 ...................................... 8 1 2 4 9 17 13 7 8 13 10 15 26 25 24 29 26 23 4 9 6 10 7 9 2 4 2 6 3 5 47 54 58 38 45 31 Joe Biden January 2020+ ................................ October 4-6, 2019 ........................... August 2019 ..................................... January 2018 ................................... January 2017 ................................... October 2015 ................................... September 2015 ............................... June 2015 ........................................ November 2014 ................................ June 2014 ........................................ July 2013 .......................................... January 2013 ................................... December 2012 ................................ October 2012+ ................................. September 26-30, 2012+ ................. August 2012+ ................................... July 2012+ ........................................ May 2012 ........................................ December 2010 ............................... August 26-30, 2010 ......................... January 10-14, 2010 ....................... July 2009 .......................................... January 2009 ................................... December 2008 ................................ October 17-20, 2008+ ...................... October 4-5, 2008+ .......................... September 19-22, 2008+ ................. September 6-8, 2008+ ..................... September 2007 ............................... December 2006 ................................ June 2004+ ...................................... 14 12 11 30 35 19 15 16 13 11 17 20 21 21 18 15 15 15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5 21 21 23 24 21 23 25 24 22 21 21 21 18 19 19 21 20 20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11 19 28 25 22 19 24 25 24 22 25 21 17 18 15 19 20 23 21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25 15 15 16 11 10 17 14 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 14 14 14 16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6 27 19 22 11 12 14 14 15 21 21 20 21 23 29 24 26 23 21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4 4 5 3 2 3 3 7 5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 5 7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49 John Bolton January 2020+1 ................................ 3 11 30 14 13 29 Capitalism January 2020+ ................................. February 2019 .................................. September 2018+............................. 34 30 30 18 20 22 24 24 25 10 10 9 8 9 9 6 7 5 Socialism January 2020+ ................................. February 2019 .................................. September 2018+............................. 8 6 5 11 12 14 24 27 26 12 14 15 41 36 37 4 5 3 And, just a couple more… (ROTATE) + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Asked January 27-29, only (N=661). Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Capitalism ................................................................ 52 18 John Roberts ............................................................ 21 6 Joe Biden ................................................................. 35 42 Adam Schiff .............................................................. 25 32 Donald Trump .......................................................... 43 51 John Bolton .............................................................. 14 27 Nancy Pelosi ............................................................ 33 48 Mitch McConnell ....................................................... 23 43 Socialism .................................................................. 19 53 Q6 D/S 34 15 -7 -7 -8 -13 -15 -20 -34 If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state this year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November? 1/20+ Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus .................... 35 Vote in Republican Primary or caucus .................... 29 Wait until the general election ................................. 34 Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ............................. 1 Not sure .................................................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 12/19+ 38 25 34 1 2 10/2730/19+ 36 25 36 1 3 10/46/19+ 36 24 37 3 9/19+ 38 27 32 3 8/19+ 37 26 34 3 7/19+ 35 25 36 1 3 6/19+ 38 28 30 2 2 4/285/1/19+ 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, thinking specifically about the 2020 Democratic primary elections… Q7 I am going to read a list of twelve of the declared candidates running for the Democratic nomination for President. After I read the entire list, please tell me if a Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-12)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Bernie Sanders ........................ Joe Biden................................. Elizabeth Warren ..................... Michael Bloomberg .................. Pete Buttigieg .......................... Amy Klobuchar ........................ Andrew Yang ........................... Tom Steyer .............................. Tulsi Gabbard .......................... Deval Patrick ........................... Michael Bennet ........................ John Delaney........................... Bill de Blasio ............................ Cory Booker............................. Steve Bullock ........................... Julián Castro............................ Kamala Harris .......................... John Hickenlooper ................... Jay Inslee ................................ Beto O’Rourke ......................... Marianne Williamson ............... Other (VOL) .......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................ 1/20^^ 27 26 15 9 7 5 4 2 2 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2 12/19^^ 21 28 18 4 9 5 3 1 2 NA 2 NA 1 NA NA NA NA 1 5 10/2730/19^^ 19 27 23 NA 6 5 3 2 NA 1 NA 2 1 4 NA NA 1 1 5 9/19^^ 14 31 25 NA 7 2 4 1 1 NA 1 1 1 2 1 5 NA NA 1 1 2 7/19^^ 13 26 19 NA 7 1 2 NA NA 1 1 1 1 13 1 1 2 1 2 8 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ASKED IF MADE FIRST CHOICE) Q8 And, would you definitely vote for (CHOICE), probably vote for (CHOICE), but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning towards voting for (CHOICE)? ^^ Definitely vote for candidate ............................... Probably vote for candidate ............................... Just leaning towards voting for candidate .......... Not sure ........................................................... Among Those Making First Choice 45 27 27 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Definitely vote for candidate .......................... Probably vote for candidate .......................... Just leaning towards voting for candidate ..... Not sure ...................................................... Among Sanders First Choice 1/20^^ 12/19^^ 10/19^^ 60 58 57 30 27 21 10 15 22 - 1/20^^ 48 23 26 3 Among Biden First Choice 12/19^^ 10/19^^ 45 50 25 23 28 26 2 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. (ASKED IF MADE FIRST CHOICE) Q9 And, which of the remaining candidates would be your second choice? (DO NOT READ LIST) (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Elizabeth Warren ..................... Joe Biden................................. Bernie Sanders ........................ Michael Bloomberg .................. Amy Klobuchar ........................ Pete Buttigieg .......................... Tulsi Gabbard .......................... Tom Steyer .............................. Michael Bennet ........................ Andrew Yang ........................... John Delaney........................... Deval Patrick ........................... Bill de Blasio ............................ Cory Booker............................. Steve Bullock ........................... Julián Castro............................ Kamala Harris .......................... John Hickenlooper ................... Jay Inslee ................................ Beto O’Rourke ......................... Tim Ryan ................................. Marianne Williamson ............... Mind is definitely made up ....... Other (VOL) .......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................ 1/20^^ 24 20 15 9 8 8 2 1 1 6 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 1 4 12/19^^ 22 12 17 3 5 13 1 1 4 1 1 NA 5 NA 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA 5 9 10/2730/19^^ 24 15 14 NA 4 12 2 1 3 NA NA 3 1 9 NA NA 2 NA 1 NA 4 5 9/19^^ 21 11 16 NA 2 12 1 1 2 NA 4 1 1 8 NA NA 5 9 2 4 7/19^^ 13 10 12 NA 8 3 NA 1 NA 1 2 2 14 1 2 1 1 12 2 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Q7/9 Study #200053 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Combined first/second choices. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Joe Biden................................. Bernie Sanders ........................ Elizabeth Warren ..................... Michael Bloomberg .................. Pete Buttigieg .......................... Amy Klobuchar ........................ Andrew Yang ........................... Tulsi Gabbard .......................... Tom Steyer .............................. Michael Bennet ........................ Deval Patrick ........................... John Delaney........................... Bill de Blasio ............................ Cory Booker............................. Steve Bullock ........................... Julián Castro............................ Kamala Harris .......................... John Hickenlooper ................... Jay Inslee ................................ Beto O’Rourke ......................... Tim Ryan ................................. Marianne Williamson ............... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................ 1/20^^ 46 42 38 17 15 13 10 3 3 1 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2 6 12/19^^ 40 37 38 6 22 10 7 3 2 1 1 NA 6 NA 2 NA NA NA NA NA 1 1 5 10/2730/19^^ 41 33 45 NA 17 9 6 4 1 1 NA NA 5 2 13 NA NA 3 NA 1 1 4 9/19^^ 41 29 45 NA 19 5 6 2 1 1 NA 1 1 6 1 1 14 NA NA 6 3 5 7/19^^ 36 25 32 NA 15 1 4 3 NA 1 NA 1 1 3 3 28 1 2 4 1 2 2 7 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Q10 Study #200053 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS +1 THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Donald Trump January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 32 28 26 23 25 26 13 12 15 14 16 14 6 9 9 10 10 9 49 50 49 52 49 50 1 - 1 1 1 Joe Biden January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 14 14 12 13 17 17 27 22 25 27 30 30 21 23 27 25 25 24 35 39 33 31 24 24 2 1 1 2 2 4 1 1 2 2 2 1 Bernie Sanders January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 13 16 13 10 14 22 24 23 23 23 19 17 21 22 21 43 41 41 41 37 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 2 Elizabeth Warren January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 12 12 17 13 8 22 22 20 21 22 20 16 16 17 19 36 38 33 33 34 9 11 13 15 15 1 1 1 1 2 Michael Bloomberg January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ 7 4 21 16 26 25 33 35 11 18 2 2 Pete Buttigieg January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 7 9 8 8 18 17 16 14 19 16 15 12 23 24 23 14 31 32 35 49 2 2 3 3 Amy Klobuchar January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 7 4 3 16 16 12 20 15 11 18 21 15 36 42 57 3 2 2 Tom Steyer January 2020+ ................................ 3 12 19 18 42 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Asked January 27-29 only, N=661. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC Q10 (Cont’d) (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Bernie Sanders January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. 32 33 25 22 28 37 34 37 34 34 19 19 25 28 27 12 13 12 15 9 1 1 1 1 1 Joe Biden January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... March 2019^^ ................................. 26 26 23 23 32 33 44 38 41 43 38 40 21 21 22 24 18 19 8 14 13 8 9 6 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Elizabeth Warren January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. 26 29 35 26 20 40 38 35 38 37 22 17 15 18 23 7 9 6 9 10 4 6 7 8 8 1 1 2 1 2 Pete Buttigieg January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... 16 18 19 18 35 32 30 26 25 20 20 10 7 11 7 3 15 17 22 41 2 2 2 2 Amy Klobuchar January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... 14 10 7 32 32 20 25 18 17 5 9 6 22 28 49 2 3 1 Michael Bloomberg January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... 12 7 33 24 29 30 16 22 8 12 2 5 Tom Steyer January 2020^^............................... 5 27 24 11 28 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Q11 Study #200053 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, when it comes to your vote in the Democratic primary or caucus how important would each one of the following be to you? On a scale from zero to ten where “zero” means it is not at all important and where “ten” means that this is very important, please tell me how important this is to you. You may choose any number from zero to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 0-10. IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS “DK”) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY %9-10 AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^ 9-10 5-8 0-4 Refused Voting for the Democratic candidate who has the best chance to defeat Donald Trump January 2020+................................................................ 73 21 5 1 Voting for a candidate who proposes large scale policy changes on issues like health care, climate change, and economic opportunity January 2020+................................................................ 58 37 4 1 Voting for a candidate who will continue former President Obama’s policies and agenda January 2020+................................................................ 27 58 14 1 Electing the first woman president January 2020+................................................................ 21 54 24 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q12 Which of the following do you want the Democratic Party to focus more on right now: (ROTATE) AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS Making the case that Donald Trump should be impeached and removed from office..…..... Making the case that Donald Trump should be defeated this November.............................. Both (VOL)........................................................................................................................... Neither (VOL)....................................................................................................................... Other (VOL)......................................................................................................................... Not sure............................................................................................................................... 1/20^^ 41 51 5 1 1 1 12/19^^ 45 46 5 2 1 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking some more about the 2020 presidential election… (RANDOMIZE Q13A-D) Q13A (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump ................................. Joe Biden ........................................ Depends (VOL) ............................ Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 1/20+ 44 50 4 2 10/2730/19+ 41 50 6 3 7/19+ 42 51 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q13B (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Elizabeth Warren were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump ................................. Elizabeth Warren ............................ Depends (VOL) ............................ Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 1/20+ 45 48 5 2 10/2730/19+ 42 50 5 3 7/19+ 43 48 1 4 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q13C (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump ................................. Bernie Sanders ............................... Depends (VOL) ............................ Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 1/20+ 45 49 5 1 7/19+ 43 50 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q13D (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Pete Buttigieg ................................. Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 45 46 6 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Q14 Study #200053 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics, knowing it is a long ways off, what is your preference for the outcome of this year’s congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? Republican-controlled ...... Democrat-controlled ......... Not sure ........................... 12/19+ 42 49 9 10/2730/19+ 42 49 9 10/18+ 41 48 11 9/18+ 40 52 8 8/1822/18+ 42 50 8 7/18+ 43 49 8 6/18+ 40 50 10 4/18+ 40 47 13 3/18+ 40 50 10 1/18+ 43 49 8 12/17+ 39 50 11 10/17+ 41 48 11 9/17+ 42 48 10 6/17+ 42 50 8 4/17+ 43 47 10 10/1013/16+ 44 46 10 10/810/16+ 42 48 10 9/16+ 45 48 7 8/16+ 43 47 10 6/16+ 46 46 8 5/16+ 44 48 8 4/16+ 45 47 8 10/2510/3010/829/15+ 11/1/14+ 12/14+ 45 42 42 45 46 46 10 12 12 9/14+ 45 43 12 6/14+ 43 45 12 4/14+ 45 45 10 3/14+ 44 43 13 1/14+ 43 45 12 12/13+ 44 42 14 10/2528/13+ 41 45 14 10/79/13+ 39 47 14 9/13+ 43 46 11 7/13+ 44 44 12 6/13+ 42 45 13 10/12+ 43 45 12 9/2630/12+ 43 47 10 8/12+ 42 47 11 7/12+ 45 46 9 6/12+ 44 45 11 5/12+ 43 44 13 4/12+ 44 46 10 3/12+ 41 46 13 1/12+ 41 47 12 12/11+ 43 45 12 11/11+ 43 46 11 10/11+ 41 45 14 8/11+ 47 41 12 6/11+ 44 44 12 10/2830/10+ 46 44 10 10/1418/10+ 44 46 10 9/10+ 44 44 12 8/2630/10+ 43 43 14 8/59/10+ 42 43 15 6/10+ 45 43 12 5/2023/10+ 44 43 13 3/10+ 42 45 13 1/2325/10+ 42 44 14 1/1014/10+ 41 41 18 12/09+ 41 43 16 10/09+ 38 46 16 9/09+ 40 43 17 7/09+ 39 46 15 4/09+ 39 48 13 11/08+ 36 48 16 10/08+ 36 49 15 9/08+ 37 50 13 8/08+ 36 47 17 6/08+ 33 52 15 4/08+ 34 49 17 1/06+ 38 47 15 3/08+ 35 49 16 11/07+ 37 46 17 9/07+ 35 47 18 10/06+ 37 52 11 9/06+ 39 48 13 7/06+ 38 48 14 6/06+ 38 49 13 4/06+ 39 45 16 3/06+ 37 50 13 12/05+ 38 46 16 11/05+ 37 48 15 10/05+ 39 48 13 7/05+ 40 45 15 5/05+ 40 47 13 10/04+ 43 44 13 9/04+ 42 46 12 6/04+ 42 44 14 5/04+ 41 44 15 3/04+ 42 45 13 1/04 42 43 15 9/02 42 42 16 7/02 43 41 16 6/02 42 41 17 1/02 44 40 16 12/01 42 40 18 12/99 40 44 16 10/99 39 41 20 7/99 39 43 18 6/99 42 41 17 10/98+ 41 43 16 9/98 40 39 21 7/98 41 40 19 6/98 39 40 21 1/98 40 42 18 12/97 41 37 22 9/97 41 39 20 7/97 45 39 16 4/97 44 38 18 1/20+ 43 49 8 12/13/03 10/02+ 42 43 42 42 16 15 4/99 41 40 19 3/99 37 43 20 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Q15 Study #200053 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, not thinking about things you may have seen in the news, but only about candidate sponsored ads on TV and social media, do you remember seeing an ad from any candidate for president? (DO NOT READ RESPONSES) (IF YES, ASK) And, which candidate or candidates do your recall seeing an ad from? (ACCEPT MULTIPLE RESPONSES) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS Among Among Democratic Registered Primary Voters+ Voters^^ Michael Bloomberg ................. 47 59 Bernie Sanders ....................... 22 28 Tom Steyer.............................. 21 33 Joe Biden ................................ 20 25 Donald Trump ......................... 18 13 Elizabeth Warren ..................... 18 24 Pete Buttigieg .......................... 10 12 Andrew Yang........................... 4 7 Amy Klobuchar ........................ 4 7 Tulsi Gabbard.......................... 2 3 Deval Patrick ........................... 1 2 Michael Bennet ....................... 1 John Delaney .......................... 1 None ..................................... 24 18 Not sure ................................ 5 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Moving on… Q16 In general, which comes closer to your view of government in Washington, D.C.: (ROTATE) We need to keep shaking things up and make major changes in the way government operates We need more competence and a steady approach to the way government operates We need to keep shaking things up ................................ We need more competence ............................................ Both (VOL) .................................................................... Neither (VOL) ................................................................ Not sure ......................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1/20+ 47 45 3 1 4 1/19 48 45 2 1 4 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey And, thinking about issues… Q17 Some people feel so strongly about an issue that they will vote for or against a candidate on that basis regardless of the candidate's stand on most other issues. I'm going to read you a list of issues and ask whether you consider any ONE issue so important that you would vote for or against a candidate solely on that basis. If you do not feel strongly enough about any of the issues to determine your vote, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Guns ................................................... 19 Climate change ................................ 17 Abortion ............................................ 16 Immigration ........................................ 7 Border security .................................. 7 Gay marriage ................................... 3 None of these .................................. 27 Other (VOL) (Specify:____) ............ 2 Not sure ........................................... 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Changing topics… Q18 Thinking now about the impeachment trial against Donald Trump, would you say that YES, the U.S. Senate should vote to remove Donald Trump from office or NO, they should not vote to remove Donald Trump from office … (ROTATE) (IF YES/NO, ASK) And do you feel that way strongly or not so strongly? + Total yes, vote to remove Donald Trump from office ...................................................... Strongly yes, vote to remove Donald Trump from office ..................................................... Not so strongly yes, vote to remove Donald Trump from office .......................................... Total not so strongly no, do NOT vote to remove Donald Trump from office............... Not so strongly no, do NOT vote to remove Donald Trump from office .............................. Strongly no, do NOT vote to remove Donald Trump from office ......................................... Not sure ............................................................................................................................ 46 42 4 49 5 44 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED TREND And, based on what you have seen, read, or heard, would you say Congress should… 10/2710/412/19 30/19 6/19 Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ............................................................ 48 49 43 Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office .................................................. 48 49 46 Not sure............................................................................................................................... 4 5 8 (ASKED OF 1/4 SAMPLE E SUNDAY, ASKED OF 1/2 SAMPLE B MONDAY-TUESDAY) Q19 Now, using only one word, what word best describes how you feel about the impeachment trial of Donald Trump? + SEE RECORDED RESPONSES Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ROTATE Q20-21) Q20 Next, I’m going to mention some groups of people involved in the trial of Donald Trump, and for each one please tell me if you believe they are more focused on upholding the U.S. Constitution or are they more focused on politically motivated considerations? (ROTATE) Focus on Upholding The Law Focus on Politically Motivated Considerations A Bit of Both (VOL) Not Sure 57 1 5 59 1 6 Democrats in the U.S. House and Senate January 2020+ ............................................................................................. 37 Republicans in the U.S. House and Senate January 2020+ ............................................................................................. 34 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q21 Have the impeachment hearings in Congress made you more confident or less confident in Donald Trump serving as president, or have they not changed your opinion one way or another? + More confident in Donald Trump as president ...................................................................... 16 Less confident in Donald Trump as president ....................................................................... 27 Not changed your opinion one way or another ..................................................................... 57 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Q22 Study #200053 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Next, I am going to read you two statements about Donald Trump and please tell me if YES, you believe that statement or NO, you do not believe that statement. If you don’t know enough about a statement either way, just say so. (DO NOT ROTATE) (IF YES/NO, ASK) And do you feel that way strongly or not so strongly? Donald Trump abused his power as president by asking a foreign government to investigate a political opponent to influence the upcoming presidential election to his advantage. + Total yes, believe statement .............................................................................................. 52 Strongly yes, believe statement .......................................................................................... 47 Not so strongly yes, believe statement ............................................................................... 5 Total no, do NOT believe statement.................................................................................. 41 Not so strongly no, do NOT believe statement ................................................................... 4 Strongly no, do NOT believe statement .............................................................................. 37 Not sure ............................................................................................................................ 7 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Donald Trump obstructed Congress by not cooperating with their impeachment investigation and directing government officials not to comply with subpoenas which legally required them to testify. + Total yes, believe statement .............................................................................................. 53 Strongly yes, believe statement .......................................................................................... 46 Not so strongly yes, believe statement ............................................................................... 7 Total no, do NOT believe statement.................................................................................. 37 Not so strongly no, do NOT believe statement ................................................................... 5 Strongly no, do NOT believe statement .............................................................................. 32 Not sure ............................................................................................................................ 10 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q23 Thinking more about this, would you say the U.S. Senate has enough information to make a decision, needs to hear from additional witnesses and collect more information to make a decision, or do you not know enough to say? (ROTATE) + Has enough information to make a decision ......................................................................... 39 Needs to collect more information to make a decision .......................................................... 37 Do not know enough to say ................................................................................................ 22 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 Study #200053 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................ Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................ Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) .................................................................. Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ........................................................................... Voted for someone else (VOL) ................................................................. Voted, not sure .......................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote ......................................................................................... Not sure ..................................................................................................... 25 13 17 24 3 1 4 1 12 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 10/2710/41/20+ 12/19+ 30/19+ 6/19+ Supporter of Donald Trump ......................................................................... 49 48 52 48 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 40 40 38 39 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 6 7 6 8 Neither (VOL)............................................................................................. 3 4 2 4 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 2 1 2 1 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 4/285/1/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 9/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-athome mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? + Currently Employed Professional, manager.................. White-collar worker ....................... Blue-collar worker ......................... Farmer, rancher ............................ Not Currently Employed Student ......................................... Stay at home mom/dad ................ Retired .......................................... Unemployed, looking for work ...... Other ............................................ Not sure ...................................... 24 22 19 1 2 4 24 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 QF3 Study #200053 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) + Grade school ........................................................... Some high school.................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused.................................................... 1 3 24 15 4 15 21 2 11 4 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") + Strong Democrat ............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat .............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican............ Not very strong Republican ............... Strong Republican ............................. Other (VOL)..................................... Not sure........................................... 25 7 10 12 9 5 25 6 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? + Very liberal .........................................................12 Somewhat liberal................................................13 Moderate ............................................................36 Somewhat conservative .....................................17 Very conservative...............................................19 Not sure ...........................................................3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? + Labor union member......................................... 13 Union household ............................................... 7 Non-union household........................................ 79 Not sure .......................................................... 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies January 2020 QF7 Study #200053 -- page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS ......................... 47 The cable channel MSNBC or CNN ..................................................... 40 Internet social media sites like Facebook and Twitter .......................... 39 The cable channel Fox News ............................................................... 38 Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites ..................................... 20 Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ........................ 19 Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ...... 7 Watch different TV news (VOL) ......................................................... 1 Get news from some other source (VOL) .......................................... 3 Not sure .............................................................................................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? + Poor ................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class .................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... 9 24 44 18 4 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.