NBC News/Marist Poll New Hampshire Annotated Questionnaire
February 2020

NH Adults: n=2,527; MoE +/- 2.4
NH Registered Voters: n=2,241; MoE +/- 2.5
NH Potential Democratic Electorate: n=1,058; MoE +/- 3.7
NH Potential Republican Electorate: n=768; MoE +/- 4.3
NH Likely Democratic Primary Voters n=709; MoE +/- 4.7
NH Likely Republican Primary Voters n=441; MoE +/- 5.8

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald
Trump is doing as president?

NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %
91%

Approve

44%

45%

9%

88%

8%

Disapprove

51%

51%

88%

10%

90%

7%

Vol: Unsure

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

January 2020

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald
Trump is doing as president? [And, would you say
you strongly approve/disapprove of the job he is
doing or just approve/disapprove?]

Approve

42%

42%

11%

86%

9%

89%

Disapprove

52%

53%

86%

10%

89%

8%

Vol: Unsure

6%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

Strongly approve

31%

32%

4%

70%

3%

77%

Approve

13%

13%

5%

18%

5%

15%

Disapprove

8%

7%

8%

2%

7%

2%

43%

45%

81%

8%

83%

6%

5%

4%

2%

2%

2%

1%

Strongly approve

29%

30%

6%

67%

5%

73%

Approve

13%

12%

5%

19%

3%

16%

Disapprove

9%

8%

8%

3%

7%

2%

Strongly disapprove

43%

46%

78%

7%

82%

6%

Unsure

6%

5%

3%

4%

2%

3%

43%

44%

83%

5%

85%

5%

Strongly disapprove
Unsure
January 2020

Knowing it is a long ways off, what is your
preference for the outcome of this year´s
congressional elections:

NBC News/Marist Poll February 2020

A Congress controlled by
Democrats
A Congress controlled by
Republicans

44%

45%

9%

91%

7%

92%

Vol: Unsure

13%

11%

8%

4%

8%

3%

January 2020
A Congress controlled by
Democrats
A Congress controlled by
Republicans

44%

47%

81%

7%

84%

6%

42%

42%

11%

88%

9%

90%

Vol: Unsure

13%

11%

7%

5%

7%

4%

1

 If the Democratic presidential primary in New
Hampshire were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you
had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:]
[If already voted: Whom did you support in the
Democratic presidential primary in New Hampshire?]
[Asked of Potential Democratic Electorate]

NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Bernie Sanders

n/a

n/a

25%

n/a

25%

n/a

Pete Buttigieg

n/a

n/a

21%

n/a

21%

n/a

Elizabeth Warren

n/a

n/a

14%

n/a

14%

n/a

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

13%

n/a

13%

n/a

Amy Klobuchar

n/a

n/a

8%

n/a

8%

n/a

Tom Steyer

n/a

n/a

5%

n/a

4%

n/a

Andrew Yang

n/a

n/a

4%

n/a

4%

n/a

Tulsi Gabbard

n/a

n/a

3%

n/a

3%

n/a

Deval Patrick

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Michael Bennet

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Other

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Undecided

n/a

n/a

5%

n/a

5%

n/a

n/a

n/a

23%

n/a

22%

n/a

Bernie Sanders

n/a

n/a

22%

n/a

22%

n/a

Pete Buttigieg

n/a

n/a

17%

n/a

17%

n/a

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

14%

n/a

15%

n/a

Elizabeth Warren

n/a

n/a

12%

n/a

13%

n/a

Amy Klobuchar

n/a

n/a

10%

n/a

10%

n/a

Tulsi Gabbard

n/a

n/a

7%

n/a

6%

n/a

Andrew Yang

n/a

n/a

5%

n/a

5%

n/a

Tom Steyer

n/a

n/a

3%

n/a

3%

n/a

Michael Bennet

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Deval Patrick

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a
n/a

New Hampshire Democratic Primary Persuadable
Voters
January 2020

New Hampshire Democratic Primary Persuadable
Voters

NBC News/Marist Poll February 2020

John Delaney

n/a

n/a

<1%

n/a

<1%

Other

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Undecided

n/a

n/a

7%

n/a

7%

n/a

n/a

n/a

26%

n/a

25%

n/a

2

 Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>
somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that
you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of
Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate
Preference]

Strongly Support by Candidate

NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Strongly support

n/a

n/a

62%

n/a

62%

n/a

Somewhat support

n/a

n/a

22%

n/a

22%

n/a

Might vote differently

n/a

n/a

15%

n/a

15%

n/a

Unsure

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Bernie Sanders

n/a

n/a

74%

n/a

73%

n/a

Pete Buttigieg

n/a

n/a

63%

n/a

63%

n/a

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

57%

n/a

60%

n/a

Elizabeth Warren

n/a

n/a

53%

n/a

56%

n/a

Strongly support

n/a

n/a

54%

n/a

56%

n/a

Somewhat support

n/a

n/a

29%

n/a

28%

n/a

Might vote differently

n/a

n/a

16%

n/a

15%

n/a

Unsure

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

January 2020

Strongly Support by Candidate

Bernie Sanders

n/a

n/a

74%

n/a

76%

n/a

Joe Biden

n/a

n/a

52%

n/a

56%

n/a

Elizabeth Warren

n/a

n/a

51%

n/a

53%

n/a

n/a

n/a

43%

n/a

44%

n/a

n/a

n/a

43%

n/a

42%

n/a

n/a

n/a

49%

n/a

50%

n/a

n/a

7%

n/a

Pete Buttigieg
In selecting a presidential nominee for the
Democratic Party, which of the following is most
important to you: [Asked of Potential Democratic
Electorate]

NBC News/Marist Poll February 2020

A candidate who comes
closest to your views on
issues
A candidate with the best
chance to defeat Donald
Trump
Vol: Both

n/a

n/a

7%

Vol: None/Other

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

Vol: Unsure

n/a

n/a

<1%

n/a

<1%

n/a

January 2020
A candidate who comes
closest to your views on
issues
A candidate with the best
chance to defeat Donald
Trump

n/a

n/a

45%

n/a

42%

n/a

n/a

n/a

47%

n/a

49%

n/a

Vol: Both

n/a

n/a

7%

n/a

7%

n/a

Vol: None/Other

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

<1%

n/a

Vol: Unsure

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

n/a

3

 If the Republican presidential primary in New
Hampshire were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you
had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:]
[If already voted: Whom did you support in the
Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?]
[Asked of Potential Republican Electorate]

NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Donald Trump

n/a

n/a

n/a

85%

n/a

88%

Bill Weld

n/a

n/a

n/a

8%

n/a

7%

Joe Walsh

n/a

n/a

n/a

2%

n/a

1%

Other

n/a

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

Undecided

n/a

n/a

n/a

3%

n/a

2%

n/a

n/a

n/a

8%

n/a

6%

Donald Trump

n/a

n/a

n/a

85%

n/a

87%

Bill Weld

n/a

n/a

n/a

9%

n/a

8%

Joe Walsh

n/a

n/a

n/a

2%

n/a

2%

Other

n/a

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

Undecided

n/a

n/a

n/a

4%

n/a

2%

n/a

n/a

n/a

10%

n/a

8%

New Hampshire Republican Primary Persuadable
Voters
January 2020
If the Republican presidential primary in New
Hampshire were held today, whom would you
support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you
had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:]
[If already voted: Whom did you support in the
Republican presidential primary in New Hampshire?
[Asked of Potential Republican Electorate]

New Hampshire Republican Primary Persuadable
Voters

Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>
somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that
you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of
Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate
Preference]

NBC News/Marist Poll February 2020

Strongly support

n/a

n/a

n/a

82%

n/a

85%

Somewhat support

n/a

n/a

n/a

14%

n/a

12%

Might vote differently

n/a

n/a

n/a

3%

n/a

2%

Unsure

n/a

n/a

n/a

1%

n/a

1%

4

 NH Adults

NH Registered
Voters

NH Potential
Democratic
Electorate

NH Potential
Republican
Electorate

NH Likely
Democratic
Primary Voters

NH Likely
Republican
Primary Voters

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

Column %

January 2020
Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>
somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think that
you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of
Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate
Preference]

Strongly support

n/a

n/a

n/a

79%

n/a

82%

Somewhat support

n/a

n/a

n/a

15%

n/a

13%

Might vote differently

n/a

n/a

n/a

6%

n/a

5%

1%
1%
Unsure
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 2,527 New Hampshire Adults
This survey of 2,527 adults was conducted February 4th through February 6th, 2020 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state were contacted on
landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges
from throughout the state from Dynata (formerly Survey Sampling International). The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as
individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile
sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household, a single respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the
representativeness of traditionally under-covered survey populations. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2017 American
Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±2.4 percentage points. There are 2,241 registered voters. The results for this subset are
statistically significant within ±2.5 percentage points. There are 1,058 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in New Hampshire includes undeclared voters who
prefer to vote in the Democratic presidential primary and registered Democrats. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points. There are 768 voters in the potential Republican
primary electorate. The potential Republican primary electorate in New Hampshire includes undeclared voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and registered Republicans. The results for this
subset are statistically significant within ±4.3 percentage points. There are 709 likely Democratic primary voters and 441 likely Republican primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the
likelihood respondents will participate in the 2020 New Hampshire Presidential Primaries based upon their chance of vote, interest in the primary election, and past primary participation. The results for these subsets are
statistically significant within ±4.7 percentage points and ±5.8 percentage points, respectively. Tables include results for subgroups with a minimum sample size of 100 unweighted completed interviews as to only display
crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the
sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

NBC News/Marist Poll February 2020

5