Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 900 Registered Voters, including 495 respondents with a cell phone only and 11 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 70 additional interviews were completed with Democratic primary voters in order to achieve a total of N=426 interviews. Study #200085 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Date: February 14-17, 2020 RVs DPVs 48 40 52 60 Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 900 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.27% The margin of error for 426 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.75% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) Registered Democratic Voters+ Primary Voters^^ 18-24 .................................................................... 8 8 25-29 .................................................................... 9 9 30-34 .................................................................... 9 11 35-39 .................................................................... 6 8 40-44 .................................................................... 9 6 45-49 .................................................................... 9 4 50-54 .................................................................... 8 7 55-59 .................................................................... 12 11 60-64 .................................................................... 12 14 65-69 .................................................................... 6 8 70-74 .................................................................... 4 6 75 and over .......................................................... 8 8 Not sure/refused ................................................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Male Female Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Q2b Study #200085 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Registered Democratic Voters+ Primary Voters^^ Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 10 10 No, not Hispanic .............................................. 90 89 Not sure/refused ............................................ 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + Registered Democratic Voters+ Primary Voters^^ White .............................................................. 76 68 Black ............................................................... 12 20 Asian ............................................................... 2 1 Other ............................................................... 4 4 Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. 5 5 Not sure/refused ........................................... 2 1 White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 72 65 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q3 Registered Voter. + Registered Democratic Voters+ Primary Voters^^ Yes ................................................... 100 100 No ..................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Q4a Study #200085 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 2/20+ Total approve ............................... 47 Strongly approve ......................... 33 Somewhat approve .................... 14 Total disapprove ......................... 50 Somewhat disapprove ............... 7 Strongly disapprove .................... 43 Not sure .................................... 3 1/20+ 46 36 10 51 7 44 3 12/19 44 33 11 54 10 44 2 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 3 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 5 5 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve.................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure .......................... 1 Intensity Q4b 5/171 39 54 7 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 not asked prior to June 2017. Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing in handling the economy? 4/2810/271/19 2/20+ 30/19 8/19 5/1/19 Approve ....................................................................................................................................... 53 52 49 51 51 Disapprove ................................................................................................................................. 38 43 46 41 45 No opinion (VOL) ...................................................................................................................... 7 3 3 7 NA Not sure .................................................................................................................................... 2 2 2 1 4 7/18+1 50 34 15 1 10/171 42 37 20 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 2017-18 language included a read option for “No opinion.” 9/171 41 36 22 1 6/17 44 48 NA 8 4/17 44 46 NA 10 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Q5 Study #200085 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state this year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November? Registered Voters+ 38 23 38 23 35 1 3 Total vote/voted in the Democratic primary or caucus ....................... Total vote/voted in the Republican primary or caucus ....................... Vote in the Democratic primary or caucus.............................................. Vote in the Republican primary or caucus .............................................. Wait until the general election ................................................................ Already voted in the Democratic primary or caucus (VOL) .................. Already voted in the Republican primary or caucus (VOL) .................. Neither/other (VOL) .............................................................................. Not sure................................................................................................ Democratic Primary Voters^^ 100 100 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. 1/20+ Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus .................... 35 Vote in Republican Primary or caucus .................... 29 Wait until the general election ................................. 34 Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) ............................. 1 Not sure .................................................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 12/19+ 38 25 34 1 2 10/2730/19+ 36 25 36 1 3 10/46/19+ 36 24 37 3 9/19+ 38 27 32 3 8/19+ 37 26 34 3 7/19+ 35 25 36 1 3 6/19+ 38 28 30 2 2 4/285/1/19+ 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, thinking specifically about the 2020 Democratic primary elections… Q6 I am going to read a list of eight of the declared candidates running for the Democratic nomination for President. After I read the entire list, please tell me if a Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE :1-8)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Bernie Sanders ........................ Joe Biden................................. Michael Bloomberg .................. Elizabeth Warren ..................... Pete Buttigieg .......................... Amy Klobuchar ........................ Tom Steyer .............................. Tulsi Gabbard .......................... Michael Bennet ........................ Bill de Blasio ............................ Cory Booker............................. Steve Bullock ........................... Julián Castro............................ John Delaney........................... Kamala Harris .......................... John Hickenlooper ................... Jay Inslee ................................ Beto O’Rourke ......................... Deval Patrick ........................... Marianne Williamson ............... Andrew Yang ........................... Other (VOL) .......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................ 2/20^^ 27 15 14 14 13 7 2 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 6 1/20^^ 27 26 9 15 7 5 2 2 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA 4 2 10/2730/19^^ 19 27 NA 23 6 5 2 1 NA 2 1 4 NA NA 1 NA 3 1 5 12/19^^ 21 28 4 18 9 5 1 2 NA 2 NA 1 NA NA NA NA 3 1 5 9/19^^ 14 31 NA 25 7 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 5 NA NA 1 NA 4 1 2 7/19^^ 13 26 NA 19 7 1 NA 1 1 1 1 13 1 1 2 NA 1 2 2 8 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. (ASKED IF MADE FIRST CHOICE) Q7 And, would you definitely vote for (CHOICE), probably vote for (CHOICE), but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning towards voting for (CHOICE)? Among Those Making First Choice Definitely vote for candidate ............................... Probably vote for candidate ............................... Just leaning towards voting for candidate .......... Not sure ........................................................... 2/20^^ 40 30 30 - 1/20^^ 45 27 27 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Definitely vote for candidate ............... Probably vote for candidate................ Just leaning towards voting for candidate............................................ Not sure............................................ Among Sanders First Choice 2/20^^ 1/20^^ 12/19^^ 10/19^^ 49 60 58 57 28 30 27 21 23 - 10 - 15 - 22 - Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ASKED IF MADE FIRST CHOICE) Q8 And, which of the remaining candidates would be your second choice? (DO NOT READ LIST) (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Bernie Sanders ........................ Pete Buttigieg .......................... Elizabeth Warren ..................... Amy Klobuchar ........................ Joe Biden................................. Michael Bloomberg .................. Tom Steyer .............................. Tulsi Gabbard .......................... Michael Bennet ........................ Bill de Blasio ............................ Cory Booker............................. Steve Bullock ........................... Julián Castro............................ John Delaney........................... Kamala Harris .......................... John Hickenlooper ................... Jay Inslee ................................ Beto O’Rourke ......................... Deval Patrick ........................... Tim Ryan ................................. Marianne Williamson ............... Andrew Yang ........................... Mind is definitely made up ....... Other (VOL) .......................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................ 2/20^^ 19 17 17 15 10 10 2 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 6 3 1/20^^ 15 8 24 8 20 9 1 2 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 6 NA 1 1 4 12/19^^ 17 13 22 5 12 3 1 1 NA 5 NA 1 1 NA NA NA NA 1 NA 4 NA 5 9 10/2730/19^^ 14 12 24 4 15 NA 1 2 NA 3 1 9 NA NA 2 NA NA 1 3 NA 4 5 9/19^^ 16 12 21 2 11 NA 1 1 4 1 1 8 NA NA 5 NA 2 9 2 4 7/19^^ 12 8 13 10 NA NA 3 1 2 2 14 1 2 NA 1 1 1 12 2 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Q6/8 Study #200085 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Combined first/second choices. THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Bernie Sanders ........................ Elizabeth Warren ..................... Pete Buttigieg .......................... Joe Biden................................. Michael Bloomberg .................. Amy Klobuchar ........................ Tom Steyer .............................. Tulsi Gabbard .......................... Michael Bennet ........................ Bill de Blasio ............................ Cory Booker............................. Steve Bullock ........................... Julián Castro............................ John Delaney........................... Kamala Harris .......................... John Hickenlooper ................... Jay Inslee ................................ Beto O’Rourke ......................... Deval Patrick ........................... Tim Ryan ................................. Marianne Williamson ............... Andrew Yang ........................... None (VOL) .......................... Not sure ................................ 2/20^^ 45 29 29 25 23 21 4 3 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 8 6 1/20^^ 42 38 15 46 17 13 3 3 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA NA 10 2 6 12/19^^ 37 38 22 40 6 10 2 3 NA 6 NA 2 1 NA NA NA NA 1 NA 1 7 1 5 10/2730/19^^ 33 45 17 41 NA 9 1 4 1 NA 5 2 13 NA NA 3 NA NA 1 6 1 4 9/19^^ 29 45 19 41 NA 5 1 2 1 1 6 1 1 1 14 NA NA 6 NA 6 3 5 7/19^^ 25 32 15 36 NA 1 NA 3 1 1 3 3 1 28 1 2 4 NA 1 2 4 2 7 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. (ROTATE Q9-10) Q9 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Mike Bloomberg and Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary for president, which ONE would you favor? ^^ Bernie Sanders .............................. Mike Bloomberg ............................. Neither of them (VOL) ................. Not sure ....................................... 57 37 3 3 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q10 Now, if you had to choose between ONLY (ROTATE) Pete Buttigieg and Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary for president, which ONE would you favor? ^^ Bernie Sanders .............................. Pete Buttigieg ................................. Neither of them (VOL) ................. Not sure ....................................... 54 38 3 5 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Q11 Study #200085 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Donald Trump February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 27 32 28 26 23 25 26 16 13 12 15 14 16 14 10 6 9 9 10 10 9 47 49 50 49 52 49 50 1 - 1 1 1 Bernie Sanders February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 16 13 16 13 10 14 22 22 24 23 23 23 16 19 17 21 22 21 44 43 41 41 41 37 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 1 2 2 Pete Buttigieg February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 10 7 9 8 8 21 18 17 16 14 21 19 16 15 12 29 23 24 23 14 17 31 32 35 49 2 2 2 3 3 Elizabeth Warren February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 9 12 12 17 13 8 22 22 22 20 21 22 18 20 16 16 17 19 41 36 38 33 33 34 8 9 11 13 15 15 2 1 1 1 1 2 Joe Biden February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 6 14 14 12 13 17 17 28 27 22 25 27 30 30 24 21 23 27 25 25 24 39 35 39 33 31 24 24 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 Michael Bloomberg February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ 6 7 4 22 21 16 24 26 25 37 33 35 8 11 18 3 2 2 Amy Klobuchar February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... 6 7 4 3 22 16 16 12 21 20 15 11 21 18 21 15 26 36 42 57 4 3 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC Q11 (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Bernie Sanders February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. 32 32 33 25 22 28 33 37 34 37 34 34 20 19 19 25 28 27 14 12 13 12 15 9 1 1 1 1 1 1 Elizabeth Warren February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. 22 26 29 35 26 20 38 40 38 35 38 37 23 22 17 15 18 23 12 7 9 6 9 10 3 4 6 7 8 8 2 1 1 2 1 2 Pete Buttigieg February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... 22 16 18 19 18 33 35 32 30 26 24 25 20 20 10 12 7 11 7 3 6 15 17 22 41 3 2 2 2 2 Joe Biden February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... March 2019^^ ................................. 13 26 26 23 23 32 33 43 44 38 41 43 38 40 30 21 21 22 24 18 19 13 8 14 13 8 9 6 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 Michael Bloomberg February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... 13 12 7 34 33 24 30 29 30 17 16 22 2 8 12 4 2 5 Amy Klobuchar February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... 12 14 10 7 39 32 32 20 25 25 18 17 8 5 9 6 11 22 28 49 5 2 3 1 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Q12 Study #200085 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which of the following is most important to you? (ROTATE) (IF BOTH, ASK) And, if you had to choose just one, which of the following is most important to you? (REPEAT CHOICES) AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^ 2/20 42 53 4 1 A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues....................................... A candidate with the best chance to defeat Donald Trump.................................... Both (VOL)........................................................................................................... None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................ Not sure ............................................................................................................... 7/19 51 45 4 - 2/19 56 40 4 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Democratic Primary Voter Trend for Comparison A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ....................................... A candidate with the best chance to defeat the Republican candidate .................. None/other (VOL)................................................................................................. Not sure ............................................................................................................... 12/15^^ 72 26 1 1 7/15^^ 79 20 1 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary. Republican Primary Voter Trend for Comparison A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues ....................................... A candidate with best chance to defeat Barack Obama ......................................... None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................. Not sure................................................................................................................ 1/12^ 54 43 1 2 10/11^ 67 31 1 1 ^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Republican primary. Q13 In thinking about how the Democratic nominee for president approaches issues like health care, climate change, college affordability, and economic opportunity, which of the following comes closer to describing the candidate you prefer? (ROTATE) AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS^^ 2/20 12/19 Someone who proposes larger scale policies that cost more and might be harder to pass into law, but could bring major change on these issues ........ 53 56 Someone who proposes smaller scale policies that cost less and might be easier to pass into law, but will bring less change on these issues ............... 41 38 None/other (VOL) ................................................................................................. 2 2 4 Not sure ................................................................................................................ 4 9/19 7/19 3/19 2/19 56 54 52 55 40 1 3 41 1 4 44 4 42 3 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who say they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. KEY DEMORATIC PRIMARY VOTER PROFILE GROUPS A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues/larger scale change ....... A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues/smaller scale change ..... A candidate with the best chance to beat Trump/smaller scale change ................. A candidate with the best chance to beat Trump/larger scale change.................... 2/20^^ 25 15 25 24 7/19^^ 28 20 20 23 2/19^^ 31 23 18 21 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking some more about the presidential election… (RANDOMIZE Q14A-E) Q14A (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump ................................. Joe Biden ....................................... Depends (VOL) ............................ Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 2/20+ 44 52 2 2 10/2730/19+ 41 50 6 3 1/20+ 44 50 4 2 7/19+ 42 51 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q14B (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump................................. Bernie Sanders ............................... Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 2/20+ 46 50 3 1 1/20+ 45 49 5 1 7/19+ 43 50 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q14C (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Mike Bloomberg were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Mike Bloomberg ............................. Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 43 50 3 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q14D (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump ................................. Pete Buttigieg ................................. Depends (VOL) ............................ Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 2/20+ 44 48 3 5 1/20+ 45 46 6 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q14E (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Amy Klobuchar were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Amy Klobuchar ............................... Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 45 48 3 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Still thinking about the November elections… Q15 Now, NOT thinking about any specific candidates, I'm going to list several types of people who might run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that type of candidate is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Not Sure A woman February 2020+ .............................. March 2019+ .................................. February 2019+ .............................. October 2015+ ............................... April 2015 ....................................... April 2011 ....................................... September 2008+........................... January 2008 ................................. December 2006 .............................. 33 30 25 28 30 23 21 25 21 51 55 59 54 55 62 64 51 59 9 8 10 10 9 10 9 15 8 5 4 4 4 5 3 3 7 8 2 3 2 4 1 2 3 2 4 A person who is gay or lesbian February 2020+ .............................. February 2019+ .............................. April 2015 ....................................... December 20061 ............................ 22 14 13 5 46 54 48 38 13 14 18 19 14 16 19 34 5 2 2 4 Someone under age forty February 2020+ .............................. February 2019+ .............................. 13 11 45 47 28 29 12 11 2 2 A candidate who self-funds their campaign with hundreds of millions of dollars of their own money. February 2020+** ........................... 12 45 25 16 2 Someone who has had a heart attack in the last year February 2020+* ............................ 8 31 42 15 4 A socialist February 2020+ .............................. February 2019+ .............................. October 2015+ ............................... 7 4 6 21 21 21 21 29 25 46 43 45 5 3 3 Someone over age seventy-five February 2020+ .............................. February 2019+ .............................. 6 4 40 33 39 43 14 19 1 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 In December 2006, the item read “A gay or lesbian person.” * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B). Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC Q15 (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Not Sure A woman February 2020^^ ............................ March 2019^^ ................................. February 2019^^ ............................ 51 46 41 42 49 53 3 3 4 1 2 1 3 1 A person who is gay or lesbian February 2020^^ ............................ February 2019^^ ............................ 37 26 46 56 6 8 7 9 4 1 Someone under age forty February 2020^^ ............................ February 2019^^ ............................ 20 15 55 53 18 24 5 8 2 - A socialist February 2020^^ ............................ February 2019^^ ............................ 16 10 37 37 25 34 17 16 5 3 A candidate who self-funds their campaign with hundreds of millions of dollars of their own money. February 2020^^** .......................... 13 44 25 16 2 Someone who has had a heart attack in the last year February 2020^^* ........................... 11 38 40 7 4 Someone over age seventy-five February 2020^^ ............................ February 2019^^ ............................ 8 6 47 30 34 41 10 23 1 - ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B). Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics… Q16 In general, do you think race relations in the United States are (ROTATE) very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad? Very good....... Fairly good...... Fairly bad........ Very bad......... Mixed (VOL) . Not sure........ Very good....... Fairly good...... Fairly bad........ Very bad......... Mixed (VOL) . Not sure........ Very good....... Fairly good...... Fairly bad........ Very bad......... Mixed (VOL) . Not sure........ Among All Adults/Registered Voters 9/17 7/16+ 12/14 7/13 4 3 5 4 22 21 35 48 42 42 34 28 28 32 23 16 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 2 2/20+ 6 36 35 20 1 2 8/19 6 30 34 26 1 3 1/10 8 64 16 7 NA 5 9/09 13 59 14 8 4 2 1/09 7 70 16 5 NA 2 9/05 8 55 20 10 5 2 10/95 2 32 41 20 4 1 9/94 4 45 31 15 4 1 2/20+ 5 43 35 15 1 1 8/19 6 34 35 21 2 2 Among Whites 9/17 7/16+ 12/14 3 2 4 25 21 36 45 44 37 24 31 21 2 1 1 1 1 1 7/13 3 49 32 13 1 2 11/11 7 68 17 5 NA 3 1/10 7 65 17 7 NA 4 9/09 12 63 13 6 4 2 1/09 6 73 16 4 NA 1 10/95 1 33 42 18 5 1 9/94 4 45 32 13 5 1 2/20+ 4 11 38 45 2 8/19 5 14 34 47 - Among African Americans 9/17 7/16+ 12/14 5 3 7 16 20 28 37 34 27 40 42 36 2 1 1 1 7/13 6 32 25 33 2 2 11/11 8 49 23 18 NA 2 1/10 8 58 20 8 NA 6 9/09 6 44 22 16 7 5 1/09 7 57 18 12 NA 6 10/95 3 28 35 30 3 1 9/94 5 39 26 26 3 1 4/07 4 54 28 10 NA 4 4/07 3 56 28 8 NA 5 4/07 3 37 34 24 NA 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 9/05 9 58 19 7 5 2 9/05 3 45 28 19 3 2 11/11 7 64 18 8 NA 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Q16 (Cont’d) Very good.......... Fairly good ........ Fairly bad .......... Very bad............ Mixed (VOL) ... Not sure .......... 2/20+ 5 26 42 21 2 4 8/19 8 28 25 36 1 2 11/11 10 52 27 7 NA 4 1/10 11 57 13 10 NA 9 Study #200085 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Among Hispanics/Latinos 9/17 7/16+ 12/14 4 4 14 23 19 37 34 40 26 33 30 17 2 6 2 4 1 4 9/09 15 57 13 12 2 1 1/09 13 63 17 6 NA 1 4/07 11 44 32 10 NA 3 7/13 3 57 22 13 2 3 9/05 8 49 17 19 7 - Changing topics again… Q17 As you know, the U.S. Senate voted not to remove Donald Trump from office. Do you favor their decision to NOT remove Donald Trump or do you oppose their decision and believe he should have been removed from office? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, ASK:) And do you strongly (favor/oppose) or somewhat (favor/oppose)? + Total favor decision to not remove ...................................................................................51 Strongly favor decision to not remove ................................................................................42 Somewhat favor decision to not remove .............................................................................9 Total oppose decision/believe he should have been removed ......................................47 Somewhat oppose decision/believe he should have been removed ..................................6 Strongly oppose decision/believe he should have been removed ......................................41 Not sure ............................................................................................................................2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED JANURY 2020 TREND Thinking now about the impeachment trial against Donald Trump, would you say that YES, the U.S. Senate should vote to remove Donald Trump from office or NO, they should not vote to remove Donald Trump from office … Total yes, vote to remove Donald Trump from office ...................................................... 46 Strongly yes, vote to remove Donald Trump from office..................................................... 42 Not so strongly yes, vote to remove Donald Trump from office .......................................... 4 Total not so strongly no, do NOT vote to remove Donald Trump from office............... 49 Not so strongly no, do NOT vote to remove Donald Trump from office .............................. 5 Strongly no, do NOT vote to remove Donald Trump from office ......................................... 44 Not sure ............................................................................................................................ 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED TREND And, based on what you have seen, read, or heard, would you say Congress should… 10/2710/412/19 30/19 6/19 Impeach Donald Trump and remove him from office ............................................................ 48 49 43 Not impeach Donald Trump and he should remain in office .................................................. 48 49 46 Not sure............................................................................................................................... 4 5 8 Q18 Since the U.S. Senate trial has ended, do you believe Donald Trump’s actions and comments related to impeachment have been appropriate or not appropriate or have you not heard enough about this to have an opinion? +* Appropriate ........................................................................................................................... 20 Not appropriate ..................................................................................................................... 53 Have not heard enough about this ........................................................................................ 26 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 Study #200085 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................ Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL)................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL)............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure ..................................................................................................... 24 15 17 24 2 1 2 1 12 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 10/272/20+ 1/20+ 12/19+ 30/19+ Supporter of Donald Trump ......................................................................... 45 49 48 52 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 42 40 40 38 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 5 6 7 6 Neither (VOL)............................................................................................. 6 3 4 2 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 2 2 1 2 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 4/285/1/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 10/46/19+ 48 39 8 4 1 9/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 QF3 Study #200085 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school.................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused.................................................... Registered Voters+ 1 3 24 15 3 16 20 3 12 3 - Democratic Primary Voters^^ 3 18 14 3 14 26 3 16 3 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... Registered Voters+ 25 8 10 13 12 6 19 4 3 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 57 13 15 6 2 1 1 2 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Registered Voters+ Very liberal .......................................................... 11 Somewhat liberal ................................................ 14 Moderate............................................................. 38 Somewhat conservative ...................................... 18 Very conservative ............................................... 16 Not sure ............................................................3 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 27 23 39 5 3 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus.