Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample Study #200085 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 252 African American Registered Voters, including 125 respondents with a cell phone only Study #200085 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Date: February 14-18, 2020 43 57 Male Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 252 interviews among African American Registered Voters is ±6.17 Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) + 18-24 .................................................................... 6 25-29 .................................................................... 12 30-34 .................................................................... 9 35-39 .................................................................... 7 40-44 .................................................................... 10 45-49 .................................................................... 8 50-54 .................................................................... 7 55-59 .................................................................... 9 60-64 .................................................................... 12 65-69 .................................................................... 6 70-74 .................................................................... 4 75 and over........................................................... 10 Not sure/refused ................................................. + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 4 No, not Hispanic ............................................... 96 Not sure/refused ............................................. + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + White .............................................................. Black ............................................................... 100 Asian............................................................... Other............................................................... Hispanic (VOL) ............................................. Not sure/refused ........................................... White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample Q3 Study #200085 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Registered Voter. + Yes ................................................... 100 No ..................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q4 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? + Total approve ............................... 14 Strongly approve ......................... 5 Somewhat approve .................... 9 Total disapprove ......................... 84 Somewhat disapprove ............... 15 Strongly disapprove .................... 69 Not sure .................................... 2 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q4b Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing in handling the economy? + Approve......................................... Disapprove.................................... No opinion................................... Not sure....................................... 23 62 11 4 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q5 If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state this year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November? + Total vote/voted in the Democratic primary or caucus ....................... Total vote/voted in the Republican primary or caucus ....................... Vote in the Democratic primary or caucus ............................................. Vote in the Republican primary or caucus .............................................. Wait until the general election ................................................................ Already voted in the Democratic primary or caucus (VOL) ................. Already voted in the Republican primary or caucus (VOL) .................. Neither/other (VOL) .............................................................................. Not sure ............................................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q6-10 Only asked of Democratic Primary Voters 55 3 55 3 40 1 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample Q11 Study #200085 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I'm going to list people who have said they will run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Bernie Sanders February 2020+ .............................. 20 45 18 12 2 3 Joe Biden February 2020+ .............................. 16 53 19 9 2 1 Michael Bloomberg February 2020+ .............................. 11 32 27 15 12 3 Elizabeth Warren February 2020+ .............................. 10 36 24 11 15 4 Amy Klobuchar February 2020+ .............................. 5 20 23 12 35 5 Pete Buttigieg February 2020+ .............................. 3 25 24 17 28 3 Donald Trump February 2020+ .............................. 3 4 14 78 - 1 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q12-13 Only asked of Democratic Primary Voters Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample Study #200085 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking some more about the presidential election… (RANDOMIZE Q14A-E) Q14A (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Joe Biden ....................................... Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 8 89 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q14B (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Bernie Sanders .............................. Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 7 87 1 3 1 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q14C (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Mike Bloomberg were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Mike Bloomberg ............................. Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 11 84 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q14D (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Pete Buttigieg were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Pete Buttigieg ................................. Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 16 75 5 4 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q14E (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Amy Klobuchar were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump ................................ Amy Klobuchar ............................... Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 15 77 3 5 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample Study #200085 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Still thinking about the November elections… Q15 Now, NOT thinking about any specific candidates, I'm going to list several types of people who might run for president. For each one, please tell me whether that type of candidate is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Not Sure A woman February 2020+ .............................. 34 53 8 4 1 Someone under age forty February 2020+ .............................. 14 46 24 14 2 A person who is gay or lesbian February 2020+ .............................. 14 44 20 17 5 A candidate who self-funds their campaign with hundreds of millions of dollars of their own money. February 2020+** ........................... 8 41 28 21 2 A socialist February 2020+ .............................. 7 31 35 20 7 Someone who has had a heart attack in the last year February 2020+* ............................ 5 46 30 18 1 Someone over age seventy-five February 2020+ .............................. 4 41 35 19 1 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. 1 In December 2006, the item read “A gay or lesbian person.” * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). ** Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B). Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample Study #200085 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics… Q16 In general, do you think race relations in the United States are (ROTATE) very good, fairly good, fairly bad, or very bad? Very good....... Fairly good...... Fairly bad........ Very bad......... Mixed (VOL) . Not sure........ 2/20+ 3 15 38 43 1 - 8/19 5 14 34 47 - Among African Americans 9/17 7/16+ 12/14 5 3 7 16 20 28 37 34 27 40 42 36 2 1 1 1 7/13 6 32 25 33 2 2 11/11 8 49 23 18 NA 2 1/10 8 58 20 8 NA 6 9/09 6 44 22 16 7 5 1/09 7 57 18 12 NA 6 10/95 3 28 35 30 3 1 9/94 5 39 26 26 3 1 4/07 3 37 34 24 NA 2 9/05 3 45 28 19 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Changing topics again… Q17 As you know, the U.S. Senate voted not to remove Donald Trump from office. Do you favor their decision to NOT remove Donald Trump or do you oppose their decision and believe he should have been removed from office? (IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, ASK:) And do you strongly (favor/oppose) or somewhat (favor/oppose)? + Strongly favor decision to not remove ..................................................................................7 Somewhat favor decision to not remove ...............................................................................11 Somewhat oppose decision/believe he should have been removed ....................................10 Strongly oppose decision/believe he should have been removed ........................................70 Not sure ..............................................................................................................................2 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Q18 Since the U.S. Senate trial has ended, do you believe Donald Trump’s actions and comments related to impeachment have been appropriate or not appropriate or have you not heard enough about this to have an opinion? +* Appropriate ........................................................................................................................... 3 Not appropriate ..................................................................................................................... 79 Have not heard enough about this ........................................................................................ 17 Not sure .............................................................................................................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample Study #200085 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ 3 Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................ 4 Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. 25 Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... 52 Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL)................................................................... 1 Voted for Jill Stein (VOL)............................................................................ 1 Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... 13 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 1 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) + Grade school ........................................................... Some high school.................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused.................................................... 7 30 15 2 15 16 2 11 2 - + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies February 2020 – African American Registered Voter Oversample QF4 Study #200085 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") + Strong Democrat .............................. Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... 48 13 14 14 2 1 2 3 3 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? + Very liberal .........................................................11 Somewhat liberal................................................17 Moderate ............................................................43 Somewhat conservative .....................................14 Very conservative...............................................9 Not sure ...........................................................6 + Results shown reflect responses among African American registered voters.