NBC News/Marist Poll North Carolina Annotated Questionnaire March 2020 NC Adults: n=2,530; MoE +/- 2.4 NC Registered Voters: n=2,120; MoE +/- 2.6 NC Potential Democratic Electorate: n=974; MoE +/- 3.9 NC Potential Republican Electorate: n=714; MoE +/- 4.5 NC Likely Democratic Primary Voters n=568; MoE +/- 5.1 NC Likely Republican Primary Voters n=410; MoE +/- 5.4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? [And, would you say you strongly approve/disapprove of the job he is doing or just approve/disapprove?] Knowing it is a long ways off, what is your preference for the outcome of this year´s congressional elections: NC Potential Democratic Electorate NC Potential Republican Electorate NC Likely Democratic Primary Voters NC Likely Republican Primary Voters Column % Column % Column % Column % Column % Column % 93% Approve 44% 45% 12% 89% 9% Disapprove 47% 48% 81% 8% 87% 5% Vol: Unsure 8% 7% 6% 3% 4% 2% Strongly approve 30% 31% 5% 71% 3% 78% Approve 15% 14% 8% 18% 6% 15% Disapprove 10% 10% 12% 3% 10% 2% Strongly disapprove 37% 38% 70% 5% 76% 3% Unsure 8% 7% 6% 3% 4% 2% 43% 46% 84% 6% 88% 4% A Congress controlled by Democrats A Congress controlled by Republicans 42% 42% 9% 88% 6% 91% 15% 12% 7% 6% 6% 5% Bernie Sanders n/a n/a 27% n/a 26% n/a Joe Biden n/a n/a 22% n/a 24% n/a Michael Bloomberg n/a n/a 15% n/a 15% n/a Elizabeth Warren n/a n/a 11% n/a 11% n/a Pete Buttigieg n/a n/a 7% n/a 7% n/a Amy Klobuchar n/a n/a 5% n/a 5% n/a Tom Steyer n/a n/a 2% n/a 2% n/a Tulsi Gabbard n/a n/a 1% n/a 1% n/a Other n/a n/a 1% n/a <1% n/a Undecided n/a n/a 8% n/a 7% n/a n/a n/a 24% n/a 22% n/a Vol: Unsure If the Democratic presidential primary in North Carolina were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [If already voted: Whom did you support in the Democratic presidential primary in North Carolina?] [Asked of Potential Democratic Electorate] NC Adults NC Registered Voters North Carolina Democratic Primary Persuadable Voters NBC News/Marist Poll NC Annotated Questionnaire 1 Would you say that you strongly support somewhat support , or do you think that you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate Preference] In selecting a presidential nominee for the Democratic Party, which of the following is most important to you: [Asked of Potential Democratic Electorate] If the Republican presidential primary in North Carolina were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [If already voted: Whom did you support in the Republican presidential primary in North Carolina? [Asked of Potential Republican Electorate] Would you say that you strongly support somewhat support , or do you think that you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference] If the 2020 election for president were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [Asked of Registered Voters] If the 2020 election for president were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [Asked of Registered Voters] NC Adults NC Registered Voters NC Potential Democratic Electorate NC Potential Republican Electorate NC Likely Democratic Primary Voters NC Likely Republican Primary Voters Column % Column % Column % Column % Column % Column % n/a Strongly support n/a n/a 50% n/a 53% Somewhat support n/a n/a 33% n/a 32% n/a Might vote differently n/a n/a 15% n/a 13% n/a Unsure n/a n/a 2% n/a 2% n/a n/a n/a 45% n/a 42% n/a A candidate who comes closest to your views on issues A candidate with the best chance to defeat Donald Trump n/a n/a 44% n/a 48% n/a Vol: Both n/a n/a 8% n/a 9% n/a Vol: None/Other n/a n/a 1% n/a <1% n/a Vol: Unsure n/a n/a 1% n/a 1% n/a Donald Trump n/a n/a n/a 90% n/a 93% Bill Weld n/a n/a n/a 8% n/a 6% Other n/a n/a n/a 1% n/a <1% Undecided n/a n/a n/a 1% n/a 1% Strongly support n/a n/a n/a 80% n/a 86% Somewhat support n/a n/a n/a 15% n/a 11% Might vote differently n/a n/a n/a 3% n/a 2% Unsure n/a n/a n/a 2% n/a 1% n/a 48% 85% 5% 88% 3% Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican n/a 46% 10% 92% 7% 95% Vol: Other n/a 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Vol: Undecided n/a 5% 4% 2% 4% 1% Joe Biden, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican n/a 49% 87% 6% 90% 3% n/a 45% 10% 91% 6% 94% Vol: Other n/a 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Vol: Undecided n/a 5% 3% 2% 3% 1% NBC News/Marist Poll NC Annotated Questionnaire 2 If the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in North Carolina were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [If already voted: Whom did you support in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in North Carolina?] [Asked of Potential Democratic Electorate] NC Adults NC Registered Voters NC Potential Democratic Electorate NC Potential Republican Electorate NC Likely Democratic Primary Voters NC Likely Republican Primary Voters Column % Column % Column % Column % Column % Column % Cal Cunningham n/a n/a 48% n/a 51% n/a Erica Smith n/a n/a 18% n/a 18% n/a Trevor Fuller n/a n/a 4% n/a 3% n/a Steve Swenson n/a n/a 3% n/a 2% n/a Atul Goel n/a n/a 1% n/a 1% n/a Other n/a n/a 1% n/a 1% n/a Undecided n/a n/a 27% n/a 25% n/a n/a n/a 43% n/a 41% n/a North Carolina Democratic Primary Persuadable Voters - U.S. Senate Would you say that you strongly support somewhat support , or do you think that you might vote differently on Primary Day? [Asked of Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate Preference for U.S. Senate] If November's election for U.S. Senate in North Carolina were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [Asked of Registered Voters] Strongly support n/a n/a 46% n/a 50% n/a Somewhat support n/a n/a 33% n/a 31% n/a Might vote differently n/a n/a 20% n/a 18% n/a Unsure n/a n/a 1% n/a 1% n/a Cal Cunningham, the Democrat n/a 48% 83% 9% 87% 7% Thom Tillis, the Republican n/a 43% 11% 86% 8% 89% Other n/a <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 9% 6% 4% 5% 4% Undecided n/a Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 2,530 North Carolina Adults This survey of 2,530 adults was conducted February 23rd through February 27th, 2020 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English or Spanish. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state from Dynata. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household, a single respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the representativeness of traditionally undercovered survey populations. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2017 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Results are statistically significant within ±2.4 percentage points. There are 2,120 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.6 percentage points. There are 974 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in North Carolina includes unaffiliated voters who prefer to vote in the Democratic presidential primary and registered Democrats. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.9 percentage points. There are 714 voters in the potential Republican primary electorate. The potential Republican primary electorate in North Carolina includes unaffiliated voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and registered Republicans. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.5 percentage points. There are 568 likely Democratic primary voters and 410 likely Republican primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2020 North Carolina Presidential Primaries based upon their chance of vote, interest in the primary election, and past primary participation. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±5.1 percentage points and ±5.4 percentage points, respectively. Tables include results for subgroups with a minimum sample size of 100 unweighted completed interviews as to only display crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations. NBC News/Marist Poll NC Annotated Questionnaire 3