The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR
Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Baseline Likely Voter Poll

Weighted Results
Page 1

N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone Feb. 20-29, 2020

Introduction and Screening
Hello, this is _______________ calling for OpinionWorks. We are conducting a brief poll for
The Baltimore Sun, the University of Baltimore, and WYPR about the upcoming election for
Mayor of Baltimore.
May I please speak with _______________________? (May only speak with voter listed.
Arrange callback as needed.)
S1. First, just to confirm, are you registered to vote? Are you registered as…?
A Democrat ........................................................................................................ 100%
(Any other response terminated.)
S2. Thinking ahead to the Democratic primary election for Baltimore Mayor on April 28…
…how likely are you to vote in that election on a 0 to 10 scale, where 0 means you definitely
will not vote, and 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote. You can use any number
from 0 to 10. (If depends/not sure): If the election were held tomorrow, where would you be
on that scale? (Responses of 4 or higher continue.)
10 ......................................................................................................................... 88%
9 ............................................................................................................................. 5%
8 ............................................................................................................................. 4%
7 ............................................................................................................................. 1%
6 ............................................................................................................................. 1%
5 ............................................................................................................................. 2%
4 ..............................................................................................................................*%
1. In general, would you say things in the City of Baltimore are heading in the right direction or
off on the wrong track?
Right direction ...................................................................................................... 14%
Wrong track .......................................................................................................... 73%
Not sure/Refused ................................................................................................. 13%

 The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR
Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Baseline Likely Voter Poll

Weighted Results
Page 2

N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone Feb. 20-29, 2020

Race for Mayor
2. If the April Democratic primary election for Baltimore Mayor were held today, would you vote
for…? (Read and randomize candidate names)
(If initially undecided): Whom do you lean towards at this time?
Support

Support + Lean

Sheila Dixon .................................................................. ............... 14% ............... 16%
Brandon Scott ............................................................... ................. 9% ............... 10%
Thiru Vignarajah ........................................................... ................. 9% ............... 10%
T.J. Smith ...................................................................... ................. 7% ................. 9%
Mary Miller .................................................................... ................. 7% ................. 7%
Bernard “Jack” Young ................................................... ................. 5% ................. 6%
Mary Washington .......................................................... ................. 4% ................. 5%
Stokey Cannady ............................................................ ................. 1% ................. 1%
Rikki Vaughn ................................................................. ................. *% ..................*%
Someone else ............................................................... ................. 1% ................. 1%
Undecided ..................................................................... ............... 40% ............... 31%
Would not say .............................................................. ................. 2% ................. 4%
(All who support any candidate in Q2):
3. Is your support for {Q2 response} firm, or could you still change your mind?
Firm...................................................................................................................... 48%
Could change ....................................................................................................... 51%
Not sure ................................................................................................................ 2%
(All who support any candidate in Q2):
4. How recently did you make up your mind to support {Q2 response}?
Within the last few days.......................................................................................... 7%
Within the last week or two ................................................................................... 17%
Within the last month ............................................................................................ 25%
Longer than a month ago ..................................................................................... 48%
Not sure/Refused to say ......................................................................................... 3%
(All who support any candidate in Q2):
5. In the election for Mayor, who would be your second choice?
Brandon Scott ...................................................................................................... 17%
T.J. Smith ............................................................................................................. 12%
Bernard “Jack” Young .......................................................................................... 11%
Sheila Dixon ......................................................................................................... 11%
Thiru Vignarajah .................................................................................................. 10%
Mary Washington ................................................................................................... 8%
Mary Miller ............................................................................................................. 7%
Stokey Cannady ..................................................................................................... 2%
Rikki Vaughn ...........................................................................................................*%
Someone else ........................................................................................................ 2%
Undecided/Not sure ............................................................................................. 16%
Would not say ....................................................................................................... 2%

 The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR
Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Baseline Likely Voter Poll

Weighted Results
Page 3

N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone Feb. 20-29, 2020

(All):
6. If you were to sum it up in a few words or a sentence, what is the most important thing you
are looking for in the next Mayor, or that you want the Mayor to do?
Address Crime ..................................................................................................... 50%
Honesty/Integrity .................................................................................................. 21%
Schools/Youth ...................................................................................................... 15%
Vision/Leadership ................................................................................................... 9%
Clean up Baltimore................................................................................................. 8%
Economic/Community development ....................................................................... 5%
Taxes ..................................................................................................................... 4%
Help people in need ............................................................................................... 2%
Housing .................................................................................................................. 1%
Something else ...................................................................................................... 7%
Not sure/Nothing comes to mind ............................................................................ 4%
7. And if the primary for City Council President were held today, would you vote for…?
(If initially undecided): Whom do you lean towards at this time?
Support

Support + Lean

Nick Mosby ................................................................... ............... 25% ............... 26%
Carl Stokes ................................................................... ............... 15% ............... 17%
Shannon Sneed ............................................................ ................. 8% ............... 10%
Leon Pinkett .................................................................. ................. 3% ................. 4%
Someone else ............................................................... ................. 1% ................. 1%
Undecided ..................................................................... ............... 46% ............... 39%
Would not say .............................................................. ................. 1% ................. 2%
8. Would you say you are paying a lot of attention, a little attention, or no attention to the races
for Mayor and City Council President?
A lot...................................................................................................................... 57%
A little ................................................................................................................... 33%
No attention ............................................................................................................ 8%
Not sure/Would not say .......................................................................................... 1%
9. As you may know, former Baltimore Mayor Catherine Pugh pleaded guilty in November to
four counts of tax evasion and conspiracy to commit fraud. Is what she did worse than what
other elected officials do, or do a lot of them do similar things but just don’t get caught?
Worse than others ................................................................................................ 24%
A lot of them do similar things .............................................................................. 67%
Not sure ................................................................................................................. 9%

 The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR
Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Baseline Likely Voter Poll

Weighted Results
Page 4

N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone Feb. 20-29, 2020

Classification
(All):
C1. These last few questions are to classify the survey only. What is your age?
Less than 35 ........................................................................................................ 11%
35 to 49 ................................................................................................................ 22%
50 to 64 ................................................................................................................ 35%
65 or more............................................................................................................ 32%
Not sure or prefer not to say ................................................................................... 1%
C2. What is the last grade in school that you completed?
Less than 12th grade............................................................................................... 3%
12th grade/High school diploma/GED.................................................................... 24%
Some college/Associate’s degree......................................................................... 26%
Four-year degree/Bachelor’s degree .................................................................... 23%
Graduate work/Advanced degree ......................................................................... 21%
Not sure/Refused ................................................................................................... 2%
C3. Do you identify your race or ethnicity as African-American or Black, Asian, Caucasian or
White, Hispanic or Latino, Native American, or something else? Mention any that apply to
you.
African-American/Black ........................................................................................ 66%
Caucasian/White .................................................................................................. 29%
Asian ...................................................................................................................... 2%
Hispanic/Latino....................................................................................................... 2%
Native American ......................................................................................................*%
Something else ...................................................................................................... 1%
Prefer not to say or not sure ................................................................................... 2%
C4. What is your gender identity?
Male ..................................................................................................................... 33%
Female ................................................................................................................. 65%
Other gender category ........................................................................................... 1%
Prefer not to say ..................................................................................................... 1%
C5. Sometimes a news reporter would like to contact you for additional comments. Should they
want to do that, can we provide them with your name and the best telephone number to
reach you?
Yes....................................................................................................................... 45%
No/Not sure/Refused ............................................................................................ 55%
That’s all the questions I have. Thank you for your time. Good night/Goodbye.