Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 900 Registered Voters, including 495 respondents with a cell phone only and 13 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline. 74 additional interviews were completed with Democratic primary voters in order to achieve a total of N=438 interviews. Study #200149 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Date: March 11-13, 2020 RVs DPVs 48 42 52 58 Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 900 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.27% The margin of error for 438 interviews among Democratic Primary Voters is ±4.68% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) 18-24 ....................................... 25-29 ....................................... 30-34 ....................................... 35-39 ....................................... 40-44 ....................................... 45-49 ....................................... 50-54 ....................................... 55-59 ....................................... 60-64 ....................................... 65-69 ....................................... 70-74 ....................................... 75 and over ............................. Not sure/refused .................... Registered Voters+ 9 8 9 6 11 7 10 10 11 7 5 7 - Democratic Primary Voters^^ 8 7 8 8 6 5 7 10 13 10 8 9 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Male Female Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Q2b Study #200149 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic .................... No, not Hispanic ............... Not sure/refused ............. Registered Voters+ 10 89 1 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 11 88 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + White ................................. Black .................................. Asian .................................. Other .................................. Hispanic (VOL) ................ Not sure/refused .............. Registered Voters+ 77 12 2 3 4 2 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 70 20 2 2 5 1 White, Non-Hispanic .......... 72 65 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Q3 Registered Voter. + Yes ........................ No .......................... Registered Voters+ 100 - Democratic Primary Voters^^ 100 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Q4 Study #200149 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, all in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High Headed in the right direction ...... Off on the wrong track ............... Mixed (VOL)............................. Not sure ................................... 3/20+ 37 56 4 3 12/19 35 56 6 3 8/19 33 60 5 2 1/19 28 63 6 3 12/18 33 56 9 2 11/18+ 38 54 4 4 6/18+ 36 55 5 4 4/18 31 62 5 2 9/01 72 11 11 6 Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3 12/17 29 63 4 4 4/17 34 59 3 4 2/17 40 51 3 6 1/17 37 52 5 6 12/16 33 54 6 7 10/1013/16+ 29 65 5 1 9/16+ 30 62 5 3 8/16+ 32 62 3 3 7/16+ 18 73 6 3 6/16+ 21 71 5 3 4/16+ 24 70 4 2 1/16+ 29 63 5 3 12/15 20 70 6 4 10/2529/15 27 64 5 4 6/15 31 61 4 4 4/15 28 62 6 4 1/15 31 59 5 5 12/14 27 64 6 3 11/14+ 27 63 6 4 6/14 25 63 7 5 4/14 27 63 6 4 1/14 28 63 5 4 12/13 29 64 5 2 10/2528/13 22 70 4 4 6/13 32 59 6 3 4/13 31 61 5 3 1/13 35 57 4 4 12/12 41 53 3 3 10/12+ 41 53 4 2 6/12 31 61 5 3 4/12 33 59 6 2 1/12 30 61 5 4 12/11 22 69 6 3 10/11 17 74 5 4 6/11 29 62 6 3 4/11 28 63 6 3 1/11 35 56 5 4 12/10 28 63 6 3 10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4 6/10 29 62 5 4 3/10 33 59 5 3 1/1014/10 34 54 10 2 12/09 33 55 10 2 10/09 36 52 9 3 6/09 42 46 9 3 4/09 43 43 10 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Q5 Study #200149 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Total approve ................. Strongly approve ........... Somewhat approve ...... Total disapprove ........... Somewhat disapprove . Strongly disapprove ...... Not sure ...................... 3/20+ 46 33 13 51 8 43 3 2/20+ 47 33 14 50 7 43 3 1/20+ 46 36 10 51 7 44 3 12/19 44 33 11 54 10 44 2 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 4/285/1/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 3 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 5 5 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve .................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure........................... 1 Intensity 5/171 39 54 7 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 not asked prior to June 2017. (ASKED FRIDAY ONLY) Q6 There is a lot happening in America during this period of time. How about you? What are you thinking or focusing on most about what is happening in the country? (PROBE) Please tell me more about the reasons this is what you are thinking or focusing on right now. SEE RECORDED RESPONSES Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q7 Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures and organizations and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK DONALD TRUMP FIRST, ROTATE :2-5) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + Donald Trump1 March 2020+ ..................................... January 2020+ ....................................... October 27-30, 2019.............................. October 4-6, 2019.................................. September 2019+ .................................. August 2019 .......................................... April 28-May 1, 2019 ............................. March 2019............................................ February 2019 ....................................... January 2019 ......................................... December 2018 ..................................... November 2018+ ................................... October 2018+ ....................................... September 2018+ .................................. August 18-22, 2018+ ............................. July 2018+ ............................................. June 2018+ .......................................... April 2018 ............................................ March 2018.......................................... January 2018 ....................................... December 2017 ................................... October 2017 ....................................... August 2017 ........................................ June 2017 .............................................. May 2017 ............................................... April 2017 .............................................. February 2017 ....................................... January 2017 ......................................... December 2016 ..................................... October 10-13, 2016+............................ October 8-10, 2016+.............................. September 2016+ .................................. August 2016+ ........................................ July 2016+ ............................................. June 2016+............................................ April 2016+ ............................................ March 2016+ ......................................... February 2016+ ..................................... January 2016+ ....................................... December 2015 ..................................... October 25-29, 2015.............................. September 2015 .................................... July 2015 ............................................... February 2011 ....................................... May 2004+............................................. December 1999 ..................................... October 1999 ......................................... July 1990 ............................................... High January 2020+ ....................................... Presidential Term Low April 2018 ............................................ All-time Trump Low April 2016+ ............................................ 1 Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 13 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 12 15 13 11 12 16 14 14 12 16 13 14 13 17 16 16 18 20 14 13 13 15 17 17 13 13 17 15 15 17 17 16 17 7 6 7 9 8 8 12 9 8 9 11 6 7 9 9 9 9 12 11 8 9 10 12 11 9 11 10 13 13 8 7 11 11 13 11 10 11 12 12 13 17 16 16 40 9 8 10 9 7 8 8 10 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 8 9 8 12 9 10 10 12 10 11 10 12 12 11 11 12 12 10 10 11 12 14 14 13 18 42 43 43 44 44 45 41 41 40 43 43 45 43 44 42 43 41 43 40 48 45 46 40 41 42 40 35 38 35 52 51 49 50 49 48 53 54 49 47 47 42 44 43 11 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 9 4 3 3 17 12 11 11 38 28 25 28 14 24 23 25 15 25 32 24 7 7 6 9 33 10 6 8 43 - 21 14 12 10 43 - 11 13 10 12 53 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 29 33 29 27 30 28 28 28 30 27 24 29 27 26 29 28 24 21 23 24 21 23 22 25 21 23 27 20 20 15 17 15 13 10 12 11 12 11 14 12 10 8 10 9 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + Q7 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 19 21 21 23 24 21 23 25 24 22 21 21 21 18 19 19 21 20 20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11 21 19 28 25 22 19 24 25 24 22 25 21 17 18 15 19 20 23 21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25 17 15 15 16 11 10 17 14 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 14 14 14 16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6 24 27 19 22 11 12 14 14 15 21 21 20 21 23 29 24 26 23 21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4 1 4 5 3 2 3 3 7 5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 5 7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49 14 14 21 26 22 19 20 21 20 20 18 18 15 16 15 10 8 22 23 23 25 23 24 23 24 23 22 20 18 19 22 17 14 8 18 19 22 17 20 20 18 16 18 17 20 19 22 19 23 20 22 13 13 12 12 14 14 15 14 13 12 12 13 9 11 9 10 6 32 27 18 17 18 20 21 22 23 23 19 18 19 16 13 9 7 1 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 11 14 16 16 23 37 49 32 18 19 30 27 30 24 25 25 7 14 14 3 12 8 4 4 4 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Joe Biden March 2020+ ................................ January 2020+ ............................. October 4-6, 2019 ........................ August 2019 ................................. January 2018 ............................... January 2017 ............................... October 2015 ............................... September 2015........................... June 2015 .................................... November 2014............................ June 2014 .................................... July 2013...................................... January 2013 ............................... December 2012............................ October 2012+ ............................. September 26-30, 2012+ ............. August 2012+ ............................... July 2012+.................................... May 2012 ..................................... December 2010............................ August 26-30, 2010 ...................... January 10-14, 2010 .................... July 2009...................................... January 2009 ............................... December 2008............................ October 17-20, 2008+ .................. October 4-5, 2008+ ...................... September 19-22, 2008+ ............. September 6-8, 2008+ ................. September 2007........................... December 2006............................ June 2004+ .................................. 18 14 12 11 30 35 19 15 16 13 11 17 20 21 21 18 15 15 15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5 Bernie Sanders March 2020+ ................................ August 2019 ................................. August 2017 ................................. August 2016+ ............................... July 2016+.................................... June 2016+ .................................. May 2016+ ................................... April 2016+ ................................... March 2016+ ................................ February 2016+............................ January 2016+ ............................. December 2015............................ October 25-29, 2015 .................... October 15-18, 2015 .................... September 2015........................... July 2015...................................... June 2015 .................................... The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC March 2020+ ................................ Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ ............... October 8-12, 2014+ .................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + Q7 (cont'd) Very Positive Somewhat Positive 20 20 20 24 27 20 21 20 16 10 10 14 13 14 15 15 16 16 10 13 Mike Pence March 2020+*............................... October 27-30, 2019 .................... January 2018 ............................... April 2017 ..................................... February 2017 .............................. January 2017 ............................... December 2016............................ October 10-13, 2016+ .................. September 2016+ ........................ August 2016+ ............................... Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 16 19 17 13 17 22 18 22 21 28 15 11 16 16 14 11 9 11 10 12 32 27 23 23 21 21 20 17 15 13 7 9 11 10 6 11 16 14 28 24 * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS RANKED BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, or CDC ..................... 62 10 Joe Biden ............................................................................................... 37 41 Donald Trump ......................................................................................... 42 51 Bernie Sanders ....................................................................................... 36 45 Mike Pence............................................................................................. 30 47 D/S 52 -4 -9 -9 -17 DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ^^ Q7 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 27 18 8 5 1 38 31 18 13 8 6 7 5 1 3 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Joe Biden March 2020^^ ............................... 41 Bernie Sanders March 2020^^ ............................... 2016 NBCWSJ Merge^^............... 28 42 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS RANKED BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Joe Biden ............................................................................................... 68 13 Bernie Sanders ....................................................................................... 66 15 D/S 55 51 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics… Q8 If there were a presidential primary election or caucus in your state this year, would you vote in the Democratic primary or caucus, the Republican primary or caucus, or would you wait to vote in the general election in November? Total vote/voted in the Democratic primary or caucus ....................... Total vote/voted in the Republican primary or caucus ....................... Vote in the Democratic primary or caucus .............................................. Vote in the Republican primary or caucus .............................................. Wait until the general election ................................................................. Already voted in the Democratic primary or caucus (VOL) .................. Already voted in the Republican primary or caucus (VOL) .................. Neither/other (VOL) .............................................................................. Not sure ................................................................................................ Among Registered Voters 3/20+ 2/20+ 38 38 25 23 34 38 23 23 35 35 4 2 1 1 1 3 Among Democratic Primary Voters 3/20^^ 2/20^^ 100 100 85 100 15 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Vote in Democratic Primary or caucus ......... Vote in Republican Primary or caucus ......... Wait until the general election ...................... Do not plan to vote at all (VOL) .................. Not sure ....................................................... 1/20+ 35 29 34 1 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 12/19+ 38 25 34 1 2 10/2730/19+ 36 25 36 1 3 10/46/19+ 36 24 37 3 9/19+ 38 27 32 3 8/19+ 37 26 34 3 7/19+ 35 25 36 1 3 6/19+ 38 28 30 2 2 4/285/1/19+ 35 29 31 1 4 3/19+ 35 29 32 1 3 2/19+ 34 29 31 6 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, thinking specifically about the 2020 Democratic primary elections… Q9 I am going to read a list of three of the declared candidates running for the Democratic nomination for President. After I read the entire list, please tell me if a Democratic primary for president were being held today, which one of the following candidates would you favor (RANDOMIZE)? (IF "NOT SURE," ASK:) Well, which way do you lean? (ACCEPT ONLY ONE ANSWER.) (IF CHOICE, ASK:) And, would you definitely vote for (CHOICE), probably vote for (CHOICE), but are still thinking about it, or are you just leaning towards voting for (CHOICE)? Joe Biden Tulsi Gabbard Bernie Sanders THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST TOTAL PERCENTAGE Total Joe Biden ................................................................ Definitely Joe Biden ........................................................... Probably Joe Biden ............................................................ Lean Joe Biden .................................................................. Total Bernie Sanders ....................................................... Definitely Bernie Sanders................................................... Probably Bernie Sanders ................................................... Lean Bernie Sanders ......................................................... Total Tulsi Gabbard ......................................................... Definitely Tulsi Gabbard ..................................................... Probably Tulsi Gabbard ..................................................... Lean Tulsi Gabbard ........................................................... Other (VOL) ..................................................................... None (VOL) ...................................................................... Not sure ........................................................................... 61 52 8 1 32 26 5 1 4 2 1 1 1 2 TOTAL DEFINITE VOTE AMONG ALL CANDIDATES 3/20^^ 80% 2/20^^ 37% 1/20^^ 44% PREVIOUS DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY BALLOT TREND THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Bernie Sanders ...................... Joe Biden............................... Michael Bloomberg ................ Elizabeth Warren ................... Pete Buttigieg ........................ Amy Klobuchar ...................... Tom Steyer ............................ Tulsi Gabbard ........................ Michael Bennet ...................... Bill de Blasio .......................... Cory Booker........................... Steve Bullock ......................... Julián Castro.......................... John Delaney......................... Kamala Harris ........................ John Hickenlooper ................. Jay Inslee .............................. Beto O’Rourke ....................... Deval Patrick ......................... Marianne Williamson ............. Andrew Yang ......................... Other (VOL) ........................ None (VOL) ........................ Not sure .............................. 2/20^^ 27 15 14 14 13 7 2 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 6 1/20^^ 27 26 9 15 7 5 2 2 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 1 NA 4 2 12/19^^ 21 28 4 18 9 5 1 2 NA 2 NA 1 NA NA NA NA 3 1 5 10/2730/19^^ 19 27 NA 23 6 5 2 1 NA 2 1 4 NA NA 1 NA 3 1 5 9/19^^ 14 31 NA 25 7 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 5 NA NA 1 NA 4 1 2 7/19^^ 13 26 NA 19 7 1 NA 1 1 1 1 13 1 1 2 NA 1 2 2 8 ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Q10 Study #200149 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey I'm going to list some people who are running for president. For each one, please tell me whether that person is someone you would (a) be enthusiastic about, (b) be comfortable with, (c) have some reservations about, or (d) be very uncomfortable with. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Donald Trump March 2020+ ................................... February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 27 27 32 28 26 23 25 26 15 16 13 12 15 14 16 14 10 10 6 9 9 10 10 9 48 47 49 50 49 52 49 50 1 - 1 1 1 Joe Biden March 2020+ ................................... February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... April 28-May 1, 2019+..................... March 2019+ ................................... 15 6 14 14 12 13 17 17 26 28 27 22 25 27 30 30 26 24 21 23 27 25 25 24 31 39 35 39 33 31 24 24 2 2 1 1 2 2 4 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 Bernie Sanders March 2020+ ................................... February 2020+ .............................. January 2020+ ................................ December 2019+ ............................ September 2019+ ........................... June 2019+ ..................................... March 2019+ ................................... 13 16 13 16 13 10 14 24 22 22 24 23 23 23 20 16 19 17 21 22 21 42 44 43 41 41 41 37 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. DATA SHOWN AMONG DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS ^^ THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY ENTHUSIASTIC (A) Enthusiastic (B) Comfortable (C) Have Some Reservations (D) Very Uncomfortable Don’t Know Name Not Sure Joe Biden March 2020^^ ................................. February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... April 28-May 1, 2019^^ ................... March 2019^^ ................................. 37 13 26 26 23 23 32 33 37 43 44 38 41 43 38 40 18 30 21 21 22 24 18 19 7 13 8 14 13 8 9 6 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Bernie Sanders March 2020^^ ................................. February 2020^^ ............................. January 2020^^............................... December 2019^^ ........................... September 2019^^ .......................... June 2019^^.................................... March 2019^^ ................................. 27 32 32 33 25 22 28 39 33 37 34 37 34 34 21 20 19 19 25 28 27 12 14 12 13 12 15 9 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking some more about the presidential election… (ROTATE Q11-12) Q11 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Joe Biden were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump................................. Joe Biden ....................................... Depends (VOL) ........................... Neither/other (VOL) ..................... Not sure ....................................... 3/20+ 43 52 3 2 2/20+ 44 52 2 2 1/20+ 44 50 4 2 10/2730/19+ 41 50 6 3 7/19+ 42 51 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q12 (And,) if the election for president were held today, and (ROTATE) Donald Trump were the Republican candidate and Bernie Sanders were the Democratic candidate, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump ............................... Bernie Sanders ............................. Depends (VOL) .......................... Neither/other (VOL) ................... Not sure ..................................... 3/20+ 45 49 4 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 2/20+ 46 50 3 1 1/20+ 45 49 5 1 7/19+ 43 50 4 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking now about the economy… Q13 How would you rate the current state of the economy? Would you say it is excellent, good, only fair, or poor? Excellent ....................... Good ............................. Only fair ........................ Poor .............................. Not sure ...................... 3/20+ 18 29 30 22 1 12/191 18 35 30 14 3 9/19 14 34 34 15 3 5/19 15 35 31 17 2 3/19 13 37 31 16 3 12/18 13 37 33 14 3 10/18+ 15 43 30 10 2 6/18 13 41 32 11 3 3/18 9 41 33 14 3 12/17 9 42 33 14 2 9/17 4 39 40 14 3 6/17 3 35 43 16 3 4/17 2 36 43 17 2 12/16 3 31 41 23 2 10/16+ 2 23 44 30 1 6/16+ 2 24 43 30 1 3/16 2 25 45 26 2 1112/15 2 23 42 31 2 10/15 1 22 42 33 2 6/15 2 22 44 30 2 3/15 2 25 42 29 2 1112/14 2 24 44 28 2 9/14 2 16 45 34 3 6/14 1 17 48 33 1 3/14 1 16 43 38 2 9/13 1 14 40 44 1 6/13 1 15 42 40 2 3/13 1 13 41 44 1 11/12 1 13 41 44 1 9/12 1 9 36 53 1 5/12 1 9 40 49 1 3/12 1 10 35 53 1 11/11 1 7 30 61 1 6/11 1 6 37 55 1 3/11 8 37 54 1 12/10 1 6 39 53 1 10/10 1 7 30 62 - 12/09 1 6 33 60 - 12/08 4 25 70 1 9/18, 20-21/08++ 7 28 65 - 9/1012/08 1 10 32 56 1 6/08 1 6 29 63 1 2/08 2 14 39 44 1 12/07 4 22 39 33 2 10/05++2 5 27 46 22 - 3/05++ 4 37 41 18 - 8/04++ 4 33 42 21 - 3/04++ 4 32 38 26 - 1/03++ 1 18 44 36 1 1/02++ 1 26 48 24 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ++ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters. 1 Comparative data prior to 3/20 comes from CNBC All-America Economic Surveys. 2 Comparative data prior to 12/07 comes from surveys among registered likely voters conducted by The Tarrance Group and/or Lake, Snell, Perry, Mermin Associates. Q14 During the next twelve months, do you think that the nation's economy will get better, get worse, or stay about the same? Will get better................ Will get worse ............... Will stay about the same Not sure ...................... 3/20+ 34 31 31 4 12/191 30 24 35 11 10/2730/19 24 27 48 1 12/18 28 33 37 2 1/18 35 20 43 2 12/16 42 19 38 1 12/15 24 24 50 2 7/15 25 24 51 - 3/15 29 21 48 2 12/14 31 17 51 1 2/17 41 21 36 2 10/812/14+ 28 24 46 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Comparative data for December 2019 comes from the CNBC All-America Economic Survey. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Q15 Study #200149 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Do you have money invested in the stock market or mutual funds, including IRAs and 401(k)s? (IF RESPONDENT SAYS “YES,” ASK:) And is the value of these investments above or below fifty thousand dollars? DATA SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS+ 3/20+ 10/18+1 10/16+ Yes, have money invested ........... 60 62 61 Above $50,000 ............................. 35 31 34 Below $50,000 .............................. 21 23 19 Not sure how much ....................... 4 8 8 No, no money invested ................... 34 36 37 Not sure/refused ........................... 6 2 2 6/16+ 59 31 21 7 38 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Comparative data prior to 3/20 comes from CNBC All-America Economic Surveys. Yes, have money invested..... Above $50,000 ....................... Below $50,000 ....................... Not sure how much ................ No, no money invested............. Not sure/refused ..................... 1 DATA SHOWN AMONG ALL ADULTS 12/191 9/19 5/19 3/19 12/18 56 53 52 54 53 30 29 27 26 29 21 17 18 21 18 5 7 7 7 6 41 45 45 44 44 3 2 3 2 3 6/18 56 30 19 7 42 2 3/18 58 30 22 6 40 2 12/17 54 32 18 4 45 1 9/17 54 29 18 7 44 2 6/17 53 32 16 5 45 2 4/17 53 31 16 6 45 2 12/16 50 26 19 5 48 2 3/16 53 31 16 6 45 2 1112/15 54 28 19 7 44 2 10/15 54 30 18 6 43 3 6/15 47 26 15 6 49 4 3/15 49 26 17 6 49 2 1112/14 51 24 18 9 47 2 9/14 49 25 18 6 49 2 6/14 49 28 16 5 49 2 3/14 52 29 18 5 47 1 12/13 53 28 20 5 46 1 9/13 51 28 17 6 47 2 6/13 48 26 16 6 50 2 3/13 55 29 20 6 43 2 11/12 51 25 21 5 47 2 9/12 52 28 19 5 46 2 5/12 52 26 21 5 46 2 3/12 49 24 19 6 49 2 11/11 51 27 19 5 47 2 6/11 52 29 19 4 46 2 3/11 46 25 21 NA 47 7 12/10 47 27 20 NA 45 8 10/10 45 20 25 NA 44 11 12/09 46 21 25 NA 42 12 12/08 50 22 28 NA 42 8 Comparative data prior to 3/20 comes from CNBC All-America Economic Surveys. Q16-17 Held for later release. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q18 On a different topic, have you seen, read, or heard the news coverage about the spread of the coronavirus? (IF YES, ASK) And, have you seen, read, or heard a lot or just some about this? 3/1113/20+ 99 89 10 1 Total Yes ............................................................................ Yes, a lot ........................................................................... Yes, some ......................................................................... No ....................................................................................... Not sure ............................................................................ 2/293/3/20+1 92 60 32 5 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Comparative data from a Public Opinion Strategies national survey. Q19 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the coronavirus? Approve .................................... Disapprove .................................. Not sure .................................... 45 51 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q20 How much confidence do you have in (RANDOMIZE ITEMS) to deal with the outbreak of the coronavirus – (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) a great deal, a fair amount, not very much, or no confidence at all? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY A GREAT DEAL OR FAIR AMOUNT OF CONFIDENCE A Great A Fair Not No Total Deal Of Amount Of Very Much Confidence Not Confidence Confidence Confidence Confidence At All Sure Your state government March 2020+ ................................................. 75 22 53 15 8 2 Your local government March 2020+ ................................................. 72 22 50 17 8 3 The federal government March 2020+ ................................................. 62 19 43 26 10 2 Donald Trump March 2020+ ................................................. 48 25 23 15 35 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q21 How do you feel about the possibility that you or someone in your immediate family might catch the coronavirus -- (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all? + Very worried ....................................................................... Somewhat worried ............................................................. Not too worried................................................................... Not at all worried ................................................................ Someone in my family has already caught it (VOL) ......... Not sure ........................................................................... 15 38 31 16 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED EBOLA VIRUS TREND – OCTOBER 2014 ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST POLL Very worried ....................................................................... Somewhat worried ............................................................. Not too worried................................................................... Not at all worried ................................................................ Not sure ........................................................................... 13 23 29 34 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Q22a Study #200149 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking about what, if any, impact the coronavirus has had on you and your family’s day to day life, would you say it has -- (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) changed your life in a very major way, a fairly major way, only a small way or has it not changed your life in any way? +* Changed your life in a very major way ............................... A fairly major way ............................................................... Only a small way ................................................................ Has not changed your life in any way................................. Not sure ........................................................................... 8 18 45 29 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). Q22b Looking ahead, what, if any, impact do you believe the coronavirus will have on you and your family’s day to day life, would you say it will -- (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) change your life in a very major way, a fairly major way, only a small way or will it not change your life in any way? +** Will change your life in a very major way ........................... A fairly major way ............................................................... Only a small way ................................................................ Will not change your life in any way ................................... Not sure ........................................................................... 15 26 39 17 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ** Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B). Q23 Thinking some more about this, would you say yes or no that because of your concern about the coronavirus, you have or plan to ... (IF YES, ASK) Have you already done this or do you plan to do this in the future? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY YES, HAVE OR PLAN TO DO THIS Not Planning To, Total Yes, Have Yes, Plan No, Have Not But Thinking Yes Done This To Do This Done This About It (VOL) Stop attending large public gatherings like movies, concerts or sporting events March 2020+ ................................................. 47 25 22 49 2 Not Sure 2 Cancel or reschedule travel plans March 2020+ ................................................. 36 19 17 58 4 2 Stop eating out at restaurants March 2020+ ................................................. 26 13 13 69 4 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ROTATE Q24a-b) Q24a And, would you say yes or no that because of the coronavirus, this has happened already or do you expect this to happen… Your child’s daycare, K through 12 school, or college has been closed or in-person classes stopped or does this not apply to you as you have no children in this age range? (IF YES, ASK) Has this happened already or do you expect this to happen in the future? Total has closed/stopped/expect in future Yes, already closed or stopped ................... Yes, expect this in future ............................. No, not closed or stopped ............................. No, does not apply to you ............................. No, child is homeschooled (VOL) .................. Not sure ...................................................... Among Parents+ 74 38 36 18 8 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q24b Which one of the following statements applies to you as a result of the coronavirus (ROTATE TOP THREE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP)? Among Employed+ 27 8 19 73 - Total has closed/expect to close ................................................................... Your workplace has already closed and you can no longer go into work ........ You expect your workplace will close and not allow you to go into work......... Your workplace is NOT closed and you do not expect it to close ..................... Or does this not apply to you as you do not work outside of your home ........... Other (VOL) ...................................................................................................... Not sure .......................................................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q25 Which of the following best describes your feelings about the coronavirus in the United States? (ROTATE FIRST TWO) + The worst is behind us ............................................................. The worst is yet to come .......................................................... …or… The coronavirus is not likely to be that major of a problem ...... Not sure ................................................................................. 6 60 31 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q26 Which worries you more about responding to the coronavirus--that the United States will not go far enough in limiting the activities and movement of Americans, or that the United States will go too far in limiting the activities and movement of Americans. + The U.S. will not go far enough ..................... The U.S. will go too far .................................. Neither one (VOL) ....................................... Not sure ....................................................... 42 44 7 7 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 Study #200149 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ...................... Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ...... Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ....... Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ..................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL)......................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL).................................................................. Voted for someone else (VOL) ........................................................ Voted, not sure................................................................................. No, Did Not Vote ................................................................................ Not sure ........................................................................................... 25 13 18 24 3 1 2 1 10 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? Supporter of Donald Trump ...................... Supporter of the Republican Party............ Both (VOL) ............................................. Neither (VOL) ......................................... Not sure .................................................. 3/20+ 52 39 5 3 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 2/20+ 45 42 5 6 2 1/20+ 49 40 6 3 2 12/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 10/2730/19+ 52 38 6 2 2 10/46/19+ 48 39 8 4 1 9/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 4/285/1/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 QF3 Study #200149 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) Grade school ........................................................... Some high school.................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused.................................................... Registered Voters+ 1 3 23 16 2 16 21 2 12 3 1 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 1 3 17 14 1 15 25 4 14 5 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") Strong Democrat........................... Not very strong Democrat ............. Independent/lean Democrat ......... Strictly Independent ...................... Independent/lean Republican ....... Not very strong Republican .......... Strong Republican ........................ Other (VOL) ................................ Not sure ...................................... Registered Voters+ 26 8 10 12 8 6 22 5 3 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 60 12 15 7 2 1 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies March 2020 QF5 Study #200149 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? Very liberal ........................................ Somewhat liberal .............................. Moderate........................................... Somewhat conservative .................... Very conservative ............................. Not sure .......................................... Registered Voters+ 13 14 36 18 17 2 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 27 25 40 3 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus. QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? Poor ................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class .................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... Registered Voters+ 7 28 41 18 4 2 Democratic Primary Voters^^ 7 25 41 19 6 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ^^ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary or caucus.