DAILY CASES

GOALS OF COMMUNITY MITIGATION

 

1,500,000 - 2,200,000
DEATHS

  
   
 
 
 
 
 

PANDEMIC OUTBREAK:
NO INTERVENTION

100-240,000 DEATHS

PANDEMIC OUTBREAK:
WITH INTERVENTION

 

DAYS SINCE FIRST CASE

 

Delay outbreak peak
Decompress peak burden on hospitals/infrastructure
Diminish overall cases and health impacts

#wNi?I

Decreases fatalities

Deaths per day

IHIVIE Model Chris Murray

3.5k -

3k

2.5k

2k?

1.5k?

1k-

500 -

 

1 4 days

until peak count of daily deaths

 

Mar 01 Apr01

Deaths per day

Deaths per day

2,21 4 comp-1 9 deaths
projected on April 15, 2020

Ma); 01 Junl 01
Date
. - - Deaths per day (projected)

3/1

3/2

3/3

3/4

3/5

3/6

3/7

3/8

3/9
3/10
3/11
3/12
3/13
3/14
3/15
3/16
3/17
3/18
3/19
3/20
3/21
3/22
3/23
3/24
3/25
3/26
3/27
3/28
3/29
3/30

50

100

CONFIRMED CASES PER 100,000

150

200

250

300

350

400

 

 

 



-CUMULATIVE CASES PER 100,000: NY, NJ, CT, WA, CA

CONFIRMED CASES PER 100,000

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

 

3/1 
3/2
3/3

CUMULATIVE CASES PER 100,000: ALL STATES

3/4
3/5
3/6
3/7
3/8
3/9
3/10

 

 

3/11

3/12

3/13

3/14

3/15

3/16

3/17

3/18

3/20

3/21

3/22

3/23

 

3/DAILY NEW CASES IN ITALY

 

CASES PER DAY DATA AS OF 0:LLI



2/15 2/17 2/19 2/21 2/23 2/25 2/27 2/29 3/2 3/4 3/6 3/10 3/12 3/14 3/16 3/18 3/20 3/22 3/24 3/26 3/28 3/30

- DAILY CASES