COVID-19 Health Media Briefing Presentation

April 28rd 2020

 

 

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COVID-19: TESTING DATA

The total number of people screened to date is 6 093 502
The total number of tests conducted both in public and private sector is 185 497
Sector

Total tested

Private

105 491

57%

2 191

31%

Public

80 006

43%

4 836

69%

185 497

 

7 027

 

Grand Total

New tested

2

 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES : 4996
GAUTENG

1377

WESTERN CAPE

1870

KWAZULU – NATAL

919

EASTERN CAPE

616

FREE STATE

113

LIMPOPO

31

NORTH WEST

29

MPUMALANGA

24

NORTHERN CAPE

17

3

 CASE MANAGEMENT
ACTIVE CASES

2830

 
TOTAL NO OF PATIENTS HOSPITALISED
 

 

 
TOTAL NO OF PATIENTS RECOVERED
 

 

 
TOTAL NO OF DEATHS
 

 

395

2073

93

4

 SA’s epidemic trajectory – to 27 April

SA compared to countries with the most and least severe advanced epidemic

Log scale

Diagram source: Tulio de Oliveira, Maria Schud &
UKZN CoV Big Data Consortium

 The source of samples in the public sector testing for
SARS-CoV-2:passive vs active case finding

Note: the total tests each
week = sum of the number
on each bar

6

 Proportion of NHLS tests that are positive comparing passive
and active testing (by week)

Proportion of SARS-CoV-2 tests positive

7,0

6.3%
N=1,854

Community testing (active)
Healthcare tests (passive)

5.2%
N=713

5,3

4.6%
N=567
3.8%
N=3,382
3.5%
3.5%
N=4,084 N=1747

3.4%
N=442
3,5

2.9%
N=6,229

1.4%
N=144

1,8

0.0%
N=1
0,0

3.2%
3.4% N=11,165
N=9,953
3.1%
N=16,743

0.0%
N=10
6 Mar - 12 Mar

20 Mar - 26 Mar

3 Apr - 9 Apr

Source of data: Kamy Chetty, NHLS

17 Apr -23 Apr

2.7%*
N=8,382
2.7%
N=7,879

 Epidemiological Model - Long Term Projections

 

Long-term Projections: active cases

Active Cases (All)

- Greater uncertainty Home



Lockdown has flattened
the curve and pushed
the peak later





2000000

 

 

 

Projections will be
updated weekly

5wk lockdown (optimistic) ka lockdown (pessimistic)

 

Key Assumption: proportion of cases: 75%

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REPUBLIC OF SOUTH AFRICA

Hotspots
Province
Eastern Cape
Northern Cape
Limpopo
Western Cape
Eastern Cape
Limpopo
KwaZulu Natal
North West
North West
KwaZulu Natal
Mpumalanga
Gauteng
Free State
KwaZulu Natal
Northern Cape
Limpopo
Mpumalanga
Northern Cape
Eastern Cape
Free State
Free State
North West

District

ec Alfred Nzo District Municipality
nc John Taolo Gaetsewe District Municipality
lp Sekhukhune District Municipality
wc Central Karoo District Municipality
ec Joe Gqabi District Municipality
lp Mopani District Municipality
kz Harry Gwala District Municipality
nw Ngaka Modiri Molema District
Municipality
nw Dr Ruth Segomotsi Mompati District
Municipality
kz Zululand District Municipality
mp Nkangala District Municipality
gp Sedibeng District Municipality
fs Lejweleputswa District Municipality
kz Umzinyathi District Municipality
nc Zwelentlanga Fatman Mgcawu District
Municipality
lp Vhembe District Municipality
mp Gert Sibande District Municipality
nc Pixley ka Seme District Municipality
ec Amathole District Municipality
fs Fezile Dabi District Municipality
fs Xhariep District Municipality
nw Dr Kenneth Kaunda District Municipality

Positive Cases
as at 18th and Number of Positives per Number Screened per 1M Beds per 1k
19th April
100k Pop
Pop
Pop Field Hospital Beds
0
0,000
19220
1,2
0
0,000
13880
0,9
0
0,000
59179
1,0
0
0,000
0
1,6
0
0,000
13521
1,4
2
0,162
56663
1,4
1
0,193
16885
2,1
2

0,207

32063

1,8

1
2
4
10
2
2

0,208
0,225
0,257
0,283
0,296
0,349

28547
18942
25417
4212
34357
12195

1,4
1,5
1,5
0,3
2,0
2,0

1
6
5
1
5
3
1
5

0,376
0,407
0,413
0,473
0,500
0,592
0,644
0,650

23520
45995
25547
238061
13276
116300
139947
61008

1,5
1,2
1,4
0,5
1,8
1,5
0,9
5,3

Source: WHO

9

 Hotspots Cont…
Eastern Cape
Limpopo
Mpumalanga
Free State
North West
KwaZulu Natal
KwaZulu Natal
Limpopo
Western Cape
KwaZulu Natal

ec Oliver Tambo District Municipality
lp Capricorn District Municipality
mp Ehlanzeni District Municipality
fs Thabo Mofutsanyana District Municipality
nw Bojanala Platinum District Municipality
kz King Cetshwayo District Municipality
kz Amajuba District Municipality
lp Waterberg District Municipality
wc West Coast District Municipality
kz Ugu District Municipality

Gauteng
Eastern Cape
Northern Cape
KwaZulu Natal
Eastern Cape
KwaZulu Natal
Northern Cape
KwaZulu Natal
Western Cape
Gauteng
Western Cape
KwaZulu Natal
Eastern Cape
Western Cape
KwaZulu Natal
Free State
Eastern Cape

gp City of Tshwane Metropolitan Municipality
ec Sarah Baartman District Municipality
nc Namakwa District Municipality
kz Uthukela District Municipality
ec Chris Hani District Municipality
kz Umkhanyakude District Municipality
nc Frances Baard District Municipality
kz uMgungundlovu District Municipality
wc Overberg District Municipality
gp West Rand District Municipality
wc Cape Winelands District Municipality
kz iLembe District Municipality
ec Nelson Mandela Bay Municipality
wc Garden Route District Municipality
kz eThekwini Metropolitan Municipality
fs Mangaung Metropolitan Municipality
ec Buffalo City Metropolitan Municipality
wc City of Cape Town Metropolitan
Municipality
gp City of Johannesburg Metropolitan
Municipality*
gp Ekurhuleni Metropolitan Municipality**

Western Cape
Gauteng
Gauteng

10
9
14
7
16
11
8
10
8
16

0,663
0,668
0,804
0,879
0,917
1,094
1,369
1,383
1,711
2,015

7110
39364
15793
93955
42879
19540
6173
49547
13700
9205

1,8
2,1
1,8
1,6
1,3
2,5
2,2
1,7
1,1
2,0

111
14
3
21
24
21
12
47
12
38
46
42
108
60
429
89
108

2,099
2,640
2,644
2,744
2,922
2,989
3,145
3,984
4,030
4,278
4,950
5,889
8,204
9,457
11,287
11,331
12,497

8311
33282
40608
18717
33172
7868
52127
10131
0
12831
2473
18655
3885
6666
2494
67609
1113

1,9
3,6
0,7
1,2
2,5
1,6
3,2
3,4
1,0
2,2
1,7
1,3
2,9
2,1
2,9
5,3
3,0

1000

725

17,340

6593

2,9

1500

639
234

17,761
23,564

10274
10260

3,7
8,5

500

500
1500

Source: WHO

10

 Hotspots cont…
Notes
*City of Joburg Private beds include West Rand
*Ekurhuleni private beds include Sedibeng
Legend (Positive Cases per 100k pop)
Range 0 to 0.5
Range 0.5 to 1
Range 1 to 10
Range Greater than 10

11

 Proposed Distribution of the Cuban Brigade
 

WC

GP

KZN

EC

FS

MP

LP

NW

NC

NDOH

TOTAL

Family Physician

18

17

17

12

10

8

8

8

7

0

105

Health
Technology

5

5

5

4

3

3

3

3

2

0

30

Epidemiology

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

18

Biostatistics

3

4

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

3

21

Public Health
Specialist*

 

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

11

11

Biotechnologist

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

12

 COVID-19 POSITIVE HEALTH WORKERS
Number of doctors

Number of nurses

Number of Port Health workers

Other Allied Healthworkers

Total 

 

Private

Public

Private

Public

Private

Public

Private

Public

Private

Public

2

 

5

 

0

 

2

0

9

 
EC

 

FS

8

 

1

 

 

0

 

 

5

 

GP

0

8

38

6

0

8

33

3

71

25

KZN

7

0

82

12

0

0

23

14

112

26

LP

0

3

1

4

 

0

 

0

1

7

MP

2

2

1

0

0

0

1

0

4

2

NC

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

0

0

0

NW

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

2

0

WC

 

10

 

23

0

 

 

31

 

64

NDoH

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

25

123

50

0

8

57

50

195

133

Total

19

13