MACE E-PAI 3? 3?8" Does E-PAI support an alternative origin of The analysis of commercial telemetry data in Wuhan suggests the pandemic began earlier than initially reported. Additionally. this supports the release of COVID-19 at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. The following data supports this ?nding: Device activity in and around the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV), speci?cally the National Biosafety Laboratory during October and November 2019. Traf?c Patterns based on device activity NO the WIV during October. Pattern or Life analysis of devices that frequent the WIV Open Source Intelligence supporting the early detection of COVID-19. Decreased Device Activity early in Quarter 4 at the WIV ESL-4 indicates potential facility closure due to a hazardous event Biosafety Level 4 (ESL-4) Laboratory and the WIV: - Investigate the most dangerous pathogens - Maximum biocontainment levels - Construction began in 2003 and completed in 2014 - In 2017, ESL-4 approved for research of pathogens including Ebola. Nipah. and the Crimena-Congo Hemorrhagic fever viruses - The second ?oor of the BSL4 is the main experiment zone with 3 cellular laboratories, one dissecting room, one vims preservation room Wuhan National Biosafety Laboratory (Level 4) Timeline of E-PAI Events and Indications in vicinity of the WIVIBSL-4 mm: small remains Roam. dam in 9mm? mm: aaMy Mu WN 881-4 Wax Docembw October 11 Oct and Nov ?ww I roams to 5. mm ,5 Chan. on visit WW amounoos coma-19: 0cm 6-1.1 '0 Newman: WHO b0 Socw'ty 25.23 Guam Unique Device Analysis in Vicinity of WIV ESL-4 14 i 012 . 0 Unique devnces were counted 010 daily from JAN 2018 to OCT 0 on 2019. 006 The distribution of counts in 0? OCT 2019 appeared significantly lower than the 002 rest of the time period160 12?s 15'0 175 2150 Compared Krustcal Wallace test (non parametric ANOVA): 0 TN: null hypothesis that the median of the two distributions are ecual is rejected 0 49-9 (signi?cance threshold set at 0.05? Device Analysis Indicates Traffic Closures or Roadblocks Traf?c from July 2019 - March 2020 Traffic from October 14 - 19 2020 Device traf?c in and arounc the WIV in the months pnor to October was Beginning on October 11th, there was a substantial decrease in activity. lhe last time a device IS active pnor to October 11th is October 6th. The window for Incident at the WIV IS October 6th - 11th. As illustrated in the second image. there was absolutely no traffic in the area the WIV from October 14th - 19th. During this time. It IS believed that roadblocks were put in place to prevent traffic from cornng near the 't Unique Events in vicinity of the WIV ESL-4 The rolling 5 day average drops to zero for two consecutive periods in October between the 11th and the 19th. Although there is variance in the level of events within the area of interest, at no other point in time did the average drop to zero. 23 Mil/Activity within the WIV supports an event occuring between October 6-11 Rut: Oct ?tt' Oct 7th 24m Dd 25th Dec Actiwty Withm the WIV - Between October Ito and 24th - 0* October 25th rtne rtevme compousd. there was no activity rctuns to the WIV facility It is be ieved the bunchin of WIV corr pound. - This device is the only dev 09 points 3 a security bui din-:1 to 'eturn to the facility that was passed through before present prior to Octcber 7ih. accessing the grounds - It is I kely th nevuse belongs to a security guarc I 1 twat-cum nonhuman lieu-om in 1 I I I Vol-vary Timeline of Events: October 2019 - April 2020 I P?ttern of Life. Analysis SOURCE TYPE :m .Ia- ?e-e'y-l-I a MA wt": 32'1er r: a car'cm'. or xocr We 7-..- h. Th: ego" ff?: IKJ I-ia We: a, lip w-Jn .- :c socr'w a: :1 :cc'str :f mrca LT'a?c: 00?; an: n: . :ra um"; or" v: (amaze 0? 7mm '6 "Mfr-:15 W: 'ery'qw/t: 2' .7: :r?trc?cv- Device of Interest: Located at the WIV and in Singapore Through pattern of life analysis on devices located at the WIV, one device of particular interest was identi?ed: - Observed in Wuhan from November 24 - 30 - During this time, the device was observed and the WIV ESL-4 and another unidenti?ed building near the WIV - This device anchors in Singapore - Analysis indicates this device belongs to a member of the Emerging Infectious Disease team and in Singapore lb mod-t x: 7m .. Another study also suggests that it is likely that Chinese social media companies received oflicial guidance and specific directives on how to handle as early as DEC 2019. This study also suggests that W. a live-streaming platform in China. began to censor keywords related to the coronavirus outbreak on December 31. 2019. a day after doctors tried to warn the public about the then unknown virus. WeChat bmady censored coronavirus-related content (including critical and neutral information) and expanded the scope of censorship in February 2020. Reporting 'I'Imeline noveloomnevuruswete leponed Wuhan at end Decenbel DEC. (2116th by W) A punt-shoe [0080107163 "16 Lm 803m "26:31? down with iu-m on 1 DEC 2019 A new paper (Wei. 5 social media. may eeriy oehect outbteak in 2019) by ?ve in?ame-disease ream an China. analyzed me wanna 01 the terms is Chmse equ'valent 'FeUim.? 'cormevirus.? ?shortness at man: ?mm and 'onma" poets and searches on We! from 17 NOV to 3106C Their ?ndnoe sowed 'abnotmal suites and names? '11 the usage 0! al the hem dunno the! Inc. continued. the mono: mom um that the cunnavius stened dlculating weeks befote the fut as? we may clagnoseo no women. Date showedmtuugeoi ?Weedbream and both peaked on 22 DEC and 'Diauhea" De?ned on 18 DEC. The repod states he! 'The ndex for SARS behaved peak on December 1. 2019 Accudng to the research; usage 0! 'Feidan,? meanwnie. been 10 me on December 16 mo stayed at reiativeiy 'idw levels through December 29 Lbage 'rose tacitly on OW 29. 2019 with a peak on December I). 2019 hu- 0:13.20" may. MRS 30h: Cum Deitnu 1b! Wm assume has? 0:22.20? on.? Dec22.20 9 9h! 0:18.201! thl?lJOl?uDeeNJMQ aquamauayne-W-zaeutuwwmw Unique Events in vicinity of the WIV ESL-4 - The rolling 5 day average drops to zero ?ms" for two consecutive periods in October .0 between the 11th and the 19th. - Although there is variance in the level 6? of events within the area of interest, at no other point in time did the average ?0 drop to zero. BLUF mu menmm and Seuwwzow. as analyzed and 11 16 ml. WOWOOWM ?tummy. Wrondys?shmu?mmiwemlmm 2019 wound acne-nay hewdDEcwtveWHOmonM DEC: Newman mm upon; um 1.0.13 'coromvirus? 'dysmaf'lnd 'd'nnhu' and tqaotbd Norway alto use 2019. We 2019 Michal Workman on 8m Lm ?mm and Tum-s hound by tho WW. CA8 was hammlm?mum?admd nevebokphaz. Dunng WV. DEC 2019safety and :ro'ninos no endurance: Tonia induded Nada.? diam lab my and ?unity. dammDamzmn-omunmomm soauity' wage-awn ?1 t; -- L. .- . NAI: WIV BSL-4 - NAI: WIV BSL-4 During the months of October and November 2019. there was a noticeable decline in the number of unique devrces and device events compared to the previous months of August and September 2019. In August and September 2019 there were 5 unique devices and 269 device events In October and November 2019. there were 2 unique devrces and 12 devrce events. UNIQUE DEVICE COUNT DEVICE EVENT COUNT NAI: WIV BSL-4 (Cent) 0 Duri' 9 OCT 20?} t' we Were :1 total of 8 dewce ewe-ms Mm device Deuce events In were observed on 6 (3., 24 (3(i.l and 26-21 (J(il (8a Bu) Durirq NOV 26 19 there were a total of 4 device events e'nitt'mq from [we devnoes Deuce events In txOV were cbsen'cd on 2 NOV (Sat and 26 INOV rTu). In OCT there Was 18 say gap (6-24 ere there wee nu observale events and there was 24 day gap (2-26 NOV) where there were no observable events UNIQUE DEVICE COUNT DEVICE EVENT COUNT MID: (Cont) This dewce was observed at me WIV possibly the University of 881 -4 building tJUl - OCT 2019, UFO Chinese Academy of Sciences 2019. and JAN - MARCH 2020 (40405010. 116681850) Pattern of Life (POL) anaIySIs Identmed device was the followung locations; Kenya (21-25 ALG 2C18) Cuba Inte'watioml A rport (28 AUG 2018:: Belling Limna L1 351 2018 - 10 JAN 2019) Cuba Inte'?atioml A rport JAN 2019;: Kenya (26 JAN 20? 9 - 25 FEB 2319) Beillng. Cmna :3 MAR 20? 9 28 2019) Wuhan, Hubel. China (28 .UNE 2019 - 33 DEC 2019) (WAY 3_ IUI 7019? 2019! IJJLV AUG 2019; (MUIY (XJI 2.1? J. 201?.) . AN MARCH KIZO AUG 2019 - SEPT 2019 OCT 2019 - NOV 2019 Area Surrounding NAI WIV BSL-4 4 OCT 2019 (Fr) - 9 OCT 2019 (We) Area Surrounding NAI WIV BSL-4 11 OCT 2019 (Fr) - 16 OCT 2019 (We) Area Surrounding NAI WIV BSL-4 18 OCT 2019 (Fr) - 23 OCT 2019 (We)