The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Likely Voter Poll Weighted Results Page 1 N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone May 11-18, 2020 Introduction and Screening Hello, this is _______________ calling for OpinionWorks. We are conducting a brief poll for The Baltimore Sun, the University of Baltimore, and WYPR about the upcoming election for Mayor of Baltimore. May I please speak with _______________________? (May only speak with voter listed. Arrange callback as needed.) S1. First, just to confirm, are you registered to vote? Are you registered as…? A Democrat ........................................................................................................ 100% (Any other response terminated.) S2. Thinking ahead to the Democratic primary election for Baltimore Mayor on June 2nd … …how likely are you to vote in that election on a 0 to 10 scale, where 0 means you definitely will not vote, and 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote. You can use any number from 0 to 10. (If depends/not sure): If the election were held tomorrow, where would you be on that scale? (Responses of 4 or higher continue.) 10 ......................................................................................................................... 89% 9 ............................................................................................................................. 4% 8 ............................................................................................................................. 3% 7 ............................................................................................................................. 2% 6 ..............................................................................................................................*% 5 ............................................................................................................................. 1% 4 ..............................................................................................................................*% 1. In general, would you say things in the City of Baltimore are heading in the right direction or off on the wrong track? Feb May Right direction ........................................................ 14% ...................................... 17% Wrong track ............................................................ 73% ...................................... 65% Not sure/Refused ................................................... 13% ...................................... 18% The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Likely Voter Poll Weighted Results Page 2 N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone May 11-18, 2020 Race for Mayor 2. If the June Democratic primary election for Baltimore Mayor were held today, would you vote for…? (Read and randomize candidate names) (If initially undecided): Whom do you lean towards at this time? Feb Support + Lean May Support May Support + Lean Sheila Dixon ............................................... 16% ................................. 17% ............... 18% Mary Miller ................................................... 7% ................................. 16% ............... 18% Brandon Scott ............................................ 10% ................................. 13% ............... 15% Thiru Vignarajah ........................................ 10% ................................. 10% ............... 11% T.J. Smith ..................................................... 9% ................................... 6% ................. 6% Bernard “Jack” Young .................................. 6% ................................... 4% ................. 5% Stokey Cannady ........................................... 1% ................................... *% ................. *% Rikki Vaughn ................................................. *% ................................... *% ................. *% Someone else .............................................. 6% ................................... 1% ................. 1% Undecided .................................................. 31% ................................. 31% ............... 22% Would not say ............................................. 4% ................................... 3% ................. 4% (All who support any candidate in Q2): 3. Is your support for {Q2 response} firm, or could you still change your mind? Feb May Firm........................................................................ 48% ...................................... 58% Could change ......................................................... 51% ...................................... 41% Not sure .................................................................. 2% .........................................*% (All who support any candidate in Q2): 4. How recently did you make up your mind to support {Q2 response}? Within the last few days............................................ 7% ........................................ 7% Within the last week or two ..................................... 17% ...................................... 17% Within the last month .............................................. 25% ...................................... 15% Longer than a month ago ....................................... 48% ...................................... 59% Not sure/Refused to say ........................................... 3% ........................................ 2% (All who support any candidate in Q2): 5. In the election for Mayor, who would be your second choice? Brandon Scott ........................................................ 17% ...................................... 16% Mary Miller ............................................................... 7% ...................................... 16% T.J. Smith ............................................................... 12% ...................................... 15% Bernard “Jack” Young ............................................ 11% ...................................... 11% Sheila Dixon ........................................................... 11% ...................................... 11% Thiru Vignarajah .................................................... 10% ...................................... 10% Stokey Cannady ....................................................... 2% ........................................ 1% Rikki Vaughn ............................................................ *% .........................................*% Someone else ........................................................ 10% .........................................*% Undecided/Not sure................................................ 16% ..................................... 18% Would not say .......................................................... 2% ........................................ 2% The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Likely Voter Poll Weighted Results Page 3 N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone May 11-18, 2020 (All): 6. There are a number of problems facing the City. But if you could choose just one, what is the most urgent thing you want the next Mayor to do? (Read and randomize options.) May Stop violent crime in the City ................................................................................ 60% Protect residents from COVID-19 ......................................................................... 10% Get the economy going .......................................................................................... 6% (Always last): Or something else (Record verbatim) ............................................. 14% Poverty/Inequality .......................................................................................... 4% Education/Schools/Youth .............................................................................. 3% Corruption ..................................................................................................... 3% Other responses ............................................................................................ 4% (Do not read): All of the above ................................................................................ 9% (Do not read): Not sure........................................................................................... 2% 7. And if the primary for City Council President were held today, would you vote for…? (If initially undecided): Whom do you lean towards at this time? Feb Support + Lean May Support May Support + Lean Nick Mosby ................................................ 26% ................................. 21% ............... 24% Carl Stokes ................................................ 17% ................................. 18% ............... 20% Shannon Sneed ......................................... 10% ................................. 15% ............... 18% Leon Pinkett ................................................. 4% ................................... 2% ................. 2% Someone else .............................................. 1% ................................... 2% ................. 2% Undecided .................................................. 39% ................................. 38% ............... 31% Would not say ............................................. 2% ................................... 4% ................. 4% 8. If the primary for Comptroller were held today, would you vote for…? (Rotate and read names from list below.) Support Support + Lean Joan Pratt.......................................................... ................................. 38% ............... 41% Bill Henry........................................................... ................................. 33% ............... 34% Someone else ................................................... ................................... *% ................. *% Undecided ......................................................... ................................. 26% ............... 22% Would not say .................................................. ................................... 2% ................. 2% 9. As you may know, voters are being urged to cast their ballots by mail in the upcoming election because of concerns about the coronavirus. Does the fact that voters are being asked to mail in their ballots rather than visit a polling place make it (rotate): [more likely (you will vote this time), less likely], or doesn’t it make a difference either way? May More likely ............................................................................................................ 17% Less likely .............................................................................................................. 1% Doesn’t make a difference .................................................................................... 78% Not sure ................................................................................................................. 4% The Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore/WYPR Baltimore City 2020 Pre-Primary Likely Voter Poll Weighted Results Page 4 N=400 likely Democratic primary voters in Baltimore City, conducted by telephone May 11-18, 2020 10. Does an election where most of the votes are mailed in make you (rotate): [trust (the results of the election) more, trust (them) less], or doesn’t it make a difference either way? Feb May Trust them more ..................................................................................................... 8% Trust them less..................................................................................................... 24% Doesn’t make a difference .................................................................................... 61% Not sure ................................................................................................................. 7%