NBC News/Marist Poll Pennsylvania Annotated Questionnaire September 2020 PA Adults: n=1,147; MoE +/- 3.6 PA Registered Voters: n=1,039; MoE +/- 3.8 PA Likely Voters: n=771; MoE +/- 4.4 Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? [And, would you say you strongly approve/disapprove of the job he is doing or just approve/disapprove?] Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tom Wolf is doing as governor? If November's election for president were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [Asked of Registered Voters] PA Adults PA Registered Voters PA Likely Voters Column % Column % Column % Approve 45% 45% 45% Disapprove 50% 52% 52% Vol: Unsure 5% 4% 3% Strongly approve 31% 33% 35% Approve 14% 12% 10% Disapprove 8% 8% 7% Strongly disapprove 42% 43% 45% Unsure 5% 4% 3% Approve 53% 55% 54% Disapprove 37% 37% 39% Vol: Unsure 10% 8% 7% Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, the Democrats n/a 52% 53% Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Republicans n/a 44% 44% Other n/a 2% 1% Undecided n/a 2% 2% 6% 5% Pennsylvania Persuadable Voters Would you say that you strongly support somewhat support them, or do you think that you might vote differently on Election Day? [Asked of Registered Voters with a Candidate Preference] In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump? In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Joe Biden? In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Mike Pence? In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Kamala Harris? NBC News/Marist Poll PA Annotated Questionnaire September 2020 Strongly support n/a 77% 80% Somewhat support n/a 19% 17% Might vote differently n/a 3% 2% Unsure n/a 1% 1% Favorable 44% 44% 44% Unfavorable 52% 54% 54% Unsure-Never Heard 4% 3% 2% Favorable 48% 49% 50% Unfavorable 45% 46% 46% Unsure-Never Heard 7% 5% 4% Favorable 45% 46% 46% Unfavorable 45% 47% 47% Unsure-Never Heard 10% 7% 6% Favorable 44% 46% 47% Unfavorable 41% 42% 43% Unsure-Never Heard 15% 11% 10% 1 Who do you think would be better when it comes to dealing with the economy: Who do you think would be better when it comes to dealing with the coronavirus: Who do you think would be better when it comes to dealing with race relations: Who do you think would be better when it comes to dealing with crime: As you may know, there have been protests across the country over the actions of police against George Floyd in Minneapolis and Jacob Blake in Kenosha, Wisconsin. Which concerns you more: PA Adults PA Registered Voters PA Likely Voters Column % Column % Column % Joe Biden 38% 40% 41% Donald Trump 52% 51% 51% Both would be equally good 4% 4% 4% Neither would be good 3% 3% 3% Vol: It depends 1% <1% <1% Vol: Unsure 2% 2% 1% Joe Biden 51% 52% 53% Donald Trump 38% 38% 38% Both would be equally good 1% 1% 1% Neither would be good 8% 8% 7% Vol: It depends <1% <1% <1% Vol: Unsure 2% 2% 1% Joe Biden 54% 56% 56% Donald Trump 34% 34% 35% Both would be equally good 2% 2% 2% Neither would be good 7% 7% 6% Vol: It depends <1% <1% <1% Vol: Unsure 3% 2% 1% Joe Biden 42% 44% 45% Donald Trump 45% 45% 45% Both would be equally good 3% 3% 3% Neither would be good 5% 5% 5% Vol: It depends <1% <1% <1% Vol: Unsure 4% 3% 3% The actions of police against George Floyd and Jacob Blake 41% 43% 42% The actions of protesters looting or using violence Vol: Unsure 47% 13% 46% 11% 47% 11% Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 1,147 Pennsylvania Adults This survey of 1,147 adults was conducted August 31st through September 7th, 2020 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English or Spanish. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state from Dynata. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household, a single respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the representativeness of traditionally under-covered survey populations. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2017 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. Results are statistically significant within ±3.6 percentage points. There are 1,039 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.8 percentage points. There are 771 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the November 2020 election based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.4 percentage points. Tables include results for subgroups to only display crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations. NBC News/Marist Poll PA Annotated Questionnaire September 2020 2