Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota In 2020, Where Up is Down and East is West, No Telling What May Happen in MN on Election Day. But Today, With Early Voting About to Start, Democrat Biden Is 9 Points Atop Republican Trump; DFL Smith Poised to Defeat GOP Challenger Lewis, Keeping Franken's Senate Seat Blue: 10 days till early voting begins in Minnesota and 8 weeks till votes are counted, President Donald Trump's dream of siphoning Minnesota's 10 Electoral College Votes into the Republican column appears elusive, according to fresh SurveyUSA election polling conducted for KSTP-TV in the Twin Cities. Before we give you the score, it is important to remind everyone of the rules for the 2020 Presidential election: There are no rules. With that in mind, and recognizing that anything might happen between today and Inauguration Day, you may assign whatever weight you deem appropriate to where the contest in MN stands at this hour, which is: * Biden 49%. * Trump 40%. * Biden voters appear more motivated. Among those who are 100% certain to vote, Joe leads by 13. * Among those who are likely to vote, but not 100% certain, Trump leads by 9. * Among those who will vote in person, on Election Day, Trump leads by 27 points. * Among those who will vote early, by US mail, Biden leads by 55 points. When likely voters are asked which of the 2 Presidential candidates would keep you safer, the answers match the vote totals: * 49% in MN say Biden would keep them safer, including 54% of independents, 55% of moderates. * 40% in MN say Trump would keep them safer, including 33% of independents, 29% of moderates. * Biden leads on safety by 18 points in the Twin Cities area; Trump leads, though narrowly, elsewhere in MN. Where businessman Trump has traditionally held an advantage over all Democratic challengers --- Who is stronger on the economy? --- today, the 2 candidates run effectively even, Biden 45%, Trump 43%. Trump is preferred by 25 points on the economy in Northeast MN, Trump is preferred by 14 points in Western MN, Trump is preferred by 7 points in Southern MN, but Biden is preferred by 13 points in the Twin Cities area, where 62% of the state's likely voters reside. Trump's Net Favorability Rating among all registered voters in MN is Minus 14 . 39% of voters view the 45th President favorably, 53% view him unfavorably. Biden's Net Favorability Rating is Plus 1 . 42% of voters view Biden favorably, 41% unfavorably. DFL incumbent United States Senator Tina Smith was appointed to her position when Al Franken resigned. Though Smith is not well known by Minnesotans after 2 years in office, her Republican challenger, Jason Lewis, is less well known. At this hour, the contest stands: * Smith 47%. * Lewis 36%. * Smith's lead comes entirely from women, among whom she leads by 22 points. The contest is tied among men. * Independents break for the incumbent Democrat by 19 points; moderates break for the Democrat by 25 points. * Of those voting for Biden, 84% stick with fellow Democrat Smith. * Of those voting for Trump, 77% stick with fellow Republican Lewis. * Smith has a Net Favorability Rating of Plus 7 . * Lewis has a Net Favorability Rating of Plus 2 . About SurveyUSA interviewed 750 adults statewide 09/04/2020 through 09/07/2020. Of the adults, 620 are registered to vote in Minnesota. Of the registered voters, SurveyUSA identified- Page 553 1 © 2020: SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 1 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota? 750 Adults Credibility Interval: +/-3.5 pct points All Gender Male Age Female 18-34 <50 / 50+ 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ Race White Party Affiliation Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen Yes 83% 84% 81% 76% 84% 85% 88% 80% 86% 86% 67% ** 66% 88% 88% 77% No 14% 14% 14% 20% 13% 13% 9% 17% 11% 12% 14% ** 33% 9% 10% 18% Not Sure 3% 2% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 19% ** 1% 4% 2% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 50% 50% 29% 26% 25% 20% 55% 45% 83% 5% 2% 9% 30% 33% 28% 1 Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota? 750 Adults Credibility Interval: +/-3.5 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Yes 83% 94% 90% 82% 79% 89% 92% 82% 82% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% No 14% 5% 8% 12% 20% 11% 7% 12% 17% - - - - - - - - - Not Sure 3% 1% 2% 5% 2% 0% 2% 5% 1% - - - - - - - - - Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 10% 21% 36% 18% 7% 31% 36% 25% 16% 74% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% 1 Are you registered to vote in the state of Minnesota? 750 Adults Credibility Interval: +/-3.5 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Urban Suburb Region Own Rent Yes 83% 90% 95% 73% 83% 92% 80% 82% 86% 87% 72% 79% 83% 86% 82% 87% 78% 84% No 14% 4% 5% 22% 13% 7% 15% 15% 12% 10% 24% 14% 16% 11% 14% 11% 17% 14% Not Sure 3% 6% 0% 5% 4% 1% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 7% 2% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Adults 100% 33% 31% 33% 35% 32% 31% 38% 31% 72% 28% 24% 49% 27% 62% 14% 13% 11% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 2 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 2 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Is your opinion of Donald Trump extremely favorable? Favorable? Neutral? Unfavorable? Extremely unfavorable? Or, do you have no opinion of Donald Trump? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All Gender Male Age Female 18-34 <50 / 50+ Race 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Party Affiliation Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen Extremely Favorable 21% 23% 20% 17% 18% 27% 25% 18% 26% 23% ** ** 12% 53% 1% 12% Favorable 18% 18% 18% 14% 21% 20% 16% 18% 18% 20% ** ** 11% 36% 3% 16% Neutral 6% 8% 5% 8% 7% 6% 4% 8% 5% 4% ** ** 21% 3% 4% 12% Unfavorable 8% 10% 6% 9% 5% 12% 4% 7% 8% 7% ** ** 9% 4% 10% 10% Extremely Unfavorable 45% 40% 49% 47% 46% 35% 51% 47% 42% 45% ** ** 43% 4% 83% 47% No Opinion 2% 2% 1% 5% 2% 0% 0% 3% 0% 1% ** ** 4% 0% 0% 3% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 51% 49% 27% 26% 26% 21% 53% 47% 86% 4% 2% 7% 32% 35% 26% 2 Is your opinion of Donald Trump extremely favorable? Favorable? Neutral? Unfavorable? Extremely unfavorable? Or, do you have no opinion of Donald Trump? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Extremely Favorable 21% 69% 32% 12% 3% 7% 44% 12% 4% 17% 24% 8% 19% 38% 56% 0% 52% 1% Favorable 18% 10% 38% Neutral 6% 0% 7% 19% 4% 0% 28% 19% 3% 27% 16% 9% 22% 20% 38% 1% 32% 4% 7% 11% 0% 5% 7% 7% 10% 4% 4% 2% 8% 4% 2% 6% 5% Unfavorable 8% 1% 7% 14% 7% 0% 5% 14% 5% 9% 7% 8% 15% 4% 1% 10% 3% 8% Extremely Unfavorable 45% 21% 15% 49% 74% 93% 17% 49% 80% 32% 49% 71% 41% 30% 1% 88% 6% 82% No Opinion 2% 0% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 5% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 11% 23% 35% 17% 8% 34% 35% 24% 16% 74% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 3 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 2 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Is your opinion of Donald Trump extremely favorable? Favorable? Neutral? Unfavorable? Extremely unfavorable? Or, do you have no opinion of Donald Trump? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Own Rent Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Extremely Favorable 21% 52% 1% 29% 17% 20% 18% 21% 26% 25% 11% 15% 18% 32% 18% 20% 26% 35% Favorable 18% 34% 3% 19% 20% 15% 16% 19% 19% 20% 10% 17% 16% 23% 13% 28% 27% 25% Neutral 6% 8% 4% 6% 9% 5% 7% 4% 8% 4% 14% 2% 8% 8% 6% 2% 18% 1% Unfavorable 8% 2% 11% 7% 9% 8% 4% 10% 9% 8% 8% 4% 11% 4% 9% 6% 4% 7% Extremely Unfavorable 45% 3% 80% 35% 45% 52% 51% 45% 38% 42% 52% 59% 45% 32% 51% 43% 24% 32% No Opinion 2% 0% 2% 4% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 1% 5% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 36% 29% 35% 36% 30% 37% 32% 76% 24% 23% 49% 28% 62% 14% 13% 11% 3 Is your opinion of Joe Biden ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All Gender Male Female 18-34 Extremely Favorable 16% 14% 19% Favorable 26% 21% 31% Neutral 13% 17% 9% Unfavorable 11% 15% 8% Extremely Unfavorable 30% 31% 30% No Opinion Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Affiliation 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White 15% 12% 29% 14% 19% 17% 24% 27% 31% 21% 25% 26% 24% ** ** 46% 6% 41% 34% 16% 18% 7% 13% 17% 10% 13% ** ** 14% 9% 12% 17% 14% 10% 11% 9% 12% 10% 12% ** ** 7% 17% 4% 12% 29% 26% 38% 28% 27% 33% 32% ** ** 20% 68% 3% 26% 13% Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen ** ** 10% 0% 41% 8% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 2% 1% 4% 1% 2% ** ** 2% 0% 0% 2% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 51% 49% 27% 26% 26% 21% 53% 47% 86% 4% 2% 7% 32% 35% 26% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 4 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 3 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Is your opinion of Joe Biden ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Extremely Favorable 16% 13% 4% 15% 30% 40% 7% 15% 33% 8% 20% 28% 16% 12% 0% 37% 0% 36% Favorable 26% 6% 12% 31% 46% 41% 10% 31% 45% 21% 27% 36% 28% 16% 3% 45% 5% 45% Neutral 13% 3% 13% 20% 13% 1% 9% 20% 9% 27% 8% 11% 10% 10% 10% 12% 8% 11% Unfavorable 11% 1% 19% 13% 6% 6% 13% 13% 6% 16% 10% 10% 8% 14% 14% 5% 16% 4% Extremely Unfavorable 30% 73% 52% 20% 5% 11% 59% 20% 7% 19% 34% 14% 34% 46% 70% 2% 70% 4% No Opinion 3% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 9% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 0% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 11% 23% 35% 17% 8% 34% 35% 24% 16% 74% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% 3 Is your opinion of Joe Biden ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Urban Suburb Region Own Rent Extremely Favorable 16% 1% 37% 22% 13% 15% 20% 19% 9% 17% 14% 26% 16% 10% 21% 12% 5% 10% Favorable 26% 10% 42% 14% 27% 34% 24% 28% 25% 24% 31% 27% 27% 23% 27% 20% 29% 21% Neutral 13% 12% 10% 13% 17% 11% 13% 15% 13% 12% 18% 14% 14% 13% 13% 19% 16% 7% Unfavorable 11% 15% 7% 9% 12% 12% 11% 9% 15% 11% 13% 8% 12% 12% 10% 14% 12% 14% Extremely Unfavorable 30% 60% 3% 38% 28% 26% 27% 27% 37% 34% 19% 22% 28% 40% 26% 33% 31% 47% No Opinion Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 1% 6% 2% 1% 2% 5% 3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 6% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 36% 29% 35% 36% 30% 37% 32% 76% 24% 23% 49% 28% 62% 14% 13% 11% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 5 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 4 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Is your opinion of Jason Lewis ...? 620 Registered Voters All Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points Gender Male Age Female 18-34 35-49 <50 / 50+ 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ Race White Party Affiliation Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen Extremely Favorable 11% 12% 10% 4% 15% 14% 11% 10% 13% 12% ** ** 8% 25% 4% 6% Favorable 11% 12% 10% 10% 8% 13% 15% 9% 14% 12% ** ** 0% 23% 5% 7% Neutral 30% 33% 26% 30% 31% 28% 30% 30% 29% 27% ** ** 52% 30% 29% 32% Unfavorable 7% 7% 6% 7% 3% 5% 14% 5% 9% 7% ** ** 9% 2% 12% 7% Extremely Unfavorable 13% 13% 12% 7% 11% 16% 19% 9% 17% 14% ** ** 1% 2% 23% 15% No Opinion 28% 23% 34% 42% 33% 24% 11% 37% 18% 28% ** ** 31% 18% 28% 33% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 51% 49% 27% 26% 26% 21% 53% 47% 86% 4% 2% 7% 32% 35% 26% 4 Is your opinion of Jason Lewis ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Extremely Favorable 11% 34% 19% 4% Favorable 11% 12% 23% 9% Neutral 30% 30% 30% 36% 5% 10% 24% 8% 0% 19% 23% 21% 30% 4% 7% 14% 12% 6% 12% 18% 24% 9% 6% 13% 36% 22% 39% 3% 31% 11% 9% 11% 14% 29% 29% 34% 31% 2% 22% 3% 27% 4% 31% 31% 25% 29% Unfavorable 7% 1% 5% 10% 10% 2% 4% 10% 7% 7% 7% 7% 4% 8% 3% 11% 3% 12% Extremely Unfavorable 13% 6% 1% 14% 25% 37% 3% 14% 29% 3% 15% 19% 14% 8% 2% 25% 1% 27% No Opinion 28% 17% 22% 29% 29% 30% 20% 29% 29% 25% 26% 31% 24% 21% 19% 26% 14% 27% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 11% 23% 35% 17% 8% 34% 35% 24% 16% 74% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 6 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 4 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Is your opinion of Jason Lewis ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Own Rent Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Extremely Favorable 11% 23% 2% 12% 10% 11% 6% 11% 16% 12% 7% 8% 11% 14% 14% 6% 4% 12% Favorable 11% 20% 3% 13% 14% 8% 12% 10% 12% 13% 7% 13% 12% 9% 12% 6% 10% 15% Neutral 30% 31% 32% 29% 27% 33% 23% 34% 32% 31% 26% 23% 30% 36% 28% 32% 36% 31% Unfavorable 7% 4% 9% 8% 8% 5% 8% 8% 4% 7% 6% 11% 5% 7% 8% 4% 6% 2% Extremely Unfavorable 13% 1% 28% 8% 11% 18% 10% 14% 14% 14% 10% 15% 13% 9% 14% 12% 8% 12% No Opinion 28% 21% 27% 31% 30% 24% 40% 24% 22% 23% 44% 30% 29% 26% 24% 41% 36% 27% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 36% 29% 35% 36% 30% 37% 32% 76% 24% 23% 49% 28% 62% 14% 13% 11% 5 Is your opinion of Tina Smith ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All Gender Male Age Female 18-34 <50 / 50+ Race Party Affiliation 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Extremely Favorable 15% 12% 18% 4% 16% 14% 29% 10% 21% 16% Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen ** ** 4% Favorable 19% 20% 18% 16% 20% 16% 25% 18% 20% 19% ** ** Neutral 19% 20% 18% 25% 19% 20% 10% 22% 16% 18% ** ** Unfavorable 11% 16% 7% 9% 10% 13% 15% 9% 14% 12% ** Extremely Unfavorable 16% 15% 17% 11% 16% 21% 17% 14% 19% 17% ** 3% 33% 9% 15% 7% 32% 21% 32% 22% 15% 20% ** 13% 17% 5% 14% ** 9% 36% 2% 14% No Opinion 19% 18% 21% 35% 19% 16% 3% 27% 10% 18% ** ** 27% 17% 12% 21% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 51% 49% 27% 26% 26% 21% 53% 47% 86% 4% 2% 7% 32% 35% 26% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 7 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 5 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Is your opinion of Tina Smith ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Extremely Favorable 15% 3% 8% 14% 35% 28% 6% 14% 33% 6% 18% 29% 12% 9% 1% 31% 1% 33% Favorable 19% 13% 9% 22% 28% 34% 10% 22% 29% 19% 21% 19% 31% 16% 9% 32% 5% 38% Neutral 19% 12% 21% 24% 16% 6% 18% 24% 13% 27% 17% 20% 9% 22% 19% 19% 16% 15% Unfavorable 11% 4% 21% 14% 4% 5% 15% 14% 5% 19% 10% 8% 10% 15% 17% 7% 19% 4% Extremely Unfavorable 16% 42% 32% 8% 1% 10% 35% 8% 4% 8% 19% 7% 15% 27% 37% 2% 46% 1% No Opinion 19% 25% 10% 18% 16% 17% 15% 18% 16% 21% 14% 17% 23% 12% 16% 10% 13% 9% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 11% 23% 35% 17% 8% 34% 35% 24% 16% 74% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% 5 Is your opinion of Tina Smith ...? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.9 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Own Rent 33% 19% 10% 17% 18% 15% 13% 16% 11% 22% 13% 14% 18% 14% 4% 13% 19% 8% 33% 14% 19% 24% 18% 24% 14% 19% 19% 22% 21% 13% 20% 20% 18% 15% 19% 19% 14% 18% 20% 19% 14% 18% 25% 18% 22% 19% 19% 20% 20% 12% 19% 23% Unfavorable 11% 18% 5% 7% 14% 13% 7% 12% 15% 13% 7% 4% 13% 15% 10% 12% 20% 8% Extremely Unfavorable 16% 34% 1% 19% 15% 15% 13% 15% 21% 18% 9% 13% 16% 19% 17% 13% 8% 26% 15% Favorable Neutral Urban Suburb Region 3% Extremely Favorable Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN No Opinion 19% 18% 14% 23% 23% 13% 31% 16% 13% 16% 31% 20% 19% 20% 16% 29% 32% 14% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 36% 29% 35% 36% 30% 37% 32% 76% 24% 23% 49% 28% 62% 14% 13% 11% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 8 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 6 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Voters in Minnesota will elect a President and United States Senator in November. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.3 pct points All Gender Male Age Female 18-34 35-49 <50 / 50+ 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ Race White Party Affiliation Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen Not Interested 3% 4% 2% 5% 6% 1% 0% 5% 0% 3% ** ** 3% 2% 1% 5% Not Sure If Time 6% 7% 5% 13% 10% 1% 0% 12% 0% 5% ** ** 8% 2% 4% 10% Almost Certain 16% 16% 16% 18% 19% 10% 16% 19% 12% 15% ** ** 22% 15% 12% 15% 100% Certain 74% 71% 76% 60% 64% 88% 84% 62% 86% 76% ** ** 66% 79% 81% 70% Not Sure 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% ** ** 0% 2% 2% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 51% 49% 27% 26% 26% 21% 53% 47% 86% 4% 2% 7% 32% 35% 26% 6 Voters in Minnesota will elect a President and United States Senator in November. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.3 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Not Interested 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 1% 0% 0% - - - - - - - Not Sure If Time 6% 6% 3% 7% 6% 3% 4% 7% 5% 0% 0% - - - - - - - Almost Certain 16% 6% 18% 18% 11% 5% 14% 18% 9% 100% 0% 17% 21% 14% 19% 13% 16% 12% 100% Certain 74% 81% 76% 71% 81% 92% 78% 71% 85% 0% 100% 83% 79% 86% 81% 87% 84% 88% Not Sure 1% 5% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% - - - - - - - Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 11% 23% 35% 17% 8% 34% 35% 24% 16% 74% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 9 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 6 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Voters in Minnesota will elect a President and United States Senator in November. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you? 620 Registered Voters Credibility Interval: +/-4.3 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Own Urbanicity Rent Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Not Interested 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 5% 2% 3% 3% 5% 1% 4% Not Sure If Time 6% 2% 3% 12% 6% 3% 11% 5% 3% 4% 14% 10% 7% 3% 6% 11% 3% 3% Almost Certain 16% 18% 9% 20% 17% 11% 19% 12% 16% 15% 17% 8% 15% 23% 15% 7% 29% 18% 100% Certain 74% 78% 87% 61% 72% 85% 65% 77% 78% 78% 61% 74% 75% 70% 74% 77% 66% 75% Not Sure 1% 0% 0% 2% 2% 0% 2% 2% 0% 1% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Registered Voters 100% 36% 36% 29% 35% 36% 30% 37% 32% 76% 24% 23% 49% 28% 62% 14% 13% 11% Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen 7 How will you cast your ballot this year? By mail? In person before election day? Or in person on election day? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Gender Male Age Female 18-34 <50 / 50+ Race 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Party Affiliation By Mail 34% 27% 40% 37% 26% 36% 35% 32% 36% 32% ** ** 58% 19% 45% 38% In Person Before Election Day 17% 19% 15% 21% 19% 14% 14% 20% 14% 17% ** ** 6% 18% 18% 14% In Person On Election Day 42% 47% 37% 37% 46% 45% 41% 41% 43% 44% ** ** 34% 58% 30% 37% Not Sure 7% 6% 8% 5% 9% 5% 10% 7% 7% 8% ** ** 3% 5% 7% 11% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 50% 50% 23% 24% 28% 24% 48% 52% 88% 3% 1% 7% 34% 36% 25% 7 How will you cast your ballot this year? By mail? In person before election day? Or in person on election day? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( By Mail 34% 11% 22% 36% 48% 61% 18% 36% 52% 32% 34% 100% 0% 0% 14% 49% 17% 49% In Person Before Election Day 17% 31% 17% 16% 11% 15% 22% 16% 12% 20% 16% 0% 100% 0% 16% 18% 17% 16% In Person On Election Day 42% 56% 56% 36% 37% 17% 56% 36% 31% 34% 44% 0% 0% 100% 62% 28% 62% 27% Not Sure 7% 2% 5% 11% 4% 8% 4% 11% 5% 14% 6% 0% 0% 0% 8% 6% 4% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 11% 24% 35% 17% 9% 35% 35% 26% 18% 82% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 10 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 7 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota How will you cast your ballot this year? By mail? In person before election day? Or in person on election day? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Own Rent Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN By Mail 34% 16% 43% 24% 33% 41% 39% 34% 29% 32% 40% 42% 34% 27% 38% 30% 28% 21% In Person Before Election Day 17% 17% 20% 19% 17% 16% 17% 17% 17% 16% 21% 17% 18% 16% 16% 29% 12% 16% In Person On Election Day 42% 59% 31% 47% 42% 39% 39% 39% 48% 45% 34% 36% 42% 47% 41% 38% 47% 51% Not Sure 7% 8% 6% 10% 8% 4% 6% 10% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 10% 6% 3% 13% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 39% 38% 27% 35% 39% 29% 38% 34% 79% 21% 21% 50% 29% 62% 13% 13% 12% 8 If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe Biden? Or some other candidate? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Gender Male Age Female 18-34 <50 / 50+ Race 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Party Affiliation Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen Donald Trump (R) 40% 45% 36% 32% 40% 45% 42% 36% 44% 43% ** ** 24% 90% 2% 30% Joe Biden (D) 49% 44% 54% 55% 49% 39% 54% 52% 46% 48% ** ** 48% 5% 94% 47% Some Other Candidate 4% 6% 3% 9% 4% 2% 2% 6% 2% 4% ** ** 2% 2% 1% 11% Undecided 7% 6% 8% 3% 7% 13% 2% 5% 8% 5% ** ** 26% 3% 3% 12% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 50% 50% 23% 24% 28% 24% 48% 52% 88% 3% 1% 7% 34% 36% 25% 8 If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe Biden? Or some other candidate? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Donald Trump (R) 40% 81% 71% 31% 6% 7% 74% 31% 7% 44% 39% 16% 38% 59% 100% 0% 87% 5% Joe Biden (D) 49% 14% 19% 56% 81% 92% 17% 56% 85% 35% 52% 71% 51% 32% 0% 100% 6% 88% Some Other Candidate 4% 0% 4% 6% 3% 1% 3% 6% 3% 9% 3% 2% 5% 5% 0% 0% 4% 2% Undecided 7% 5% 6% 7% 9% 0% 6% 7% 6% 12% 6% 10% 7% 4% 0% 0% 3% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 11% 24% 35% 17% 9% 35% 35% 26% 18% 82% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 11 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 8 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe Biden? Or some other candidate? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Own Rent Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Donald Trump (R) 40% 86% 2% 48% 40% 35% 32% 37% 50% 45% 23% 31% 35% 55% 34% 44% 48% 61% Joe Biden (D) 49% 5% 91% 42% 47% 56% 51% 55% 41% 47% 56% 60% 52% 35% 55% 48% 29% 37% Some Other Candidate 4% 1% 1% 4% 4% 4% 6% 2% 5% 3% 7% 5% 6% 0% 5% 2% 6% 1% Undecided 7% 8% 5% 5% 10% 5% 11% 6% 4% 5% 14% 4% 6% 10% 6% 6% 16% 1% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 39% 38% 27% 35% 39% 29% 38% 34% 79% 21% 21% 50% 29% 62% 13% 13% 12% 9 If the November election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Gender Male Age Female 18-34 <50 / 50+ Race 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Party Affiliation Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen Jason Lewis (R) 36% 40% 31% 27% 37% 43% 34% 32% 39% 39% ** ** 9% 79% 1% 30% Tina Smith (DFL) 47% 40% 53% 44% 44% 43% 56% 44% 49% 47% ** ** 40% 2% 89% 49% Some Other Candidate 3% 6% 1% 10% 3% 1% 0% 6% 1% 2% ** ** 9% 2% 2% 6% Undecided 14% 14% 15% 20% 15% 13% 10% 17% 12% 12% ** ** 42% 17% 8% 15% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 50% 50% 23% 24% 28% 24% 48% 52% 88% 3% 1% 7% 34% 36% 25% 9 If the November election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Jason Lewis (R) 36% 79% 67% 25% 6% 8% 71% 25% 7% 33% 36% 18% 35% 53% 77% 4% 100% 0% Tina Smith (DFL) 47% 13% 17% 50% 89% 90% 16% 50% 89% 33% 49% 67% 45% 30% 6% 84% 0% 100% Some Other Candidate 3% 6% 1% 4% 3% 0% 2% 4% 2% 6% 3% 3% 5% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% Undecided 14% 1% 16% 20% 2% 2% 11% 20% 2% 28% 11% 12% 16% 14% 15% 10% 0% 0% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 11% 24% 35% 17% 9% 35% 35% 26% 18% 82% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 12 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 9 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota If the November election for United States Senate were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Own Rent Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Jason Lewis (R) 36% 73% 3% 37% 36% 35% 27% 31% 48% 40% 19% 24% 35% 45% 33% 33% 31% 60% Tina Smith (DFL) 47% 9% 82% 41% 46% 51% 52% 50% 38% 44% 55% 55% 49% 37% 50% 49% 39% 35% Some Other Candidate 3% 1% 4% 5% 5% 1% 7% 3% 1% 1% 11% 7% 3% 1% 5% 0% 2% 1% Undecided 14% 17% 11% 17% 13% 13% 14% 16% 13% 14% 14% 14% 13% 18% 13% 17% 28% 4% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 39% 38% 27% 35% 39% 29% 38% 34% 79% 21% 21% 50% 29% 62% 13% 13% 12% 10 Who would be better for the economy? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Gender Female 18-34 <50 / 50+ Race Party Affiliation 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Donald Trump 43% 47% 39% 41% 47% 48% 35% 44% 42% 46% ** ** 24% 90% 5% 36% Joe Biden 45% 39% 51% 48% 43% 39% 50% 46% 44% 43% ** ** 63% 5% 86% 47% Not Sure 12% 15% 10% 11% 10% 13% 15% 10% 14% 11% ** ** 13% 6% 9% 17% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 50% 50% 23% 24% 28% 24% 48% 52% 88% 3% 1% 7% 34% 36% 25% 10 Male Age Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen Who would be better for the economy? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Ideology Ideology Aggregated Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Donald Trump 43% 78% 79% 34% 7% 6% 79% 34% 7% 43% 43% 21% 37% 65% 93% 4% 91% 6% Joe Biden 45% 14% 15% 48% 81% 90% 15% 48% 84% 28% 48% 65% 43% 31% 1% 86% 6% 81% Not Sure 12% 8% 6% 18% 12% 5% 7% 18% 10% 29% 9% 13% 20% 4% 6% 10% 4% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 11% 24% 35% 17% 9% 35% 35% 26% 18% 82% 34% 17% 42% 40% 49% 36% 47% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 13 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 10 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Who would be better for the economy? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Urbanicity Own Rent Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Donald Trump 43% 85% 6% 47% 44% 39% 34% 38% 56% 47% 30% 35% 41% 52% 38% 46% 47% 60% Joe Biden 45% 8% 84% 38% 45% 49% 54% 47% 34% 42% 56% 56% 47% 33% 51% 39% 33% 35% Not Sure 12% 7% 11% 15% 11% 12% 12% 15% 10% 11% 15% 9% 12% 14% 11% 15% 21% 6% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 39% 38% 27% 35% 39% 29% 38% 34% 79% 21% 21% 50% 29% 62% 13% 13% 12% Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 18-49 50+ White Black Hispani Asian / Republi Democr Indepen 11 Who would keep you safer? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Gender Male Age <50 / 50+ Race Party Affiliation Donald Trump 40% 44% 37% 34% 43% 46% 38% 38% 42% 43% ** ** 31% 88% 2% 33% Joe Biden 49% 43% 54% 53% 48% 42% 53% 50% 47% 47% ** ** 64% 5% 89% 54% Not Sure 11% 13% 9% 13% 9% 12% 9% 11% 11% 10% ** ** 4% 7% 9% 13% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 50% 50% 23% 24% 28% 24% 48% 52% 88% 3% 1% 7% 34% 36% 25% 11 Who would keep you safer? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All Ideology Likely Cast Ballot POTUS Vote Senate Vote Very Co Conser Modera Liberal Very Li Conser Modera Liberal Almost 100% C By Mail Early In Election Trump ( Biden ( Lewis ( Smith ( Donald Trump 40% 80% 75% Joe Biden 49% 14% Not Sure 11% 6% Total 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Ideology Aggregated 29% 7% 7% 76% 29% 7% 17% 55% 88% 89% 9% 17% 6% 4% 100% 100% 100% 100% 11% 24% 35% 17% 36% 41% 16% 55% 8% 17% 88% 36% 51% 5% 28% 7% 100% 100% 9% 35% 100% 100% 100% 100% 35% 26% 18% 82% 19% 36% 61% 94% 2% 70% 45% 11% 19% 100% 34% 87% 5% 35% 1% 5% 6% 92% 7% 86% 6% 5% 9% 100% 100% 17% 42% 100% 100% 100% 100% 40% 49% 36% 47% Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 14 Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 Geography: Minnesota Data Collected: 09/04/2020 - 09/07/2020 Release Date: 09/09/2020 Percentages 11 Sponsors: All SurveyUSA clients in Minnesota Who would keep you safer? 553 Likely November Voters Credibility Interval: +/-5.2 pct points All 2016 Vote Education Income Home Trump Clinton High Sc Some C 4-Year < $40K $40K - > $80K Own Rent Urbanicity Urban Suburb Region Rural Twin Cit S MN W MN NE MN Donald Trump 40% 84% 5% 46% 40% 37% 31% 39% 49% 45% 23% 31% 38% 51% 36% 46% 42% 58% Joe Biden 49% 7% 89% 41% 48% 54% 57% 50% 40% 45% 63% 61% 50% 38% 54% 45% 37% 37% Not Sure 11% 9% 6% 13% 12% 9% 12% 10% 11% 10% 14% 8% 12% 11% 10% 9% 21% 5% Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Composition of Likely November Vot 100% 39% 38% 27% 35% 39% 29% 38% 34% 79% 21% 21% 50% 29% 62% 13% 13% 12% ** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful. : KAAL-TV Rochester-Mason City-Austin, KSTP-TV Minneapolis, WDIO-TV Duluth Statement of Methodology: SurveyUSA is an independent, non-partisan, apolitical research company that conducts opinion surveys for media, academic institutions, commercial clients, non-profits, governments, agencies, and elected officials. SurveyUSA opinion research is conducted using a methodology optimized for each particular project. In some cases, this means data is collected 100% by telephone; in some cases, 100% online; and in other cases, a blend of the two. For those projects that are conducted “mixed-mode” (or “multi-mode”): Respondents who have a home (landline) telephone are interviewed by phone, sometimes using live interviewers, other times using the recorded voice of a professional announcer. The youngest male is requested on approximately 30% of calls to home phones, the youngest adult is requested on approximately 70% of calls. This method of intra-household selection reduces the potential for age and gender imbalance in the unweighted sample. Re-attempts are made to busy signals, no-answers, and answering machines. Landline telephone sample is purchased from Aristotle of Washington DC. Respondents who do not use a home telephone are interviewed on an electronic device, which means, for some projects, that call-center employees hand-dial cell phones and interview respondents verbally on the respondent’s cell phone, and means, for other projects, that SurveyUSA displays the questions visually on the respondent’s phone, tablet, or other device. Sample for respondents who do not use a home telephone is purchased from Aristotle or from one of several other research companies that provide access to cell respondents. Where meaningful, SurveyUSA indicates the percentage of respondents who use a home phone and the percentage who do not, and crosstabs by this distinction. Responses are minimally weighted to U.S. Census or voter file targets for gender, age and race. Target (cell) weighting is used. On questionnaires that ask about political party identification, SurveyUSA may or may not weight to Party ID, depending on client preference. Where necessary, questions and answer choices are rotated to prevent order bias, recency, and latency effects. On some studies, certain populations are over-sampled, so that the number of unweighted respondents exceeds the number of weighted respondents. Each individual SurveyUSA release contains the date(s) on which interviews are conducted and a release date. If interviewing for a particular study is conducted in Spanish, or in any other foreign language, it will be noted on the specific release. If no notation appears, interviews are conducted in English. Where respondents are filtered, such as adults, filtered to registered voters, in turn filtered to likely voters, SurveyUSA describes the filtering on the specific release. On pre-election polls in geographies with early voting, SurveyUSA differentiates between respondents who have already voted and those who are likely to vote but have not yet done so. On research completed prior to 12/31/16, SurveyUSA assigned to each question within the instrument a theoretical margin of sampling error. Effective 01/01/17, SurveyUSA assigns to each question within the instrument a credibility interval, which better reflects the sampling uncertainties associated with gathering some percentage of respondent answers using non-probability sample. Though commonly cited in the presentation of research results, “sampling error” is only one of many types of error that may influence the outcome of an opinion research study. More practical concerns include the way in which questions are worded and ordered, the inability to contact some, the refusal of others to be interviewed, and the difficulty of translating each questionnaire into all possible languages and dialects. Non-sampling errors cannot be quantified. This statement conforms to the principles of disclosure as recommended by the National Council on Public Polls (NCPP). Questions about SurveyUSA research can be addressed to editor@surveyusa.com. © 2020 SurveyUSA - www.surveyusa.com Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25509 - Page 15