MICHIGAN STATEWIDE LIKELY GENERAL ELECTION VOTER SURVEY WDIV/DETROIT NEWS 600 SAMPLE SEPTEMBER 4, 2020 Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Topic 2 Methodology 3 Key Findings 15 Aggregate Survey Results 28 Cross-tabulation Report METHODOLOGY The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a Michigan statewide survey of November 2020 likely general election voters. The 600 sample, live operator telephone survey was conducted on September 1-3, 2020 and has a margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence. 50.0% of respondents were contacted via landline telephone. 50.0% of respondents were contacted via cell phone telephone. This survey was commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and the Detroit News. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 2 KEY FINDINGS 9.7 Record Motivation to Vote Continues Unabated: The Flip of the 2016 Election * Voter motivation to vote in the November 2020 election is 9.7 on a 10.0-point scale. This motivation actually represents a minor increase from already historic levels taken from 2018 through early 2020. * The ‘lowest’ motivation comes from voters aged 18-29 who are motivated at 8.9 – an equally historic motivation to vote for young voters. * To understand the drama of this motivation to vote level, the chart below compares motivation dating back to 2012. Motivation to vote in September 2020 is already higher than the motivation in October 2018. Motivation scores are 50% higher than October 2016 Presidential levels. It is important to remember that in 2016, Donald Trump’s victory was not because of an onslaught of Republican voters – turnout was fairly predictable on the GOP side. His victory was due to Independent and Leaning Democratic voters not casting a ballot. Democratic turnout was down significantly in 2016. This key motivational difference is crucial to understanding the unique fundamentals of 2016 and 2020 elections. Party Affiliation Strong Democratic Lean Democratic Independent Lean Republican Strong Republican Oct 12 8.5 7.5 6.6 8.3 8.4 Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. Oct 14 7.0 6.4 5.9 6.2 6.9 Oct 16 6.7 4.7 5.6 6.2 6.5 Oct 18 9.6 9.5 8.9 9.2 9.5 Sept 20 9.7 9.9 9.2 9.8 9.9 3 38% of Voters Plan to Vote by Mail/Absentee * 38.3% of voters plan to vote by absentee ballot. 54.3% of voters plan to vote at the ballot box. 7.3% of voters have not yet made a decision. More than 50% of Democratic voters plan to vote by mail/absentee. But only 25% of Republican voters plan to vote by mail/absentee. 56% of Independent voters plan to vote on election day while 36% plan to vote by mail. What does this difference mean in real terms? Joe Biden is winning absentee/mail voters by a whopping margin of 68%-25%. Donald Trump is winning election day voters by a margin of 55%-31%. * Voters were asked on a one to ten scale, with one being low confidence and ten being high confidence, how confident are you that your vote will be counted? At 8.7 voters have a high confidence that their vote will be counted. This level of confidence that their vote would be counted was across all demographic groups. * Voters were also asked on that same one to ten scale, how confident they were that November’s election would be fair. Voters came in at only a 6.6 believing that November’s election would be fair. And Democrats, Independent and Republicans were equally skeptical that the November election would be fair. 58.0% Say Nation on the Wrong Track * Michigan voters believe the nation is on the wrong track by a margin of 58.0%-31.3%. * 66% of Trump voters believe the nation is on the right track. * 92% of Biden voters believe the nation is on the wrong track. * 65% of undecided voters believe the nation is on the wrong track. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 4 * Michigan voters were asked if they were better or worse off than they were four years ago. * * * 47.8% of Michigan voters say they are better off. 32.3% of Michigan voters say they are worse off. 15.7% of Michigan voters say they are the same as they were four years ago, with only 14% saying the nation is better off. What is notable is that less than 50% of Michigan voters believe they are better off than they were four years ago. 47.8% say they are better off, but 48.0% say they are the same or worse off than four years ago. Republican voters drive the portion of the electorate that says they are better off with 74% of Republican voters saying they are better off than they were four years ago. Only 25% of Democratic voters believe they are better off than four years ago. 52% of Independent voters believe they are better off than they were four years ago. * Michigan voters were then asked if the nation was better or worse off than it was four years ago. * * * Only 34.8% of Michigan voters believe the nation is better off. 57.2% of Michigan voters believe the nation is worse off. 3.3% of voters believe the nation is the same. By a margin of 51%-37%, Independent voters believe the nation is worse off than four years ago. 74% of Trump voters believe the nation is better off than it was four years ago. 91% of Biden voters believe the nation is worse off than it was four years ago. 60% of undecided voters believe the nation is worse off than four years ago. 59% Approve of Whitmer Performance/ 61% Approve of Whitmer Covid Performance * Governor Whitmer continues to have strong approval of Michigan voters two years into her administration. Michigan voters view her favorably by a margin of 51.7% favorable to 40.8% unfavorable. These number represents a marked improvement from her pre-Covid numbers in January 2020 when only 33% of voters had a favorable impression of her compared to 39% with an unfavorable impression. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 5 Independent voters view her favorably by a margin of 47.6%-38.8%, with 12.6% having no opinion of her. * By a margin of 58.7%-38.3%, Michigan voters approve of the job Gretchen Whitmer is doing as Governor of Michigan. 40.7% STRONGLY APPROVE while 30.5% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE. These numbers represent a dramatic turnaround from January 2020 when 43.3% approved of her performance and 35.9% disapproved. Time Period January 2020 September 2020 Approve 43.3% 58.7% Disapprove 35.9% 38.3% Independent voters approve of her job performance by a margin of 62.1%-35.9%. Men approve of her job performance by a margin of 51.9%-44.7%. But women approve of Governor Whitmer’s performance by a margin of 65.0%-32.3%. Black voters approve of Governor Whitmer’s performance by a margin of 96.5%-2.4%. White voters approve by a margin of 52.1%-44.3%. Voters over 65 approve of Whitmer by a margin of 60.7%-36.6%. * Whitmer’s handling of the pandemic is statistically the same as her job approval with 61.0% approving of her performance and 36.1% disapproving. Trump Job Approval: 43.7% -- Right Back Where We Started * By a margin of 51.0%-41.3%, Michigan voters continue to have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump. These numbers are statistically identical to January 2020 when 51% had unfavorable impression to 40% unfavorable. Independent voters view Donald Trump unfavorably by a margin of 45% unfavorable to 39% favorable. Voters undecided in the Presidential race view him sharply unfavorably to Donald Trump at 14% favorable to 48% unfavorable. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 6 * Voters disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance by a margin of 52.5%-43.7%. performance while 47.2% strong disapprove of his performance. 34.5% strongly approve of his These numbers represent a slight decrease of approval from January 2020 when 47.4% approved of his performance and 49.0% disapproved of his performance. The chart below compares Trump job approval since January 2018 highlighting the lack of movement among Michigan voters for the past three years. Survey Period January 2018 September 2018 Early Oct 2018 Late Oct 2018 January 2019 June 2019 January 2020 September 2020 Trump Approve 39.5% 44.3% 43.6% 44.0% 43.5% 44.3% 47.4% 43.7% Trump Disapprove 54.3% 51.8% 52.2% 51.3% 52.3% 52.0% 49.0% 52.5% Strong Disapproval of Trump 47.3% 44.2% 44.2% 45.0% 44.0% 42.7% 44.0% 47.2% Donald Trump’s job performance numbers have essentially remained the same for the past three years. Independent voters disapprove of Donald Trump’s job performance by a margin of 39.8% approve to 49.5% disapprove. * Men approve of Donald Trump’s performance by the narrow margin of 49.4% approve to 45.7% disapprove. But women disapprove of his performance by a margin of 38.2% approve to 56.9% disapprove. * Only 4.6% of black voters approve of the President’s performance while 90.7% disapprove. * Voters over 65 disapprove of his performance by a margin of 42.7% approve to 55.1% disapprove. * Voters disapprove of Donald Trump’s performance on Covid by a margin of 42.2% approve to 53.7% disapprove. His job approval and his covid approval are tied together. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 7 Joe Biden: Slightly Underwater * 43.2% of voters have a favorable impression of Joe Biden compared to 46.3% that have an unfavorable impression. Independent voters have an unfavorable impression by 36% favorable to 50% unfavorable. * Mike Pence is viewed unfavorably by Michigan voters by a margin of 39.2% favorable to 46.2% unfavorable. * Kamala Harris is viewed favorably by Michigan voters by a narrow margin of 40.5% favorable to 38.8% unfavorable. Trump’s 42% Ceiling/ Biden Up 47%-42%, Statistically Unchanged from January 42% is the number to watch. * In a head to head matchup of likely November 2020 Michigan general election voters, Joe Biden continues to lead Donald Trump by a margin of 47.0%-42.3%. 1.0% choose a third-party candidate. 7.0% of voters are undecided. These numbers remain statistically unchanged from January 2020 which had Biden at 50% and Trump at 43% -- a 7 point lead. What remains consistent is that Donald Trump’s support level does not move from the 42% level of his name identification, his job approval, and his total vote percentage. Donald Trump has largely been stuck in cement at 42% in Michigan for the past four years. There are virtually NO DEFECTIONS on either side of the aisle for the opposing candidate at this stage with Biden getting no Republican votes and Trump getting only 1.8% of Democratic votes. Vote Strength Definitely Probably Leaning * Trump 38.3% 3.3% 0.7% Biden 38.3% 7.5% 1.2% Among independent voters the race is statistically even with Trump at 38.8% to Biden at 35.0%. 14.6% of Independent voters are undecided. The closeness of the independent vote indicates a very competitive race in Michigan if Democratic motivation begins to weaken. That motivation shows no signs of weakening at this point. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 8 * Women support Joe Biden by a margin of 54.1%-35.8% -- an 18.3% lead. Men support Donald Trump by a margin of 49.1% - 39.5% -- a 9.6% lead. * Black voters support Biden by a margin of 94.3%-1.2%. * The largest demographic difference beyond party affiliation continues to be by gender and education levels with female college graduates powering Biden’s lead in Michigan. But Biden leads among all women regardless of education. Men By Education High School Some Post College Grad Trump 47.5% 56.2% 45.0% Biden 41.5% 33.6% 41.5% Women By Education High School Some Post College Grad Trump 38.9% 44.7% 25.0% Biden 44.5% 48.3% 64.7% White voters support Trump by a margin of 51.0%-38.7%. The chart below looks specifically at white voters by education level and gender. Donald Trump is being driven by white voters without a college education. Biden has nearly pulled even with white men with a college degree and he holds a 30 point lead among white women with a college degree. White Men by Education High School Some Post College Grad Trump 63.3% 63.8% 48.0% Biden 25.0% 27.4% 42.0% White Women by Education High School Some Post College Grad Trump 51.0% 54.1% 32.2% Biden 26.0% 36.5% 62.1% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 9 * Joe Biden leads among voters over the age of 65 by a margin of 48.9%-41.4%. * Among Metro Detroit voters, Joe Biden holds a commanding 54.1%-35.8% lead of 18.3%. holds a commanding 51.5%-38.3% lead of 13.2%. * The largest remaining undecided votes come primarily from voters under the age of 40 years old. Among out-state voters, Trump Trump Voters Voting FOR Trump/ Biden Voters Split on Motivation * 81.9% of Trump voters said they are voting FOR Donald Trump while only 16.5% said they were voting against Joe Biden. * But only 46.8% of Biden voters said they were voting FOR Joe Biden while 44.0% said they were voting against Donald Trump. But while Biden voters are split on their vote motivation, anti-Trump voters and pro-Biden voters are EQUALLY MOTIVATED to vote in November. Biden Leads Trump In All Areas, Except Economy * Voters were read five different issue areas and asked which candidate would do a better job handling that issue. Joe Biden holds leads on four of the five issues including a 7.7% lead on handling the pandemic and 21.5% lead on improving race relations. Donald Trump’s only advantage, by a narrow four-point margin is on the economy. Issue Understanding your family’s every day issues Better plan for America’s economy Handling America’s foreign policy Improving Race Relations Dealing with the pandemic Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. Trump 40.3% 46.0% 41.3% 33.7% 38.5% Biden 45.0% 42.0% 50.7% 55.2% 46.2% Difference +4.7% Biden +4.0% Trump +9.4% Biden +21.5% Biden +7.7% Biden 10 * Joe Biden leads on all five issues with the remaining undecided voters. Issue Understanding your family’s every day issues Better plan for America’s economy Handling America’s foreign policy Improving Race Relations Dealing with the pandemic Trump 21.4% 23.8% 16.7% 4.8% 7.1% Biden 26.2% 28.6% 42.9% 52.4% 26.2% Difference +4.8% Biden +4.8% Biden +26.2% Biden +47.6% Biden +14.3% Biden Peters Leads By 3.1% But Race Within Margin of Error * Gary Peters has 85.4% name identification breaking 30.8% favorable to 31.5% unfavorable. 23.0% of voters have no opinion of him and 13.8% of voters have not heard of him. * John James has 81.0% name identification breaking 31.3% favorable to 33.7% unfavorable. 16.0% of voters have no opinion of him and 17.8% of voters have not heard of him. * Independent voters view Gary Peters unfavorably by a margin of 19.4% favorable to 34.0% unfavorable. view John James, however, favorably by a margin of 33.0% favorable to 27.2% unfavorable. * Gary Peters leads John James by a narrow margin of 43.7% Peters to 40.6% James. 14.2% of voters are undecided. Less than 1% of voters choose a third-party candidate. * When you look at the undecided voters in the US Senate race: * * * * Independent voters 40% are Biden voters 30% are Trump voters 4% are Third Party voters 26% are also undecided in the Presidential Race Gary Peters holds a slight advantage among undecided voters as they break towards Joe Biden. The US Senate race will look very similar to Michigan’s Presidential race. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 11 Michigan Voters Support Online Schools, For Now * Voters were asked, knowing what you know today would you say it is safe to send children to school or should school, for now, be online. * * * * 49.5% said school should be online for now 37.8% said school should be in person 6.7% said school should be a combination of both. There are sharp differences between Metro Detroit voters and out-state voters: * * 46.4% of out-state voters said school should be in person with 41.4% online. But in Metro Detroit, 57.4% said school should be online while 29.2% said in person. * Men were split with 44.3% saying in school and 45.0% online. But 53.7% of women said online versus 31.7% in person. * But there were major differences among voters by party affiliations with 75.4% of Republican voters believing school should be in person. The chart below compares voter attitudes on schools based on party affiliation Party Affiliation Strong Democratic Lean Democratic Independent Lean Republican Strong Republican At School 8.2% 23.8% 35.0% 56.6% 75.4% Online 77.6% 59.5% 45.6% 30.2% 19.3% Combination 6.4% 11.9% 12.6% 7.5% 1.8% Majority of Michigan Voters Oppose Repeal of ‘Emergency Law’ * By a margin of 51.8%-41.8%, Michigan voters oppose the repeal of a 1945 law that Governor Whitmer is currently using as the basis for declaring a pandemic emergency. 18.9% of Leaning GOP voters and 13.5% of Strong GOP voters support leaving the law intact. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 12 Independent voters support leaving the law intact by a margin of 47.6%-43.7%. * There are significant differences between Metro Detroit and Out-State Michigan. Out-State voters support repeal of the law by a margin of 51.9%-41.7%. But Metro Detroit voters strongly support leaving the law intact by a margin of 61.6%-32.1%. 58% Support Black Lives Matter Movement * By a margin of 57.8%-33.4%, Michigan voters support the Black Lives Matter movement. the movement while 26.2% STRONGLY OPPOSE the movement. 42.3% STRONGLY SUPPORT There are sharp differences in support levels by party affiliation: Party Affiliation Strong Democratic Lean Democratic Independent Lean Republican Strong Republican Support 92.7% 83.4% 49.5% 30.2% 19.3% Oppose 5.0% 7.1% 32.1% 58.5% 70.2% * 94.1% of Black voters support the Black Lives Matter movement. White voters support the movement by a margin of 50.6%-39.4% * But Michigan voters SHARPLY OPPOSE a move to defund the police. Only 17.9% of voters support efforts to defund the police while 75.3% oppose the efforts. There is NO demographic group that supports the ‘defund the police’ effort. Strong Democratic voters oppose the effort by a margin of 52.5%-33.6%. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 13 Black voters oppose the effort by a margin of 51.2%-30.2%. White voters oppose the effort by a margin of 81.2%-14.3%. * By a margin of 56.8%-37.0% Michigan voters support efforts to shift some funding currently used for the police to other areas that might fight crime Black voters support the shifting of funds by a margin of 86.0%-8.1%. White voters are supportive by a far narrower margin of 50.6%-43.4%. Independent voters support shifting money by a margin of 56.3%-34.0%. But while 24.3% strongly support the idea, 32.0% somewhat support the idea. 30.1% of independent voters strongly oppose the idea. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 14 MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY POST CONVENTION 2020 Hello, my name is _________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a quick survey of voters’ attitudes in Michigan. It should take approximately six minutes. A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling? 1. 2. B. 100% In November, Michigan voters will go to the polls to vote in the Presidential election. Would you say are definitely going to vote, probably going to vote, probably not going to vote, or definitely not going to vote? 1. 2. 3. 4. 1. Yes…..CONTINUE No….TERMINATE Definitely going to vote….CONTINUE Probably going to vote….CONTINUE Probably not going to vote….TERMINATE Definitely not going to vote….TERMINATE 94.2% 5.8% And do you plan to vote by absentee mail ballot or do you plan to vote in person on Election Day? 1. 2. 3. Absentee, mail ballot In person Depends/ Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 38.3% 54.3% 7.3% 15 2. And could you tell me in what county you vote in? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 3. UP/North West Southwest Mid Michigan East Central Oakland Macomb Wayne City of Detroit Remainder of Detroit MSA CODE: 1. Outstate (UP/North, West, Southwest, Mid, East Central) 2. Metro Detroit (Oakland, Macomb, Wayne, Detroit, Detroit MSA) 13.3% 11.0% 8.3% 9.0% 7.5% 12.7% 8.7% 11.7% 6.7% 11.2% 49.2% 50.8% On a scale of one to ten, with one being not confident at all and ten being very confident – how confident are you that your vote will be counted on election day? You can choose any number between one and ten. SCORE: 8.7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 1.3% 5.3% 2.8% 6.0% 7.8% 7.3% 62.2% 2.0% 4. 5. And using that same one to ten scale with one being not confident at all and ten being very confident -- how confident are you that this November’s election will be fair? SCORE: 6.6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref 9.0% 4.3% 3.2% 4.0% 17.7% 7.0% 8.0% 10.8% 4.5% 28.8% 2.7% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 16 6. Would you say the nation is on the right track or would you say the nation is on the wrong track? 1. 2. 3. 7. Right Track Wrong Track Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 48.7% 38.7% 12.7% Would you say you are, or are not, better off today than you were four years ago? 1. 2. 3. 4. 9. 31.3% 58.0% 10.7% And what about Michigan. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say the state is on the wrong track? 1. 2. 3. 8. Right Track Wrong Track Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Better off Not better off The same…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 47.8% 32.3% 15.7% 4.2% Would you say the nation is, or is not, better off today than it was four years ago? 1. 2. 3. 3. Better off Not better off The same…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 34.8% 57.2% 3.3% 4.7% I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 17 10. 11. 12. 13. Donald Trump NAME ID: 98.0% 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 41.3% 51.0% 5.7% 0.0% 2.0% Heard, favorable Heard, unfavorable Heard, no opinion Never heard of Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Joe Biden NAME ID: 98.0% 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 43.2% 46.3% 8.5% 0.0% 2.0% Heard, favorable Heard, unfavorable Heard, no opinion Never heard of Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Mike Pence NAME ID: 96.3% 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 39.2% 46.2% 11.0% 2.0% 1.7% Heard, favorable Heard, unfavorable Heard, no opinion Never heard of Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Kamala Harris. [COMMA-LA] NAME ID: 92.3% 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 40.5% 38.8% 13.0% 6.5% 1.2% Heard, favorable Heard, unfavorable Heard, no opinion Never heard of Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 18 14. 15. 16. 17. Gretchen Whitmer NAME ID: 98.8% 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 51.7% 40.8% 6.3% 0.7% 0.5% Heard, favorable Heard, unfavorable Heard, no opinion Never heard of Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Gary Peters NAME ID: 85.4% 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 30.8% 31.5% 23.0% 13.8% 0.8% Heard, favorable Heard, unfavorable Heard, no opinion Never heard of Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER John James NAME ID: 81.0% 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 31.3% 33.7% 16.0% 17.8% 1.2% Heard, favorable Heard, unfavorable Heard, no opinion Never heard of Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 40.7% APPROVE 18.0% 7.8% 30.5% DISAPPROVE 2.2% 0.8% 58.7% 38.3% 19 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Governor Whitmer has done in handling the COVID-19 pandemic? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 19. 45.5% APPROVE 15.5% 6.3% 29.8% DISAPPROVE 2.2% 0.7% 61.0% 36.1% Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 20. Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion….DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 34.5% APPROVE 9.2% 5.3% 47.2% DISAPPROVE 0.8% 43.7% 52.5% Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Trump has done in handling the COVID-19 pandemic? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Strongly approve Somewhat approve Somewhat disapprove Strongly disapprove Neither approve, nor disapprove/ No Opinion…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 29.2% APPROVE 13.0% 3.5% 50.2% DISAPPROVE 2.8% 1.3% 42.2% 53.7% Now I want you to think about the Presidential election. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 20 21. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate, would you vote for Donald Trump, Joe Biden, or is there another third -party candidate you plan to vote for? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN? ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE FOR TRUMP/BIDEN OR PROBABLY VOTE FOR TRUMP/BIDEN? IF THIRD PARTY CANDIDATE, ASK: AND WHICH CANDIDATE WOULD THAT BE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 22. TRUMP 42.3% BIDEN 47.0% THIRD UNDECIDED 1.0% 7.0% For Trump…MOVE TO Q24 81.9% Against Biden…MOVE TO Q24 16.5% Don’t Know/ Refused/ Other…DO NOT OFFER/MOVE TO Q24 1.6% And would you say your choice is more a vote FOR Joe Biden or is it a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? 1. 2. 3. 24. 38.3% 3.3% 0.7% 38.3% 7.5% 1.2% 1.0% 7.0% 2.7% And would you say your choice is more a vote FOR Donald Trump or it is a vote AGAINST Joe Biden? 1. 2. 3. 23. Definitely Trump…MOVE TO Q22 Probably Trump…MOVE TO Q22 Lean Trump…MOVE TO Q22 Definitely Biden…MOVE TO Q23 Probably Biden….MOVE TO Q 23 Lean Biden…MOVE TO Q23 Third Party _____________________________.....MOVE/ Q 24 Undecided Refused…DO NOT OFFER…MOVE TO Q 24 For Biden Against Trump Don’t Know/ Refused/ Other 46.8% 44.0% 9.2% Which candidate better understands your family’s every day issues [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? 1. Trump 40.3% 2. Biden 45.0% 3. Neither…DO NOT OFFER 10.8% 4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 3.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 21 25. Which candidate has a better plan for America’s economy [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? 1. 2. 3. 4. 26. Trump Biden Neither…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 41.3% 50.7% 2.5% 5.5% Which candidate will do a better job improving race relations [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? 1. 2. 3. 4. 28. 46.0% 42.0% 5.8% 6.0% Which candidate will better handle America’s foreign policy challenges [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? 1. 2. 3. 4. 27. Trump Biden Neither…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Trump Biden Neither…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 33.7% 55.2% 6.7% 4.5% Which candidate has a better plan to deal with the coronavirus pandemic [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? 1. 2. 3. 4. Trump Biden Neither…DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 38.5% 46.2% 7.7% 7.7% 22 29. If the election for the United State Senate were held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] Gary Peters the Democratic nominee, John James the Republican nominee or is there a third-party candidate you would vote for to be Michigan’s United States Senator? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN? IF THIRD PARTY, ASK: AND WHO WOULD THAT BE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 30. 39.5% 4.2% 37.8% 2.8% 0.7% 14.2% 0.8% PETERS 43.7% JAMES 40.6% THIRD UNDECIDED 0.7% 14.2% Thinking about the COVID pandemic, knowing what you know today would you say it is safe to send children to school or do you think school, for now, should be held online? 1. 2. 3. 4. 31. Peters Lean Peters James Lean James Third Party _________________________________________ Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER Refused…DO NOT OFFER Send children to school School, for now, online Combination….DO NOT OFFER Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 37.8% 49.5% 6.7% 6.0% Knowing what you know today, do you think 180,000 deaths nationally from COVID is an acceptable number of deaths or would you say it is an unacceptable number of deaths? 1. 2. 3. Acceptable Unacceptable Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 13.5% 71.0% 15.5% \ Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 23 32. Governor Whitmer is using a law passed in 1945 that gives every Michigan Governor the power to declare a health care emergency for as long as is needed to control the emergency. A ballot proposal, supported by Republicans, would repeal the 1945 law and strip Michigan’s Governor of this power and instead force the Governor to use a 1976 law that limits the Governor’s emergency power to no more than 28 days without the approval of the Legislature. Do you support the 1945 law that gives the Governor the power to declare a health care emergency for an extended period of time or do you support the repeal of the 1945 law which would limit the Governor’s emergency power to no more than 28 days? 1. 2. 3. 4. 33. 51.8% 41.8% 6.0% 0.3% Do you support or oppose the efforts the Black Lives Matter movement? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 34. Support the 1945 law Repeal the 1945 law Don’t Know/ Depends…DO NOT OFFER Refused….DO NOT OFFER Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 42.3% SUPPORT 15.5% 7.2% 26.2% OPPOSE 8.8% 57.8% 33.4% Do you support or oppose efforts to ‘defund the police’? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 10.2% SUPPORT 7.7% 14.8% 60.5% OPPOSE 6.8% 17.9% 75.3% 24 35. Do you support or oppose efforts to shift some funding that currently goes to the police and invest that money in other areas that might help fight crime like mental health assistance, job assistance, education, homelessness and drug abuse prevention? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Strongly support Somewhat support Somewhat oppose Strongly oppose Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 35.8% 21.0% 5.2% 31.8% 6.2% Now just a few questions for statistical purposes. 36. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic candidates, or would you say you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY ASK: WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY ORMORE TO THE REPUBLICAN PARTY, OR WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Strongly Democratic Lean Democratic Independent Lean Republican Strong Republican Other/ Refused/ Don’t Know….DO NOT OFFER 36.5% 7.0% 17.2% 8.8% 28.5% 2.0% 37. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this November’s Presidential election? You can choose any number from one to ten. SCORE: 9.7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.2% 3.0% 88.3% 0.3% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 25 38. What would be the last year of schooling you completed? 1. 2. 3. 4. 39. Yes No Don’t Know/Refused…DO NOT OFFER 26.5% 72.3% 1.2% Could you please tell me in what year you were born? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 41. 25.7% 34.2% 40.0% 0.2% And would you say you or any member of your household is a member of a union or a teachers’ association? 1. 2. 3. 40. High school graduate or less Vocational Training/ Some Community College/ Some College College Graduate Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 18-29 (1991-2002) 30-39 (1981-1990) 40-49 (1971-1980) 50-64 (1956-1970) 65+ (1955 and before) Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 12.7% 17.5% 16.5% 28.0% 24.2% 1.2% And what is your race or ethnic background? 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. Caucasian African American Hispanic/ Puerto Rican/ Mexican American Asian Mixed Race….DO NOT OFFER Native American Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 74.5% 14.3% 2.5% 0.8% 2.5% 1.2% 4.2% 26 42. Gender: BY OBSERVATION 1. 2. 43. 48.5% 51.5% Telephone 1. 2. 43. Male Female Cell Landline 50.0% 50.0% This survey was commissioned by the news media. Occasionally, they choose to talk to several participants of the survey. Can we release your name and telephone number to them if they want to talk to you? Or would you prefer that your opinions remain confidential? IF YES, ASK: AND CAN YOU CONFIRM YOUR NAME? _______________________________ WRITE IN TELEPHONE NUMBER ______________________________________ THANK YOU. THAT COMPLETES OUR SURVEY. Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 27 1. And do you plan to vote by absentee mail ballot or do you plan to vote in person on Election Day? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Absentee/Mail 53.4% 50.0% 35.9% 30.2% 21.1% In Person 37.9% 42.9% 56.3% 67.9% 71.9% Depends 8.7% 7.1% 7.8% 1.9% 7.0% Out Metro 31.5% 44.9% 59.0% 49.8% 9.5% 5.2% Male Female 34.7% 41.7% 56.7% 52.1% 8.6% 6.1% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 25.0% 30.5% 33.3% 32.1% 62.1% 64.5% 64.8% 63.6% 58.9% 30.3% 10.5% 4.8% 3.0% 8.9% 7.6% White Black 39.8% 38.4% 53.0% 55.8% 7.2% 5.8% High Some College 36.4% 33.2% 44.2% 57.8% 60.5% 46.7% 5.8% 6.3% 9.2% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 28 4. On a scale of one to ten, with one being not confident at all and ten being very confident – how confident are you that your vote will be counted on election day? You can choose any number between one and ten. Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP SCORE 8.6 8.0 8.5 8.7 9.0 Out Metro 8.8 8.5 Male Female 8.8 8.5 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 8.6 8.4 7.9 8.9 9.2 White Black 8.8 8.2 High Some College 8.3 8.5 9.0 Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 29 5. And using that same one to ten scale with one being not confident at all and ten being very confident -- how confident are you that this November’s election will be fair? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP SCORE 6.6 6.4 6.9 6.0 6.8 Out Metro 6.6 6.6 Male Female 7.0 6.3 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 5.7 6.5 5.9 7.1 7.1 White Black 6.8 6.1 High Some College 6.3 6.6 6.9 Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 30 6. Would you say the nation is on the right track or would you say the nation is on the wrong track? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Right 6.4% 4.8% 31.1% 56.6% 63.7% Wrong 90.9% 83.3% 51.5% 30.2% 21.6% Out Metro 35.9% 52.9% 26.9% 63.0% Male Female 37.5% 52.6% 25.6% 63.1% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 26.3% 20.0% 31.3% 36.9% 34.5% White Black 37.1% 50.8% 9.3% 88.4% High Some College 31.8% 57.8% 33.7% 52.7% 29.2% 62.5% 59.2% 71.4% 62.6% 50.0% 54.5% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 31 7. And what about Michigan. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say the state is on the wrong track? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Right 75.8% 78.6% 43.7% 26.4% 18.1% Wrong 14.6% 11.9% 38.8% 62.3% 68.4% Out Metro 40.3% 47.5% 56.7% 30.2% Male Female 45.4% 43.6% 51.8% 34.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 42.1% 56.2% 39.4% 48.8% 54.5% White Black 45.4% 42.7% 66.3% 19.8% High Some College 46.8% 41.6% 39.5% 45.4% 57.5% 31.3% 39.5% 31.4% 47.5% 41.1% 33.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 32 8. Would you say you are, or are not, better off today than you were four years ago? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Better 25.1% 26.2% 51.5% 79.2% 71.9% Not Better 49.3% 50.0% 31.1% 9.4% 13.5% Same 20.5% 21.4% 11.7% 7.5% 12.3% Out Metro 53.9% 42.0% 30.5% 34.1% 12.2% 19.0% Male Female 49.8% 46.0% 30.6% 34.0% 16.8% 14.6% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 55.3% 50.5% 46.5% 48.8% 40.7% 25.0% 32.4% 39.4% 31.5% 32.4% 13.2% 11.4% 11.1% 17.3% 22.1% White Black 51.2% 30.2% 29.5% 43.0% 14.5% 25.6% High Some College 53.2% 47.8% 44.6% 27.3% 30.7% 36.7% 18.2% 16.1% 13.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 33 9. Would you say the nation is, or is not, better off today than it was four years ago? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Better 1.8% 7.1% 36.9% 79.2% 71.3% Not Better 93.6% 83.3% 50.5% 18.9% 19.3% Same 1.8% 4.8% 3.9% 0.0% 5.3% Out Metro 38.6% 31.1% 52.5% 61.6% 4.4% 2.3% Male Female 43.3% 26.9% 50.2% 63.8% 3.4% 3.2% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 31.6% 29.5% 32.3% 40.5% 33.8% 60.5% 63.8% 56.6% 49.4% 61.4% 2.6% 1.9% 4.0% 4.8% 2.8% White Black 40.7% 3.5% 50.8% 89.5% 3.6% 3.5% High Some College 34.4% 41.0% 30.0% 57.8% 48.8% 63.8% 3.2% 5.9% 1.3% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 34 10. Donald Trump Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Favorable 1.4% 4.8% 38.8% 84.9% 91.2% Unfavorable 94.1% 81.0% 44.7% 7.5% 5.3% No Opinion 4.1% 9.5% 11.7% 7.5% 1.8% Never 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Out Metro 50.8% 32.1% 42.7% 59.0% 5.1% 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% Male Female 47.1% 35.9% 46.4% 55.3% 4.1% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 38.2% 30.5% 37.4% 50.0% 42.1% 53.9% 59.0% 54.5% 44.0% 50.3% 5.3% 8.6%f 6.1% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% White Black 49.7% 1.2% 43.2% 89.5% 5.4% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% High Some College 44.2% 48.3% 33.8% 47.4% 45.4% 57.9% 5.8% 6.3% 5.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 35 11. Joe Biden Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Favorable 81.3% 64.3% 35.9% 7.5% 6.4% Unfavorable 10.0% 9.5% 50.5% 79.2% 88.9% No Opinion 7.8% 21.4% 8.7% 11.3% 4.1% Never 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Out Metro 35.3% 50.8% 53.9% 39.0% 9.2% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% Male Female 37.5% 48.5% 51.5% 41.4% 8.9% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 34.2% 44.8% 43.4% 41.7% 49.0% 48.7% 42.9% 45.5% 51.2% 41.4% 14.5% 11.4% 9.1% 4.8% 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% White Black 36.7% 86.0% 53.7% 4.7% 7.8% 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% High Some College 40.3% 36.6% 50.8% 49.4% 52.7% 38.8% 7.1% 10.2% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 36 12. Mike Pence Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Favorable 3.2% 7.1% 38.8% 81.1% 82.5% Unfavorable 84.9% 73.8% 36.9% 7.5% 6.4% No Opinion 10.0% 11.9% 19.4% 5.7% 7.0% Never 1.4% 7.1% 1.0% 0.0% 2.9% Out Metro 47.1% 31.5% 38.0% 54.1% 11.5% 10.5% 1.4% 2.6% Male Female 43.0% 35.6% 44.3% 47.9% 9.3% 12.6% 1.7% 2.3% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 28.9% 31.4% 33.3% 45.8% 44.8% 43.4% 55.2% 50.5% 41.7% 44.1% 21.1% 10.5% 9.1% 11.3% 7.6% 5.3% 1.9% 4.0% 0.0% 1.4% White Black 47.0% 3.5% 40.3% 72.1% 10.1% 18.6% 1.6% 5.8% High Some College 39.6% 44.9% 34.2% 39.0% 41.0% 55.0% 17.5% 9.8% 7.9% 2.6% 2.4% 1.3% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 37 13. Kamala Harris. Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Favorable 76.3% 66.7% 29.1% 5.7% 6.4% Unfavorable 8.7% 7.1% 41.7% 67.9% 75.4% No Opinion 11.0% 21.4% 16.5% 18.9% 8.8% Never 3.7% 4.8% 10.7% 3.8% 8.8% Out Metro 33.2% 47.5% 45.4% 32.5% 12.9% 13.1% 7.1% 5.9% Male Female 34.8% 46.0% 46.4% 31.7% 11.7% 14.2% 6.5% 6.5% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 26.3% 46.7% 40.4% 40.5% 44.1% 35.5% 29.5% 39.4% 43.5% 40.0% 21.1% 16.2% 14.1% 10.1% 9.7% 15.8% 7.6% 4.0% 4.2% 5.5% White Black 36.0% 73.3% 44.3% 7.0% 11.9% 16.3% 7.2% 3.5% High Some College 32.5% 33.2% 51.7% 39.6% 46.3% 32.1% 14.9% 13.7% 11.3% 11.0% 6.3% 3.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 38 14. Gretchen Whitmer Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Favorable 90.9% 76.2% 47.6% 22.6% 7.6% Unfavorable 5.5% 7.1% 38.8% 69.8% 87.1% No Opinion 2.7% 16.7% 12.6% 5.7% 3.5% Never 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 1.2% Out Metro 40.7% 62.3% 51.5% 30.5% 7.1% 5.6% 0.3% 1.0% Male Female 42.6% 60.2% 48.8% 33.3% 7.2% 5.5% 1.0% 0.3% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 43.4% 60.0% 52.5% 48.2% 54.5% 44.7% 33.3% 42.4% 46.4% 35.2% 7.9% 6.7% 5.1% 4.8% 8.3% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.4% White Black 45.0% 91.9% 47.4% 1.2% 6.9% 4.78% 0.4% 2.3% High Some College 49.4% 42.0% 61.3% 43.4% 50.7% 30.8% 4.5% 6.8% 7.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 39 15. Gary Peters Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Favorable 53.9% 40.5% 19.4% 9.4% 12.9% Unfavorable 11.9% 14.3% 34.0% 49.1% 54.4% No Opinion 18.7% 40.5% 29.1% 26.4% 19.9% Never 15.1% 4.8% 16.5% 13.2% 12.3% Out Metro 26.8% 34.8% 33.6% 29.5% 23.4% 22.6% 15.3% 12.5% Male Female 29.9% 31.7% 37.1% 26.2% 21.6% 24.3% 10.7% 16.8% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 23.7% 21.9% 25.3% 33.3% 42.8% 11.8% 24.8% 31.3% 40.5% 34.5% 21.1% 31.4% 28.3% 20.2% 18.6% 42.1% 21.9% 14.1% 4.8% 3.4% White Black 28.9% 46.5% 34.7% 15.1% 23.7% 19.8% 12.3% 18.6% High Some College 29.9% 27.8% 34.2% 29.2% 33.7% 31.3% 23.4% 22.0% 23.3% 15.6% 16.1% 10.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 40 16. John James Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Favorable 6.4% 9.5% 33.0% 52.8% 62.0% Unfavorable 55.7% 52.4% 27.2% 11.3% 11.1% No Opinion 15.1% 23.8% 20.4% 18.9% 12.3% Never 21.9% 14.3% 18.4% 15.1% 13.5% Out Metro 32.2% 30.5% 27.8% 39.3% 19.3% 12.8% 19.0% 16.7% Male Female 36.1% 26.9% 33.3% 34.0% 16.8% 15.2% 12.4% 23.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 18.4% 19.0% 29.3% 40.5% 36.6% 18.4% 26.7% 30.3% 38.1% 44.8% 15.8% 17.1% 27.3% 13.7% 10.3% 46.1% 37.1% 13.1% 6.0% 6.2% White Black 36.0% 10.5% 32.4% 46.5% 15.0% 18.5% 15.7% 24.4% High Some College 22.7% 36.1% 32.9% 36.4% 27.8% 37.1% 18.8% 15.6% 14.2% 19.5% 20.5% 14.6% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 41 17. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Gretchen Whitmer as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Strongly Approve 77.2% 66.7% 32.0% 7.5% 4.7% Somewhat Approve 18.3% 21.4% 30.1% 18.9% 8.8% Somewhat Disapprove 2.3% 7.1% 12.6% 9.4% 10.5% Strongly Disapprove 1.8% 2.4% 23.3% 56.6% 71.3% Out Metro 31.2% 49.8% 17.6% 18.4% 8.1% 7.5% 39.7% 21.6% Male Female 32.3% 48.5% 19.6% 16.5% 8.6% 7.1% 36.1% 25.2% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 35.5% 42.9% 44.4% 35.7% 45.5% 18.4% 26.7% 15.2% 17.3% 15.2% 15.8% 6.7% 6.1% 6.0% 8.3% 26.3% 21.0% 33.3% 36.9% 28.3% White Black 33.8% 81.4% 18.3% 15.1% 8.5% 1.2% 35.8% 1.2% High Some College 37.7% 34.6% 47.5% 16.9% 16.6% 20.0% 12.3% 9.8% 3.3% 29.2% 35.6% 27.1% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 42 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Governor Whitmer has done in handling the COVID-19 pandemic? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Strongly Approve 84.5% 73.8% 38.8% 9.4% 5.3% Somewhat Approve 13.2% 14.3% 26.2% 18.9% 10.5% Somewhat Disapprove 0.5% 2.4% 6.8% 11.3% 12.3% Strongly Disapprove 1.4% 7.1% 24.3% 54.7% 67.8% Out Metro 35.3% 55.4% 15.9% 15.1% 7.1% 5.6% 39.0% 21.0% Male Female 37.8% 52.8% 15.8% 15.2% 6.5% 6.1% 37.1% 23.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 38.2% 50.5% 52.5% 40.5% 47.6% 21.1% 18.1% 10.1% 16.1% 14.5% 5.3% 6.7% 7.1% 6.5% 6.2% 27.6% 23.8% 30.3% 33.9% 28.3% White Black 38.5% 80.2% 15.2% 19.8% 8.3% 0.0% 34.9% 0.0% High Some College 41.6% 39.5% 52.9% 19.5% 14.1% 14.2% 4.5% 9.3% 5.0% 30.5% 35.1% 25.0% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 43 19. Do you approve or disapprove of the job being done by Donald Trump as President of the United States? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Strongly Approve 1.8% 4.8% 27.2% 69.8% 78.4% Somewhat Approve 1.4% 0.0% 12.6% 20.8% 16.4% Somewhat Disapprove 3.7% 11.9% 12.6% 3.8% 2.3% Strongly Disapprove 90.4% 81.0% 36.9% 3.8% 2.3% Out Metro 40.3% 28.9% 12.9% 5.6% 4.4% 6.2% 39.3% 54.8% Male Female 40.5% 28.8% 8.9% 9.4% 4.8% 5.8% 41.9% 52.1% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 30.3% 24.8% 30.3% 41.7% 37.2% 6.6% 13.3% 7.1% 11.9% 5.5% 9.2% 7.6% 4.0% 3.6% 4.85 46.1% 48.6% 54.5% 40.5% 50.3% White Black 41.2% 2.3% 10.7% 2.3% 5.6% 2.3% 39.4% 88.4% High Some College 39.0% 38.0% 28.8% 10.4% 10.2% 7.5% 2.6% 7.8% 5.0% 45.5% 39.5% 54.6% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 44 20. Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Trump has done in handling the COVID-19 pandemic? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE DISAPPROVE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Strongly Approve 0.9% 4.8% 22.3% 62.3% 67.3% Somewhat Approve 1.8% 2.4% 17.5% 30.2% 22.2% Somewhat Disapprove 2.7% 0.0% 7.8% 3.8% 2.9% Strongly Disapprove 92.7% 90.5% 43.7% 1.9% 4.1% Out Metro 34.6% 23.9% 16.9% 9.2% 3.4% 3.6% 40.3% 59.7% Male Female 34.7% 23.9% 13.7% 12.3% 3.1% 3.9% 44.0% 56.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 21.1% 19.0% 25.3% 38.7% 30.3% 14.5% 18.1% 12.1% 11.9% 11.0% 6.6% 4.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.1% 50.0% 53.3% 56.6% 43.5% 52.4% White Black 34.5% 1.2% 15.7% 2.3% 3.8% 2.3% 42.1% 90.7% High Some College 29.2% 33.7% 25.4% 18.2% 13.7% 9.2% 1.9% 3.9% 4.2% 48.1% 43.4% 57.1% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 45 21. If the election for President were held today and [ROTATE] Donald Trump was the Republican candidate and Joe Biden was the Democratic candidate, would you vote for Donald Trump, Joe Biden, or is there another third -party candidate you plan to vote for? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN? ASK: WILL YOU DEFINITELY VOTE FOR TRUMP/BIDEN OR PROBABLY VOTE FOR TRUMP/BIDEN? IF THIRD PARTY CANDIDATE, ASK: AND WHICH CANDIDATE WOULD THAT BE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Trump Def Prob 1.4% 0.0% 4.8% 0.0% 29.1% 6.8% 79.2% 9.4% 88.3% 4.7% Out Metro 44.7% 6.1% 0.7% 32.1% 0.7% 0.7% 29.8% 7.1% 1.4% 46.6% 7.9% 1.0% 1.4% 0.7% 7.5% 6.6% Male Female 45.0% 3.4% 0.7% 32.0% 3.2% 0.6% 32.3% 5.8% 1.4% 44.0% 9.1% 1.0% 1.7% 0.3% 7.2% 6.8% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 31.6% 30.5% 33.3% 45.8% 40.7% 28.9% 39.0% 44.4% 34.5% 43.4% 1.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0% 1.4% 3.9% 1.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5% 11.4% 9.1% 3.6% 4.8% White Black 46.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0% 1.2% 0.0% 30.9% 6.7% 1.1% 82.6% 10.5% 1.2% 1.1% 0.0% 6.5% 3.5% High Some College 39.6% 3.2% 0.6% 45.4% 4.4% 0.5% 31.7% 2.5% 0.8% 37.7% 3.9% 1.3% 31.7% 9.8% 0.5% 44.2% 7.9% 1.7% 1.3% 0.0% 1.7% 9.1% 7.3% 5.4% 6.6% 1.9% 2.0% 6.0% 0.7% Lean 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% 0.0% 0.6% 1.3% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. Biden Def 81.7% 54.8% 21.4% 0.0% 1.2% Prob 9.6% 26.2% 9.7% 0.0% 1.8% 14.5% 8.6% 6.1% 7.7% 4.1% Lean 0.9% 0.0% 3.9% 0,.0% 0.6% Third Party 0.9% 0.0% 2.9% 0.0% 0.6% Undecided 5.5% 9.5% 14.6% 7.5% 1.2% 46 22. And would you say your choice is more a vote FOR Donald Trump or it is a vote AGAINST Joe Biden? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP For Trump 66.7% 100.0% 70.0% 80.9% 85.6% Against Biden 33.3% 0.0% 27.5% 19.1% 12.5% Out Metro 82.2% 81.4% 17.1% 15.7% Male Female 83.9% 79.3% 15.4% 18.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 76.7% 62.2% 88.6% 82.8% 91.7% 16.7% 35.1% 11.4% 16.1% 8.3% White Black 82.0% 0.0% 16.2% 100.0% High Some College 82.1% 81.6% 82.1% 17.9% 15.5% 16.7% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 47 23. And would you say your choice is more a vote FOR Joe Biden or is it a vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP For Biden 52.5% 41.2% 30.6% 0.0% 0.0% Against Trump 39.6% 44.1% 55.6% 0.0% 100.0% Out Metro 40.7% 50.9% 46.9% 42.0% Male Female 47.8% 46.1% 47.0% 41.9% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 26.5% 39.6% 45.1% 47.9% 62.0% 64.7% 47.2% 51.0% 45.1% 25.4% White Black 39.9% 58.0% 49.1% 34.6% High Some College 53.0% 48.8% 42.6% 39.4% 39.5% 48.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 48 24. Which candidate better understands your family’s every day issues [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Trump 1.4% 7.1% 39.8% 84.9% 87.1% Biden 87.7% 76.2% 35.0% 1.9% 4.1% Out Metro 49.2% 31.8% 37.3% 52.5% Male Female 46.7% 34.3% 37.8% 51.8% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 36.8% 28.6% 36.4% 49.4% 42.1% 44.7% 49.5% 44.4% 40.5% 48.3% White Black 49.0% 1.2% 38.3% 82.6% High Some College 42.2% 46.3% 34.2% 40.9% 40.0% 51.7% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 49 25. Which candidate has a better plan for America’s economy [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Trump 2.7% 7.1% 49.5% 90.6% 96.5% Biden 86.3% 73.8% 29.1% 0.0% 0.6% Out Metro 54.6% 37.7% 35.9% 48.2% Male Female 52.6% 39.8% 34.4% 49.5% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 44.7% 37.1% 41.4% 53.6% 46.2% 38.2% 47.6% 46.5% 35.1% 46.2% White Black 54.8% 0.0% 33.8% 89.5% High Some College 46.1% 53.7% 39.6% 40.3% 38.5% 46.3% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 50 26. Which candidate will better handle America’s foreign policy challenges [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Trump 1.8% 4.8% 37.9% 86.8% 90.1% Biden 93.6% 83.3% 49.5% 3.8% 4.1% Out Metro 49.2% 33.8% 42.7% 58.4% Male Female 47.8% 35.3% 43.3% 57.6% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 35.5% 32.4% 36.4% 50.0% 42.8% 53.9% 58.1% 53.5% 45.2% 49.0% White Black 49.0% 3.5% 43.0% 94.2% High Some College 44.2% 46.8% 35.0% 46.1% 45.9% 57.5% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 51 27. Which candidate will do a better job improving race relations [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Trump 0.9% 4.8% 27.2% 73.6% 76.6% Biden 93.6% 88.1% 51.5% 18.9% 11.7% Out Metro 41.7% 25.9% 49.5% 60.7% Male Female 37.8% 29.8% 51.5% 58.6% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 27.6% 21.9% 31.3% 41.1% 37.2% 59.2% 66.7% 54.5% 49.4% 53.1% White Black 40.9% 0.0% 49.0% 89.5% High Some College 35.7% 41.0% 26.3% 48.7% 51.7% 62.1% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 52 28. Which candidate has a better plan to deal with the coronavirus pandemic [ROTATE] Donald Trump or Joe Biden? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Trump 1.4% 4.8% 33.0% 84.9% 85.4% Biden 87.7% 81.0% 37.9% 3.8% 4.1% Out Metro 48.5% 28.9% 37.3% 54.8% Male Female 44.0% 33.3% 40.5% 51.5% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 35.5% 26.7% 35.4% 50.0% 35.9% 40.8% 51.4% 49.5% 39.9% 51.0% White Black 46.5% 0.0% 39.1% 83.7% High Some College 39.0% 45.4% 32.5% 42.9% 42.0% 51.7% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 53 29. If the election for the United State Senate were held today, would you vote for [ROTATE] Gary Peters the Democratic nominee, John James the Republican nominee or is there a third-party candidate you would vote for to be Michigan’s United States Senator? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN? IF THIRD PARTY, ASK: AND WHO WOULD THAT BE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Peters 81.3% 54.8% 23.3% 5.7% 3.5% Lean 3.2% 14.3% 9.7% 1.9% 0.6% James 4.6% 7.1% 36.9% 62.3% 82.5% Lean 0.0% 0.0% 1.9% 13.2% 4.7% Third Party 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% 1.9% 0.0% Undecided 10.5% 21.4% 25.2% 15.1% 8.2% Out Metro 29.2% 49.5% 4.4% 3.9% 44.4% 31.5% 4.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.3% 12.1% Male Female 35.7% 43.0% 4.8% 3.6% 43.0% 33.0% 2.1% 3.6% 1.05 0.3% 12.7% 15.5% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 30.3% 44.8% 39.4% 33.9% 48.3% 6.6% 5.7% 4.0% 3.6% 2.8% 34.2% 27.6% 35.4% 44.6% 39.3% 5.3% 2.9% 1.0% 4.2% 1.4% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 0.0% 19.7% 19.0% 20.2% 10.7% 7.6% White Black 32.4% 77.9% 4.5% 1.2% 45.4% 2.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 1.2% 13.2% 16.3% High Some College 40.3% 30.7% 46.3% 3.2% 4.9% 4.2% 33.1% 44.9% 35.0% 4.5% 2.9% 1.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 16.9% 16.1% 10.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 54 30. Thinking about the COVID pandemic, knowing what you know today would you say it is safe to send children to school or do you think school, for now, should be held online? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP In School 8.2% 23.8% 35.0% 56.6% 75.4% Online 77.6% 59.5% 45.6% 30.2% 19.3% Combination 6.4% 11.9% 12.6% 7.5% 1.8% Out Metro 46.8% 29.2% 41.4% 57.4% 6.1% 7.2% Male Female 44.3% 31.7% 45.0% 53.7% 6.2% 7.1% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 28.9% 35.2% 40.4% 44.6% 33.1% 52.6% 55.2% 46.5% 47.0% 50.3% 14.5% 9.5% 8.1% 1.2% 6.2% White Black 44.1% 7.0% 43.6% 76.7% 5.8% 10.5% High Some College 35.7% 41.5% 36.3% 53.9% 46.8% 48.8% 4.5% 3.9% 10.4% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 55 31. Knowing what you know today, do you think 180,000 deaths nationally from COVID is an acceptable number of deaths or would you say it is an unacceptable number of deaths? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Acceptable 1.4% 2.4% 16.5% 18.9% 28.7% Unacceptable 93.6% 92.9% 70.9% 52.8% 41.5% Out Metro 16.3% 10.8% 66.4% 75.4% Male Female 15.5% 11.7% 69.4% 72.5% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 14.5% 8.6% 17.2% 15.5% 11.7% 68.4% 77.1% 68.7% 69.6% 72.4% White Black 16.6% 0.0% 67.3% 91.9% High Some College 11.7% 14.1% 14.2% 73.4% 65.9% 73.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 56 32. Governor Whitmer is using a law passed in 1945 that gives every Michigan Governor the power to declare a health care emergency for as long as is needed to control the emergency. A ballot proposal, supported by Republicans, would repeal the 1945 law and strip Michigan’s Governor of this power and instead force the Governor to use a 1976 law that limits the Governor’s emergency power to no more than 28 days without the approval of the Legislature. Do you support the 1945 law that gives the Governor the power to declare a health care emergency for an extended period of time or do you support the repeal of the 1945 law which would limit the Governor’s emergency power to no more than 28 days? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Support Law 86.3% 78.6% 47.6% 18.9% 13.5% Repeal Law 6.4% 11.9% 43.7% 77.4% 83.0% Out Metro 41.7% 61.6% 51.9% 32.1% Male Female 44.7% 58.6% 49.1% 35.0% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 55.3% 57.1% 51.5% 45.8% 54.5% 38.2% 35.2% 40.4% 50.0% 38.6% White Black 45.2% 89.5% 49.2% 1.2% High Some College 54.5% 43.4% 57.1% 40.9% 50.2% 35.4% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 57 33. Do you support or oppose the efforts the Black Lives Matter movement? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Strongly Support 80.8% 66.7% 23.3% 9.4% 8.2% Somewhat Support 11.9% 16.7% 26.2% 20.8% 11.1% Somewhat Oppose 3.2% 0.0% 7.8% 15.1% 11.1% Strongly Oppose 1.8% 7.1% 24.3% 43.4% 59.1% Out Metro 33.6% 50.8% 16.3% 14.8% 8.1% 6.2% 32.2% 20.3% Male Female 35.7% 48.5% 14.8% 16.2% 6.5% 7.8% 33.0% 19.7% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 51.3% 54.3% 42.4% 29.8% 44.8% 13.2% 18.1% 16.2% 17.9% 11.7% 7.9% 4.8% 5.1% 8.3% 9.0% 18.4% 19.0% 28.3% 31.0% 27.6% White Black 33.8% 86.0% 16.8% 8.1% 8.1% 3.5% 31.3% 1.2% High Some College 43.5% 31.7% 50.4% 14.9% 17.6% 14.2% 8.4% 8.8% 5.0% 26.0% 32.7% 20.8% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 58 34. Do you support or oppose efforts to ‘defund the police’? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Strongly Support 19.6% 14.3% 6.8% 0.0% 1.2% Somewhat Support 14.2% 14.3% 7.8% 0.0% 0.6% Somewhat Oppose 26.0% 16.7% 10.7% 5.7% 4.1% Strongly Oppose 26.5% 45.2% 69.9% 92.5% 93.6% Out Metro 8.1% 12.1% 5.8% 9.5% 11.9% 17.7% 70.2% 51.1% Male Female 11.3% 9.1% 6.9% 8.4% 11.7% 17.8% 65.6% 55.7% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 18.4% 14.3% 16.2% 3.0% 7.6% 10.5% 12.4% 7.1% 7.1% 4.1% 23.7% 18.1% 19.2% 8.3% 11.7% 38.2% 48.6% 52.5% 76.8% 66.9% White Black 7.4% 20.9% 6.9% 9.3% 11.4% 31.4% 69.8% 19.8% High Some College 11.0% 7.8% 11.7% 3.9% 7.3% 10.4% 18.2% 11.2% 15.4% 61.0% 67.3% 54.6% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 59 35. Do you support or oppose efforts to shift some funding that currently goes to the police and invest that money in other areas that might help fight crime like mental health assistance, job assistance, education, homelessness and drug abuse prevention? ASK: WOULD THAT BE STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE? Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP Strongly Support 65.8% 45.2% 24.3% 11.3% 10.5% Somewhat Support 19.2% 23.8% 32.0% 20.8% 14.6% Somewhat Oppose 2.7% 7.1% 3.9% 5.7% 7.6% Strongly Oppose 6.8% 21.4% 30.1% 54.7% 61.4% Out Metro 29.2% 42.3% 23.4% 18.7% 5.4% 4.9% 36.6% 27.2% Male Female 33.7% 37.9% 19.6% 22.3% 5.2% 5.2% 37.8% 26.2% 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 47.4% 50.5% 45.5% 25.6% 26.2% 31.6% 24.8% 23.2% 16.7% 16.6% 5.3% 5.7% 3.0% 7.1% 3.4% 15.8% 14.3% 25.3% 45.2% 40.7% White Black 29.3% 61.6% 21.3% 24.4% 5.6% 2.3% 37.8% 5.8% High Some College 28.6% 35.1% 41.3% 22.7% 22.4% 18.3% 5.2% 5.9% 4.6% 36.4% 31.2% 29.6% Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 60 37. And on a scale of one to ten, with one being very low and ten being very high, how motivated are you to vote in this November’s Presidential election? You can choose any number from one to ten. Strong Dem Lean Dem Independent Lean GOP Strong GOP SCORE 9.7 9.9 9.2 9.8 9.9 Out Metro 9.6 9.7 Male Female 9.6 9.7 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+ 8.9 9.6 9.6 9.8 9.9 White Black 9.7 9.7 High Some College 9.6 9.6 9.8 Michigan Post Convention General Election Survey September 2020 Glengariff Group, Inc. 61