Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE Interviews: 300 Registered Latino Voters, including 186 respondents with a cell phone only Study #200625 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey/Telemundo Date: September 13-16, 2020 45 Male 55 Female Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 300 interviews among Hispanic/Latino Registered Voters is ±5.66% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q1 We have the ability to complete this interview in English or Spanish. Would you rather complete the survey in English or Spanish? + English .............................................. 70 Spanish ............................................. 30 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) + 18-24 .................................................................... 18 25-29 .................................................................... 10 30-34 .................................................................... 13 35-39 .................................................................... 6 40-44 .................................................................... 11 45-49 .................................................................... 7 50-54 .................................................................... 8 55-59 .................................................................... 9 60-64 .................................................................... 6 65-69 .................................................................... 2 70-74 .................................................................... 3 75 and over ........................................................... 7 Not sure/refused ................................................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 100 No, not Hispanic............................................... Not sure/refused ............................................ + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q3 Registered Voter. + Yes ................................................... 100 No ..................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE Q4 In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Total Approve Strongly approve.......................... Somewhat approve ..................... Total Disapprove Somewhat disapprove ............... Strongly disapprove ..................... Not sure ..................................... 9/20+ 30 19 11 59 12 47 11 11/18+ 32 21 11 65 14 51 3 9/18+ 26 15 11 65 15 50 9 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q5 I'm going to read you the names of some public figures and groups and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE CANDIDATE NAMES NEXT, ROTATE LAST TWO) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 8 6 8 7 7 6 8 8 6 17 9 15 6 6 7 9 15 8 12 14 12 14 10 12 10 5 14 44 49 50 66 68 70 65 67 61 1 2 3 1 1 2 4 22 30 16 19 13 24 20 21 24 21 20 19 22 21 23 12 10 11 10 9 17 12 15 13 14 5 9 15 13 20 Mike Pence September 2020+.................................... September 2016+ .................................... 15 10 11 3 17 19 14 4 27 16 16 48 Kamala Harris September 2020+.................................... 20 18 15 9 15 23 The Black Lives Matter Movement September 2020+ .................................... 36 16 19 7 16 6 ICE, that is Immigration and Customs Enforcement September 2020+.................................... 16 11 19 14 30 10 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Donald Trump September 2020+.................................. November 2018+ ................................... September 2018+ .................................. October 10-13, 2016+ ........................... September 2016+ .................................. July 2016+ ............................................. February 2016+ ..................................... September 2015 .................................... July 2015 ............................................... 18 20 12 6 8 5 7 3 7 Joe Biden September 2020+.................................. October 2012+ ...................................... September 26-30, 2012+....................... August 2012+ ........................................ July 2012+ ............................................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE The Black Lives Matter Movement ............................... 52 23 Joe Biden ..................................................................... 46 29 Kamala Harris .............................................................. 38 24 Mike Pence .................................................................. 26 41 ICE, that is Immigration and Customs Enforcement .... 27 44 Donald Trump .............................................................. 26 56 D/S 29 17 14 -15 -17 -30 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE Thinking now about the November elections… Q6 Please tell me how interested you are in the election this November, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in the elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") 10, very interested ........ 9 ................................... 8 ................................... 7 ................................... 6 ................................... 5 ................................... 4 ................................... 3 ................................... 2 ................................... 1, not interested at all ... Cannot rate................. 9/20+ 58 9 11 4 4 6 2 2 3 1 11/18+ 52 11 12 8 5 5 2 2 1 1 1 9/18+ 41 8 13 12 4 9 2 1 1 7 2 9/14+ 34 6 13 12 10 9 3 3 2 8 - 10/12+ 58 10 15 4 5 4 1 1 2 - 9/2630/12+ 53 6 18 8 4 6 1 4 - 8/12+ 42 7 13 8 3 6 3 4 4 10 - 7/12+ 49 6 13 10 5 8 2 1 1 4 1 6/12+ 43 9 14 9 2 8 2 2 1 8 2 5/12+ 44 12 12 9 6 7 1 2 1 4 2 9/08+ 67 9 12 4 2 2 1 1 2 - 7/08+ 59 5 16 3 5 5 1 1 1 4 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q7 If the election for president were held today, with ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican candidates and Joe Biden and Kamala (“COMMA-la”) Harris as the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote? + Donald Trump and Mike Pence ................. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris .................... Depends (VOL) ...................................... Neither/other (VOL) ................................ Not sure .................................................. 26 62 3 9 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ROTATE Q8A-B) (ASKED IF NOT SUPPORTING DONALD TRUMP) Q8A Even though you are not supporting Donald Trump now, what are the chances that you might support Trump in this year's presidential election--is there a fair chance that you might support him, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all you might support him? + Fair chance you might support .................. Small chance ............................................. Very slight chance ................................... No chance at all you might support ........... Not sure ................................................... Currently supporting Trump ....................... 2 8 11 50 3 26 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED IF NOT SUPPORTING JOE BIDEN) Q8B Even though you are not supporting Joe Biden now, what are the chances that you might support Biden in this year's presidential election--is there a fair chance that you might support him, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all you might support him? + Fair chance you might support .................. Small chance ............................................. Very slight chance ................................... No chance at all you might support ........... Not sure ................................................... Currently supporting Biden ........................ 3 7 6 19 3 62 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q9 Not asked of Hispanic/Latino oversample. 4/06+ 36 10 15 12 6 11 2 1 1 5 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE Q10 If the choice in your district had the following, would you be more likely to vote for a -- (ROTATE:) Republican candidate for Congress, a Democratic candidate for Congress -- or an independent or third-party candidate for Congress? 9/20+ 20 51 20 9 Republican candidate ................................................... Democratic candidate.................................................... Independent/third-party candidate ................................. Not sure....................................................................... 9/18+ 17 55 19 9 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED IF VOTING FOR INDEPENDENT/THIRD PARTY CANDIDATE) Q10a And, if there was not a choice for an independent or third-party candidate, would you be more likely to vote for a -- (ROTATE:) Republican candidate for Congress or a Democratic candidate for Congress? Republican candidate .................................................. Democratic candidate................................................... Not sure ...................................................................... Among Those Voting IND/3rd Party 9/20+ 9/18+ 31 19 49 56 20 25 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Reallocated Two-Way Generic Ballot + Republican candidate .................................................. Democratic candidate ................................................... Not sure ...................................................................... 9/20+ 26 61 13 9/18+ 20 66 14 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q11 Some people we have spoken with have already filled out their ballot for the Federal election for President, Senate, Congress and statewide offices being held in November – Have you already cast your ballot in the election by voting by mail or in person at an early polling location? (DO NOT READ CHOICES:) (IF NOT YET VOTED, THEN ASK:) And do you plan to vote early - either by mail or in person - or will you vote at the polls on Election Day? + Total Vote Early ............................................. Yes, voted/plan to vote early by mail ............. Yes, voted/plan to vote early in person .......... No, will vote at the polls on Election Day ......... Don’t plan on voting (VOL) ........................... Not sure ......................................................... 54 31 23 40 1 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q12-14 Not asked of Hispanic/Latino oversample. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE And thinking again about the candidates running for president… Q15 I would like you to compare Donald Trump and Joe Biden on a few issues. For each one, please tell me whether you think that Joe Biden or Donald Trump would be better on that issue. If you think that both would be equally good or that neither would be good on a particular item, just say so. Who do you think would be better when it comes to (READ ITEM. RANDOMIZE) -- Donald Trump or Joe Biden, or do you think that both would be equally good or neither would be good? THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO SAY DONALD TRUMP BETTER Donald Joe Both Would Neither Trump Biden Be Equally Would Be Depends Better Better Good Good (VOL) Dealing with the economy September 2020+ ............................................... 39 41 8 6 Dealing with the coronavirus 17 53 6 17 September 2020+ ............................................... Securing the border and controlling immigration September 2020+ ............................................... 39 36 6 12 1 Treating immigrants humanely and protecting immigrant rights September 2020+ ............................................... 16 62 4 12 Addressing the concerns of the Hispanic and Latino community September 2020+ ............................................... 18 59 3 13 - Not Sure 6 7 6 6 7 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q15a And, thinking about these and some additional issues, which one or two, are the MOST important to you in deciding how to vote for president? (READ, RANDOMIZE) (RECORD FIRST, SECOND CHOICE FOR HISPANICS ONLY) + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY 1st CHOICE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE 1st Choice The economy………………….….............. 26 Health care…………………………………. 15 The coronavirus........................................ 13 Protecting immigrant rights..……………… 11 Crime and violence………........................ 6 Race relations........................................... 6 China………………................................... 2 Securing the border………....…………….. Or is there some other issue more important to you? (Specify: ___)................ 9 All equal (VOL)........................................ 7 None are important (VOL)....................... 1 Not sure................................................... 4 Combined 41 29 23 23 16 12 5 4 8 8 1 2 (ASKED ONLY OF HISPANICS IF FIRST CHOICE IN Q15a:1-8) Q15b And in deciding your vote for president is addressing the concerns of the Hispanic and Latino community more important to you than (READ FIRST CHOICE RESPONSE IN Q15a.) or not? + Yes, more important ................................................ No, not more important ............................................. Just as important (VOL) ............................................ Not sure .................................................................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 23 53 19 5 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE Q16-18 Not asked of Hispanic/Latino oversample. Q19 Generally speaking, how much do you feel that you and your family have in common with recent immigrants who have come to the United States in the past few years? + A lot in common ........................................................................................... 34 Some in common ......................................................................................... 18 Just a little in common ................................................................................. 13 Not much in common at all .......................................................................... 28 Not sure ................................................................................................... 7 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q20-22 Not asked of Hispanic/Latino oversample Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure...................................................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF3 What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) + Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 8 6 24 25 2 10 17 1 5 1 1 14 5 19 29 2 1 3 2 21 4 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") + Strong Democrat............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... 25 18 10 13 5 3 13 8 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? + Very liberal .........................................................10 Somewhat liberal ................................................20 Moderate ............................................................35 Somewhat conservative .....................................17 Very conservative ...............................................13 Not sure............................................................5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF7a What is your religion? + Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal, Presbyterian, and other Christians) .......................................... Catholic...................................................................................... Jewish........................................................................................ Muslim ....................................................................................... Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........ Other ......................................................................................... None .......................................................................................... Not sure/refused ...................................................................... 14 56 1 2 11 14 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? + Poor ................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class .................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... 9 42 39 7 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies September 2020 Study #200625 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Telemundo Survey HISPANIC/LATINO OVERSAMPLE (ASKED IF RESPONDENT LIVES IN SUBURBAN GEOGRAPHY) QF9 Do you live in a suburban area that is closer to a large city or in a suburban area that is farther away from a large city? + Closer to a large city...................................... Farther away from a large city ....................... Not sure....................................................... 64 31 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF10a What language do you mainly speak at home--English or Spanish? + Mainly speak English ........................ Mainly speak Spanish ....................... Speak both equally (VOL) ............... Not sure........................................... 50 31 19 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF10b Were you born in the United States, the island of Puerto Rico, or somewhere else? + United States ........................................................................................ Puerto Rico .......................................................................................... Another country .................................................................................... Not sure .............................................................................................. 63 4 33 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF10c Where were your parents born? + Both parents born in mainland U.S. ..................................................... Both parents born in Puerto Rico ........................................................ Both parents born in another country ................................................... One parent born in U.S. and one born outside U.S. ............................. Not sure.............................................................................................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 26 4 54 14 2