Suffolk University/Boston Globe Maine Results Region: (N=500) n North Regions ----------------------------------------------- 79 South Coast ------------------------------------------------- 232 Mid Coast ---------------------------------------------------- 101 East ------------------------------------------------------------ 88 September 17-20, 2020 % 15.80 46.40 20.20 17.60 Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University and the Boston Globe. I would like to get your opinions on some issues of the day. Would you like to spend seven minutes to help us out? A. Are you registered to vote in Maine? (N=500) n Yes ------------------------------------------------------------ 500 % 100.00 1. Which do you most closely identify – male, female, or non-binary (transgender, gender variant, non-conforming)? (N=500) n % Male ----------------------------------------------------------- 241 48.20 Female ------------------------------------------------------- 257 51.40 Non-Binary (transgender, gender variant, non-conforming) -------------------------------- 2 0.40 2. How likely are you to vote in the general election for president this November – very likely, somewhat likely, 50-50 or not likely? (N=500) n % Very likely---------------------------------------------------- 492 98.40 Somewhat likely ---------------------------------------------- 8 1.60 3. Are you currently registered as {RANDOMIZE} (N=500) n Democrat ---------------------------------------------------- 189 Republican -------------------------------------------------- 151 Green Independent ---------------------------------------- 14 Unenrolled --------------------------------------------------- 145 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 1 % 37.80 30.20 2.80 29.00 0.20 What is your age category? (N=500) n 18-24 Years -------------------------------------------------- 41 25-34 Years -------------------------------------------------- 81 35-49 Years ------------------------------------------------- 125 50-64 Years ------------------------------------------------- 136 65-74 Years -------------------------------------------------- 71 75+ ------------------------------------------------------------- 42 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 4 % 8.20 16.20 25.00 27.20 14.20 8.40 0.80 4. Fielded 9/17 – 9/20 Page 1 of 7 Likely Voter Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe 5. September 17-20, 2020 For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic background / ancestry is? (N=500) n % White / Caucasian ----------------------------------------- 461 92.20 Black / African American ----------------------------------- 8 1.60 American Indian / Alaska Native ------------------------- 1 0.20 Asian ------------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60 Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander --------------- 1 0.20 Hispanic / Latino -------------------------------------------- 11 2.20 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 7 1.40 Don’t know ----------------------------------------------------- 8 1.60 This November, the General Election in Maine will use ranked-choice voting for federal offices of President and United States Senate. Voters will rank their first choice, second choice, etc. as opposed to voting for just one candidate. 6. For the presidential election this November there will be five choices for President of the United States on your ballot listed in the following order… At this point which candidate will you rank first on your ballot? (N=500) n % Joe Biden – Democrat ----------------------------------- 254 50.80 Roque “Rocky” De La Fuente – Alliance --------------- 1 0.20 Howie Hawkins – Green ------------------------------------ 1 0.20 Jo Jorgensen – Libertarian -------------------------------- 5 1.00 Donald Trump – Republican --------------------------- 193 38.60 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 2 0.40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 37 7.40 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 7 1.40 7. {FOR 6.2, 6.3, 6.4, 6.6} Who will you rank as your second choice for president…? (N=9) n Joe Biden – Democrat -------------------------------------- 2 Roque “Rocky” De La Fuente – Alliance --------------- 1 Howie Hawkins – Green ------------------------------------ 1 Jo Jorgensen – Libertarian -------------------------------- 1 Donald Trump – Republican ------------------------------ 2 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 1 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 0 % 22.22 11.11 11.11 11.11 22.22 11.11 11.11 0.00 {FOR 7.2, 7.3, 7.4, 7.6} Who will you rank as your third choice for president…? (N=4) n Joe Biden – Democrat -------------------------------------- 1 Roque “Rocky” De La Fuente – Alliance --------------- 1 Howie Hawkins – Green ------------------------------------ 1 Jo Jorgensen – Libertarian -------------------------------- 0 Donald Trump – Republican ------------------------------ 1 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 0 % 25.00 25.00 25.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 8. 9. In the November election there will be four choices for U.S. Senate on your ballot listed in the following order… At this point which candidate will you rank first on your ballot? Fielded 9/17 – 9/20 Page 2 of 7 Likely Voter Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe Maine Results September 17-20, 2020 (N=500) n Susan Collins – Republican ---------------------------- 205 Sara Gideon – Democrat -------------------------------- 231 Max Patrick Linn – Independent-------------------------- 8 Lisa Savage – Independent ----------------------------- 19 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 4 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 27 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 6 % 41.00 46.20 1.60 3.80 0.80 5.40 1.20 {FOR 9.3 – 9.5} 10. Who will you rank as your second choice for U.S. Senate…? (N=31) n Susan Collins – Republican ------------------------------- 6 Sara Gideon – Democrat --------------------------------- 15 Max Patrick Linn – Independent-------------------------- 3 Lisa Savage – Independent ------------------------------- 2 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 2 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 1 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 2 % 19.35 48.39 9.68 6.45 6.45 3.23 6.45 I am going to read you a short list of people and organizations. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Donald Trump. Is your opinion of Donald Trump generally favorable or generally unfavorable? (RANDOMIZE 12-19) (N=500) Never Heard Favorable Unfavorable HOF/Undecided 11. Donald Trump 0 0.00 198 39.60 285 57.00 17 3.40 12. Democratic Party 0 0.00 228 45.60 215 43.00 57 11.40 13. Republican Party 0 0.00 188 37.60 245 49.00 67 13.40 14. Janet Mills 6 1.20 259 51.80 189 37.80 46 9.20 15. Paul LePage 13 2.60 198 39.60 251 50.20 38 7.60 16. Joe Biden 0 0.00 259 51.80 217 43.40 24 4.80 17. Angus King 11 2.20 295 59.00 140 28.00 54 10.80 18. Susan Collins 2 0.40 224 44.80 226 45.20 48 9.60 19. Sara Gideon 22 4.40 279 55.80 186 37.20 13 2.60 Fielded 9/17 – 9/20 Page 3 of 7 Likely Voter Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe September 17-20, 2020 20. Do you feel the country is headed in the right direction or is on the wrong track? (N=500) n % Right Direction --------------------------------------------- 130 26.00 Wrong Track ----------------------------------------------- 323 64.60 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 47 9.40 21. Do you feel that Maine is headed in the right direction or is on the wrong track? (N=500) n % Right Direction --------------------------------------------- 280 56.00 Wrong Track ----------------------------------------------- 176 35.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 44 8.80 22. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? (N=500) n % Approve ------------------------------------------------------ 194 38.80 Disapprove ------------------------------------------------- 283 56.60 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 23 4.60 23. Overall, are you better off or worse off than you were four years ago? (N=500) n % Better off ----------------------------------------------------- 236 47.20 Worse off ---------------------------------------------------- 178 35.60 No different --------------------------------------------------- 77 15.40 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 8 1.60 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 24. How would you rate economic conditions in Maine today – excellent, good, fair, or poor? (N=500) n % Excellent ------------------------------------------------------ 22 4.40 Good ---------------------------------------------------------- 108 21.60 Fair ------------------------------------------------------------ 252 50.40 Poor ----------------------------------------------------------- 111 22.20 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 7 1.40 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 25. Of the following ways to vote in November, how do you plan to vote? Do you plan to vote… {ROTATE ASCENDING, DESCENDING} (N=500) n % On Election Day, in person ----------------------------- 240 48.00 By mail-in or absentee ballot --------------------------- 246 49.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 14 2.80 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 26. How concerned are you that widespread mail-in voting will lead to voter fraud – would you say…? {ROTATE ASCENDING, DESCENDING} Fielded 9/17 – 9/20 Page 4 of 7 Likely Voter Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe Maine Results (N=500) n Very concerned -------------------------------------------- 162 Somewhat concerned ------------------------------------ 106 Not very concerned ---------------------------------------- 62 Not at all concerned -------------------------------------- 158 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 10 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 2 September 17-20, 2020 % 32.40 21.20 12.40 31.60 2.00 0.40 27. Just your best guess. When all the votes are counted for president this November, who do you think is most likely to be elected president – {ROTATE} Joe Biden or Donald Trump? (N=500) n % Joe Biden ---------------------------------------------------- 224 44.80 Donald Trump ---------------------------------------------- 213 42.60 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 63 12.60 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 28. I’m going to read you a list of 13 issues. Please tell me which ONE do you think is the most important issue facing the next president? (N=500) n % Reducing the national debt ------------------------------ 10 2.00 Jobs/Economy ---------------------------------------------- 71 14.20 Schools/Education ----------------------------------------- 18 3.60 Healthcare ---------------------------------------------------- 29 5.80 Immigration policy -------------------------------------------- 9 1.80 Climate Change--------------------------------------------- 42 8.40 Terrorism/National security ------------------------------ 22 4.40 Crime/Guns -------------------------------------------------- 13 2.60 Drugs/Opioids ----------------------------------------------- 12 2.40 Choosing Supreme Court nominees ------------------ 20 4.00 Racism -------------------------------------------------------- 32 6.40 COVID-19 --------------------------------------------------- 100 20.00 Bringing the country together -------------------------- 104 20.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 18 3.60 29. How would you rate President Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic – excellent, good, fair, poor {ROTATE ASCENDING – DESCENDING} (N=500) n % Excellent ------------------------------------------------------ 75 15.00 Good ---------------------------------------------------------- 100 20.00 Fair ------------------------------------------------------------- 51 10.20 Poor ----------------------------------------------------------- 269 53.80 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 5 1.00 30. When a federally approved COVID-19 vaccine is available, will you {R/ASC-DES} (N=500) n % Take it as soon as you can ----------------------------- 153 30.60 Wait awhile until others have taken it ---------------- 248 49.60 Not take the vaccine --------------------------------------- 82 16.40 Fielded 9/17 – 9/20 Page 5 of 7 Likely Voter Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe September 17-20, 2020 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 13 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 4 2.60 0.80 31. If a COVID-19 vaccine is mandated by the federal government, will you take it? (N=500) n % Yes ------------------------------------------------------------ 265 53.00 No -------------------------------------------------------------- 177 35.40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 52 10.40 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 32. Just your best guess. Who do you think will win the presidential debates - {ROTATE} Donald Trump or Joe Biden? (N=500) n % Donald Trump ---------------------------------------------- 228 45.60 Joe Biden ---------------------------------------------------- 217 43.40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 51 10.20 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 33. In the 2016 election for president did you vote for Republican Donald Trump, Democrat Hillary Clinton, Libertarian Gary Johnson, Green Jill Stein, someone else, or did you not vote in 2016? (N=500) n % Republican Donald Trump ------------------------------ 212 42.40 Democrat Hillary Clinton--------------------------------- 241 48.20 Libertarian Gary Johnson -------------------------------- 15 3.00 Jill Stein Green ------------------------------------------------ 9 1.80 Someone else ------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 Did not vote in 2016 --------------------------------------- 17 3.40 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 2 0.40 34. How would you describe your own political viewpoint – very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, very conservative? {ROTATE .1-.5 ASCENDING TO DESCENDING} (N=500) n % Very liberal --------------------------------------------------- 82 16.40 Somewhat liberal ------------------------------------------- 96 19.20 Moderate----------------------------------------------------- 141 28.20 Somewhat conservative ---------------------------------- 74 14.80 Very conservative ------------------------------------------ 86 17.20 Other ----------------------------------------------------------- 16 3.20 Don’t know ----------------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 35. From which source do you get most of your news? {RANDOMIZE 35.1 - 35.6} (N=500) n % Television ---------------------------------------------------- 194 38.80 Newspapers / Magazines ------------------------------- 61 12.20 Radio ---------------------------------------------------------- 49 9.80 Social Media ------------------------------------------------ 25 5.00 Online News ------------------------------------------------ 139 27.80 Fielded 9/17 – 9/20 Page 6 of 7 Likely Voter Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe Maine Results Word of mouth (family / friends / colleagues) ------ 10 None of these------------------------------------------------ 13 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 9 36. 37. September 17-20, 2020 2.00 2.60 1.80 What is your annual household income? (READ CATEGORIES) (N=500) n Under $20,000 per year ---------------------------------- 64 Under $50,000 per year --------------------------------- 118 Under $75,000 per year ---------------------------------- 95 Under $100,000 per year--------------------------------- 73 Under $140,000 per year--------------------------------- 59 $140,000 per year or more ------------------------------ 50 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 41 % 12.80 23.60 19.00 14.60 11.80 10.00 8.20 Is anyone in your household a member of a labor union? (N=500) n Yes ------------------------------------------------------------- 64 No -------------------------------------------------------------- 433 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 1 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 2 % 12.80 86.60 0.20 0.40 38. Are there any members of your household who are gun owners? (N=500) n % Yes ------------------------------------------------------------ 257 51.40 No -------------------------------------------------------------- 229 45.80 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 1 0.20 Refused ------------------------------------------------------- 13 2.60 39. How important is religion in your life – very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important? (N=500) n % Very important ---------------------------------------------- 160 32.00 Somewhat important-------------------------------------- 150 30.00 Not very important------------------------------------------ 88 17.60 Not at all important ----------------------------------------- 96 19.20 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 2 0.40 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 [THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME. HAVE A NICE DAY/EVENING.] Fielded 9/17 – 9/20 Page 7 of 7 Likely Voter Study