Suffolk University/Boston Globe New Hampshire Likely Voters Region: (N=500) n West/North -------------------------------------------------- 112 Central-------------------------------------------------------- 128 Hillsborough------------------------------------------------- 132 Rockingham------------------------------------------------- 128 October 2020 % 22.40 25.60 26.40 25.60 Hello, my name is __________ and I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University. I would like to get your opinions on some issues of the day. Would you like to spend seven minutes to help us out? A. Are you a resident of New Hampshire? (N=500) n Yes ------------------------------------------------------------ 500 % 100.00 1. Which do you most closely identify – male, female, or non-binary (transgender, gender variant, non-conforming)? (N=500) n % Male ----------------------------------------------------------- 235 47.00 Female ------------------------------------------------------- 260 52.00 Non-Binary (transgender, gender variant, non-conforming) -------------------------------- 5 1.00 2. How likely are you to vote in the general election for president this November – very likely, somewhat likely, 50-50 or not likely? (N=500) n % Very likely---------------------------------------------------- 489 97.80 Somewhat likely -------------------------------------------- 11 2.20 3. Are you currently registered as…? (N=500) n Democrat ---------------------------------------------------- 154 Republican -------------------------------------------------- 157 Undeclared (Independent) ------------------------------ 176 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 6 Not yet registered -------------------------------------------- 7 % 30.80 31.40 35.20 1.20 1.40 What is your age category? (N=500) n 18-24 Years -------------------------------------------------- 39 25-34 Years -------------------------------------------------- 80 35-49 Years ------------------------------------------------- 119 50-64 Years ------------------------------------------------- 139 65-74 Years -------------------------------------------------- 80 75+ ------------------------------------------------------------- 35 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 8 % 7.80 16.00 23.80 27.80 16.00 7.00 1.60 4. Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 1 of 8 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe October 2020 5. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me what your ethnic background / ancestry is? (N=500) n % White / Caucasian ----------------------------------------- 433 86.60 Black / African American ----------------------------------- 8 1.60 American Indian / Alaska Native ------------------------- 2 0.40 Asian ------------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander --------------- 0 0.00 Hispanic / Latino -------------------------------------------- 17 3.40 More than one race ------------------------------------------ 7 1.40 Don’t know --------------------------------------------------- 28 5.60 6. For the presidential election this November there will be three choices for president (RANDOMIZE .1 - .3)… At this point for which candidate will you vote or lean toward? (N=500) n % Donald Trump – Republican --------------------------- 204 40.80 Joe Biden – Democrat ----------------------------------- 255 51.00 Jo Jorgensen – Libertarian ------------------------------ 12 2.40 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 14 2.80 Refused ------------------------------------------------------- 10 2.00 7. In the November election there will be three choices for U.S. Senate on your ballot (RANDOMIZE .1 - .3)… At this point for which candidate will you vote or lean toward? (N=500) n % Corky Messner – Republican -------------------------- 182 36.40 Jeanne Shaheen – Democrat ------------------------- 254 50.80 Justin O’Donnell - Libertarian --------------------------- 11 2.20 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 40 8.00 Refused ------------------------------------------------------- 12 2.40 8. In the November election there will be three choices for governor of New Hampshire (RANDOMIZE .1 - .3)… At this point for which candidate will you vote or lean toward? (N=500) n % Chris Sununu – Republican ---------------------------- 276 55.20 Dan Feltes – Democrat ---------------------------------- 155 31.00 Darryl Perry - Libertarian -------------------------------- 20 4.00 Other ------------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 40 8.00 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 9 1.80 Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 2 of 8 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe 9. New Hampshire Likely Voters October 2020 How likely do you think it is that today's youth in America will have a better life than their parents - very likely, somewhat likely, somewhat unlikely, or very unlikely? (N=500) n % Very likely---------------------------------------------------- 120 24.00 Somewhat likely ------------------------------------------- 155 31.00 Somewhat unlikely ---------------------------------------- 104 20.80 Very unlikely ------------------------------------------------- 74 14.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 44 8.80 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 3 0.60 I am going to read you a short list of people and organizations. For each, please tell me if your opinion of them is generally favorable or generally unfavorable. If you are undecided or if you have never heard of someone, just tell me that. First take Donald Trump. Is your opinion of Donald Trump generally favorable or generally unfavorable? (RANDOMIZE 11-15) (N=500) Never Heard of Favorable Unfavorable HOF/Undecided 10. Donald Trump 0 0.00 202 40.40 274 54.80 24 4.80 11. Democratic Party 0 0.00 218 43.60 232 46.40 50 10.00 12. Republican Party 0 0.00 211 42.20 241 48.20 48 9.60 13. Mike Pence 2 0.40 218 43.60 241 48.20 39 7.80 14. Kamala Harris 2 0.40 240 48.00 212 42.40 46 9.20 15. Joe Biden 0 0.00 246 49.20 216 43.20 38 7.60 16. Do you feel the country is headed in the right direction or is on the wrong track? (N=500) n % Right Direction --------------------------------------------- 173 34.60 Wrong Track ----------------------------------------------- 276 55.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 51 10.20 Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 3 of 8 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe October 2020 17. I’m going to read you a list of 10 issues. Please tell me which ONE do you think is the most important issue facing the next president? (RANDOMIZE .1 - .10) (N=500) n % Reducing the national debt ------------------------------ 20 4.00 Jobs/Economy --------------------------------------------- 122 24.40 Schools/Education ----------------------------------------- 13 2.60 Healthcare ---------------------------------------------------- 44 8.80 Climate Change--------------------------------------------- 36 7.20 Drugs/Opioids ------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 Choosing Supreme Court nominees ------------------ 30 6.00 Racism -------------------------------------------------------- 21 4.20 COVID-19 ---------------------------------------------------- 93 18.60 Bringing the country together --------------------------- 96 19.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 19 3.80 18. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? (N=500) n % Approve ------------------------------------------------------ 208 41.60 Disapprove -------------------------------------------------- 273 54.60 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 19 3.80 19. Overall, are you better off or worse off than you were four years ago? (N=500) n % Better off ----------------------------------------------------- 265 53.00 Worse off ---------------------------------------------------- 144 28.80 No different --------------------------------------------------- 79 15.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 12 2.40 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 20. Of the following ways to vote in November, how do you plan to vote? Do you plan to vote… (ROTATE) (N=500) n % On Election Day, in person ----------------------------- 324 64.80 By mail-in or absentee ballot --------------------------- 126 25.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 49 9.80 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 1 0.20 21. Did you watch the vice-presidential debate on Wednesday night between Mike Pence and Kamala Harris? (N=500) n % Yes ------------------------------------------------------------ 352 70.40 No -------------------------------------------------------------- 147 29.40 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 1 0.20 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 0 0.00 {FOR 21.1} 22. In your opinion, who do you think won the debate (ROTATE) Pence or Harris? (N=352) n % Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 4 of 8 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe New Hampshire Likely Voters Mike Pence ------------------------------------------------- 153 Kamala Harris ---------------------------------------------- 168 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 13 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 0 Neither --------------------------------------------------------- 18 October 2020 43.47 47.73 3.69 0.00 5.11 {FOR 21.1} 23. If need be, would you be comfortable with Pence as president, Harris as president, or comfortable with either Pence or Harris as president? (N=352) n % Mike Pence ------------------------------------------------- 156 44.32 Kamala Harris ---------------------------------------------- 166 47.16 Either Pence or Harris ------------------------------------ 12 3.41 Neither Pence or Harris ----------------------------------- 14 3.98 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 4 1.14 24. Turning to coronavirus, some people think the government should mandate residents wear a mask or face covering in public. Others don’t. Of the following four options, which comes closest to your view? (ROTATE ASC – DESC) (N=500) n % The governor should immediately require residents to wear a mask or face covering in public when they cannot socially distance ------- 252 50.40 The governor should wait and only require masks if the numbers in New Hampshire get worse ----- 47 9.40 A mask requirement should be up to cities and towns. The state shouldn’t be involved ------------ 59 11.80 State and local government shouldn’t require masks. It’s up to each person to make their own choice about what’s right ----------------------------- 128 25.60 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 8 1.60 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 25. On balance, would you say the President's positive COVID test and ongoing recovery has made you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or hasn't changed how likely you are to vote for him? (N=500) n % More likely to vote for him -------------------------------- 25 5.00 Less likely to vote for him -------------------------------- 72 14.40 Hasn’t changed how likely to vote for him ---------- 391 78.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 12 2.40 26. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his own COVID infection? (N=500) n % Approve ------------------------------------------------------ 191 38.20 Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 5 of 8 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe October 2020 Disapprove -------------------------------------------------- 262 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 47 52.40 9.40 27. How would you rate President Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic – excellent, good, fair, poor? {ROTATE ASCENDING – DESCENDING .1 - .4} (N=500) n % Excellent ------------------------------------------------------ 95 19.00 Good ----------------------------------------------------------- 97 19.40 Fair ------------------------------------------------------------- 62 12.40 Poor ----------------------------------------------------------- 239 47.80 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 7 1.40 28. When a federally approved COVID-19 vaccine is available, will you… {ROTATE ASCENDING-DESCENDING} (N=500) n % Take it as soon as you can ----------------------------- 170 34.00 Wait awhile until others have taken it ---------------- 216 43.20 Not take the vaccine --------------------------------------- 83 16.60 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 25 5.00 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 29. President Trump has nominated Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court for the seat that was held by the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Do you think the Senate should vote on Barrett's nomination before the Nov. 3 presidential election? (N=500) n % Yes ------------------------------------------------------------ 230 46.00 No -------------------------------------------------------------- 244 48.80 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 20 4.00 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 30. Of the five ballot choices in the 2016 election for president did you vote for Hillary Clinton, Jill Stein, Rocky De La Fuente, Gary Johnson, or Donald Trump? Or did you not vote in 2016? (N=500) n % Hillary Clinton ----------------------------------------------- 209 41.80 Jill Stein --------------------------------------------------------- 4 0.80 Rocky De La Fuente ----------------------------------------- 3 0.60 Gary Johnson------------------------------------------------ 21 4.20 Donald Trump ---------------------------------------------- 205 41.00 Someone else ----------------------------------------------- 18 3.60 Did not vote in 2016 --------------------------------------- 22 4.40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 18 3.60 31. How would you describe your own political viewpoint – very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative, very conservative? {ROTATE .1- .5 ASCENDING TO DESCENDING} (N=500) n % Very liberal --------------------------------------------------- 40 8.00 Somewhat liberal ------------------------------------------- 94 18.80 Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 6 of 8 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe New Hampshire Likely Voters Moderate----------------------------------------------------- 176 Somewhat conservative ---------------------------------- 93 Very conservative ------------------------------------------ 67 Other ----------------------------------------------------------- 19 Don’t know --------------------------------------------------- 11 32. October 2020 35.20 18.60 13.40 3.80 2.20 From which source do you get most of your news? {RANDOMIZE .1 - .6} (N=500) n % Television ---------------------------------------------------- 199 39.80 Newspapers / Magazines ------------------------------- 52 10.40 Radio ---------------------------------------------------------- 39 7.80 Social Media ------------------------------------------------ 40 8.00 Online News ------------------------------------------------ 144 28.80 Word of mouth (family / friends / colleagues) -------- 6 1.20 None of these-------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 14 2.80 THE FINAL QUESTIONS WILL HELP US CLASSIFY YOUR ANSWERS WITH OTHERS TAKING THE SURVEY 33. What is your annual household income? (READ CATEGORIES) (N=500) n Under $20,000 per year ---------------------------------- 27 Under $50,000 per year ---------------------------------- 75 Under $75,000 per year ---------------------------------- 79 Under $100,000 per year--------------------------------- 72 Under $140,000 per year--------------------------------- 71 $140,000 per year or more ----------------------------- 101 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------- 75 % 5.40 15.00 15.80 14.40 14.20 20.20 15.00 34. Are there any members of your household who are gun owners, yes or no? (N=500) n % Yes ------------------------------------------------------------ 204 40.80 No -------------------------------------------------------------- 265 53.00 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 5 1.00 Refused ------------------------------------------------------- 26 5.20 35. How important is religion in your life – very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important? {ROTATE ASCENDING DESCENDING .1 - .4} (N=500) n % Very important ---------------------------------------------- 172 34.40 Somewhat important-------------------------------------- 143 28.60 Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 7 of 8 New Hampshire Study Suffolk University/Boston Globe October 2020 Not very important------------------------------------------ 85 Not at all important ----------------------------------------- 89 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 4 Refused --------------------------------------------------------- 7 36. 17.00 17.80 0.80 1.40 What is the highest level of education you have completed? {READ CATEGORIES} (N=500) n % Some high school ------------------------------------------ 19 3.80 High school graduate -------------------------------------- 94 18.80 Some college ----------------------------------------------- 129 25.80 Trade / technical / vocational training ----------------- 28 5.60 College graduate ------------------------------------------ 140 28.00 Masters or PhD --------------------------------------------- 88 17.60 Undecided ------------------------------------------------------ 2 0.40 [THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME. HAVE A NICE DAY/EVENING.] Fielded 10/8 – 10/12 Page 8 of 8 New Hampshire Study