Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 590 respondents with a cell phone only. An additional 221 interviews were completed with registered voters for a total of N=555 interviews in swing states. Interviews were completed in English and Spanish. Date: October 9-12, 2020 48 Male 52 Female Study #200870 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.10% The margin of error for 555 interviews among Registered Voters in Swing States is ±4.16% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) + 18-24 .................................................................... 9 25-29 .................................................................... 8 30-34 .................................................................... 9 35-39 .................................................................... 6 40-44 .................................................................... 12 45-49 .................................................................... 6 50-54 .................................................................... 10 55-59 .................................................................... 10 60-64 .................................................................... 12 65-69 .................................................................... 5 70-74 .................................................................... 5 75 and over ........................................................... 7 Not sure/refused ................................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2b To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 10 No, not Hispanic............................................... 89 Not sure/refused ............................................ 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + White ............................................................... 76 Black ............................................................... 12 Asian ............................................................... 2 Other ............................................................... 3 Hispanic (VOL).............................................. 4 Not sure/refused ........................................... 3 White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 72 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Q3 Study #200870 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Registered Voter. + Yes ................................................... 100 No ..................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q4 Now, all in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High Headed in the right direction ...... Off on the wrong track................ Mixed (VOL) ............................. Not sure ................................... 10/912/20+ 29 62 5 4 7/20+ 19 72 5 4 3/20+ 37 56 4 3 12/19 35 56 6 3 8/19 33 60 5 2 1/19 28 63 6 3 12/18 33 56 9 2 11/18+ 38 54 4 4 9/01 72 11 11 6 Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3 6/18+ 36 55 5 4 4/18 31 62 5 2 12/17 29 63 4 4 4/17 34 59 3 4 2/17 40 51 3 6 1/17 37 52 5 6 12/16 33 54 6 7 10/1013/16+ 29 65 5 1 9/16+ 30 62 5 3 8/16+ 32 62 3 3 7/16+ 18 73 6 3 6/16+ 21 71 5 3 4/16+ 24 70 4 2 1/16+ 29 63 5 3 12/15 20 70 6 4 10/2529/15 27 64 5 4 6/15 31 61 4 4 4/15 28 62 6 4 1/15 31 59 5 5 12/14 27 64 6 3 11/14+ 27 63 6 4 6/14 25 63 7 5 4/14 27 63 6 4 1/14 28 63 5 4 12/13 29 64 5 2 10/2528/13 22 70 4 4 6/13 32 59 6 3 4/13 31 61 5 3 1/13 35 57 4 4 12/12 41 53 3 3 10/12+ 41 53 4 2 6/12 31 61 5 3 4/12 33 59 6 2 1/12 30 61 5 4 12/11 22 69 6 3 10/11 17 74 5 4 6/11 29 62 6 3 4/11 28 63 6 3 1/11 35 56 5 4 12/10 28 63 6 3 10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4 6/10 29 62 5 4 3/10 33 59 5 3 1/1014/10 34 54 10 2 12/09 33 55 10 2 10/09 36 52 9 3 6/09 42 46 9 3 4/09 43 43 10 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Q5 Study #200870 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 10/912/20+ Total approve ............................... 44 Strongly approve ......................... 32 Somewhat approve .................... 12 Total disapprove ......................... 54 Somewhat disapprove .............. 7 Strongly disapprove .................... 47 Not sure .................................... 2 9/3010/1/20+ 43 31 12 55 5 50 2 9/20+ 45 34 11 53 7 46 2 8/20+ 44 33 11 53 6 47 3 7/20+ 42 30 12 56 6 50 2 6/20+ 45 31 14 53 6 47 2 4/20+ 46 32 14 51 7 44 3 3/20+ 46 33 13 51 8 43 3 2/20+ 47 33 14 50 7 43 3 1/20+ 46 36 10 51 7 44 3 12/19 44 33 11 54 10 44 2 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 5/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 3 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve .................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure........................... 1 Intensity 5/171 39 54 7 not asked prior to June 2017. 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Q6 I'm going to read you the names of some public figures and groups and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE OTHER NAMES NEXT) Donald Trump1 October 9-12, 2020+ .............................. September 30-October 1, 2020+............ September 2020+ .................................. August 2020+ ......................................... July 2020+ ............................................. June 2020+ ............................................ April 2020+ ............................................. March 2020+ .......................................... January 2020+ ................................... October 27-30, 2019 .......................... October 4-6, 2019 .............................. September 2019+ .............................. August 2019 ....................................... April 28-May 1, 2019 .......................... March 2019 ........................................ February 2019.................................... January 2019 ..................................... December 2018 ................................. November 2018+ ............................... October 2018+ ................................... September 2018+ .............................. August 18-22, 2018+.......................... July 2018+ ......................................... June 2018+ ........................................ April 2018 ........................................... March 2018 ........................................ January 2018 ..................................... December 2017 ................................. October 2017 ..................................... August 2017 ....................................... June 2017 .......................................... February 2017.................................... January 2017 ..................................... December 2016 ................................. October 10-13, 2016+ ........................ October 8-10, 2016+ .......................... September 2016+ .............................. August 2016+ ..................................... June 2016+ ........................................ April 2016+ ......................................... March 2016+ ...................................... January 2016+ ................................... December 2015 ................................. October 25-29, 2015 .......................... September 2015 ................................ July 2015............................................ February 2011.................................... May 2004+ ......................................... December 1999 ................................. October 1999 ..................................... July 1990............................................ High January 2020+ ................................... Presidential Term Low September 30-October 1, 2020+........ All-time Trump Low April 2016+ ......................................... 1 Study #200870 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 11 10 9 10 10 11 10 13 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 13 12 15 13 11 12 16 14 14 12 16 13 14 13 16 18 20 14 13 13 15 17 13 13 15 15 17 17 16 17 17 12 11 11 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 7 6 7 9 8 8 12 9 8 9 11 6 7 9 9 9 9 12 11 8 9 10 12 11 10 13 13 8 7 11 11 11 10 11 12 13 17 16 16 40 38 28 25 28 7 5 7 8 6 6 8 9 8 10 9 7 8 8 10 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 8 9 8 12 9 12 10 11 10 12 12 11 12 12 10 11 12 14 14 13 18 14 24 23 25 46 50 45 44 48 45 43 42 43 43 44 44 45 41 41 40 43 43 45 43 44 42 43 41 43 40 48 45 46 40 41 35 38 35 52 51 49 50 48 53 54 47 47 42 44 43 11 15 25 32 24 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 7 7 6 9 33 10 6 8 43 - 29 10 5 5 50 1 11 13 10 12 53 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 31 29 32 30 29 29 31 29 33 29 27 30 28 28 28 30 27 24 29 27 26 29 28 24 21 23 24 21 23 22 25 27 20 20 15 17 15 13 12 11 12 14 12 10 8 10 9 9 4 3 3 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 19 21 21 21 19 20 21 19 21 21 23 24 21 23 25 24 22 21 21 21 18 19 19 21 20 20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11 14 16 12 15 19 23 19 21 19 28 25 22 19 24 25 24 22 25 21 17 18 15 19 20 23 21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25 12 13 14 12 13 12 16 17 15 15 16 11 10 17 14 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 14 14 14 16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6 30 28 31 33 33 26 25 24 27 19 22 11 12 14 14 15 21 21 20 21 23 29 24 26 23 21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4 1 1 1 2 3 1 4 5 3 2 3 3 7 5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 5 7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49 30 27 26 27 20 20 20 24 27 20 21 20 16 10 9 9 12 12 10 14 13 14 15 15 16 16 10 13 11 12 13 13 16 19 17 13 17 22 18 22 21 28 13 16 12 13 15 11 16 16 14 11 9 11 10 12 33 31 32 31 32 27 23 23 21 21 20 17 15 13 4 5 5 4 7 9 11 10 6 11 16 14 28 24 26 23 21 21 15 17 16 18 13 15 15 13 10 10 10 9 31 28 28 26 5 7 10 13 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Joe Biden October 9-12, 2020+ ................................ September 30-October 1, 2020+ .............. September 2020+ ..................................... August 2020+ ........................................... July 2020+ ................................................ June 2020+ .............................................. April 2020+ ............................................... March 2020+ ............................................ January 2020+ ......................................... October 4-6, 2019 .................................... August 2019 ............................................. January 2018............................................ January 2017............................................ October 2015............................................ September 2015 ....................................... June 2015................................................. November 2014 ........................................ June 2014................................................. July 2013 .................................................. January 2013............................................ December 2012 ........................................ October 2012+ ......................................... September 26-30, 2012+.......................... August 2012+ ........................................... July 2012+ ................................................ May 2012.................................................. December 2010 ........................................ August 26-30, 2010 .................................. January 10-14, 2010 ................................ July 2009 .................................................. January 2009............................................ December 2008 ........................................ October 17-20, 2008+ .............................. October 4-5, 2008+ .................................. September 19-22, 2008+.......................... September 6-8, 2008+.............................. September 2007 ....................................... December 2006 ........................................ June 2004+ .............................................. 24 22 22 18 15 17 16 18 14 12 11 30 35 19 15 16 13 11 17 20 21 21 18 15 15 15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5 Mike Pence October 9-12, 2020+ ................................ September 30-October 1, 2020+ .............. September 2020+ ..................................... August 2020+ ........................................... March 2020+ ............................................ October 27-30, 2019 ................................ January 2018............................................ April 2017 ................................................. February 2017 .......................................... January 2017............................................ December 2016 ........................................ October 10-13, 2016+ .............................. September 2016+ ..................................... August 2016+ ........................................... Kamala Harris October 9-12, 2020+ ................................ September 30-October 1, 2020+ .............. September 2020+ ..................................... August 2020+ ........................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) Amy Coney Barrett October 9-12, 2020+ ................................... September 30-October 1, 2020+ ................. The Republican Party1 October 9-12, 2020+ ................................... August 2020+ .............................................. October 27-30, 2019 ................................... April 28-May 1, 2019 ................................... January 2019 .............................................. November 2018+ ........................................ October 2018+ ............................................ September 2018+ ....................................... August 18-22, 2018+ ................................... June 2018+ ................................................. March 2018 ................................................. December 2017........................................... August 2017 ................................................ April 2017 .................................................... January 2017 .............................................. December 2016........................................... October 10-13, 2016+ ................................. September 2016+ ....................................... July 2016+................................................... April 2016+ .................................................. February 2016+ ........................................... October 25-29, 2015 ................................... July 2015 ..................................................... April 2015 .................................................... January 2015 .............................................. December 2014........................................... November 2014........................................... Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+ .............................. October 8-12, 2014+ ................................... September 2014+ ....................................... June 2014 ................................................... January 2014 .............................................. December 2013........................................... October 25-28, 2013 ................................... May 30-June 2, 2013 .................................. February 2013 ............................................. December 2012........................................... October 2012+ ............................................ September 26-30, 2012+ ............................ August 2012+ .............................................. May 2012 .................................................... January 2012 .............................................. November 2011........................................... August 2011 ................................................ April 2011 .................................................... January 2011 .............................................. December 2010........................................... October 28-30, 2010+ ................................. September 2010.......................................... August 5-9, 2010 ......................................... June 2010 ................................................... March 2010 ................................................. December 2009........................................... High December 2001........................................... Low October 25-28, 2013 ................................... Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 8 7 17 23 11 9 17 12 26 29 19 14 13 12 11 17 13 11 10 9 9 8 7 10 13 12 8 9 6 7 10 7 7 8 6 7 9 7 6 9 6 5 6 6 8 8 9 15 14 12 9 8 9 8 7 7 11 12 8 6 6 6 5 18 21 23 23 23 23 23 21 22 23 21 19 22 21 22 23 18 20 21 20 23 22 21 22 19 23 23 22 21 22 23 19 20 16 24 21 21 21 24 24 23 23 21 24 24 27 27 22 23 18 24 25 23 16 18 21 22 21 14 19 22 24 20 24 23 25 21 22 26 24 23 21 21 21 26 26 26 27 24 23 23 21 26 24 28 22 24 26 24 23 20 18 18 23 24 23 21 24 24 23 24 25 28 26 24 27 14 19 16 19 18 16 16 20 19 23 21 23 21 21 21 18 24 21 24 23 23 20 22 20 23 22 18 23 25 20 22 22 26 23 18 20 18 18 18 16 19 19 18 23 22 21 17 18 21 24 23 20 24 32 27 26 23 25 29 28 24 24 24 24 26 24 26 22 20 25 27 27 28 23 24 22 23 23 23 25 24 25 21 23 25 25 30 23 26 27 25 25 29 24 25 26 23 22 19 20 23 22 22 19 23 19 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 21 36 18 13 9 3 6 16 24 23 30 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 21 20 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) The Democratic Party1 October 9-12, 2020+ .......................... August 2020+ ..................................... October 27-30, 2019........................... April 28-May 1, 2019 .......................... January 2019 ...................................... December 2018 .................................. November 2018+ ................................ October 2018+.................................... September 2018+ ............................... August 18-22, 2018+ .......................... June 2018+......................................... March 2018 ........................................ December 2017 .................................. October 2017 ...................................... August 2017 ....................................... April 2017 ........................................... February 2017 .................................... January 2017 ...................................... December 2016 .................................. October 10-13, 2016+......................... September 2016+ ............................... July 2016+ .......................................... April 2016+ ......................................... February 2016+ .................................. October 25-29, 2015........................... July 2015 ............................................ April 2015 ........................................... January 2015 ...................................... December 2014 .................................. November 2014 .................................. Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+...................... October 8-12, 2014+ .......................... September 2014+ ............................... June 2014 ........................................... January 2014 ...................................... December 2013 .................................. October 25-28, 2013........................... September 2013 ................................. May 30-June 2, 2013 .......................... February 2013 .................................... December 2012 .................................. October 2012+.................................... September 26-30, 2012+ .................... August 2012+ ..................................... June 2012 ........................................... January 2012 ...................................... November 2011 .................................. August 2011 ....................................... April 2011 ........................................... January 2011 ...................................... December 2010 .................................. October 28-30, 2010+......................... September 2010 ................................. August 5-9, 2010 ................................ May 6-11, 2010................................... January 10-14, 2010........................... December 2009 .................................. High January 2000 ...................................... Low December 2009 .................................. Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 23 22 22 22 24 25 23 21 27 22 24 21 22 20 23 23 22 23 24 24 22 24 28 24 26 25 26 26 25 26 24 25 25 25 27 26 22 27 25 23 23 21 21 23 23 23 25 22 26 24 28 23 22 22 26 27 25 16 19 21 26 23 23 18 20 23 24 22 27 28 26 25 26 24 19 23 18 20 19 20 21 18 22 24 24 22 20 19 20 22 21 22 19 21 22 22 22 19 17 17 16 25 23 22 21 22 25 20 17 20 22 19 20 19 12 12 14 15 16 15 15 18 14 18 20 18 16 19 19 16 23 16 20 16 16 19 19 17 17 18 17 18 17 20 20 20 20 18 20 20 18 20 19 17 16 17 17 17 18 21 18 19 18 19 18 19 20 18 18 18 19 31 32 28 24 24 22 28 26 24 25 22 22 22 23 21 23 23 28 22 26 27 22 22 21 22 20 19 20 22 21 23 23 22 22 20 24 22 18 18 19 19 23 22 23 19 18 19 25 21 16 23 23 22 26 24 23 26 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 20 30 23 15 10 2 10 25 19 19 26 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 17 14 13 12 11 14 15 14 11 10 11 11 11 12 11 11 8 12 10 15 15 15 10 16 15 13 12 9 12 12 12 12 11 13 10 10 15 13 14 18 21 21 21 19 14 15 15 11 12 15 9 16 15 11 11 11 10 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Joe Biden ..................................................................... 43 42 Amy Coney Barrett ....................................................... 29 28 Kamala Harris .............................................................. 41 41 The Democratic Party .................................................. 40 43 Mike Pence .................................................................. 39 46 The Republican Party................................................... 37 46 Donald Trump .............................................................. 42 53 D/S 1 1 -3 -7 -9 -11 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking now about the November elections… Q7 Please tell me how interested you are in the election this November, using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in the elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") 10, very interested..... 9 ................................ 8 ................................ 7 ................................ 6 ................................ 5 ................................ 4 ................................ 3 ................................ 2 ................................ 1, not at all interested Cannot rate ............. 10/912/20+ 75 5 8 4 1 3 1 1 2 - 9/30 10/1/20+ 75 6 6 4 1 3 1 1 2 1 9/20+ 75 5 6 5 2 2 1 1 2 1 8/20+ 74 5 6 4 1 3 1 1 1 3 1 7/20+ 72 5 7 5 3 3 1 1 2 1 10/2730/19+ 64 8 11 5 3 3 2 1 1 2 - 4/285/1/19+ 63 6 13 6 3 5 1 1 2 - 10/1013/16+ 67 5 9 5 3 4 2 1 1 2 1 10/810/16+ 62 8 10 5 2 6 2 1 4 - 9/16+ 60 8 11 7 3 4 1 2 1 3 - 5/16+ 60 9 11 6 3 6 1 2 2 - 2/16+ 61 9 13 6 3 4 1 1 2 - 9/15+ 56 8 13 9 3 5 1 1 1 2 1 4/15+ 53 7 15 8 4 7 1 1 2 2 - 10/12+ 69 8 9 4 2 5 1 2 - 9/2630/12+ 65 8 10 5 3 5 1 1 2 - 9/1216/12+ 64 8 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 1 - 8/12+ 62 6 13 6 3 5 1 1 1 2 - 7/12+ 62 6 11 7 4 5 1 1 3 - 6/12+ 60 8 12 7 3 5 2 1 1 1 - 5/12+ 62 7 12 6 4 5 1 1 1 1 - 4/12+ 61 6 12 7 3 5 2 2 1 2 - 3/12+ 48 11 14 9 5 6 2 1 1 2 1 1/12+ 57 10 11 7 3 6 2 2 1 1 - 10/1720/08+ 81 6 6 3 1 2 1 - 10/45/08+ 72 7 10 4 1 3 1 2 - 9/1922/08+ 70 8 9 5 2 3 1 1 1 - 9/68/08+ 69 10 10 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 - 8/08+ 65 8 11 5 2 3 1 1 1 3 - 7/08+ 64 8 12 5 3 4 1 1 2 - 6/08+ 67 7 11 5 2 4 1 1 2 - 4/08+ 65 9 11 4 3 3 1 2 2 - 3/08+ 67 8 10 5 2 3 1 1 2 1 1/08+ 66 10 10 4 3 4 1 1 1 - 12/07+ 65 8 12 5 2 4 1 1 2 - 11/07+ 62 9 11 6 3 5 1 1 2 - 10/04+ 74 8 9 3 2 2 1 1 - 9/04+ 71 7 9 5 2 4 1 1 - 8/04+ 63 10 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Q8 Study #200870 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey If the election for president were held today, with ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican candidates and Joe Biden and Kamala (“COMMA-la”) Harris as the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump and Mike Pence.................. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris .................... Depends (VOL) ....................................... Neither/other (VOL) ................................. Not sure .................................................. 10/912/20+ 42 53 3 2 9/30 10/1/20+ 39 53 2 6 9/20+ 43 51 3 3 8/20+1 41 50 5 4 7/20+ 40 51 1 7 1 6/20+ 42 49 1 5 3 4/20+ 42 49 5 4 3/20+ 43 52 3 2 2/20+ 44 52 2 2 1/20+ 44 50 4 2 10/2730/19+ 41 50 6 3 7/19+ 42 51 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Trend data prior to September does not include Vice Presidential nominees. DATA BELOW SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS IN SWING STATES +1 10/99/30 12/20+ 10/1/20+ Donald Trump and Mike Pence .................. 42 45 Joe Biden and Kamala Harris..................... 52 51 Depends (VOL) ....................................... Neither/other (VOL) ................................. 3 2 Not sure ................................................... 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Swing states defined as: AZ, FL, GA, IA, ME, MI, MN, NC, NH, NV, PA, and WI. (ROTATE Q8A-B) (ASKED IF NOT SUPPORTING DONALD TRUMP) Q8A Even though you are not supporting Donald Trump now, what are the chances that you might support Trump in this year's presidential election--is there a fair chance that you might support him, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all you might support him? Fair chance you might support .................. Small chance ............................................. Very slight chance ................................... No chance at all you might support ........... Not sure ................................................... Currently supporting Trump ....................... 10/912/20+ 2 3 4 48 1 42 9/30 10/1/20+ 1 4 4 51 1 39 9/20+ 1 3 5 47 1 43 7/20+ 1 3 6 50 40 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED IF NOT SUPPORTING JOE BIDEN) Q8B Even though you are not supporting Joe Biden now, what are the chances that you might support Biden in this year's presidential election--is there a fair chance that you might support him, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all you might support him? Fair chance you might support .................. Small chance ............................................. Very slight chance ................................... No chance at all you might support ........... Not sure ................................................... Currently supporting Biden ........................ 10/912/20+ 2 3 4 37 1 53 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 9/30 10/1/20+ 2 2 6 36 1 53 9/20+ 2 3 5 38 1 51 7/20+ 2 3 6 37 1 51 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Q9 Study #200870 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In the upcoming election for U.S. Congress, do you plan to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district? + Vote for the Republican candidate……... Vote for the Democratic candidate….….. Depends (VOL)...................................... Other/neither (VOL)............................... Not sure................................................. 39 47 2 2 10 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Reallocated Two-Way Generic Ballot Trend + 9/20+ Republican candidate .................................................. 42 Democratic candidate ................................................... 49 Not sure ...................................................................... 9 9/18+ 40 52 8 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Additional Registered Voter Trend + 10/3010/8- 10/2811/1/14+ 12/14+ 30/10+ Republican candidate ........................ 46 44 47 Democratic candidate ........................ 49 49 48 Depends (VOL) ................................ 2 4 3 Wouldn’t vote (VOL) ......................... 1 1 1 Not sure ........................................... 2 2 1 10/1418/10+ 47 49 2 1 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Previous Two-Way Generic Ballot Trend 11/412/95 5/94 10/94 9/94 7/94 Vote for the Republican candidate.. 34 40 39 33 31 Vote for the Democratic candidate.. 36 37 36 39 35 Depends (VOL)............................. 17 6 6 9 14 Other/neither (VOL)...................... 3 3 5 5 5 Not sure......................................... 10 14 14 14 15 9/93 29 32 24 2 13 6/94 30 35 14 5 16 1/94 29 34 21 2 14 10/93 34 32 21 2 11 7/93 11/92+ 10/92+ 9/92+ 8/92+ 7/92+ 10/90+ 31 35 29 32 29 31 33 32 45 46 43 43 35 35 25 4 6 7 7 11 14 3 1 2 1 2 3 2 9 15 17 17 19 20 16 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (Q10-11 ROTATED) Q10 If the Republicans were to control the House of Representatives, the U.S. Senate, and the White House, do you think that it would be a good thing, a bad thing, or would it not make much difference to you? A good thing ...................................... A bad thing ........................................ Would not make much difference ...... Not sure........................................... 10/912/20+ 34 48 16 2 8/20+ 32 50 15 3 10/1316/06+ 26 48 24 2 10/02+ 31 41 25 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q11 If the Democrats were to control the House of Representatives, the U.S. Senate, and the White House, do you think that it would be a good thing, a bad thing, or would it not make much difference to you? A good thing ........................................... A bad thing ............................................. Would not make much difference ........... Not sure ................................................ 10/912/20+ 38 43 17 2 8/20+ 36 44 18 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF NON-STRAIGHT TICKET VOTERS) Thinking again about the presidential election between (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Joe Biden… Q12 In a few words or a short phrase, please tell me what one thing or event has had the biggest effect on your thinking about how you will vote for president? SEE RECORDED VERBATIM RESPONSES (ASK OF ALL) Q13 Some people we have spoken with have already filled out their ballot for the Federal election for President, Senate, Congress and statewide offices being held in November – Have you already cast your ballot in the election by voting by mail or in person at an early polling location? (DO NOT READ CHOICES:) (IF NOT YET VOTED, THEN ASK:) And do you plan to vote early - either by mail or in person - or will you vote at the polls on Election Day? Total Plan to Vote Early .............................. Yes, voted by mail ....................................... Yes, voted early in person ........................... No, plan to vote early by mail ...................... No, plan to vote early in person ................... No, will vote at the polls on Election Day ....... Don’t plan on voting (VOL) ......................... Not sure ....................................................... 10/912/20+ 59 12 6 21 20 37 1 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 9/20+ 52 4 3 27 18 42 1 5 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q14 Would you say that you and your family are better off or worse off than you were four years ago? Better off ......................... Worse off ........................ About the same (VOL) .. Not sure ........................ 10/912/20+ 50 34 14 2 8/23/08+ 5/04+ 10/00+ 9/00+ 12/98 6/97 10/96 9/96+ 6/96+ 7/96+ 34 42 63 62 69 59 49 52 48 46 43 33 11 12 18 22 22 22 23 20 21 23 24 25 NA 18 27 24 27 32 2 2 2 1 13 1 2 2 2 2 1/96 49 25 24 2 12/95 47 26 24 3 9/92 37 40 21 2 7/92 34 42 22 2 5/92 38 39 22 1 4/92 35 43 20 2 2/92 36 41 22 1 1/92 12/91 10/91 39 42 40 40 39 37 20 17 22 1 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED IF BETTER OFF OF) Q14a And, how much credit does President Trump deserve for you and your family being better off? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) +* AMONG FORM A REGISTERED VOTERS Among RVs Who Say Better Off A lot of credit ......................................... 42 Some credit ........................................... 30 Not too much credit ............................... 10 No credit at all ....................................... 18 Not sure ............................................... Not better off in Q14 ............................ NA Among All RVs 21 14 4 9 2 50 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). (ASKED IF WORSE OFF) Q14b And, how much blame does President Trump deserve for you and your family being worse off? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) +* AMONG FORM A REGISTERED VOTERS Among RVs Who Say Better Off A lot of blame ...................................... 57 Some blame ........................................ 31 Not too much blame............................ 2 No blame at all .................................... 8 Not sure............................................. 2 Not worse off in Q14 ......................... NA + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ** Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM A). Among All RVs 20 12 1 3 64 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Q15 Study #200870 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Overall, do you think the country is better off or worse off than it was four years ago? Better off ......................................................... Worse off ........................................................ No difference/about the same (VOL) ............ Not sure ........................................................ 10/912/20+ 38 58 2 2 9/04+ 35 55 6 4 12/001 72 15 9 4 12/95 35 45 14 6 In December 2000, the question was phrased, “Would you say that the country is better off or worse off than it was eight years ago?” + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 (ASKED IF BETTER OFF) Q15a And, how much credit does President Trump deserve for the country being better off? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) +** AMONG FORM B REGISTERED VOTERS Among RVs Who Say Better Off A lot of credit ......................................... 65 Some credit ........................................... 30 Not too much credit ............................... 3 No credit at all ....................................... 2 Not sure ............................................... Not better off in Q15 ............................ NA Among All RVs 25 12 1 1 61 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. * Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B). (ASKED IF WORSE OFF) Q15b And, how much blame does President Trump deserve for the country being worse off? (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) +** AMONG FORM B REGISTERED VOTERS Among RVs Who Say Worse Off A lot of blame ...................................... 65 Some blame ........................................ 27 Not too much blame............................ 5 No blame at all .................................... 3 Not sure............................................. Not worse off in Q15 ......................... NA + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ** Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B). Among All RVs 36 15 2 2 3 42 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking now about specific issues… Q16 Which one or two of these issues, are the MOST important to you in deciding how to vote for president? (READ, RANDOMIZE) (SPECIFY FIRST CHOICE, SECOND CHOICE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY HIGHEST 1ST CHOICE PERCENTAGE 1st Combined Choice+ Choice+ The economy .................................... 30 44 The coronavirus ................................ 17 27 Health care ....................................... 13 29 Race relations ................................... 9 21 Crime and violence ........................... 6 17 Climate change ................................. 6 15 Abortion ............................................ 6 11 Guns ................................................. 3 10 Immigration ....................................... 3 10 Some other issue (VOL) ................. 1 2 All equal (VOL)................................ 5 5 None are important (VOL). .............. 1 Not sure .......................................... 1 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q17 And, if you had to choose JUST one (ROTATE) the economy or coronavirus, which of these two issues is more important to you in deciding your vote for president – or is something else more important to you in deciding your vote? + The economy.................................... The coronavirus................................ Something other issue ...................... Both (VOL) ....................................... Neither (VOL) ................................... Not sure .......................................... 47 39 11 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q18 In general, in thinking again about your vote in November for president and Congress, which comes closer to the type of candidate you prefer? (ROTATE) Someone who will confront and challenge the establishment in government to shake up how it operates …or… Someone who will bring competence and compassion to the way government operates? 10/912/20+ Will confront and challenge the establishment............................................. 46 Will bring competence and compassion ...................................................... 49 Some of both (VOL) ................................................................................... 2 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 7/20+ 44 46 6 4 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Changing topics and talking about coronavirus… Q19 Thinking about your own state, which of these worries you more – that your state: (ROTATE) Has moved too quickly in loosening restrictions …or… Is taking too long in loosening restrictions? + Your state has moved too quickly in loosening restrictions .......................... 38 Your state is taking too long in loosening restrictions................................... 38 A bit of both (VOL) ..................................................................................... 10 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 14 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED JUNE 2020 TREND As states have begun to lift stay at home orders, which of these worries you more – that your state: (ROTATE) Has moved too quickly in loosening restrictions and the virus will continue to spread with more lives being lost. …or… Is taking too long in loosening restrictions and the economic impact will be even worse with more jobs being lost. + Your state has moved too quickly in loosening restrictions .......................... 44 Your state is taking too long in loosening restrictions .................................. 38 A bit of both (VOL) ..................................................................................... 7 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 11 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q20 When a vaccine for the coronavirus is available, which best describes what you will do… (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) + You will take the vaccine as soon as you can .............................................. 20 You will wait until it has been available for a while to see if there are major problems or side effects ...................................................... 50 You will get the vaccine eventually, but only if you are required to do so .......................................................................................... 10 …or… You will not take the vaccine ........................................................................ 17 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Q21 Study #200870 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the coronavirus? Approve ...................................... Disapprove ..................................... Not sure ....................................... 10/912/20+ 41 57 2 9/20+ 40 57 3 8/20+ 40 58 2 7/20+ 37 59 4 6/20+ 43 55 2 4/20+ 44 52 4 3/20+ 45 51 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q22 Which comes closer to your point of view about Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus: (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) He did not take the threat seriously enough at the beginning and is still not handling it well ....... He did not take the threat seriously enough at the beginning, but is handling it well now ........... He took the threat seriously at the beginning, but is not handling it well now .............................. He took the threat seriously at the beginning, and continues to handle it well ............................. Not sure ..................................................................................................................................... 10/912/20+** 51 13 4 31 1 8/20+ 53 11 5 28 3 4/20+ 45 20 2 30 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. ** Asked of one-half of respondents (FORM B). Q23 Which comes closer to your point of view about how Donald Trump is dealing with his own personal COVID-19 diagnosis? (ROTATE TOP TWO) + He is taking unnecessary risks ..................................................................... 44 He is taking the necessary precautions........................................................ 24 Some of both (VOL) ................................................................................... 29 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Moving on… Q24 When it comes to (READ ITEM) which party do you think would do a better job--the Democratic Party, the Republican Party, or both about the same? If you think that neither would do a good job, please just say so. (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO GIVE THE ADVANTAGE TO THE REPUBLICAN PARTY Dealing with the economy October 9-12, 2020+................. October 2018+ .......................... August 2018+ ........................... April 2018 ................................. December 2017 ........................ June 2017 ................................. April 2016+ ............................... July 2015 .................................. Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+............ September 2014+ ..................... December 2013 ........................ September 2013 ....................... February 2013 .......................... June 2012 ................................. December 2011 ........................ April 2011 ................................. October 14-18, 2010+............... August 5-9, 2010+ .................... March 2010............................... July 2009 .................................. July 2008+ ................................ January 2008 ............................ July 2007 .................................. October 13-16, 2006+............... September 2006+ ..................... March 2006............................... November 2005 ........................ December 2004 ........................ July 2004+ ................................ January 2004+ .......................... December 13, 2003 .................. October 2002+ .......................... June 2002 ................................. June 2001 ................................. December 1999 ........................ March 1999............................... September 1998 ....................... September 1997 ....................... October 1996 ............................ May 1996+................................ December 1995 ........................ June 1995 ................................. October 1994 ............................ July 1994 .................................. June 1994 ................................. October 1993 ............................ March 1993............................... July 1992+ ................................ May 1992 .................................. January 1992+ .......................... October 1991+ .......................... Party Advantage Democratic Party Republican Party Both About The Same Neither Not Sure R-13 R-15 R-14 R-7 D-5 R-7 R-3 R-6 R-9 R-10 R-10 R-4 D-2 R-6 R-3 R-1 R-2 D-6 D-16 D-18 D-15 D-13 D-12 D-12 D-14 D-9 D-8 R-2 R-1 D-6 D-1 D-6 D-3 D-6 R-9 D-4 R-4 R-8 R-12 R-8 R-11 R-5 R-5 D-16 D-8 D-6 D-5 R-1 33 28 29 28 35 29 34 31 30 26 26 29 32 31 28 29 35 32 31 35 41 43 41 43 40 39 39 39 40 36 37 36 32 37 34 35 31 25 36 26 22 17 22 18 21 22 34 26 29 28 27 46 43 43 35 30 36 37 37 39 36 36 33 30 37 31 29 36 34 31 29 25 25 26 30 28 27 25 30 32 38 38 30 31 31 31 29 31 34 32 30 30 29 30 29 26 27 18 18 23 23 28 12 13 15 19 14 18 16 15 15 17 17 19 16 13 18 20 14 16 18 19 14 21 17 17 17 20 17 20 19 15 14 21 24 20 24 26 29 26 15 27 27 29 28 32 39 20 34 35 26 33 26 7 14 11 16 19 15 12 15 16 18 19 17 20 16 20 20 14 17 18 14 14 8 12 7 10 11 14 7 7 8 7 9 9 6 7 6 6 9 10 14 17 23 16 17 12 28 11 18 17 12 14 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 2 3 6 3 4 3 5 3 5 4 2 2 5 4 4 6 4 4 3 6 7 3 4 2 4 4 2 3 3 3 5 4 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Asked October 10-12 only. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO GIVE THE ADVANTAGE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY Q24 (Cont’d) Party Advantage Democratic Party Republican Party Both About The Same Neither Not Sure Dealing with crime October 9-12, 2020+................. December 1999 ........................ March 1999............................... October 1998 + ........................... September 1997 ......................... October 1996 .............................. May 1996+................................ December 1995 ........................ June 1995 ................................. November 1994 ........................ October 1994 ............................ July 1994 .................................. May 1994 .................................. October 1993 ............................ R-12 R-4 R-7 R-8 R-6 D-2 R-10 R-7 R-15 R-11 R-5 R-8 R-11 R-7 29 22 19 19 21 30 21 20 17 14 23 18 9 20 41 26 26 27 27 28 31 27 32 25 28 26 20 27 16 33 37 38 29 21 25 27 25 34 21 33 52 22 11 14 13 10 16 13 16 20 20 19 21 19 15 24 3 5 5 6 7 8 7 6 6 8 7 4 4 7 Dealing with immigration October 9-12, 2020+1 ............... October 2018+ .......................... August 2018+ ........................... April 2018 ................................. June 2017 ................................. April 2016+ ............................... July 2015 .................................. September 2014+ ..................... December 2013 ........................ September 2013 ....................... February 2013 .......................... June 2012 ................................. April 2011 ................................. October 14-18, 2010+............... August 5-9, 2010+ .................... May 20-23, 2010....................... July 2008+ ................................ January 2008 ............................ July 2007 .................................. October 13-16, 2006+............... September 8-11, 2006+ ............ November 2005 ........................ D-6 D-4 D-4 D-7 D-6 D-4 R-2 R-7 D-5 D-4 D-6 D-3 R-7 R-10 R-5 D-4 D-10 D-3 D-2 D-6 44 40 41 36 38 39 30 28 31 30 33 33 25 26 27 23 27 29 29 28 24 25 38 36 37 29 32 35 32 35 26 26 27 30 32 36 32 23 27 25 19 25 22 19 9 9 8 15 13 12 14 15 16 18 15 14 18 15 15 27 15 26 19 21 21 21 8 13 13 17 16 12 21 19 21 21 20 17 23 17 22 23 21 14 26 19 22 26 1 2 1 3 1 2 3 3 6 5 5 6 2 6 4 4 10 6 7 7 11 9 Dealing with the coronavirus October 9-12, 2020+................. D-17 45 28 14 12 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Asked October 10-12 only. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE PERCENTAGE WHO GIVE THE ADVANTAGE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY Q24 (Cont’d) Party Advantage Democratic Party Republican Party Both About The Same Neither Not Sure Dealing with health care October 9-12, 2020+................. October 2018+ .......................... August 2018+ ........................... April 2018 ................................. June 2017 ................................. Oct. 30 – Nov. 1, 2014+............ September 2014+ ..................... December 2013 ........................ September 2013 ....................... February 2013 .......................... June 2012 ................................. December 2011 ........................ April 2011 ................................. October 14-18, 2010+............... August 5-9, 2010+ .................... March 2010............................... July 2009 .................................. July 2008+ ................................ January 2008 ............................ July 2007 .................................. March 2006............................... November 2005 ........................ December 2004 ........................ January 2004 ............................ December 13, 2003 .................. October 2002+ .......................... June 2002 ................................. June 2001 ................................. December 1999 ........................ March 1999............................... October 1998+ .......................... September 1998 ....................... June 1998 ................................. May 1996 .................................. December 1995 ........................ October 1994 ............................ July 1994 .................................. May 1994 .................................. October 1993 ............................ March 1993............................... July 1992+ ................................ April 1992+ ............................... October 1991+ .......................... October 1991 ............................ D-18 D-18 D-18 D-18 D-17 D-7 D-8 D-6 D-8 D-16 D-13 D-13 D-17 D-10 D-10 D-9 D-17 D-31 D-36 D-36 D-31 D-26 D-18 D-26 D-18 D-25 D-22 D-21 D-26 D-24 D-20 D-20 D-13 D-20 D-21 D-12 D-16 D-9 D-28 D-48 D-34 D-36 D-34 D-23 49 45 45 40 43 39 39 36 37 41 41 39 42 42 40 37 40 49 51 49 43 43 39 48 43 46 38 41 43 42 41 40 25 42 43 37 37 26 44 57 44 48 46 39 31 27 27 22 26 32 31 30 29 25 28 26 25 32 30 28 23 18 15 13 12 17 21 22 25 21 16 20 17 18 21 20 12 22 22 25 21 17 16 9 10 12 12 16 8 8 10 13 12 12 10 10 14 11 11 15 14 10 12 15 15 12 17 14 21 17 23 18 14 19 23 21 21 23 26 24 34 16 13 12 18 38 16 17 21 17 18 24 11 18 18 21 18 15 17 22 18 20 16 18 18 15 16 19 19 16 12 21 19 18 11 10 13 11 18 12 13 12 8 13 23 17 16 20 18 15 18 12 19 18 16 12 1 2 4 1 2 3 2 2 3 4 2 1 1 2 1 3 5 5 3 5 5 6 2 6 3 5 6 6 5 4 3 6 3 6 6 6 4 6 5 6 5 8 9 Dealing with race relations October 9-12, 2020+................. January 2003 ............................ October 1993 ............................ May 1992 .................................. D-19 D-22 D-26 D-25 47 35 38 39 28 13 12 14 9 34 16 19 14 14 27 20 2 4 7 8 49 22 11 14 5 40 39 40 53 48 13 15 13 8 9 18 18 22 22 19 22 21 19 10 17 7 7 6 7 7 Dealing with climate change October 9-12, 2020+1 ............... D-27 Related Trend: Dealing with global warming August 2010 ............................. D-27 March 2010............................... D-24 July 2009 .................................. D-27 January 2008 ........................... D-45 July 2007 .................................. D-39 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Asked October 10-12 only. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 21 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Getting towards the end of the survey… Q25 Now let me read you some concerns you may hear about each of the candidates for president. For each one, please tell me whether this issue gives you major concerns, moderate concerns, minor concerns, or no real concerns about that candidate. (RANDOMIZE) THIS TABLE RANKED BY PERCENTAGE WHO SAY MAJOR OR MODERATE CONCERNS Major Moderate Minor No Real Concerns Concerns Concerns Concerns Donald Trump will divide the country rather than uniting the country. October 9-12, 2020+** ................................................... 53 7 10 29 Donald Trump not having the right temperament to serve as Commander-in-Chief. October 9-12, 2020+** ................................................... Not Sure 1 49 11 12 28 - September, 2016+ ......................................................... 53 52 11 14 12 15 24 19 - Donald Trump will hurt the health of Americans by not going far enough in response to COVID-19. October 9-12, 2020+*..................................................... 46 10 11 32 1 Joe Biden would allow the Democratic Party to pursue very liberal policies. October 9-12, 2020+** ................................................... 41 12 14 32 1 Joe Biden has been in Washington for 47 years and has not accomplished much during that time. October 9-12, 2020+*..................................................... 39 13 16 31 1 Donald Trump not having the necessary mental and physical health to be president. October 9-12, 2020+ ...................................................... 41 10 13 36 - Joe Biden not having the necessary mental and physical health to be president. October 9-12, 2020+ ...................................................... 38 13 19 29 1 Joe Biden will hurt the economy by going too far in response to COVID-19. October 9-12, 2020+*..................................................... 34 15 16 34 1 October 10-13, 2016+ .................................................... * Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM A) October 9, asked of full sample October 10-12. ** Asked of one-half the respondents (FORM B) October 9, asked of full sample October 10-12. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 Study #200870 -- page 22 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure...................................................................................................... 22 16 19 22 2 1 2 1 13 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 10/912/20+ 9/20+ 8/20+ 7/20+ Supporter of Donald Trump ......................................................................... 46 53 49 53 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 42 37 37 39 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 8 6 9 3 Neither (VOL)............................................................................................. 4 3 4 4 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 1 1 1 10/2730/19+ 52 38 6 2 2 10/46/19+ 48 39 8 4 1 9/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 6/20+ 52 38 4 4 2 4/20+ 54 35 4 7 - 3/20+ 52 39 5 3 1 2/20+ 45 42 5 6 2 1/20+ 49 40 6 3 2 12/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 5/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-at-home mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? + Currently Employed Professional, manager .................. White-collar worker ....................... Blue-collar worker ......................... Farmer, rancher ............................ Not Currently Employed Student ......................................... Stay at home mom/dad................. Retired .......................................... Unemployed, looking for work ...... Other............................................. Not sure ...................................... 24 19 17 1 4 4 26 4 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 QF3 Study #200870 -- page 23 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) + Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... 4 24 16 2 15 22 1 10 5 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") + Strong Democrat............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... 27 7 8 13 7 5 24 7 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? + Very liberal .........................................................12 Somewhat liberal ................................................13 Moderate ............................................................37 Somewhat conservative .....................................16 Very conservative ...............................................19 Not sure............................................................3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Mid-October 2020 QF7a Study #200870 -- page 24 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is your religion? + Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal, Presbyterian, and other Christians) .......................................... Catholic...................................................................................... Jewish........................................................................................ Muslim ....................................................................................... Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........ Other ......................................................................................... None .......................................................................................... Not sure/refused ...................................................................... 44 19 2 1 11 19 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF7c Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not describe yourself that way? + Fundamentalist/evangelical ............................................15 Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ...........................79 Not sure ........................................................................6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? + Poor ................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class .................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... 8 26 42 19 4 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED IF RESPONDENT LIVES IN SUBURBAN GEOGRAPHY) QF9 Do you live in a suburban area that is closer to a large city or in a suburban area that is farther away from a large city? + Closer to a large city...................................... Farther away from a large city ....................... Not sure....................................................... 59 38 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF1c And, will the 2020 election be the first time you have ever voted for President? + Yes ................................................................ No.................................................................. Not sure....................................................... 8 92 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.