Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Arizona 2020 Likely Voters Survey conducted on October 4th - 8th, 2020 n=608 with a MoE +/- 3.97% Blended Phone Survey via 45.7% Live caller/ 54.3% IVR *Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding Crosstab 2 Generated on October 14, 2020 Gender Total Party Total Sample Size 608 2016 Vote Total Sample Size 608 F Count Column % Sample Size 608 317 52% DEM Count Column % 206 34% M Count Column % Donald Trump Count Column % 269 44% 291 48% IND Count Column % 160 26% Hillary Clinton Count Column % 263 43% Age Total Sample Size 608 REP Count Column % 241 40% Third Party Count Column % 42 7% 18-34 Count Column % 140 23% Total Not Eligible/No vote Count Column % 29 5% Unsure Count Column % 5 1% Ideology Total Ethnicity Sample Size 608 92 15% 45-54 Count Column % White Count Column % 437 72% 104 17% 55-64 Count Column % Hispanic/Latino Count Column % 92 15% 109 18% Other Count Column % 77 13% Refused Count Column % 2 0% Education Total Sample Size 608 35-44 Count Column % 65+ Count Column % 163 27% Region Total Sample Size 608 Maricopa Count Column % 365 60% Pima Count Column % HS or Less Count Column % 116 19% 90 15% Rural Count Column % Some College Count Column % 183 30% 153 25% College Educated Count Column % 213 35% Post Graduate Count Column % 95 16% Refused Count Column % 0 0% Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter Sample Size 608 Conservative Count Column % 174 29% Moderate Count Column % 264 43% Liberal Count Column % 170 28% Refused Count Column % 0 0% Table of contents Survey First, how likely are you to vote in the Arizona 2020 General Election? Which method are you likeliest to use to vote in the 2020 Election? How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting in this year’s presidential election --extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? When it comes to President Donald Trump, what is your approval of the job he is doing so far? When you cast your vote for a member of Congress, which party will you vote for? Do you believe that Arizona is on the right track or heading in the wrong direction? Which one of the following issues would you say is the most pressing issue facing Arizona? 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Now, here are the names of some people or organizations in the news. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each. If you have no opinion or have never heard of the person, just say so. Donald Trump 10 Joe Biden 11 Martha McSally 12 Kyrsten Sinema 13 Mark Kelly 14 If the U.S. Senate race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for? 15 On the ballot in Arizona, you will have the option to vote for one of the following three candidates. If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for? 16 Now, imagine the Presidential race were just between the two major party candidates. If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for? 17 On the ballot in November, you will be also be asked to vote on Proposition 207. I will now read to you the description of the proposition you will see on your ballot: quote THE LAW WOULD ALLOW LIMITED MARIJUANA POSSESSION, USE, AND CULTIVATION BY ADULTS 21 OR OLDER; AMEND CRIMINAL PENALTIES FOR MARIJUANA POSSESSION; BAN SMOKING MARIJUANA IN PUBLIC; IMPOSE A 16% EXCISE TAX ON MARIJUANA SALES TO FUND PUBLIC PROGRAMS; AUTHORIZE STATE/LOCAL REGULATION OF MARIJUANA LICENSEES; AND ALLOW EXPUNGEMENT OF MARIJUANA OFFENSES. End quote Based on the description you just heard, do you support or oppose Proposition 207? 18 On the ballot in November, you will be also be asked to vote on Proposition 208. I will now read to you the description of the proposition you will see on your ballot: quote THE LAW WOULD IMPOSE A 3.5% TAX SURCHARGE ON TAXABLE ANNUAL INCOME OVER $250,000 FOR SINGLE PERSONS OR MARRIED PERSONS FILING SEPARATELY, OR $500,000 FOR MARRIED PERSONS FILING JOINTLY OR HEADS OF HOUSEHOLDS, TO INCREASE FUNDING FOR PUBLIC EDUCATION end quote Based on the description you just heard, do you support or oppose Proposition 208? 19 As you may know, Governor Doug Ducey has been involved in combating the spread of the Coronavirus in the state of Arizona. Please tell me if you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove he is doing specifically regarding the Coronavirus. If you have no opinion or are unsure, just say so. 20 Now, how concerned would you say you are specifically about the recent spread of the Coronavirus in the state of Arizona? 21 Overall, do you believe the Coronavirus (COVID-19) issue in the State of Arizona will get better or get worse in the next 30 days? 22 2 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 First, how likely are you to vote in the Arizona 2020 General Election? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Very Likely Count Column % 593 98% 308 97% 285 98% 357 98% 87 97% 148 97% 329 98% 264 97% 202 98% 154 96% 236 98% 292 97% 301 98% - Somewhat Likely Count Column % 15 2% 9 3% 6 2% 8 2% 3 3% 5 3% 7 2% 8 3% 5 2% 6 4% 5 2% 8 3% 7 2% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 3 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Which method are you likeliest to use to vote in the 2020 Election? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - I will receive my ballot in the mail and return it by mail Count Column % 273 45% 141 44% 132 46% 171 47% 49 54% 53 35% 145 43% 128 47% 109 53% 73 46% 91 38% 138 46% 136 44% - I will receive my ballot in the mail and plan to physically return it at a polling location or ballot dropbox BEFORE election day Count Column % 143 24% 74 23% 69 24% 85 23% 17 19% 41 27% 80 24% 64 23% 62 30% 40 25% 41 17% 58 19% 85 28% - I will receive my ballot in the mail and plan to physically return it at a polling location or ballot dropbox ON election day Count Column % 26 4% 13 4% 13 5% 15 4% 4 5% 7 5% 13 4% 13 5% 8 4% 5 3% 14 6% 15 5% 11 4% - I plan on voting in-person BEFORE Election Day Count Column % 67 11% 41 13% 26 9% 43 12% 9 9% 16 11% 36 11% 31 11% 15 7% 12 7% 40 17% 37 12% 30 10% - I plan on voting in-person ON Election Day Count Column % 94 15% 46 15% 48 16% 48 13% 12 13% 35 23% 59 17% 35 13% 13 6% 26 17% 55 23% 50 17% 44 14% - Unsure/Refused Count Column % 4 1% 2 1% 2 1% 4 1% 0 0% 0 0% 3 1% 1 0% 0 0% 3 2% 0 0% 2 1% 2 1% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 4 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting in this year’s presidential election --extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all enthusiastic? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Extremely Count Column % 420 69% 211 67% 209 72% 246 67% 66 74% 108 71% 216 64% 205 75% 137 66% 108 67% 176 73% 208 69% 213 69% - Very Count Column % 97 16% 52 16% 44 15% 61 17% 12 13% 24 16% 56 17% 40 15% 41 20% 23 15% 33 14% 48 16% 48 16% - Somewhat Count Column % 41 7% 22 7% 19 6% 27 7% 6 7% 7 5% 26 8% 14 5% 13 6% 12 7% 16 7% 12 4% 29 9% - Not Too Count Column % 23 4% 14 4% 9 3% 16 4% 2 2% 5 3% 17 5% 6 2% 8 4% 5 3% 9 4% 10 3% 13 4% - Not At All Count Column % 26 4% 17 5% 9 3% 15 4% 3 4% 8 5% 20 6% 6 2% 7 3% 12 8% 7 3% 20 7% 6 2% - Unsure Count Column % 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 5 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 When it comes to President Donald Trump, what is your approval of the job he is doing so far? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate d d Refused REP Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Strongly Approve Count Column % 233 38% 107 34% 126 43% 141 39% 24 26% 69 45% 103 31% 130 48% 10 5% 37 23% 186 77% 135 45% 98 32% - Somewhat Approve Count Column % 65 11% 40 13% 25 9% 45 12% 9 10% 11 7% 42 13% 22 8% 10 5% 20 12% 36 15% 33 11% 32 10% - Somewhat Disapprove Count Column % 21 4% 10 3% 12 4% 14 4% 4 5% 3 2% 16 5% 5 2% 7 4% 10 6% 4 2% 14 5% 7 2% - Strongly Disapprove Count Column % 279 46% 153 48% 125 43% 164 45% 48 54% 66 43% 165 49% 113 42% 175 85% 90 56% 13 5% 109 36% 170 55% - Unsure/No Opinion Count Column % 10 2% 7 2% 3 1% 2 0% 4 5% 4 2% 8 2% 2 1% 4 2% 3 2% 2 1% 8 3% 2 1% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 6 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 When you cast your vote for a member of Congress, which party will you vote for? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - The Democratic Candidate Count Column % 274 45% 153 48% 120 41% 157 43% 50 56% 67 44% 163 49% 110 41% 185 90% 78 49% 11 5% 114 38% 160 52% - The Republican Candidate Count Column % 271 45% 133 42% 138 47% 167 46% 33 36% 72 47% 125 37% 146 54% 11 5% 46 29% 215 89% 156 52% 116 37% - Other Count Column % 36 6% 17 5% 19 7% 24 6% 3 3% 10 6% 29 9% 7 3% 3 1% 25 16% 9 4% 19 6% 17 6% - Unsure/No Opinion Count Column % 24 4% 11 3% 13 5% 16 4% 4 5% 3 2% 15 5% 9 3% 8 4% 12 7% 5 2% 9 3% 15 5% - Refused Count Column % 2 0% 2 1% 0 0% 1 0% 0 0% 1 1% 2 1% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 2 1% 1 0% 1 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 7 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Do you believe that Arizona is on the right track or heading in the wrong direction? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Right Track Count Column % 288 47% 144 45% 144 49% 189 52% 33 37% 65 43% 155 46% 133 49% 80 39% 62 39% 146 61% 139 47% 148 48% - Wrong Direction Count Column % 203 33% 102 32% 101 35% 122 33% 30 33% 51 34% 115 34% 88 32% 81 39% 68 43% 54 22% 92 31% 110 36% - Unsure Count Column % 117 19% 71 22% 47 16% 55 15% 27 30% 36 24% 65 20% 52 19% 46 22% 30 19% 42 17% 68 23% 50 16% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 8 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Which one of the following issues would you say is the most pressing issue facing Arizona? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - National Defense Count Column % 14 2% 4 1% 10 3% 10 3% 1 2% 2 1% 6 2% 7 3% 3 2% 6 4% 4 2% 13 4% 1 0% - Education Count Column % 176 29% 99 31% 77 26% 114 31% 28 31% 34 22% 115 34% 61 22% 84 41% 47 29% 45 19% 75 25% 101 33% - Health Care Count Column % 123 20% 68 22% 55 19% 71 20% 24 27% 28 18% 69 20% 55 20% 69 34% 31 19% 23 10% 57 19% 67 22% - Jobs And The Economy Count Column % 143 23% 59 19% 83 29% 88 24% 17 19% 38 25% 81 24% 61 22% 23 11% 34 22% 85 35% 70 23% 73 24% - Transportation Count Column % 4 1% 1 0% 4 1% 3 1% 2 2% 0 0% 4 1% 1 0% 0 0% 2 1% 2 1% 1 0% 4 1% - Immigration Count Column % 73 12% 45 14% 28 10% 38 10% 8 9% 27 18% 22 7% 51 19% 8 4% 25 16% 40 17% 48 16% 24 8% - Gun Policies Count Column % 23 4% 14 5% 9 3% 12 3% 5 5% 6 4% 11 3% 13 5% 6 3% 4 2% 13 5% 9 3% 14 5% - Something Else Count Column % 36 6% 13 4% 23 8% 23 6% 5 5% 9 6% 22 6% 15 5% 10 5% 9 6% 17 7% 18 6% 18 6% - Unsure Count Column % 16 3% 13 4% 3 1% 7 2% 0 0% 9 6% 7 2% 9 3% 4 2% 2 1% 11 5% 9 3% 7 2% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 9 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Now, here are the names of some people or organizations in the news. Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of each. If you have no opinion or have never heard of the person, just say so. Donald Trump Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Very Favorable Count Column % 227 37% 105 33% 122 42% 140 38% 25 27% 63 41% 98 29% 129 47% 11 5% 37 23% 180 74% 133 44% 95 31% - Somewhat Favorable Count Column % 66 11% 36 11% 29 10% 42 11% 7 8% 17 11% 42 12% 24 9% 7 3% 17 11% 41 17% 32 11% 34 11% - Unfavorable Count Column % 48 8% 27 8% 21 7% 28 8% 11 12% 9 6% 34 10% 14 5% 18 9% 20 12% 10 4% 33 11% 15 5% - Very Unfavorable Count Column % 262 43% 146 46% 116 40% 155 42% 46 51% 61 40% 158 47% 104 38% 169 82% 85 53% 8 3% 99 33% 164 53% - Heard Of, No Opinion Count Column % 5 1% 3 1% 2 1% 2 0% 1 1% 2 1% 4 1% 2 1% 2 1% 1 1% 2 1% 3 1% 2 1% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 10 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Joe Biden Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Very Favorable Count Column % 179 29% 106 33% 73 25% 104 28% 30 34% 45 29% 94 28% 86 31% 121 59% 46 29% 12 5% 80 27% 99 32% - Somewhat Favorable Count Column % 132 22% 67 21% 64 22% 80 22% 25 28% 27 17% 96 28% 36 13% 65 32% 54 34% 13 5% 50 17% 81 26% - Unfavorable Count Column % 84 14% 43 14% 41 14% 49 13% 14 16% 21 14% 48 14% 36 13% 8 4% 22 14% 54 22% 40 13% 44 14% - Very Unfavorable Count Column % 202 33% 98 31% 104 36% 125 34% 17 19% 60 39% 88 26% 114 42% 8 4% 37 23% 157 65% 122 41% 80 26% - Heard Of, No Opinion Count Column % 10 2% 2 1% 7 3% 6 2% 3 3% 1 0% 10 3% 0 0% 3 1% 1 1% 6 2% 7 2% 3 1% - Never Heard Of Count Column % 1 0% 0 0% 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 11 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Martha McSally Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Very Favorable Count Column % 155 25% 61 19% 94 32% 96 26% 14 16% 44 29% 62 18% 93 34% 6 3% 29 18% 120 50% 97 32% 58 19% - Somewhat Favorable Count Column % 103 17% 52 16% 51 17% 59 16% 16 17% 28 19% 52 16% 50 19% 12 6% 15 10% 75 31% 54 18% 49 16% - Unfavorable Count Column % 100 17% 58 18% 43 15% 59 16% 19 22% 22 14% 61 18% 39 14% 53 26% 30 19% 17 7% 42 14% 58 19% - Very Unfavorable Count Column % 202 33% 114 36% 87 30% 115 31% 37 42% 50 32% 115 34% 87 32% 123 60% 66 41% 13 5% 79 26% 123 40% - Heard Of, No Opinion Count Column % 34 6% 25 8% 9 3% 25 7% 3 3% 6 4% 31 9% 3 1% 5 2% 14 9% 14 6% 17 6% 16 5% - Never Heard Of Count Column % 15 2% 8 2% 7 2% 12 3% 0 0% 3 2% 14 4% 1 0% 7 3% 6 4% 2 1% 10 3% 5 1% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 12 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Kyrsten Sinema Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Very Favorable Count Column % 127 21% 66 21% 60 21% 75 21% 18 21% 33 21% 68 20% 59 22% 77 37% 28 17% 22 9% 58 19% 69 22% - Somewhat Favorable Count Column % 173 28% 88 28% 85 29% 94 26% 40 44% 39 26% 107 32% 66 24% 83 40% 46 29% 44 18% 66 22% 107 35% - Unfavorable Count Column % 96 16% 54 17% 42 15% 58 16% 13 14% 25 16% 50 15% 46 17% 11 6% 20 13% 65 27% 50 17% 46 15% - Very Unfavorable Count Column % 91 15% 35 11% 56 19% 62 17% 6 6% 23 15% 36 11% 55 20% 4 2% 21 13% 66 27% 59 20% 31 10% - Heard Of, No Opinion Count Column % 58 10% 32 10% 26 9% 38 10% 5 6% 16 10% 36 11% 22 8% 13 6% 18 11% 27 11% 29 10% 29 9% - Never Heard Of Count Column % 62 10% 41 13% 21 7% 38 10% 8 9% 15 10% 38 11% 24 9% 17 8% 26 17% 18 8% 36 12% 26 8% - Refused Count Column % 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 1% 0 0% 1 0% 0 0% 1 1% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 13 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Mark Kelly Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Very Favorable Count Column % 188 31% 113 36% 76 26% 108 30% 37 41% 43 28% 96 29% 92 34% 124 60% 57 35% 8 3% 81 27% 108 35% - Somewhat Favorable Count Column % 111 18% 54 17% 58 20% 69 19% 16 18% 27 17% 82 24% 30 11% 48 23% 39 24% 24 10% 40 13% 71 23% - Unfavorable Count Column % 82 13% 40 13% 42 14% 47 13% 11 13% 23 15% 42 12% 40 15% 9 4% 23 14% 50 21% 43 14% 39 13% - Very Unfavorable Count Column % 176 29% 78 25% 98 34% 109 30% 18 20% 49 32% 75 22% 101 37% 9 4% 25 16% 142 59% 110 37% 66 21% - Heard Of, No Opinion Count Column % 35 6% 23 7% 12 4% 22 6% 4 5% 8 5% 26 8% 9 3% 11 5% 13 8% 11 5% 17 6% 17 6% - Never Heard Of Count Column % 16 3% 10 3% 6 2% 9 3% 4 5% 3 2% 15 5% 1 0% 5 3% 4 2% 7 3% 8 3% 7 2% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 14 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 If the U.S. Senate race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Noncollege College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Democrat Mark Kelly Count Column % 302 50% 171 54% 131 45% 182 50% 53 59% 68 44% 186 55% 116 43% 186 90% 100 62% 16 7% 120 40% 183 59% - Republican Martha Mcsally Count Column % 272 45% 129 41% 144 49% 161 44% 33 37% 78 51% 125 37% 147 54% 13 6% 45 28% 214 89% 161 54% 111 36% - Unsure/Undecided Count Column % 31 5% 17 5% 14 5% 20 6% 4 4% 7 4% 23 7% 8 3% 7 3% 14 9% 10 4% 17 6% 14 4% - Refused Count Column % 3 0% 0 0% 3 1% 3 1% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% 1 1% 0 0% 1 1% 1 1% 1 0% 1 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 15 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 On the ballot in Arizona, you will have the option to vote for one of the following three candidates. If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Democrat Joe Biden Count Column % 298 49% 170 54% 127 44% 175 48% 53 59% 70 46% 181 54% 117 43% 187 91% 94 59% 17 7% 124 42% 173 56% - Republican Donald Trump Count Column % 271 45% 130 41% 141 48% 166 45% 31 34% 74 49% 126 38% 145 53% 15 7% 45 28% 211 87% 154 51% 117 38% - Libertarian Jo Jorgensen Count Column % 24 4% 10 3% 14 5% 15 4% 4 4% 5 3% 19 6% 5 2% 1 1% 12 7% 10 4% 13 4% 11 4% - Unsure/Undecided Count Column % 14 2% 7 2% 7 2% 8 2% 2 2% 4 3% 10 3% 4 2% 3 1% 9 6% 2 1% 7 2% 7 2% - Refused Count Column % 1 0% 0 0% 1 1% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 1% 0 0% 0 0% 1 1% 1 0% 0 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 16 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Now, imagine the Presidential race were just between the two major party candidates. If the U.S. Presidential race was held today, which of the following candidates, listed in random order, would you be most likely to vote for? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Democrat Joe Biden Count Column % 303 50% 170 54% 133 46% 178 49% 55 61% 71 46% 185 55% 118 43% 189 91% 97 61% 17 7% 125 42% 178 58% - Republican Donald Trump Count Column % 286 47% 140 44% 146 50% 176 48% 34 38% 76 50% 137 41% 149 55% 16 8% 53 33% 218 90% 160 54% 126 41% - Unsure/Undecided Count Column % 17 3% 6 2% 11 4% 11 3% 1 1% 5 3% 11 3% 6 2% 1 1% 9 5% 7 3% 13 4% 3 1% - Refused Count Column % 2 0% 1 0% 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% 1 1% 2 1% 0 0% 1 0% 1 1% 0 0% 1 0% 1 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 17 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 On the ballot in November, you will be also be asked to vote on Proposition 207. I will now read to you the description of the proposition you will see on your ballot: quote THE LAW WOULD ALLOW LIMITED MARIJUANA POSSESSION, USE, AND CULTIVATION BY ADULTS 21 OR OLDER; AMEND CRIMINAL PENALTIES FOR MARIJUANA POSSESSION; BAN SMOKING MARIJUANA IN PUBLIC; IMPOSE A 16% EXCISE TAX ON MARIJUANA SALES TO FUND PUBLIC PROGRAMS; AUTHORIZE STATE/LOCAL REGULATION OF MARIJUANA LICENSEES; AND ALLOW EXPUNGEMENT OF MARIJUANA OFFENSES. End quote Based on the description you just heard, do you support or oppose Proposition 207? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Support Prop 207 Count Column % 334 55% 179 57% 155 53% 203 56% 52 58% 79 52% 212 63% 122 45% 163 79% 115 72% 56 23% 143 48% 191 62% - Oppose Prop 207 Count Column % 223 37% 103 32% 121 41% 128 35% 31 34% 64 42% 91 27% 133 49% 25 12% 35 22% 164 68% 135 45% 89 29% - Unsure Count Column % 45 7% 31 10% 14 5% 31 9% 4 4% 10 6% 30 9% 15 5% 15 7% 10 6% 19 8% 19 6% 25 8% - Refused Count Column % 6 1% 4 1% 2 1% 3 1% 3 3% 0 0% 3 1% 3 1% 3 2% 0 0% 3 1% 2 1% 4 1% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 18 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 On the ballot in November, you will be also be asked to vote on Proposition 208. I will now read to you the description of the proposition you will see on your ballot: quote THE LAW WOULD IMPOSE A 3.5% TAX SURCHARGE ON TAXABLE ANNUAL INCOME OVER $250,000 FOR SINGLE PERSONS OR MARRIED PERSONS FILING SEPARATELY, OR $500,000 FOR MARRIED PERSONS FILING JOINTLY OR HEADS OF HOUSEHOLDS, TO INCREASE FUNDING FOR PUBLIC EDUCATION end quote Based on the description you just heard, do you support or oppose Proposition 208? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Support Prop 208 Count Column % 336 55% 187 59% 149 51% 201 55% 56 62% 78 51% 206 61% 130 48% 171 83% 104 65% 60 25% 149 50% 187 61% - Oppose Prop 208 Count Column % 234 39% 106 33% 129 44% 142 39% 28 31% 64 42% 109 32% 126 46% 25 12% 47 29% 162 67% 129 43% 106 34% - Unsure Count Column % 35 6% 22 7% 13 4% 20 5% 5 6% 10 7% 20 6% 15 6% 10 5% 8 5% 17 7% 20 7% 15 5% - Refused Count Column % 3 0% 2 1% 1 0% 2 0% 1 1% 0 0% 1 0% 2 1% 0 0% 0 0% 3 1% 2 1% 1 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 19 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 As you may know, Governor Doug Ducey has been involved in combating the spread of the Coronavirus in the state of Arizona. Please tell me if you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove he is doing specifically regarding the Coronavirus. If you have no opinion or are unsure, just say so. Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Strongly Approve Count Column % 91 15% 49 15% 42 14% 58 16% 5 6% 28 18% 40 12% 50 18% 11 5% 21 13% 58 24% 48 16% 43 14% - Somewhat Approve Count Column % 187 31% 94 30% 92 32% 110 30% 26 28% 51 34% 86 26% 100 37% 47 23% 42 26% 97 40% 97 33% 89 29% - Somewhat Disapprove Count Column % 149 24% 81 26% 67 23% 94 26% 28 31% 27 18% 95 28% 54 20% 59 29% 46 29% 43 18% 65 22% 83 27% - Strongly Disapprove Count Column % 163 27% 83 26% 79 27% 100 27% 28 31% 35 23% 103 31% 60 22% 83 40% 45 28% 34 14% 75 25% 88 28% - Unsure/No Opinion Count Column % 19 3% 9 3% 10 3% 4 1% 3 3% 12 8% 10 3% 9 3% 6 3% 5 3% 8 3% 13 4% 5 2% - Refused Count Column % 1 0% 0 0% 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 0% 1 0% 0 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 20 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Now, how concerned would you say you are specifically about the recent spread of the Coronavirus in the state of Arizona? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Extremely Concerned Count Column % 205 34% 120 38% 85 29% 116 32% 39 44% 49 32% 108 32% 97 36% 123 60% 55 34% 27 11% 93 31% 112 36% - Moderately Concerned Count Column % 113 19% 66 21% 48 16% 71 19% 17 19% 26 17% 73 22% 41 15% 40 19% 33 21% 40 17% 53 18% 60 20% - Somewhat Concerned Count Column % 109 18% 64 20% 45 16% 69 19% 17 19% 24 15% 55 16% 55 20% 23 11% 38 24% 48 20% 51 17% 58 19% - Slightly Concerned Count Column % 89 15% 27 9% 62 21% 48 13% 11 12% 30 20% 42 13% 47 17% 16 8% 13 8% 61 25% 55 18% 34 11% - Not At All Concerned Count Column % 89 15% 38 12% 52 18% 61 17% 6 7% 22 14% 56 17% 33 12% 5 2% 19 12% 66 27% 47 16% 42 14% - Refused Count Column % 2 0% 2 1% 0 0% 0 0% 0 0% 2 1% 2 1% 0 0% 0 0% 2 1% 0 0% 0 0% 2 1% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 21 Arizona Public Opinion Pulse Toplines and Crosstabs Generated on October 14, 2020 Overall, do you believe the Coronavirus (COVID-19) issue in the State of Arizona will get better or get worse in the next 30 days? Total Gender Region Age_Combined Party Education Non college College educate educate REP d d Refused Total F M Maricop a Pima Rural 18-54 55+ DEM IND Sample Size 608 317 291 365 90 153 335 272 206 160 241 299 308 - Much Better Count Column % 116 19% 52 16% 64 22% 73 20% 12 13% 32 21% 43 13% 73 27% 5 3% 27 17% 84 35% 68 23% 49 16% - Somewhat Better Count Column % 145 24% 71 22% 74 25% 87 24% 24 27% 34 22% 82 25% 62 23% 30 15% 42 26% 72 30% 83 28% 62 20% - About The Same Count Column % 114 19% 64 20% 49 17% 73 20% 12 14% 29 19% 58 17% 56 20% 42 20% 23 14% 49 20% 56 19% 58 19% - Somewhat Worse Count Column % 149 24% 85 27% 64 22% 94 26% 27 30% 28 18% 101 30% 47 17% 81 39% 48 30% 19 8% 54 18% 95 31% - Much Worse Count Column % 74 12% 41 13% 33 11% 34 9% 14 16% 26 17% 46 14% 28 10% 44 21% 18 11% 12 5% 34 11% 40 13% - Unsure/No Opinion Count Column % 9 1% 4 1% 5 2% 5 1% 1 1% 3 2% 5 1% 4 1% 4 2% 1 1% 4 1% 3 1% 5 2% - Refused Count Column % 1 0% 0 0% 1 0% 0 0% 0 0% 1 1% 0 0% 1 1% 0 0% 0 0% 1 1% 1 0% 0 0% - Weight Variable = 2020 Likely Voter 22