Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 1 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Interviews: 1000 Registered Voters, including 590 respondents with a cell phone only. An additional 539 interviews were completed with registered voters for a total of N=833 interviews in swing states. An additional 310 interviews were completed with Hispanic/Latino registered voters for a total of N=410 interviews. An additional 97 interviews were completed with Black registered voters for a total of N=217 interviews. Interviews were completed in English and Spanish. Date: October 29-31, 2020 National RVs 48 Male 52 Female Study #200986 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated. The margin of error for 1000 interviews among Registered Voters is ±3.10% The margin of error for 833 interviews among Registered Voters in Swing States is ±3.40% The margin of error for 410 interviews among Hispanic/Latino Registered Voters is ±4.84% The margin of error for 217 interviews among Black Registered Voters is ±6.65% Unless otherwise noted by a “+” or “++”, all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults. Q2a For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are? (IF “REFUSED,” ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) + 18-24 .................................................................... 10 25-29 .................................................................... 7 30-34 .................................................................... 10 35-39 .................................................................... 5 40-44 .................................................................... 9 45-49 .................................................................... 9 50-54 .................................................................... 10 55-59 .................................................................... 10 60-64 .................................................................... 11 65-69 .................................................................... 7 70-74 .................................................................... 5 75 and over ........................................................... 6 Not sure/refused ................................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Q2b Study #200986 -- page 2 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic or Spanish-speaking background? + Yes, Hispanic ................................................... 10 No, not Hispanic............................................... 89 Not sure/refused ............................................ 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q2c And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? + White ............................................................... 77 Black ............................................................... 12 Asian ............................................................... 2 Other ............................................................... 4 Hispanic (VOL).............................................. 4 Not sure/refused ........................................... 1 White, Non-Hispanic ....................................... 72 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q3 Registered Voter. + Yes ................................................... 100 No ..................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Q4 Study #200986 -- page 3 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now, all in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? High Headed in the right direction ...... Off on the wrong track................ Mixed (VOL)............................. Not sure ................................... 10/2931/20+ 31 60 4 5 10/912/20+ 29 62 5 4 7/20+ 19 72 5 4 3/20+ 37 56 4 3 12/19 35 56 6 3 8/19 33 60 5 2 1/19 28 63 6 3 12/18 33 56 9 2 9/01 72 11 11 6 Low 10/1720/08+ 12 78 7 3 11/18+ 38 54 4 4 6/18+ 36 55 5 4 4/18 31 62 5 2 12/17 29 63 4 4 4/17 34 59 3 4 2/17 40 51 3 6 1/17 37 52 5 6 12/16 33 54 6 7 10/1013/16+ 29 65 5 1 9/16+ 30 62 5 3 8/16+ 32 62 3 3 7/16+ 18 73 6 3 6/16+ 21 71 5 3 4/16+ 24 70 4 2 1/16+ 29 63 5 3 12/15 20 70 6 4 10/2529/15 27 64 5 4 6/15 31 61 4 4 4/15 28 62 6 4 1/15 31 59 5 5 12/14 27 64 6 3 11/14+ 27 63 6 4 6/14 25 63 7 5 4/14 27 63 6 4 1/14 28 63 5 4 12/13 29 64 5 2 10/2528/13 22 70 4 4 6/13 32 59 6 3 4/13 31 61 5 3 1/13 35 57 4 4 12/12 41 53 3 3 10/12+ 41 53 4 2 6/12 31 61 5 3 4/12 33 59 6 2 1/12 30 61 5 4 12/11 22 69 6 3 10/11 17 74 5 4 6/11 29 62 6 3 4/11 28 63 6 3 1/11 35 56 5 4 12/10 28 63 6 3 10/2830/10+ 31 60 5 4 6/10 29 62 5 4 3/10 33 59 5 3 1/1014/10 34 54 10 2 12/09 33 55 10 2 10/09 36 52 9 3 6/09 42 46 9 3 4/09 43 43 10 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Q5 Study #200986 -- page 4 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? (IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE) And, do you strongly or just somewhat (approve/disapprove) of the job Donald Trump is doing as president? 10/2931/20+ Total approve ............................... 45 Strongly approve ......................... 35 Somewhat approve .................... 10 Total disapprove ......................... 52 Somewhat disapprove .............. 4 Strongly disapprove .................... 48 Not sure .................................... 3 10/912/20+ 44 32 12 54 7 47 2 9/3010/1/20+ 43 31 12 55 5 50 2 9/20+ 45 34 11 53 7 46 2 8/20+ 44 33 11 53 6 47 3 7/20+ 42 30 12 56 6 50 2 6/20+ 45 31 14 53 6 47 2 4/20+ 46 32 14 51 7 44 3 3/20+ 46 33 13 51 8 43 3 2/20+ 47 33 14 50 7 43 3 1/20+ 46 36 10 51 7 44 3 12/19 44 33 11 54 10 44 2 10/2730/19 45 31 14 53 8 45 2 10/46/19 43 29 14 53 7 46 4 9/19+ 45 33 12 53 7 46 2 8/19 43 29 14 55 9 46 2 7/19+ 45 32 13 52 10 42 3 6/19 44 29 15 53 9 44 3 5/19 46 29 17 51 10 41 3 3/19 43 30 13 53 10 43 4 2/19 46 31 15 52 9 43 2 1/19 43 29 14 54 7 47 3 12/18 43 27 16 54 10 44 3 11/18+ 46 32 14 52 7 45 2 10/18+ 47 30 17 49 6 43 4 9/18+ 44 29 15 52 7 45 4 8/2225/18+ 44 31 13 52 9 43 4 8/1822/18+ 46 30 16 51 7 44 3 7/18+ 45 29 16 52 8 44 3 6/18+ 44 26 18 53 11 42 3 4/18 39 22 17 57 13 44 4 3/18 43 25 18 53 10 43 4 1/18 39 26 13 57 6 51 4 12/17 41 24 17 56 8 48 3 10/17 38 22 16 58 9 49 4 9/17 43 25 18 52 10 42 5 8/17 40 24 16 55 10 45 5 6/17 40 25 15 55 10 45 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Total Approve .................... Total Disapprove ............... Not sure........................... 1 Intensity 5/171 39 54 7 not asked prior to June 2017. 4/17 40 54 6 2/17 44 48 8 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Q6 I'm going to read you the names of some public figures and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS DONALD TRUMP FIRST, RANDOMIZE CANDIDATE NAMES, ROTATE FAUCI/BARRETT LAST) Donald Trump1 October 29-31, 2020+ ............................ October 9-12, 2020+ .............................. September 30-October 1, 2020+............ September 2020+ .................................. August 2020+ ......................................... July 2020+ ............................................. June 2020+ ............................................ April 2020+ ............................................. March 2020+ .......................................... January 2020+ ................................... October 27-30, 2019 .......................... October 4-6, 2019 .............................. September 2019+ .............................. August 2019 ....................................... April 28-May 1, 2019 .......................... March 2019 ........................................ January 2019 ..................................... December 2018 ................................. November 2018+ ............................... October 2018+ ................................... September 2018+ .............................. August 18-22, 2018+.......................... July 2018+ ......................................... June 2018+ ........................................ March 2018 ........................................ January 2018 ..................................... December 2017 ................................. October 2017 ..................................... August 2017 ....................................... June 2017 .......................................... February 2017.................................... January 2017 ..................................... December 2016 ................................. October 10-13, 2016+ ........................ October 8-10, 2016+ .......................... September 2016+ .............................. August 2016+ ..................................... June 2016+ ........................................ April 2016+ ......................................... March 2016+ ...................................... January 2016+ ................................... December 2015 ................................. October 25-29, 2015 .......................... September 2015 ................................ July 2015............................................ February 2011.................................... May 2004+ ......................................... December 1999 ................................. October 1999 ..................................... July 1990............................................ High January 2020+ ................................... Presidential Term Low September 30-October 1, 2020+........ All-time Trump Low April 2016+ ......................................... 1 Study #200986 -- page 5 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 10 11 10 9 10 10 11 10 13 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 13 12 15 13 11 12 16 14 12 16 13 14 13 16 18 20 14 13 13 15 17 13 13 15 15 17 17 16 17 17 12 11 11 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 7 6 7 9 8 8 12 9 9 11 6 7 9 9 9 9 11 8 9 10 12 11 10 13 13 8 7 11 11 11 10 11 12 13 17 16 16 40 38 28 25 28 3 7 5 7 8 6 6 8 9 8 10 9 7 8 8 10 8 9 7 8 8 8 9 10 12 8 9 8 12 9 12 10 11 10 12 12 11 12 12 10 11 12 14 14 13 18 14 24 23 25 49 46 50 45 44 48 45 43 42 43 43 44 44 45 41 41 43 43 45 43 44 42 43 41 40 48 45 46 40 41 35 38 35 52 51 49 50 48 53 54 47 47 42 44 43 11 15 25 32 24 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 5 7 7 6 9 33 10 6 8 43 - 29 10 5 5 50 1 11 13 10 12 53 1 Very Positive Somewhat Positive 33 31 29 32 30 29 29 31 29 33 29 27 30 28 28 28 27 24 29 27 26 29 28 24 23 24 21 23 22 25 27 20 20 15 17 15 13 12 11 12 14 12 10 8 10 9 9 4 3 3 The historical trend data for this item does not include every survey in which this item has been asked. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 6 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 22 19 21 21 21 19 20 21 19 21 21 23 24 21 23 25 24 22 21 21 21 18 19 19 21 20 20 24 21 23 25 27 25 23 22 20 22 13 14 11 12 14 16 12 15 19 23 19 21 19 28 25 22 19 24 25 24 22 25 21 17 18 15 19 20 23 21 25 21 25 20 22 25 19 24 25 23 26 23 25 9 12 13 14 12 13 12 16 17 15 15 16 11 10 17 14 16 17 15 15 16 15 13 14 14 14 16 15 15 15 17 12 12 12 12 13 13 11 10 6 33 30 28 31 33 33 26 25 24 27 19 22 11 12 14 14 15 21 21 20 21 23 29 24 26 23 21 18 20 14 19 9 11 14 15 16 12 11 6 4 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 4 5 3 2 3 3 7 5 5 7 6 5 5 3 6 4 5 7 8 9 8 6 10 7 4 6 9 12 35 44 49 9 9 9 12 12 10 14 13 14 15 15 16 16 10 13 9 11 12 13 13 16 19 17 13 17 22 18 22 21 28 11 13 16 12 13 15 11 16 16 14 11 9 11 10 12 35 33 31 32 31 32 27 23 23 21 21 20 17 15 13 5 4 5 5 4 7 9 11 10 6 11 16 14 28 24 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Joe Biden October 29-31, 2020+ .............................. October 9-12, 2020+ ................................ September 30-October 1, 2020+ .............. September 2020+ ..................................... August 2020+ ........................................... July 2020+ ................................................ June 2020+ .............................................. April 2020+ ............................................... March 2020+ ............................................ January 2020+ ......................................... October 4-6, 2019 .................................... August 2019 ............................................. January 2018............................................ January 2017............................................ October 2015............................................ September 2015 ....................................... June 2015................................................. November 2014 ........................................ June 2014................................................. July 2013 .................................................. January 2013............................................ December 2012 ........................................ October 2012+ ......................................... September 26-30, 2012+.......................... August 2012+ ........................................... July 2012+ ................................................ May 2012.................................................. December 2010 ........................................ August 26-30, 2010 .................................. January 10-14, 2010 ................................ July 2009 .................................................. January 2009............................................ December 2008 ........................................ October 17-20, 2008+ .............................. October 4-5, 2008+ .................................. September 19-22, 2008+.......................... September 6-8, 2008+.............................. September 2007 ....................................... December 2006 ........................................ June 2004+ .............................................. 23 24 22 22 18 15 17 16 18 14 12 11 30 35 19 15 16 13 11 17 20 21 21 18 15 15 15 10 13 15 13 20 20 28 21 17 18 4 3 5 Mike Pence October 29-31, 2020+ .............................. October 9-12, 2020+ ................................ September 30-October 1, 2020+ .............. September 2020+ ..................................... August 2020+ ........................................... March 2020+ ............................................ October 27-30, 2019 ................................ January 2018............................................ April 2017 ................................................. February 2017 .......................................... January 2017............................................ December 2016 ........................................ October 10-13, 2016+ .............................. September 2016+ ..................................... August 2016+ ........................................... 31 30 27 26 27 20 20 20 24 27 20 21 20 16 10 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 7 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Q6 (cont'd) Neutral Somewhat Negative Very Negative Don't Know Name/ Not Sure 18 15 17 16 18 10 13 15 15 13 9 10 10 10 9 33 31 28 28 26 6 5 7 10 13 37 31 13 19 19 13 7 7 6 4 18 26 29 21 20 10 8 7 14 17 23 10 11 9 20 17 12 17 26 29 Very Positive Somewhat Positive Kamala Harris October 29-31, 2020+ ................................. October 9-12, 2020+ ................................... September 30-October 1, 2020+ ................. September 2020+ ........................................ August 2020+ .............................................. 24 26 23 21 21 Anthony Fauci October 29-31, 2020+ ................................. June 2020+ ................................................. Amy Coney Barrett October 29-31, 2020+ ................................. October 9-12, 2020+ ................................... September 30-October 1, 2020+ ................. + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. SUMMARY TABLE OF IMAGES – BY D/S (POSITIVE – NEGATIVE) TOTAL TOTAL POSITIVE NEGATIVE Anthony Fauci ......................................................... 50 13 Amy Coney Barrett .................................................. 39 30 Joe Biden ................................................................ 45 42 Kamala Harris ......................................................... 42 42 Mike Pence ............................................................. 40 46 Donald Trump ......................................................... 43 52 D/S 37 9 3 -6 -9 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 8 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking now about the elections this coming Tuesday… Q7 Please tell me how interested you are in the election using a scale from one to ten, on which a "ten" means that you are very interested in the elections and a "one" means that you are not at all interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE," RECORD AS "DK.") 10, very interested..... 9 ................................ 8 ................................ 7 ................................ 6 ................................ 5 ................................ 4 ................................ 3 ................................ 2 ................................ 1, not at all interested Cannot rate ............. 10/2931/20+ 78 5 7 3 1 2 1 2 1 10/912/20+ 75 5 8 4 1 3 1 1 2 - 9/3010/1/20+ 75 6 6 4 1 3 1 1 2 1 9/20+ 75 5 6 5 2 2 1 1 2 1 8/20+ 74 5 6 4 1 3 1 1 1 3 1 7/20+ 72 5 7 5 3 3 1 1 2 1 10/2730/19+ 64 8 11 5 3 3 2 1 1 2 - 4/285/1/19+ 63 6 13 6 3 5 1 1 2 - 10/1013/16+ 67 5 9 5 3 4 2 1 1 2 1 10/810/16+ 62 8 10 5 2 6 2 1 4 - 9/16+ 60 8 11 7 3 4 1 2 1 3 - 5/16+ 60 9 11 6 3 6 1 2 2 - 2/16+ 61 9 13 6 3 4 1 1 2 - 9/15+ 56 8 13 9 3 5 1 1 1 2 1 4/15+ 53 7 15 8 4 7 1 1 2 2 - 10/12+ 69 8 9 4 2 5 1 2 - 9/2630/12+ 65 8 10 5 3 5 1 1 2 - 9/1216/12+ 64 8 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 1 - 8/12+ 62 6 13 6 3 5 1 1 1 2 - 7/12+ 62 6 11 7 4 5 1 1 3 - 6/12+ 60 8 12 7 3 5 2 1 1 1 - 5/12+ 62 7 12 6 4 5 1 1 1 1 - 4/12+ 61 6 12 7 3 5 2 2 1 2 - 3/12+ 48 11 14 9 5 6 2 1 1 2 1 1/12+ 57 10 11 7 3 6 2 2 1 1 - 10/1720/08+ 81 6 6 3 1 2 1 - 10/45/08+ 72 7 10 4 1 3 1 2 - 9/1922/08+ 70 8 9 5 2 3 1 1 1 - 9/68/08+ 69 10 10 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 - 8/08+ 65 8 11 5 2 3 1 1 1 3 - 7/08+ 64 8 12 5 3 4 1 1 2 - 6/08+ 67 7 11 5 2 4 1 1 2 - 4/08+ 65 9 11 4 3 3 1 2 2 - 3/08+ 67 8 10 5 2 3 1 1 2 1 1/08+ 66 10 10 4 3 4 1 1 1 - 12/07+ 65 8 12 5 2 4 1 1 2 - 11/07+ 62 9 11 6 3 5 1 1 2 - 10/04+ 74 8 9 3 2 2 1 1 - 9/04+ 71 7 9 5 2 4 1 1 - 8/04+ 63 10 12 6 2 4 1 1 1 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Q8 Study #200986 -- page 9 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey If the election for president were held with ONLY (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican candidates and Joe Biden and Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidates, for whom would you vote? Donald Trump and Mike Pence ................. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris .................... Depends (VOL) ....................................... Neither/other (VOL) ................................ Not sure .................................................. 10/2931/20+ 42 52 3 3 10/912/20+ 42 53 3 2 9/30 10/1/20+ 39 53 2 6 9/20+ 43 51 3 3 8/20+1 41 50 5 4 7/20+ 40 51 1 7 1 6/20+ 42 49 1 5 3 4/20+ 42 49 5 4 3/20+ 43 52 3 2 2/20+ 44 52 2 2 1/20+ 44 50 4 2 10/2730/19+ 41 50 6 3 7/19+ 42 51 4 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Trend data prior to September does not include Vice Presidential nominees. DATA BELOW SHOWN AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS IN SWING STATES1 10/2910/931/20+ 12/20+ Donald Trump and Mike Pence ................. 45 42 Joe Biden and Kamala Harris .................... 51 52 Depends (VOL) ...................................... Neither/other (VOL) ................................ 2 3 Not sure .................................................. 2 3 9/20+ 45 51 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 Swing states defined as: AZ, FL, GA, IA, ME, MI, MN, NC, NH, NV, PA, and WI. DATA BELOW SHOWN AMONG WHITE REGISTERED VOTERS NATIONALLY 10/2910/931/20+ 12/20+ Donald Trump and Mike Pence ................. 51 50 Joe Biden and Kamala Harris .................... 45 46 Depends (VOL) ...................................... Neither/other (VOL) ................................ 2 3 Not sure .................................................. 2 3 9/20+ 52 43 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. DATA BELOW SHOWN AMONG HISPANIC/LATINO REGISTERED VOTERS NATIONALLY 10/2910/931/20+ 12/20+ Donald Trump and Mike Pence ................. 29 26 Joe Biden and Kamala Harris .................... 62 62 Depends (VOL) ...................................... Neither/other (VOL) ................................ 2 3 Not sure .................................................. 7 9 9/20+ 26 62 3 9 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. DATA BELOW SHOWN AMONG BLACK REGISTERED VOTERS NATIONALLY + 10/2931/20+ 8/20+ Donald Trump and Mike Pence .................. 5 6 Joe Biden and Kamala Harris .................... 87 80 Depends (VOL) ....................................... 1 Neither/other (VOL) ................................. 4 9 Not sure .................................................. 4 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 2/20+ 8 89 2 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 10 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey (ROTATE Q8A-B) (ASKED IF NOT SUPPORTING DONALD TRUMP) Q8A Even though you are not supporting Donald Trump now, what are the chances that you might support Trump in this election--is there a fair chance that you might support him, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all you might support him? Fair chance you might support .................. Small chance ............................................. Very slight chance ................................... No chance at all you might support ........... Not sure ................................................... Currently supporting Trump ....................... 10/2931/20+ 1 2 2 51 2 42 10/912/20+ 1 4 4 51 1 39 9/20+ 1 3 5 47 1 43 7/20+ 1 3 6 50 40 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED IF NOT SUPPORTING JOE BIDEN) Q8B Even though you are not supporting Joe Biden now, what are the chances that you might support Biden in this election--is there a fair chance that you might support him, a small chance, just a very slight chance, or no chance at all you might support him? Fair chance you might support .................. Small chance ............................................. Very slight chance ................................... No chance at all you might support ........... Not sure ................................................... Currently supporting Biden ........................ 10/2931/20+ 2 2 3 40 1 52 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 10/912/20+ 2 2 6 36 1 53 9/20+ 2 3 5 38 1 51 7/20+ 2 3 6 37 1 51 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Q9 Study #200986 -- page 11 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats? Republican-controlled ...... Democrat-controlled ......... Not sure............................ 10/2931/20+ 43 48 9 8/20+ 42 47 11 7/20+ 43 47 10 6/20+ 40 51 9 1/20+ 43 49 8 12/19+ 42 49 9 10/2730/19+ 42 49 9 10/18+ 41 48 11 9/18+ 40 52 8 8/1822/18+ 42 50 8 7/18+ 43 49 8 6/18+ 40 50 10 4/18+ 40 47 13 3/18+ 40 50 10 1/18+ 43 49 8 12/17+ 39 50 11 10/17+ 41 48 11 9/17+ 42 48 10 6/17+ 42 50 8 4/17+ 43 47 10 10/1013/16+ 44 46 10 10/810/16+ 42 48 10 9/16+ 45 48 7 8/16+ 43 47 10 6/16+ 46 46 8 5/16+ 44 48 8 4/16+ 45 47 8 10/2529/15+ 45 45 10 10/3011/1/14+ 42 46 12 10/812/14+ 42 46 12 9/14+ 45 43 12 6/14+ 43 45 12 4/14+ 45 45 10 3/14+ 44 43 13 1/14+ 43 45 12 12/13+ 44 42 14 10/2528/13+ 41 45 14 10/79/13+ 39 47 14 9/13+ 43 46 11 7/13+ 44 44 12 6/13+ 42 45 13 10/12+ 43 45 12 9/2630/12+ 43 47 10 10/11+ 41 45 14 8/12+ 42 47 11 7/12+ 45 46 9 6/12+ 44 45 11 5/12+ 43 44 13 4/12+ 44 46 10 3/12+ 41 46 13 1/12+ 41 47 12 12/11+ 43 45 12 11/11+ 43 46 11 8/11+ 47 41 12 6/11+ 44 44 12 10/2830/10+ 46 44 10 10/1418/10+ 44 46 10 9/10+ 44 44 12 8/2630/10+ 43 43 14 8/59/10+ 42 43 15 6/10+ 45 43 12 5/2023/10+ 44 43 13 3/10+ 42 45 13 1/2325/10+ 42 44 14 1/1014/10+ 41 41 18 12/09+ 41 43 16 10/09+ 38 46 16 9/09+ 40 43 17 7/09+ 39 46 15 4/09+ 39 48 13 11/08+ 36 48 16 10/08+ 36 49 15 9/08+ 37 50 13 8/08+ 36 47 17 6/08+ 33 52 15 4/08+ 34 49 17 1/06+ 38 47 15 3/08+ 35 49 16 11/07+ 37 46 17 9/07+ 35 47 18 10/06+ 37 52 11 9/06+ 39 48 13 7/06+ 38 48 14 6/06+ 38 49 13 4/06+ 39 45 16 3/06+ 37 50 13 12/05+ 38 46 16 11/05+ 37 48 15 10/05+ 39 48 13 7/05+ 40 45 15 5/05+ 40 47 13 10/04+ 43 44 13 9/04+ 42 46 12 6/04+ 42 44 14 5/04+ 41 44 15 3/04+ 42 45 13 1/04 42 43 15 9/02 42 42 16 7/02 43 41 16 6/02 42 41 17 1/02 44 40 16 12/01 42 40 18 12/99 40 44 16 10/99 39 41 20 7/99 39 43 18 6/99 42 41 17 10/98+ 41 43 16 9/98 40 39 21 7/98 41 40 19 6/98 39 40 21 1/98 40 42 18 12/97 41 37 22 9/97 41 39 20 7/97 45 39 16 4/97 44 38 18 12/13/03 10/02+ 42 43 42 42 16 15 4/99 41 40 19 3/99 37 43 20 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 12 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking again about the presidential election… Q10 Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if (ROTATE, READ ITEM) were elected president on Tuesday--optimistic and confident that he would do a good job, satisfied and hopeful that he would do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether he would do a good job, or pessimistic and worried that he would do a bad job? Optimistic And Confident Satisfied And Hopeful Uncertain And Wondering Pessimistic And Worried Not Sure Donald Trump October 29-31, 2020+ ............... August 2020+ ........................... December 20161 ....................... October 10-13, 2016+ ............... August 2016+ ........................... July 2016+ ................................ February 2016+ ........................ October 2015+ .......................... 30 27 22 17 14 12 14 17 14 14 23 17 18 21 19 15 7 11 25 12 19 18 15 17 48 48 29 53 49 48 52 50 1 1 1 1 1 Joe Biden October 29-31, 2020+ ............... August 2020+ ........................... 23 19 29 27 14 16 33 36 1 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 In December 2016, language was, “Which of the following best describes your feeling about how Donald Trump will do during his presidency?” PREVIOUS OCTOBER TREND AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS Optimistic Satisfied Uncertain Pessimistic Donald Trump October 10-13, 2016+............... Hillary Clinton October 10-13, 2016+............... Mitt Romney October 2012+.......................... Barack Obama October 2012+.......................... John McCain October 2008+.......................... Barack Obama October 2008+.......................... George W. Bush October 2004+.......................... John Kerry October 2004+.......................... George W. Bush October 2000+.......................... Al Gore October 2000+.......................... Bob Dole October 1996+.......................... Bill Clinton October 1996+.......................... Not Sure 17 17 12 53 1 21 22 17 39 1 22 25 21 31 1 27 23 13 37 - 16 28 26 29 1 27 29 21 22 1 31 20 13 35 1 23 25 24 27 1 27 29 24 19 1 22 30 23 24 1 21 24 32 20 3 28 31 21 19 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Q11 Study #200986 -- page 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Some people we have spoken with have already filled out their ballot for the Federal election for President, Senate, Congress and statewide offices being held on Tuesday – Have you already cast your ballot in the election by voting by mail or in person at an early polling location? (DO NOT READ CHOICES:) (IF NOT YET VOTED, THEN ASK:) And do you plan to vote early - either by mail or in person - or will you vote at the polls on Election Day? Total Plan to Vote Early............................... Total Voted Early ......................................... Yes, voted by mail ....................................... Yes, voted early in person ........................... No, plan to vote early by mail ...................... No, plan to vote early in person ................... No, will vote at the polls on Election Day ....... Don’t plan on voting (VOL) ......................... Not sure ....................................................... 10/2931/20+ 68 57 29 28 3 8 28 2 2 10/912/20+ 59 18 12 6 21 20 37 1 3 9/20+ 52 7 4 3 27 18 42 1 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 2016 TREND AMONG ALL LIKELY VOTERS/FINAL TRACK Total Voted Early ........................................... 41 Changing topics… Q12a Do you have confidence that the results of the presidential election will be counted accurately or not? Yes........................................................................... No ............................................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... 10/2931/20+ 51 38 11 8/20+ 45 45 10 9/16+ 59 34 7 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q12b Now, more specifically, thinking about YOUR vote, do you have confidence that your own vote will be counted accurately or not? + Yes ........................................................................... No ............................................................................ Not sure/refused..................................................... 85 11 4 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Thinking some more about yourself… Q13 How much difference do you think it will make in the lives of you and your family who wins the upcoming presidential election--a great deal, quite a bit, just some, or very little? A great deal of difference .................... Quite a bit of difference ....................... Just some difference ........................... Very little difference ............................. Not sure ............................................. 10/2931/20+ 56 21 15 7 1 5/16+ 48 23 17 11 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 10/2529/15+ 42 19 20 17 2 10/12+ 55 21 13 9 2 10/04+ 45 27 16 10 2 10/96+ 21 19 28 29 3 7/96 19 17 25 34 5 5/92 28 18 25 26 3 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 14 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking again about the candidates running for president … (ROTATE Q14 & Q15) Q14 Has what you have you seen, read, or heard in the past couple of weeks about Donald Trump and his campaign for president given you a more favorable impression of him or a less favorable impression of him? If you have not seen, read, or heard anything in the past couple of weeks please just say so. + More favorable .................................................... Less favorable ..................................................... Has made no difference (VOL) ........................... No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything ............ Not Sure .............................................................. 34 47 10 8 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q15 Has what you have you seen, read, or heard in the past couple of weeks about Joe Biden and his campaign for president given you a more favorable impression of him or a less favorable impression of him? If you have not seen, read, or heard anything in the past couple of weeks please just say so. + More favorable .................................................... Less favorable ..................................................... Has made no difference (VOL) ........................... No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything ............ Not Sure .............................................................. 42 41 10 7 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 2012 LIKELY VOTER TREND Mitt Romney 11/110/173/12++ 20/12++ More favorable .................................................... 44 40 Less favorable .................................................... 44 45 Has made no difference (VOL) ........................... 7 11 No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything ............ 5 4 Not Sure ............................................................. 1 - Barack Obama 11/110/173/12++ 20/12++ 41 38 40 43 14 13 4 6 1 1 + Results shown reflect responses among likely voters. 2008 REGISTERED VOTER TREND John McCain 10/179/199/620/08+ 22/08+ 8/08+ 8/08+ More favorable .............................................. 28 33 40 27 Less favorable............................................... 53 41 33 32 Has made no difference (VOL) ..................... 16 20 22 25 No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything ...... 1 5 4 16 Not Sure ........................................................ 2 1 1 - 10/1720/08+ 48 29 20 2 1 Barack Obama 9/199/622/08+ 8/08+ 34 36 30 27 27 30 7 5 2 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 2004 REGISTERED VOTER TREND George W. Bush 10/2910/1631/04+ 18/04+ More favorable .................................................... 32 28 Less favorable .................................................... 37 34 Has made no difference (VOL) ........................... 26 31 No, Have Not Seen/Heard/Read Anything ............ 4 6 Not Sure ............................................................. 1 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. John Kerry 10/2910/1631/04+ 18/04+ 35 39 36 36 24 21 5 3 1 8/08+ 30 34 23 12 1 Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 15 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking now about issues… Q16 If you had to choose JUST one (ROTATE) the economy or coronavirus, which of these two issues is more important to you in deciding your vote for president – or is something else more important to you in deciding your vote? + The economy .................................... The coronavirus ................................ Some other issue .............................. Both (VOL) ........................................ Neither (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... 10/2931/20+ 41 38 16 3 2 10/912/20+ 47 39 11 2 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q17 Now, for each of the following please tell me if you approve or disapprove of President Trump’s handling of each item. (ROTATE) TABLE RANKED BY % WHO SAY APPROVE Disapprove No Opinion (VOL)1 Not Sure The economy October 29-31, 2020+ ................................................................................. 55 July 2020+ ................................................................................................... 54 February 2020+ ........................................................................................... 53 October 27-30, 2019+ ................................................................................. 52 August 2019 ................................................................................................ 49 May 2019 .................................................................................................... 51 January 2019 .............................................................................................. 51 July 2018+ ................................................................................................... 50 October 2017 .............................................................................................. 42 September 2017 .......................................................................................... 41 June 2017 ................................................................................................... 44 April 2017 .................................................................................................... 44 41 42 38 43 46 41 45 34 37 36 48 46 2 3 7 3 3 7 NA 15 20 22 NA NA 2 1 2 2 2 1 4 1 1 1 8 10 The coronavirus October 29-31, 2020+ ................................................................................. 40 October 9-12, 2020+ ................................................................................... 41 September 2020+........................................................................................ 40 August 2020+ .............................................................................................. 40 July 2020+ ................................................................................................... 37 June 2020+ ................................................................................................. 43 April 2020+ .................................................................................................. 44 March 2020+ ............................................................................................... 45 57 57 57 58 59 55 52 51 1 NA NA NA 2 NA NA NA 2 2 3 2 2 2 4 4 Approve + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 1 No opinion was a read response in September 2017, October 2017, and July 2018. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 16 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Thinking now just about the coronavirus… Q18 Which of the following best describes your feelings about the coronavirus in the United States? (ROTATE FIRST TWO) + The worst is behind us ................................................................................. 25 The worst is yet to come .............................................................................. 55 …or… The coronavirus is not that major of a problem ............................................ 15 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. RELATED MARCH 2020 TREND+ Which of the following best describes your feelings about the coronavirus in the United States? The worst is behind us ................................................................................. 6 The worst is yet to come .............................................................................. 60 …or… The coronavirus is not likely to be that major of a problem .......................... 31 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Q19 Thinking about what, if any, impact the coronavirus has had on you and your family’s day to day life, would you say it has -- (ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) changed your life in a very major way, a fairly major way, only a small way or has it not changed your life in any way? 10/2931/20+ 4/20+ Changed your life in a very major way ......................................................... 37 39 A fairly major way......................................................................................... 32 38 Only a small way .......................................................................................... 25 20 Has not changed your life in any way .......................................................... 6 3 Not sure ..................................................................................................... + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. 3/20+ 8 18 45 29 - Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 Study #200986 -- page 17 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. QF1 A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November 2016 election for president? (IF “YES,” ASK:) Which of the following statements describes your vote? (ROTATE STATEMENTS :1-4 TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) (IF “SOMEONE ELSE,” ASK:) And, was your vote for Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or someone else? + Voted for Trump because you liked him or his policies ................................ Voted for Trump because you did not like Clinton or her policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you did not like Trump or his policies ................. Voted for Clinton because you liked her or her policies ............................... Voted for Gary Johnson (VOL) ................................................................... Voted for Jill Stein (VOL) ............................................................................ Voted for someone else (VOL) .................................................................. Voted, not sure ........................................................................................... No, Did Not Vote .......................................................................................... Not sure...................................................................................................... 23 16 17 24 1 1 2 1 14 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED OF REPUBLICAN AND LEAN REPUBLICAN REGISTERED VOTERS) QF1a Do you consider yourself to be more of a supporter of Donald Trump or more of a supporter of the Republican Party? 10/2910/931/20+ 12/20+ 9/20+ 8/20+ Supporter of Donald Trump ......................................................................... 54 46 53 49 Supporter of the Republican Party ............................................................... 38 42 37 37 Both (VOL) ................................................................................................. 4 8 6 9 Neither (VOL)............................................................................................. 3 4 3 4 Not sure ..................................................................................................... 1 1 1 12/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 10/2730/19+ 52 38 6 2 2 10/46/19+ 48 39 8 4 1 9/19+ 48 40 7 4 1 7/20+ 53 39 3 4 1 6/20+ 52 38 4 4 2 4/20+ 54 35 4 7 - 3/20+ 52 39 5 3 1 2/20+ 45 42 5 6 2 1/20+ 49 40 6 3 2 7/19+ 44 46 7 2 1 6/19 52 38 3 5 2 5/19 47 42 5 5 1 3/19 43 47 5 4 1 2/19 45 47 4 2 2 1/19 51 38 6 3 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF2 Are you currently employed? (IF "CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) What type of work do you do? (RECORD UNDER "6--OTHER.") (IF "NOT CURRENTLY EMPLOYED," ASK:) Are you a student, a stay-at-home mom or dad, retired, or unemployed and looking for work? + Currently Employed Professional, manager .................. White-collar worker ....................... Blue-collar worker ......................... Farmer, rancher ............................ Not Currently Employed Student ......................................... Stay at home mom/dad................. Retired .......................................... Unemployed, looking for work ...... Other............................................. Not sure ...................................... 27 16 18 1 3 5 23 5 1 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 QF3 Study #200986 -- page 18 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) + Grade school ........................................................... Some high school .................................................... High school graduate .............................................. Some college, no degree ........................................ Vocational training/School ...................................... 2-year college degree ............................................. 4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................ Some postgraduate work, no degree ...................... 2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........ Doctoral/law degree ................................................ Not sure/refused .................................................... 2 4 23 18 2 13 22 1 10 5 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF4 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, a Republican, an independent, or something else? (IF "DEMOCRAT" OR "REPUBLICAN," ASK:) Would you call yourself a strong (Democrat/Republican) or not a very strong (Democrat/Republican)? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN.") (IF "INDEPENDENT," ASK:) Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party, closer to the Democratic Party, or do you think of yourself as strictly independent? (IF "NOT SURE," CODE AS "STRICTLY INDEPENDENT.") + Strong Democrat............................... Not very strong Democrat ................. Independent/lean Democrat ............. Strictly Independent .......................... Independent/lean Republican ........... Not very strong Republican .............. Strong Republican ............................ Other (VOL) .................................... Not sure .......................................... 28 7 9 11 11 6 22 5 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF5 Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very (liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? + Very liberal .........................................................14 Somewhat liberal ................................................12 Moderate ............................................................36 Somewhat conservative .....................................18 Very conservative ...............................................17 Not sure............................................................3 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF6a/b Are you a current or retired labor union member? (ASK ONLY OF RESPONDENTS WHO SAY "NO" OR "NOT SURE" IN QF6a.) Is anyone else in your household a current or retired labor union member? + Labor union member ......................................... 14 Union household ............................................... 7 Non-union household ........................................ 73 Not sure .......................................................... 6 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 QF7a Study #200986 -- page 19 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey What is your religion? + Protestant (includes Baptist, Lutheran, Methodist, Episcopal, Presbyterian, and other Christians) ........................................... Catholic ...................................................................................... Jewish ........................................................................................ Muslim........................................................................................ Mormon/LDS/Church of Jesus Christ of Latter Day Saints ........ Other .......................................................................................... None .......................................................................................... Not sure/refused....................................................................... 43 20 1 1 1 13 16 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF7c Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not describe yourself that way? + Fundamentalist/evangelical ............................................17 Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ...........................76 Not sure ........................................................................7 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF8 How would you describe your economic circumstances—(ROTATE TOP TO BOTTOM, BOTTOM TO TOP) poor, working class, middle class, upper middle class, or well-to-do? + Poor ................................................ Working class ................................. Middle class .................................... Upper middle class ......................... Well-to-do ....................................... Not sure/refused ........................... 7 24 44 19 4 2 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. (ASKED IF RESPONDENT LIVES IN SUBURBAN GEOGRAPHY) QF9 Do you live in a suburban area that is closer to a large city or in a suburban area that is farther away from a large city? + Closer to a large city...................................... Farther away from a large city ....................... Not sure....................................................... 57 38 5 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies Late October 2020 QF10 Study #200986 -- page 20 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey When it comes to staying up with the news, which of these news sources, if any, do you watch or consume regularly? (RANDOMIZE, ACCEPT MULTIPLE ANSWERS) + THIS TABLE HAS BEEN RANKED BY THE HIGHEST PERCENTAGE Broadcast network news, such as NBC, ABC, or CBS ......................... 40 The cable channel MSNBC or CNN ..................................................... 35 The cable channel Fox News ............................................................... 34 Internet social media sites like Facebook and Twitter .......................... 33 Conservative news outlets, blogs, or websites ..................................... 17 Progressive or liberal news outlets, blogs, or websites ........................ 15 Or, do you not watch or consume any of these to follow the news ...... 11 Watch different TV news (VOL) ......................................................... 3 Get news from some other source (VOL) .......................................... 3 Not sure .............................................................................................. 1 + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters. QF1c And, will the 2020 election be the first time you have ever voted for President? + Yes ................................................................ No.................................................................. Not sure....................................................... 9 91 - + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.