NBC News/Marist Poll Arizona Annotated Questionnaire
November 2020

AZ Adults: n=1,082; MoE +/- 3.7
AZ Registered Voters: n=988; MoE +/- 3.9
AZ Likely Voters: n=717; MoE +/- 4.5

AZ Adults
Column %
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as
president?

AZ Registered
Voters

AZ Likely
Voters

Column %

Column %

Approve

45%

46%

47%

Disapprove

48%

48%

48%

Vol: Unsure

7%

6%

5%

July 2020

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as
president? [And, would you say you strongly approve/disapprove of
the job he is doing or just approve/disapprove?]

Approve

41%

44%

n/a

Disapprove

53%

52%

n/a

Vol: Unsure

6%

4%

n/a

Strongly approve

32%

33%

35%

Approve

14%

13%

11%

Disapprove

10%

8%

8%

Strongly disapprove

38%

40%

41%

Unsure

7%

6%

5%

Strongly approve

26%

29%

n/a

Approve

15%

15%

n/a

Disapprove

13%

11%

n/a

Strongly disapprove

40%

41%

n/a

Unsure

6%

4%

n/a

July 2020

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Doug Ducey is doing as
governor?

Approve

44%

45%

46%

Disapprove

41%

42%

43%

Vol: Unsure

15%

13%

11%

July 2020

If November's election for president were held today, whom would
you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you had to decide
today, are you leaning more towards:] [If already voted: Whom did
you support in the presidential election?] [Asked of Registered
Voters]

Approve

39%

39%

n/a

Disapprove

50%

53%

n/a

Vol: Unsure

11%

8%

n/a

Joe Biden and Kamala Harris, the
Democrats

48%

48%

Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the
Republicans

47%

48%

Other

3%

3%

Undecided

2%

1%

2%

2%

Arizona Persuadable Voters

NBC News/Marist Poll AZ Annotated Questionnaire November 2020

1

 AZ Registered
Voters

AZ Likely
Voters

Column %

Column %

Joe Biden, the Democrat

50%

n/a

Donald Trump, the Republican

45%

n/a

Vol: Other

1%

n/a

Vol: Undecided

3%

n/a

12%

12%

AZ Adults
Column %
If November's election for president were held today, whom would
you support if the candidates are: [Asked of Registered Voters]

July 2020

Arizona Persuadable Voters
Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat
support them, or do you think that you might vote differently on
Election Day? [Asked of Registered Voters with a Candidate
Preference for President]

Strongly support

70%

73%

Somewhat support

26%

24%

Might vote differently

1%

1%

Unsure

3%

2%

Strongly support

67%

n/a

Somewhat support

25%

n/a

Might vote differently

7%

n/a

Unsure

<1%

n/a

July 2020

In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of
Donald Trump?

Favorable

42%

43%

45%

Unfavorable

52%

52%

51%

Unsure-Never Heard

6%

4%

4%

Favorable

38%

41%

n/a

Unfavorable

58%

57%

n/a

Unsure-Never Heard

5%

3%

n/a

July 2020

In general, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of
Joe Biden?

Favorable

45%

45%

46%

Unfavorable

46%

48%

48%

Unsure-Never Heard

9%

7%

6%

Favorable

41%

42%

n/a

Unfavorable

50%

52%

n/a

Unsure-Never Heard

9%

5%

n/a

Mark Kelly, the Democrat

52%

52%

Martha McSally, the Republican

45%

46%

Other

1%

1%

Undecided

2%

1%

5%

3%

July 2020

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Arizona were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are: [If undecided: If you
had to decide today, are you leaning more towards:] [If already
voted: Whom did you support in the election for U.S. Senate in
Arizona?] [Asked of Registered Voters]

Arizona U.S. Senate Persuadable Voters

NBC News/Marist Poll AZ Annotated Questionnaire November 2020

2

 AZ Adults
Column %

AZ Registered
Voters

AZ Likely
Voters

Column %

Column %

July 2020
Mark Kelly, the Democrat

53%

n/a

Martha McSally, the Republican

41%

n/a

Other

1%

n/a

Undecided

5%

n/a

18%

18%

Arizona U.S. Senate Persuadable Voters
Would you say that you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat
support <candidate>, or do you think that you might vote differently
on Election Day? [Asked of Registered Voters with a candidate
Preference for U.S. Senate]

Strongly support

59%

62%

Somewhat support

38%

35%

Might vote differently

2%

2%

Unsure

2%

1%

Strongly support

61%

n/a

Somewhat support

26%

n/a

Might vote differently

12%

n/a

Unsure

1%

n/a

July 2020

Overall, do you support or oppose the confirmation of Amy Coney
Barrett to the Supreme Court?

Support

45%

47%

49%

Oppose
Vol: Unsure

38%
17%

39%
14%

40%
11%

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/Marist Poll of 1,082 Arizona Adults
This survey of 1,082 adults was conducted October 29th through November 1st, 2020 by The Marist Poll sponsored in partnership with NBC News. Adults 18 years of age
and older residing in the state were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English
or Spanish. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state from Dynata. The exchanges were
selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as individual devices. After validation of age, personal
ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile sample
was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household, a single respondent is selected through a
random selection process to increase the representativeness of traditionally under-covered survey populations. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the
2017 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. Results are
statistically significant within ±3.7 percentage points. There are 988 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.9 percentage points.
There are 717 likely voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the November 2020 election based upon their
chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±4.5 percentage points. Tables include
results for subgroups to only display crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain group, it does
not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and
increases for cross-tabulations.

NBC News/Marist Poll AZ Annotated Questionnaire November 2020

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