? SIENA COLLEGE New York City Poll August 19-28, 2013 Registered voter N = 1,162 Likely Democratic voter N = 505 An asterisk indicates registered respondents. "DEM LV" indicates likely Democratic voters. Trends are based on New York Times Polls except: New York Times/CBS News Polls: Oct. 1998 - Oct. 2000, Sept. 2006, Aug. 2011, New York Times/Cornell University/NY1 Jun. 2009 and New York Times/Siena College July 2013. What borough in New York City do you NOW live in? 8/19-28/13* Bronx 15 Brooklyn 29 Manhattan 21 Queens 29 Staten Island 5 Refused - Some people are registered to vote and others are not. Are you registered to vote in the election district where you now live, or aren't you? 8/19-28/13 Yes 70 No 29 DK/NA 1 1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Michael Bloomberg is handling his job as Mayor? 6/4-9/02 8/25-29/02 10/12-16/02 1/11-15/03 6/6-11/03 7/13-27/03 8/31-9/4/03 4/16-21/04 8/20-25/04 2/4-13/05 6/21-26/05 8/22-28/05 10/21-26/05 8/23-27/06 6/6-11/08 5/29-6/3/09 8/27-31/10 10/26-28/10 8/9-15/11 8/10-15/12 7/9-15/13 8/2-7/13 8/19-28/13* DEM LV Approve 48 47 47 31 24 25 32 38 40 43 50 59 67 63 67 60 59 54 45 48 49 49 44 47 Disapprove 26 31 41 53 65 67 57 46 49 45 35 31 23 22 28 34 29 30 43 39 36 40 44 48 DK/NA 26 22 12 16 11 8 11 16 11 12 15 11 10 15 5 6 12 16 13 13 15 11 11 5 2. Do you feel things in New York City are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? 10/21-26/05 6/6-11/08 8/9-15/11 7/9-15/13* 8/19-28/13* DEM LV Right direction 63 37 36 51 45 46 Wrong track 28 56 54 41 46 47 DK/NA 8 7 10 8 9 7 2 Are you registered in a specific party? IF YES, ASK: What party are you registered in -- the Republican party, the Democratic party, the Conservative party, the Working Families party, Independence party, Green party, or something else? 8/19-28/13* 12 56 1 5 1 20 5 Republican Democratic Conservative Working families Independence party Green party Other Not registered in a party DK/NA How likely is it that you will vote in the Democratic primary for Mayor on September 10th? Would you say you are almost certain to vote, very likely to vote, somewhat likely to vote, not very likely to vote, or not at all likely to vote? 8/19-28/13* DEM Almost certain 59 Very likely 22 Somewhat likely 12 Not very likely 3 Not at all likely 4 DK/NA 1 7A. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, not favorable, or haven't you heard enough about Bill de Blasio yet to have an opinion? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Favorable 57 Not Favorable 17 Haven't heard enough 25 DK/NA 1 7B. Is your opinion of John Liu favorable, not favorable, or haven't you heard enough about John Liu yet to have an opinion? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Favorable 29 Not Favorable 37 Haven't heard enough 32 DK/NA 2 7C. Is your opinion of Christine Quinn favorable, not favorable, or haven't you heard enough about Christine Quinn yet to have an opinion? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Favorable 39 Not Favorable 45 Haven't heard enough 15 DK/NA 1 7D. Is your opinion of Bill Thompson favorable, not favorable, or haven't you heard enough about Bill Thompson yet to have an opinion? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Favorable 53 Not Favorable 16 Haven't heard enough 30 DK/NA 1 3 7E. Is your opinion of Anthony Weiner favorable, not favorable, or haven't you heard enough about Anthony Weiner yet to have an opinion? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Favorable 24 Not Favorable 66 Haven't heard enough 8 DK/NA 2 7F. Is your opinion of Eliot Spitzer favorable, not favorable, or haven't you heard enough about Eliot Spitzer yet to have an opinion? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Favorable 46 Not Favorable 41 Haven't heard enough 11 DK/NA 2 7G. Is your opinion of Scott Stringer favorable, not favorable, or haven't you heard enough about Scott Stringer yet to have an opinion? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Favorable 31 Not Favorable 19 Haven't heard enough 49 DK/NA 1 8. If the Democratic primary for New York City Mayor were being held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: Sal Albanese, Randy Credico, Neil Grimaldi, Bill de Blasio, John Liu, Christine Quinn, Erick Salgado, Bill Thompson or Anthony Weiner? CANDIDATE NAMES AND ANSWER CODES ROTATED Albanese Credico de Blasio Grimaldi Liu Quinn Salgado Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) Won't vote (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 1 32 3 17 1 18 11 16 9. How likely would you say you are to vote for (CANDIDATE NAME)? Are you: 1. Absolutely certain -- there's no chance I will change my mind; 2. Fairly certain -it is unlikely I will change my mind; 3. Not very certain -- I very well may change my mind or 4. Not certain at all - there's a good chance I will change my mind. 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Absolutely certain 37 Fairly certain 42 Not very certain 18 Not certain at all 3 4 10. If the Democratic primary for New York City Comptroller were being held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were: Eliot Spitzer or Scott Stringer? CANDIDATE NAMES AND ANSWER CODES ROTATED 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 50 35 2 13 Spitzer Stringer Other (vol.) Won't vote (vol.) DK/NA 11. How likely would you say you are to vote for (CANDIDATE NAME)? Are you: 1. Absolutely certain -- there's no chance I will change my mind; 2. Fairly certain -it is unlikely I will change my mind; 3. Not very certain -- I very well may change my mind or 4. Not certain at all - there's a good chance I will change my mind. 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Spitzer voters Stringer voters Absolutely certain 53 53 54 Fairly certain 33 35 29 Not very certain 9 7 11 Not certain at all 5 4 5 DK/NA 1 1 12A-12G. Regardless of who you may support, which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City - Bill de Blasio, John Liu, Christine Quinn, Bill Thompson, or Anthony Weiner? 12A. Working with the police to keep New Yorkers safe... [IF NEEDED: Regardless of who you may support, which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City?] de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 26 5 20 19 12 1 18 [IF NEEDED: Regardless of who you may support, 12B. Improving public education... which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City?] de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 24 6 18 27 11 13 5 12C. Creating jobs... [IF NEEDED: Regardless of who you may support, which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City?] de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 25 5 19 16 15 20 12D. Making the city more affordable... [IF NEEDED: Regardless of who you may support, which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City?] de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 29 6 15 19 13 1 17 12E. Negotiating union contracts... [IF NEEDED: Regardless of who you may support, which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City?] de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 22 8 16 22 15 1 17 12F. Managing the city's finances... [IF NEEDED: Regardless of who you may support, which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City?] de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 20 14 18 20 12 16 6 12G. Addressing the housing needs of New Yorkers... [IF NEEDED: Regardless of who you may support, which of the following mayoral candidates do you think would do the best job on each of the following issues facing New York City?] de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 30 4 16 18 13 19 13. In deciding how you will vote for Mayor this year, which ONE of the following issues will be most important to you? Education The city's finances Housing Crime Jobs and unemployment Something else (vol.) DK/NA 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 23 13 13 17 27 5 3 14. As you may know, the two-term limit for city officials, including the mayor and city council members, was changed in 2008 to allow them to serve three terms. Do you think that extension of term limits in 2008 was a good idea or a bad idea? 8/19-28/13* DEM LV 15. As you detains and weapon. Do harassed OR safer? 7/9-15/13* 8/19-28/13* DEM LV Good idea 30 27 Bad idea 61 68 Neither good nor bad (vol.) 4 3 DK/NA 5 2 may know, stop and frisk is a police procedure where a police officer searches an individual to determine if the person is carrying a concealed you think stop and frisk is excessive and innocent people are being do you think stop and frisk is an acceptable way to make New York City Excessive 50 48 59 Acceptable 45 44 36 DK/NA 5 8 5 16. A great deal of attention across the country has focused on two New York City candidates - Eliot Spitzer and Anthony Weiner - who are both seeking political comebacks after having resigned from office due to personal scandals. Which of the following comes closer to how you feel about these two New York City politicians attracting this type of national attention - 1. It's entertaining, 2. It's no big deal, or 3. It's embarrassing? 8/19-28/13* DEM LV Entertaining 9 9 No big deal 28 30 Embarrassing 54 53 Comb. (vol) 3 3 Other (vol.) 2 2 DK/NA 4 3 7 17. [If answered "It's embarrassing" in Q16]: Which of the two politicians' receiving this type of national attention embarrasses you more - Eliot Spitzer or Anthony Weiner? 8/19-28/13* DEM LV Eliot Spitzer 14 14 Anthony Weiner 64 74 Both (vol.) 19 11 DK/NA 4 2 Are you gay, lesbian or bisexual? 8/19-28/13* Yes 9 No 88 DK/NA 4 Are you the parent or guardian of a child under 18 that lives with you? 8/19-28/13* Yes 31 No 68 Are your children currently enrolled parochial school? AMONG PARENTS Public Private Parochial Public & other Home schooled Charter school Not school age Other (Vol.) DK/NA DK/NA 1 in public school, or private school, or 8/19-28/13* 50 20 8 3 1 2 14 2 1 Are you or any other member of your household - that is, any other adult living in your home or apartment - a member of a labor union? IF YES, ASK: Is that person you or someone else? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Yes, respondent or respondent & someone else 24 Yes, someone else in household 10 DK/NA 1 No, no one 64 How much will your vote for Mayor be based on your union's endorsement of a candidate - a lot, some, not much or not at all? AMONG UNION MEMBERS 8/19-28/13 DEM LV A lot 23 Some 17 Not much 11 Not at all 49 DK/NA - 26. Have you been contacted on behalf of any of the Democratic mayoral candidates over the past couple of weeks, whether it was by a letter, by e-mail, by telephone, or in person? 8/19-28/13 DEM LV Yes 56 No 42 DK/NA 2 8 26A. IF YES: Which Democratic Mayoral candidate? [More than one can apply] 8/19-28/13 DEM LV 5 3 26 2 16 27 4 26 14 2 10 Albanese Credico de Blasio Grimaldi Liu Quinn Salgado Thompson Weiner Other (vol.) DK/NA 27. Have you been contacted in the past several weeks by any group or organization asking you to vote AGAINST a specific Democratic candidate for mayor, or not? Yes 8 8/19-28/13 DEM LV No 90 DK/NA 2 28. Have you seen any commercials on television for any of the following Democratic mayoral candidates or not - Bill de Blasio, John Liu, Christine Quinn, Bill Thompson Anthony Weiner? de Blasio Liu Quinn Thompson Weiner Yes 76 45 78 70 80 8/19-28/13 DEM LV No DK/NA 20 4 49 6 20 3 27 3 18 3 Generally speaking, do you usually consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, a Liberal, a Conservative, or what? 8/19-28/13* Republican 9 Democrat 49 Independent 17 Liberal 8 Conservative 6 Other 4 DK/NA 7 How would you describe your views on most political matters? Generally do you think of yourself as liberal, moderate, or conservative? 8/19-28/13* Liberal 31 Moderate 36 Conservative 23 DK/NA 10 What is your religious preference today? 8/19-28/13* Catholic 29 Jewish 14 Protestant 24 Muslim 3 Other 5 No affiliation 20 DK/NA 5 9 What was the last grade in school you completed? 8/19-28/13* Grade school 3 High school 20 Some college or trade school 26 Bachelor's degree 25 Grad or professional degree 25 Refused 2 In what year were you born? 8/19-28/13* 18-29 16 30-44 23 45-64 36 65+ 17 Refused 9 Are you of Hispanic origin or descent, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background? 8/19-28/13* Yes 24 No 71 DK/NA 5 Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? 8/19-28/13* White 48 Black 26 Asian 7 Other 9 Refused 10 Which of the following general income categories is your total household income before taxes? 8/19-28/13* 8/19-28/13* Under 15,000 9 $15,000 -29,999 11 Male 47 $30,000 -49,999 15 $50,000 -74,999 13 $75,000 -99,999 10 $100249,999 16 $250K or more 5 Refused 21 Female 53 10